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Posts posted by Chad Stevens
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19 minutes ago, Fullbuster said:
Everyone know that Infinity War will beat TLJ
Will it? 615 Million is pretty darn hard.
Are you referring to WW? If so, yes, it will beat SW TLJ WW
DOM is another story
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18 minutes ago, Valonqar said:
No, just that predictions here were that it would make between 700-750M OS and it will make around 710-720M which is in line with expectations. No surprises either + or -.
@peludo I think that Fisher Effect didn't happen because a year passed and her role was small and not that significant all things considered, unlike Walker/Ledger. Also, I guess that young actors dying attract more sentiment. There may have been some effect opening weekend but not beyond.
ya, I didn't hear any BUZZ about Fisher at all during its run.
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1 hour ago, Valonqar said:
TLJ did totally expected OS. It bombed in China as expected. It lost audience in other new markets that were only briefly attracted by TFA hype and then reverted to their old habit of ignoring this franchise. It retained interest in old markets. The only surprise is its rather underwhelming domestic hold. But OS, it did as people projected which is 700-750M.
TFA's OS run was an anomaly that won't be repeated. IX should make about as much as TLJ OS give or take due to exchange rates.
I agree! TLJ should have done 700 or more.
Are you saying it should've looked something like 700/750?
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TFA was an EVENT
No one had seen Star Wars for 12 years.
Avatar 2 will be an EVENT
No one has seen AVATAR for 10 years
I believe Avatar 3 will be like TLJ as far as dropping unless its Jumanji like with fan love
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5 minutes ago, FantasticBeasts said:
regarding TLJ failing to pass DH2)
Intresting thought process!
Was trying to be positive. In all fairness though, the first two tweets are correct. It will not pass TA and HP8 is safe as well.
I didn't want TLJ to fail if that is what your trying to get at. I'm just noting the less than stellar BO run. However, 1.3 Billion is NOT BAD but not what was expected. I think that's where the whole failure thing in the media and some fans come from.
All good friend
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59 minutes ago, MaxAggressor said:
1.3 Billion looks a lot better....
It's not great but not bad
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2 minutes ago, Barnack said:
Box office between their day 25 and 41 (since RO started to make more every day)
Rogue One: 35.214m
TLJ: 31.539
Or TLJ made 89.5% of Rogue One past day 25.
Keeping that pace (will probably not), would end up at 621.8m domestic for a 2.826 multiplier.
not with the theater drop it isn't.
R1 had 2046 at the same date
TLJ has 1700 at the same date
That's huge. The fact is theaters don't want Star Wars
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Great hold for Jumanji and the rest of the top 10 besides TLJ.
The Last Jedi ='s
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3 hours ago, MaxAggressor said:
Falling farther and farther behind R1 daily. FLOP!
It dropped to 1700 theaters also 300 more than R1 at the same time.
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1 minute ago, WrathOfHan said:
Jumanji is on track for a 15-16M weekend. Maze Runner will barely eek out a win.
A Spectacular Run at the Box Office for Jumanji
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The Last Jedi $676,890
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1 hour ago, WrathOfHan said:
JESUS @ that 77% drop for Jumanji
Ummm? That's actually a fantastic hold in comparison to other family films. Also, TLJ once again dropped lower than RO and is sinking fast. In fact word is that even the dollar theaters don't want it. WOW!
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9 minutes ago, MCKillswitch123 said:
How the bloody fuck did everything drop so bad from estimates to actuals?
TLJ didn't though, which is funny
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1 hour ago, JonathanLB said:
T'm not in the liberal crowd and I enjoyed The Post a lot, I thought it was a great movie. But it is a good point that not everyone is in the mood for "something important," and that's kind of the issue. There are a lot of great movies that are artistic and have a message and should be appreciated, but it's a lot easier to say that from a place of comfort where my daily schedule is basically pursuing whatever the fuck I want to do and being creative and just enjoying life. If I worked 8 hours at retail / fast food / soul-crushing corporate job every day, then the last thing I'd want to do is come home and hit up the theater to see some serious movie. No thanks. I'd rather see something funny like Jumanji or something with a lot of explosions, something enjoyable.
I'm going through lately and watching some "classic films" I missed out on and the same is true of most of them. When I watch them, I feel like I'm doing work, like I'm doing homework, and it's an educational experience that I appreciate as a filmmaker and I'm glad to be seeing these movies, but it's very rarely what I'd call "fun" to be honest. Even some of my favorite classics that I think are incredible movies, like Apocalypse Now, are not really that much fun to watch. I still think they're unquestionably great movies, because movies are an art form. But there are times I want to take a break from the Oscar nominees and "acclaimed movies" of the past and just pop in my favorite Arnold action movie or some old Jackie Chan movie and zone out and have fun.
There are very few movies I think that can make you think a bit and also be a ton of fun. Ones that come to mind would be like Minority Report, Blade Runner, Inception, The Matrix, the Star Wars movies, maybe Fight Club (though I still don't watch it that often), etc. Otherwise, you get to choose between fun (Jumanji) and intelligent (The Post), and even if YOU are very intelligent, that doesn't always mean you're going to be in the mood for something serious.
The irony is you see critics refer to fun movies as "disposable" entertainment, but I'd actually argue the opposite. Schindler's List is disposable -- see it once, never want to see it again. I have no interest in watching Good Night and Good Luck a second time, though I think it's a really good movie everyone should see once. It's disposable. It has no value beyond that first viewing to me, at all. Whereas fun movies are not disposable, I can keep watching them every year and derive the same enjoyment and fun out of them.
I'm lean Liberal, however, I come here to escape Trump, politics and all that jazz. Movie's are my escape....
SpoilerFor the record, I hate Trump. Anyone that is for the ethical advancement of ONLY white people should not be President of the United States, IMHO
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Who really knows numbers around here?
Can anyone tell me if Jumanji has a shot at passing TLJ OS?
What would have to happen and is it possible?
Thanks
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Why didn't the 2018 Razzies include Star Wars The Last Jedi?
Did it not qualify? Anyone know?
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4 minutes ago, hw64 said:
$9.9m weekend, including about $0.9m in China, so $9m overseas minus China for the weekend.
$17m week, including about $1.8m in China, so $15.2m overseas minus China for the week.
basically, terrible.. crawling to a 1.32 billion finish
HP8 is safe
so is TA for DOM
It will finish where its at all-time
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37 minutes ago, Valonqar said:
So how much it made this weekend?
Internationally, this week total - 17 million (not good for an entire week OS)
It will cross 700 million OS though, that's gonna happen now
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2 hours ago, The Gotham Bank said:
Ahh, yes, give me that HP8 win.
not a chance....
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4DX only in Japan
Light and Dark Versions
I wish we would catch up here with the theatrical experience. We only get minimum 4D at theme parks......
Imagine this stuff..
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5 minutes ago, IronJimbo said:
$1.3B would be beyond terrible and is entering the realms of impossibility.
Yes we are.
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3 minutes ago, MovieMan89 said:
1.5b for Avatar 2 would be a flop considering China. It's doing 500m at the absolute worst there, with 700+ being likely. Less than $1b from the rest of the world would be horrendous considering what a juggernaut the first was in every OS market. Basically requires it to do no more than 300 DOM and then have an equally disappointing drop off in most every other market.
so could we be looking at the first 3 billion dollar film WW?
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22 minutes ago, Valonqar said:
riiiight. That would be 1.4b drop in raw numbers.
Avatar is going to do 2 billion minimum
Its the fact that fans have waited for the sequel for nearly 12 years. The same amount of time that they waited for TFA.
Its going to be a success
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3 minutes ago, junkshop36 said:
So my mother finally saw TLJ. This is what my stepfather text me:
“Your mom says BEST SW EVER!!
Mom knows best. 😬
I think that's great
Weekend Thread | Estimates (per DHD) ~ MR:TDC 23M, J 15.8M, H 9.8M, TGS 9.3M, TP 8.7M, 12S/DoT 7.9M, TSOW 5.7M, P2 5.5M, TLJ 4M, TBOEM 3.6M
in Numbers and Data
Posted · Edited by Chad Stevens
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