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Simionski

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  1. Big thanks to @JJ-8 for running this game. It is much appreciated. And also congrats to @grey ghost for winning it this year.
  2. Part A: 1. Will Death Wish Open to more than $15M? YES 2. Will Death Wish Open to more than $18M? NO 3. Will Red Sparrow make more than $15M? YES 4. Will Red Sparrow make more than $18M? NO 5. Will Red Sparrow open at number 2? YES 6. Will Black Panther make more than $65M? NO 7. Will Game Night make more than $10M? YES 8. Will Peter Rabbit stay above Annihilation? YES 9. Will Fifty Shades drop more than 62%? NO 10. Will 15:17 stay above Every Day? NO 11. Will Jumanji fall more than 30%? YES 12. Will Game Night have a PTA above $2,350? YES 13. Will Three BIllboards finish above the Post AND Shape of Water? YES 14. Will Suicide Squad repeat at the Oscars because it is just that great? NO 15. Will we ever survive until summer? YES Bonus: 9/15 5000 10/15 8000 11/15 12,000 12/15 16,000 13/15 20,000 14/15 24,000 15/15 30,000 Part B: The top 3 predictions will score points as follows: Closest: Within 1% - 15,000, Within 2,5% - 12000, Within 5% 9,000, Within 10% - 6000 Outside 10% - 3000 points 2nd Closest: Within 1% - 12,000, Within 2,5% - 10000, Within 5% 7,000, Within 10% - 4000 Outside 10% - 2000 points 3rd Closest: Within 1% - 10,000, Within 2,5% - 8000, Within 5% 5,000, Within 10% - 2000 Outside 10% - 1000 points 1. What will Red Sparrow make for its 3 day? $17.424M 2. What will Fifty Shades' change be? -52.0% 3. What will Annihilation's PTA be for the Weekend? $3 195 Part C: There will be 6 films to place and points are expanded because traditionally people haven't scored well here: 2. Red Sparrow 5. Peter Rabbit 7. Jumanji 9. Greatest Showman 11. 15:17 to Paris 12. Three Billboards Because I realised bonuses are stupid... 1/6 4,000 2/6 10,000 3/6 18,000 4/6 25,000 5/6 36,000 6/6 - 50,000
  3. Part A: 1. Will Annihilation Open to more than $12M? YES 2. Will Annihilation Open to more than $15M? NO 3. Will Game Night make more than $12M? YES 4. Will Game Night make more than $15M? YES 5. Will Game Night open at number 2? YES 6. Will Black Panther make more than $85M? YES 7. Will Peter Rabbit make more than $10M? YES 8. Will The Cured have a PTA above $9,000? YES 9. Will Every Day make more than $4M? NO 10. Will 15:17 stay above Greatest Showman? YES 11. Will 50 Shades fall more than 64%? NO 12. Will Jumanji have a PTA above $2,000? YES 13. Will Maze Runner stay above The Post? NO 14. Will Winchester drop more than 65%? YES 15. Will Moral Kombat lose its crown as better Annihilation film this weekend? YES Bonus: 9/15 5000 10/15 8000 11/15 12,000 12/15 16,000 13/15 20,000 14/15 24,000 15/15 30,000 Part B: The top 3 predictions will score points as follows: Closest: Within 1% - 15,000, Within 2,5% - 12000, Within 5% 9,000, Within 10% - 6000 Outside 10% - 3000 points 2nd Closest: Within 1% - 12,000, Within 2,5% - 10000, Within 5% 7,000, Within 10% - 4000 Outside 10% - 2000 points 3rd Closest: Within 1% - 10,000, Within 2,5% - 8000, Within 5% 5,000, Within 10% - 2000 Outside 10% - 1000 points 1. What will Game Night make for its 3 day? $20.096M 2. What will Black Panther's change be? -50.2% 3. What will Greatest Showman's PTA be for the Weekend? $2 235 Part C: There will be 6 films to place and points are expanded because traditionally people haven't scored well here: 2. Game Night 4. Annihilation 6. Jumanji 7. 15:17 to Paris 10. Early Man 12. The Shape of Water Because I realised bonuses are stupid... 1/6 4,000 2/6 10,000 3/6 18,000 4/6 25,000 5/6 36,000 6/6 - 50,000
  4. Game Night - 15% (should be 50% of budget now?)
  5. Game Night – $32M Annihilation - $25M Red Sparrow - $24M Early Man - $17M Death Wish - $9M Samson - $9M Every Day - $8M
  6. Part A: 1. Will Black Panther Open to more than $125M? YES 2. Will Black Panther Open to more than $175M? YES 3. Will Black Panther make more than $150M? YES 4. Will Black Panther's biggest single day make more than the 2nd-5th placed films' combined 3 day totals? YES 5. Will Black Panther make more than 38% of its gross on Friday? YES 6. Will Early Man make more than $4M? YES 7. Will Early Man make more than $6M? YES 8. Will Samson make more than $4M? NO 9. Will Samson make more than $6M? NO 10. Will Samson make more than Early Man on Sunday? NO 11. Will 50 Shades fall more than 64%? NO 12. Will Jumanji have a smaller percentage drop than Greatest Showman? NO 13. Will Winchester stay above The Post? YES 14. WIll Hostiles stay above 12 strong? NO 15. Will Matt Damon show up to protect Wakanda from dragons? NO Bonus: 9/15 5000 10/15 8000 11/15 12,000 12/15 16,000 13/15 20,000 14/15 24,000 15/15 30,000 Part B: The top 3 predictions will score points as follows: Closest: Within 1% - 15,000, Within 2,5% - 12000, Within 5% 9,000, Within 10% - 6000 Outside 10% - 3000 points 2nd Closest: Within 1% - 12,000, Within 2,5% - 10000, Within 5% 7,000, Within 10% - 4000 Outside 10% - 2000 points 3rd Closest: Within 1% - 10,000, Within 2,5% - 8000, Within 5% 5,000, Within 10% - 2000 Outside 10% - 1000 points 1. What will Black Panther make for its 3 day? $205.922M 2. What will Peter Rabbit's change be? -30.6% 3. What will Shape of Water's PTA be for the Weekend? $2 001 Part C: There will be 6 films to place and points are expanded because traditionally people haven't scored well here: 4. Jumanji 5. Early Man 7. Greatest Showman 9. Maze Runner 3 11. La Boda de Valentina 12. Shape of Water Because I realised bonuses are stupid... 1/6 4,000 2/6 10,000 3/6 18,000 4/6 25,000 5/6 36,000 6/6 - 50,000
  7. Part A: 1. Will 50 Shades Open to more than $35M? YES 2. Will 50 Shades Open to more than $50M? NO 3. Will 50 Shades make more than $42.5M? NO 4. Will Peter Rabbit make more than $14M? YES 5. Will Peter Rabbit make more than $19M? YES 6. Will 15:17 to Paris make more than $12M? NO 7. Will 15:17 to Paris make more than $16M? NO 8. Will Fifty Shades make more than the other two main releases combined? YES 9. Will Maze Runner stay within $1M of Jumanji? NO 10. Will Winchester stay above Greatest Showman? NO 11. Will Hostiles stay in the top 8? NO 12. Will the Female Brain have a PTA above $12,000? YES 13. Will 12 Strong have a PTA above $1,400? NO 14. WIll Shape of Water cross $50M? YES 15. Will watching Peter Rabbit turn out to be more masochistic than anything shown in 50 Shades? PROBABLY Bonus: 9/15 5000 10/15 8000 11/15 12,000 12/15 16,000 13/15 20,000 14/15 24,000 15/15 30,000 Part B: The top 3 predictions will score points as follows: Closest: Within 1% - 15,000, Within 2,5% - 12000, Within 5% 9,000, Within 10% - 6000 Outside 10% - 3000 points 2nd Closest: Within 1% - 12,000, Within 2,5% - 10000, Within 5% 7,000, Within 10% - 4000 Outside 10% - 2000 points 3rd Closest: Within 1% - 10,000, Within 2,5% - 8000, Within 5% 5,000, Within 10% - 2000 Outside 10% - 1000 points 1. What will 50 Shades make for its 3 day? $37.250M 2. What will Maze Runner's change be? -42.1% 3. What will The Winchester's PTA be for the Weekend? $1 934 Part C: There will be 6 films to place and points are expanded because traditionally people haven't scored well here: 3. 15:17 to Paris 5. Greatest Showman 6. Maze Runner 3 8. Shape of Water 10. Hostiles 12. 12 Strong Because I realised bonuses are stupid... 1/6 4,000 2/6 10,000 3/6 18,000 4/6 25,000 5/6 36,000 6/6 - 50,000
  8. Fifty Shades - 100% Peter Rabbit - 75% (or as much as I can if my calculations are wrong) I believe both should be 50% off since there is a week till the release. Also I should have the money if the new rule that in February we get one million per every 50 million gained in 2017 is valid.
  9. Part A: 1. Will Winchester Open to more than $9M? NO 2. Will Winchester Open to more than $12M? NO 3. Will Maze Runner make more than $11M? NO 4. Will Maze Runner make more than $14M? NO 5. Will Maze Runner stay in 1st place? NO 6. Will Jumanji drop more than 22%? YES 7. Will Hostiles stay above the Post? YES 8. Will Greatest Showman finally drop below its OW total? YES 9. Will 12 Strong stay above Den of Thieves? NO 10. Will Paadmavaat stay in the top 10? NO 11. Will Star Wars' PTA stay above $2000? NO 12. Will Paddington increase more that 215% on Friday? YES 13. Will Shape of Water increase more than 150% on Saturday? NO 14. Will the top 2 films make more than $25M? NO 15. In a shock twist, will Winchester turn out to be a Cloverfield spinoff? NO Bonus: 9/15 5000 10/15 8000 11/15 12,000 12/15 16,000 13/15 20,000 14/15 24,000 15/15 30,000 Part B: The top 3 predictions will score points as follows: Closest: Within 1% - 15,000, Within 2,5% - 12000, Within 5% 9,000, Within 10% - 6000 Outside 10% - 3000 points 2nd Closest: Within 1% - 12,000, Within 2,5% - 10000, Within 5% 7,000, Within 10% - 4000 Outside 10% - 2000 points 3rd Closest: Within 1% - 10,000, Within 2,5% - 8000, Within 5% 5,000, Within 10% - 2000 Outside 10% - 1000 points 1. What will Winchester make for its 3 day? $8.514M 2. What will Jumanji's change be? -33.7% 3. What will Paddinton's PTA be for the Weekend? $1 453 Part C: There will be 6 films to place and points are expanded because traditionally people haven't scored well here: 1. Jumanji 3. Winchester 4. Greatest Showman 6. The Post 9. 12 Strong 11. I, Tonya Because I realised bonuses are stupid... 1/6 4,000 2/6 10,000 3/6 18,000 4/6 25,000 5/6 36,000 6/6 - 50,000
  10. Part A: 1. Will Maze Runner Open to more than $20M? YES 2. Will Maze Runner Open to more than $25M? NO 3. Will Hostiles make more than $4M? YES 4. Will Hostiles make more than $6.5M? YES 5. Will Maze Runner at least double the weekend gross of 2nd place? NO 6. Will Jumanji make more than $12M? YES 7. Will 12 Strong Stay ahead of Den of Thieves? YES 8. Will Greatest Showman drop a dizzying 22.5% or more this weekend? NO 9. Will Paddington have one of the two best percentage drops in the top 12 (excluding increases)? NO 10. Will The Commuter have a PTA above $1,800? NO 11. Will Forever My Girl stay above Phantom Thread? NO 12. Will Star Wars increase 100% on any day of the weekend? NO 13. Will The Post increase more than 65% on Saturday? NO 14. Will The Post stay in the top 6? YES 15. Will the Cure for Death turn out to be Hugh Jackman because Greatest Showman is Life? YES Bonus: 9/15 5000 10/15 8000 11/15 12,000 12/15 16,000 13/15 20,000 14/15 24,000 15/15 30,000 Part B: The top 3 predictions will score points as follows: Closest: Within 1% - 15,000, Within 2,5% - 12000, Within 5% 9,000, Within 10% - 6000 Outside 10% - 3000 points 2nd Closest: Within 1% - 12,000, Within 2,5% - 10000, Within 5% 7,000, Within 10% - 4000 Outside 10% - 2000 points 3rd Closest: Within 1% - 10,000, Within 2,5% - 8000, Within 5% 5,000, Within 10% - 2000 Outside 10% - 1000 points 1. What will Maze Runner make for its 3 day? $22.256M 2. What will Greatest Showman's Percentage change be? -17.8% 3. What will Insidious' PTA be for the Weekend? $1,287 Part C: There will be 6 films to place and points are expanded because traditionally people haven't scored well here: 2. Jumanji 4. The Post 6. 12 Strong 7. Den of Thieves 9. Paddington 2 12. Star Wars Because I realised bonuses are stupid... 1/6 4,000 2/6 10,000 3/6 18,000 4/6 25,000 5/6 36,000 6/6 - 50,000
  11. 1. Jumanji (5.2) vs Guardians of the Galaxy 2 (1.4) 10,000 2. Greatest Showman (2.4) vs War For The Planet of the Apes (1.7) 10,000 3. Black Panther (1.3) vs Justice League (4.1) 10,000 4. Maze Runner (1.4) vs Insidious Last Key (3.1) 10,000 5. 12 Strong (2.2) vs Den of Thieves (1.8) 10,000 6. Peter Rabbit (1.9) vs Paddington 2 (4.8) 10,000
  12. Part A: 1. Will 12 Strong Open to more than $12M? YES 2. Will 12 Strong Open to more than $15M? NO 3. Will Den of Thieves Open to more than $5M? YES 4. Will Den of Thieves Open to more than $7M? NO 5. Will Phantom Thread Expand to more than $3.25M? YES 6. Will Jumanji stay at number 1? YES 7. Will The Post stay at number 2? YES 8. Will The Commuter stay above Greatest Showman? NO 9. Will Insidioua drop more than 57%? YES 10. Will Star Wars have a PTA above $2,750? NO 11. Will Jumanji's Total overtake Thor Ragnarok's by the end of Saturday? YES 12. Will Molly's Game stay above Coco? YES 13. Will Greatest Showman have a weekend higher than its OW total? YES 14. Will Paddington increase from its 3 Day weekend position this weekend (Finish top 6)? YES 15. Will Daniel Day Lewis relent and play Daniel Day Lewis one last time in Deadpool 2? NO Bonus: 9/15 5000 10/15 8000 11/15 12,000 12/15 16,000 13/15 20,000 14/15 24,000 15/15 30,000 Part B: The top 3 predictions will score points as follows: Closest: Within 1% - 15,000, Within 2,5% - 12000, Within 5% 9,000, Within 10% - 6000 Outside 10% - 3000 points 2nd Closest: Within 1% - 12,000, Within 2,5% - 10000, Within 5% 7,000, Within 10% - 4000 Outside 10% - 2000 points 3rd Closest: Within 1% - 10,000, Within 2,5% - 8000, Within 5% 5,000, Within 10% - 2000 Outside 10% - 1000 points 1. What will Forever My Girl make for its 3 day? $1.75M 2. What will Paddington's Percentage change be? -19.2% 3. What will Phantom Thread PTA be for the Weekend? $3 702 Part C: There will be 6 films to place and points are expanded because traditionally people haven't scored well here: 1. Jumanji 2. The Post 4. Greatest Showman 7. Star Wars 9. Den of Thieves 11. I, Tonya Because I realised bonuses are stupid... 1/6 4,000 2/6 10,000 3/6 18,000 4/6 25,000 5/6 36,000 6/6 - 50,000
  13. Black Panther - as much as I can buy at the moment (I think it's 70 or 75%)
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