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Incarnadine

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Posts posted by Incarnadine

  1. Top 10

    Here’s the Top Ten (based on 3-day weekend estimates):

    1. Men in Black 3 3D (Columbia/Sony) NEW [4,248 Theaters] PG13

    Friday $18M, Saturday $19.6M

    3-Day Weekend $56M, 4-Day Holiday $70M

    2. Marvel’s The Avengers 3D (Disney) Week 4 [3,918 Theaters] PG13

    Friday $9.7M, Saturda $14.6M

    3-Day Weekend $38M, 4-Day Holiday $48.5M, Cume $525.2M

    3. Battleship (Universal) Week 2 [3,702 Theaters] PG13

    Friday $3.0M (-65%), Saturday $4.0M

    3-Day Weekend $10.7M, 4-Day Holiday $13.3M, Cume $46.8M

    4. The Dictator (Paramount) Week 2 [3,014 Theaters] R

    Friday $2.7M (-51%), Saturday $3.3M

    3-Day Weekend $9.2M, 4-Day Holiday $11.5M, Cume $43.3M

    5. Dark Shadows 3D (Warner Bros) Week 3 [3,404 Theaters] PG13

    Friday $2.0M, Saturday $2.7M

    3-Day Weekend $7.4M, 4-Day Holiday $9.4M, Cume $64.9M

    6. Chernobyl Diaries (Alcon/Warner Bros) NEW [2,433

    Theaters] R

    Friday $3.5M, Saturday $2.3M

    3-Day Weekend $7.9M, 4-Day Holiday $9.2M

    7. What To Expect When You’re Expecting (Lionsgate) Week 2 [3,021

    Theaters] PG13

    Friday $2.2M (-42%), Saturday $2.6M

    3-Day Weekend $7.0M, 4-Day Holiday $8.7M, Cume $23.7M

    8. Best Exotic Marigold Hotel (Fox Searchlight) Week 4 [1,233

    Theaters] PG13

    Friday $1.5M, Saturday $2.5M

    3-Day Weekend $6.3M, 4-Day Holiday $8.0M, Cume $18.2M

    9. The Hunger Games (Lionsgate) Week 10 [1,421 Theaters] PG13

    Friday $565K, Saturday $900K

    3-Day Weekend $2.3M, 4-Day Holiday $3.0M, Cume $396.0M

    10. Think Like A Man (Screen Gems/Sony) Week 6 [786 Theaters] PG13

    Friday $390K, Saturday $550K

    3-Day Weekend $1.4M, 4-Day Holiday $1.8M, Cume $88.7M

  2. Holy crap! Now that was an awesome season finale. :blink:

    This show just has so many twists and turns, yet it doesn't get silly or predictable. It's so nice to be surprised by a show, that doesn't happen very often these days.

    Still digesting what happened, I might have to watch this again when it re-airs in a couple of hours.

  3. I'd settle for roughly $245.5 mil, just enough to put the franchise total over 1 billionAP- Worldwide: $235,483,004AP2- Worldwide: $287,553,595AW- Worldwide: $231,449,203AR- Worldwide: $200,566,000 (And counting)Total so far - $955,051,802The franchise is a model of consistency.

  4. When you say TDKR got a much bigger reaction, please tell me this isn't one of those deals where people say "The audience got all quiet when TDKR came on like they should" meaning, just because an audience is silent during a trailer doesn't mean it's receiving any better reaction than it did before.. I think people are lying about this and are saying this just to make sure that interest in BATMAN 3 isn't waning in favor of another movie coming along and beating it, meaning TA.. I've seen TA 3 times now and every time they show TDKR, it doesn't exactly light up the audience in cheers and whatnot andn that's not lying either.. It's true..

    When you have a crowd of 410 people the reaction isn't going to be "silence". For Battleship I heard a few positive comments, but they were clearly coming from younger guys. For Batman it was more like people saying "I'll be seeing this", they didn't start cheering or give a spontaneous standing ovation. The comments seemed to come from all around me and loud enough to hear so I'd say that interest was high. Then again, it's Batman so it could easily be them reacting to just that rather than that specific trailer.
    • Like 1
  5. I saw The Avengers again on Friday at 7:40 and Dark Shadows today at noon.Avengers- 7:40 showing in Ultra AVX 3D (used my Scene points so it was free, otherwise ticket price is $17.99)- SOLD OUTtrailersBattleship- Some reaction from some of the younger guys. I'm guessing they are Transformers core audience.TDKR- Much bigger reaction across the boardFrankenweenie- I liked it, there was some reaction.The movie- Crowd reaction was overwhelmingly positive, again. Lots of laughs during the movie. I wonder what % were repeat viewers as more than half the crowd stayed until the 2nd bonus scene played, probably less than 20% stayed that long on opening night.Dark Shadows- Noon showing, maybe 20% fullTrailers (only caught the last 2)Paranorman- Not bad, heard a little chatter.Gangster Squad- I was surprised to see this one, it looks even better on the big screen. Even with such a small crowd I could hear some comments. Definite interest.The movie- It wasn't "bad", but there was very little especially good about it either. It was pretty quiet both during the movie and just after it ended. I guess the best description of the crowds reaction would be "muted"

    • Like 1
  6. Heading out to see TA shortly, but first I decided to check the sell outs from the 2 closest theaters again. They both have it on 4 screens, 3 3D and 1 2D each, for a total of 16 showings.Metropolis has sold out 13 of the 16 shows, one of the remaining shows has reserved seating and it shows just 7 seats left out of 404.Scotiabank has sold out 14 of 16 shows, just the 10:30 pm show isn't sold out, and the 11:00 pm Ultra AVX showing left, and the 11:00 show has just 30 seats left out of 410.When I checked these theaters yesterday they had sold out just 4 showings combined. Weird that the sales are so last minute, for THG these same theaters had sold out virtually every showing for the entire weekend well in advance.

  7. You never know. THG could be the energiser bunny that just keeps on quietly chalking up steady money through the whole summer, as long as Liongsgate doesn't pull it out of the theatres too quickly. :)

    No way Lionsgate pulls it early, this is by far the biggest movie they ever got their hands on, if anything they will leave it in to milk every dollar they can out of it and get its gross as high as possible.
  8. Here's how I see THG playing out the rest of the week.2.6m Wed. (-21%)2.6m Thurs. (Flat)6.5m Friday (+150%)9.2m Saturday (+42%)5.8m Sunday (-38%)20.5m weekend. 335.7m total by Sunday.

    Your weekend numbers actually add up to 21.5 mil, right in the middle of my 21-22 mil range prediction.
  9. Including major ones to i hope

    Actually almost all the major markets have yet to open, only Russia and Australia could be considered major markets of those that it opened in this week. UK, Germany, Spain, Italy, Brazil, Mexico, Japan and so on, as well as a ton of smaller markets. If it performs as well in those markets as it did in Russian and Australia I could see 150-200 mil overseas.
  10. The second THG was better than the first book.

    I read all 3 books in 6 days and I thought THG and Catching Fire were pretty much equal. Mockingjay was good but felt a bit jumbled and rushed. Catching Fire should film quite well but mockingjay is going to need some creative license to make it make sense. I could easily see it split into 2 movies to help flesh it out and get the pacing to work.
  11. Are Dakota Fanning or Emma Stone considered new? I don't think so.

    That's why I broke them down by ages. Even youngsters like Abigail Breslin and Saoirse Ronan are actually old pros with years of experience behind them already, as well as an Oscar nom . Someone like Elizabeth Olson who is starting late at 23 is actually new.
  12. So that means that increases are muted. Titanics is less than 100% and THG is exactly 100%. Not great jumps for either film and that is a shitty number form American Reunion

    I think that 100% jump for THG is good, especially since it jumped almost 40% on Thursday first.Titanic on the other hand had less than a 100% increase from a Thursday that dropped 17%
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