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Posts posted by Chad Stevens
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6 minutes ago, redfirebird2008 said:
I think realistic target is 75% of Rogue's remaining gross, so that would be $22.7 million left and a total of $617.6 million.
sounds even better, and thanks...
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2 minutes ago, EmmaPeel said:
TLJ is just as shallow as TFA, just more pretentious. The notion that it's so deep that people who don't like didn't get it is absurd.
It's a bad thing because if it hadn't been so mediocre and poorly received it would be well over $700M by now.
Hence its FLOP status
Its not a FLOP like Waterworld, John Cater and Gigli, however, it will be up there will how fast it crashed and burned after the 220 opening. It will be on the lists of blockbuster flops though on many websites in the future
So, in a sense its a FLOP. Honestly, I enjoyed the film but it was a 'Meh" to me as far as the series goes
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2 minutes ago, redfirebird2008 said:
Here are the percentages I'm tracking.
4-day: 87% of Rogue = $26.34m remaining plus $594.9m = $621.24m
Monday: 83% of Rogue = $25.13m remaining plus $594.9m = $620.03m
100% of Rogue's remaining gross is $30.28m plus $594.9m = $625.18m
thanks for the update.... looking good for TA
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2 minutes ago, a2knet said:
Putting it's less than optimal legs aside, TLJ won't need the dollar bump or any other bump to get to 600. It will get there easily next/6th weekend and cross 610 shortly so wouldn't say it's crawling. Will go over 600 by a far bigger margin than BATB went over 500.
It has no chance to beat TA now! The Avengers are safe
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7 minutes ago, redfirebird2008 said:
So Monday at $2.77m is about 83% of Rogue One's $3.34m Monday. The $3.2m projection yesterday was more like 96%.
Star Wars RIGHT NOW!
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3 minutes ago, a2knet said:
TLJ
-34% on Mon vs -25% estimates.
2018/01/12 7 $2,670,813 +59% 3,090 $864 $582,945,397 29 2018/01/13 - $4,990,298 +87% 3,090 $1,615 $587,935,695 30 2018/01/14 - $4,193,370 -16% 3,090 $1,357 $592,129,065 31 2018/01/15 - $2,773,240 -34% 3,090 $897 $594,902,305 32 going down in flames
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2 minutes ago, KP1025 said:
You're taking it too personally. This is a box office forum and comparing numbers objectively is what we do. Note nobody in this thread said anything about TLJ having a bad performance (you interjected that yourself). Corpse has been doing these type of analyses for many years, so it's hardly some kind of unique vendetta against TLJ you seem to believe here.
just stating that their focus is up against TFA
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5 minutes ago, KP1025 said:
Rogue One opened far lower than TLJ in Japan, so it's not the same thing at all. It's not my take on it either. This is straight from Corpse's analysis.
This whole comparing TFA to TLJ crap has to stop. There was no Star Wars film for 12 years, people were excited.
Thanks about Avatar 2 - The film will have the same effect at the box-office as TFA. Its going to hit 2 billion easy.
Come back when Avatar 3 is released and we'll compare its drop from Avatar 2 together.
Apples and Oranges friend
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3 hours ago, KP1025 said:
looking like about a 6.2x multiplier for TLJ, which is very average blockbuster legs by Japan standards.
Of course your going to try and make it sound bad. Reality is that it about to hit 60 million and should close at 62-65 million. TFA did 105 million
Very, very good........ think what you want
Rogue One did
$39,164,663 -
3 hours ago, MovieMan89 said:
The unlimited power of WOM.
I know, I have friends who haven't seen it saying "they've heard it sucked"
It is the power of WOM
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11 minutes ago, IronJimbo said:
Isn't that less than TA?
A Star Wars film that does worse than TA has to be considered a major flop
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12 hours ago, JonathanLB said:
Or - I know it’s crazy - but it could be because most (like 99% of) people have zero interest in seeing a gay movie with pretentious dialogue and absolutely no interest at all for almost anyone. The movie just sucked. Even if it wasn’t gay, it would just be a bad Nicholas Sparks novel made into a movie, that’s how it felt. It’s not like there’s any story to propel the film. It was absolutely godawful, one of the most unwatchable movies I can imagine. They won’t convince anyone outside of a major metro area to see that and even then good luck!
"This comment is totally inappropriate and offensive"
Is there a MOD here?
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I seen The Post, luckily I had bought tickets early because all the afternoon and early evening shows were sold out. The largest auditorium was packed with people that clapped, cheered, laughed and some even did a standing ovation at the end. People were walking out of the theater said "brilliant, amazing, very good, and one said "relevant to the times". After, I peaked in the smallest auditorium and all of two people were watching Star Wars: The Last Jedi.
Also, I just wanted to say that the film deserves multiple awards.
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11 hours ago, Valonqar said:
Lets hope. I want a very comfortable win for DH2 so that Disney can't fudge.
you sure are obsessed with its failure. You seem to can't get enough!
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Can anyone confirm the rumor that Star Wars The Last Jedi will drop a record 1700 cinemas this week? This drop would be the largest drop for a week since a film titled John Carter graced the big screens.
I know the cinema that my son works AMC Mission Valley in San Diego, got around the deal that @Disney made regarding screens. This week they moved Jumanji to the largest screens and TLJ to the smallest screens. Apparently, the deal was screens and not auditorium size.
Wondering if anyone has some concrete evidence in the 1700.
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10 minutes ago, Johnny Tran said:
Why are some people still saying that the WOM on TLJ isn't mixed? What world are you living in? It's obviously mixed. It would certainly have showed better legs and wouldn't be getting killed by Jumanji. But credit to Jumanji also. Right movie and right time.
*rolls eyes* who cares???
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Just now, Elessar said:
Some of the writers are pretty awful, true, but i like its founder Steven Weintraub. Always excited about movies and respectful to the creators, with a positive attitude. Don't know why he's allowing such writers on his site...
Steve is a great guy
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Just now, Brainbug said:
Trust me, im very neutral on how different websites report on box office and movies, but Collider is just shit. They literally dont care about anything outside big franchises, mainly SW and the MCU. The YT channel is vastly better in comparison.
Well, I personally know some of the great people that work at Collider. I'm not afraid to stand up for my fellow journalists. Good people's IMHO.
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19 minutes ago, DAJK said:
LMAO what the fuck collider. Gotta really nail in the fact that all you care about is marvel and Star Wars?
Seriously, one website actually says something good about Marvel and The Last Jedi and you call them crap? Whataver, this is why I'm a reader, going back to reading comments.
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So Star Wars: The Last Jedi, to some is the biggest blockbuster flop of the ages on this website, will finish (Drum Roll, Please…)
#5 All-time Domestic
and
#8 WW
Not to bad for a 9th film is series.
WAIT - cue the adjusted for inflation folks, because I don't want to have to read 20 pages about it.
#33 All-time • All Time Adjusted for Ticket Price Inflation Domestic
and somewhere around
#67 All-time • All Time Adjusted for Ticket Price Inflation WW
Not sure about the overseas number, but its a good guess.
Anyhow, far from the FLOP people love to make it here
Thanks for playing!!
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All day long it's about the failure "The Last Jedi" is, and how wonderful "Jumanji" and just about every other film is.
Jumanji
Total Lifetime GrossesDomestic: $219,172,666 58.2% + Foreign: $157,514,016 41.8% = Worldwide:
$376,686,682 The Last Jedi
Total Lifetime GrossesDomestic: $555,546,602 49.2% + Foreign: $573,500,000 50.8% = Worldwide: $1,129,046,602 Flop or no flop, its running about 420 million OS more and 330 DOM more
750 Million PLUS, lol
Don't give me the "but it's Star Wars!" it SHOULD
nope, you lose that argument when you called it a flop
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Digging Deeper!
I really didn't want to post because I'm a reader, however, I did find an actual FORBES article regarding the 800 million.
I guess we should be fair, I'm sure TLJ's numbers would be similar.
I got the link from here and dug further...... https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Star_Wars:_The_Last_Jedi#cite_note-97
Box office
As of January 4, 2018, Star Wars: The Last Jedi has grossed $549 million in the United States and Canada, and $573.5 million in other territories, for a worldwide total of $1.122 billion.[6] It had a worldwide opening of $450.8 million, the fifth-biggest of all time, including $40.6 million that was attributed to IMAX screenings, the second biggest for IMAX.[95][96] It was estimated that the film would needed to have grossed $800 million worldwide to break even.[97]
Ofcourse, LOL, its Wikipedia break even.[97]
However, looking further, they got the info from a FORBES article. FORBES is reputable.
But keep in mind, "underperformance" at $1.3-1.399 billion wouldn't mean it's a "financial failure," since break-even point for this movie is somewhere around $800 million (budget plus global marketing etc being in the vicinity of $400 million, and the studio getting roughly half of the box office receipts, to oversimplify a bit). Underperforming just means it plays lower than expected and lower than it probably should have and could have. I don't expect that to happen at all, mind you, I'm just noting for the record where that line sits and why it doesn't mean "failure."
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I don't post here much because I'm mostly a page reader, however, why is it that I C so much hate for the new Star Wars film here? It's like people are excited to see a poor box office. Finishing #5 all-time DOM is not half bad.
I just don't get it. Anyhow, thanks to the people who post the numbers and contribute interesting topics, because many (like myself) actually read them.
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Weekend Thread | 3-day estimates (per BOM): J 27M, TP 18.6M, TC 13.45M, I:TLK 12.14M, TGS 11.8M, TLJ 11.28M, P2 10.62M, PM 10M
in Numbers and Data
Posted
lol