Eric is Quiet

"if" is the big key word here. And those movies aren't looking too good either. We're probably going back to 2021 where audiences are too stupid to watch anything that doesn't have the Marvel logo on it. Oh well.

So I saw the signs from Quorum and shit that Furiosa wasn't going to open to all that...but I still expected it to at least open in the 30s. Like this kind of flat-out rejection, opening below fucking Tomorrowland, is absurd, and I genuinely can't grasp why for a movie that's still attached to one of the most beloved action movies of all time. It can't just be because this doesn't have any of the old cast. Planet of the Apes still opened on par with its predecessors and it didn't have the old cast. What the hell happened?

Honestly, I'd just give up if I wanted to make it in Hollywood. This whole industry's fucking cooked. What's the point anymore?

I mean...it seems legit. Furiosa's estimated at 27, following TGM with a 7.5 True Friday gives it 28M. Garfield's estimated at 24, following Little Mermaid gives you...20M. So yeah, expecting a better IM from that, since there's no Disney Adults rushing to see it...24M for the 3-Day also sounds likely. But yeah, lol Deadline is probably gonna be lol Deadline, so...hopefully these can still get to Prince of Persia numbers...maybe? Hopefully? Maybe?

No, Timothee should be there because he's really cute.

dude chill out lol

No offense, but studios aren't going to extend the theatrical windows. I know you all want it to happen, and I know you all have good reasons why it should happen. But they've been movies things come to PVOD in 45 days, sometimes less, for three whole years now. And they haven't changed their tune whatsoever. If it was hurting their movies and their profits, they would have stopped. At some point, you have to accept the new normal. They see shortened windows and potentially smaller box office as more beneficial. You're just gonna have to deal with it. 🤷‍♂️

Just got out and...yeah. They could have worked a way to get Theron cast here in this, though Anya does do great stuff. Guess the silver lining in all this is now two great actresses get to do wonderful stuff with a wonderful character. And that's all pretty swell.

The target audience, like all target audiences, only want to see nostalgic toy commercials. Horizon ain’t that. It’s dead mate.

lol I love that a movie based off 350M+ grossing critical and commercial darling is apparently too risky and unappealing to general audiences. Are you doing a bit? Are you trying to troll? Because that’s what it’s looking like. And I’m not very fond of it.

I love how "Film Twitter" has become this weird, vague nothingness people love to randomly blame a problem over. You can stub your toe, get divorced by your wife, lose your job, and just use that pesky Film Twitter as a scapegoat.

Also Furiosa isn't even that big of a risk? Even remotely? Like in 2019 or 2020 or whenever this was greenlit, if I was given a pitch for a movie that was a prequel to an Oscar-winning film, a film considered one of the greatest in its entire genre, that made a ton of money, was a massive hit in the home video and television market, and starred a rising actress who has been in several hits movies and TV shows...yeah, I'd probably give that a greenlight. Like how pathetic must our industry/moviegoers have to be when this pitch is "too risky" or "destined to bomb"? Honestly?

No offense to @charlie Jatinder, but I think you need to figure out your projections or just keep it to yourself, because this is like the third time or so that you overpredicted a movie's previews on social media, and that's really not helpful to anybody. I also think we need to stop opening up threads when Charlie posts his numbers on Twitter. It's just making things way worse and way more miserable for all parties.

https://deadline.com/2024/05/box-office-furiosa-garfield-memorial-day-1235938017/

Love vague wording with recent preview gross announcements where I have no clue if it includes Early Access shows or not. Totally doesn't make things a headache to follow or predict. Nope. No siree.

IIRC, there were tons of people on the forum who expected it to do as big as 300M+, just on the popularity of the first Lego Movie and the Batman brand alone. Which like...yeah, that was kind of stupid to expect in hindsight for a spin-off. And yeah, I guess 175M does sound right. Maybe it could have gotten to 200M Lego Movie 2 came out in 2017 and Batman came out in 2019? It certainly hurt Lego Movie 2 though, and will likely hurt a Hardy-led Mad Max sequel. By the time it dropped, it didn't really feel like the big direct sequel to a hit movie anymore.

Alas, none of us can be as awesome as Halle 😎

Hot take: I know that the script for Furiosa had been in the works for decades and Miller's way more passionate over that idea than a direct Fury Road sequel, but I feel like Furiosa would have done way better if it had came out after a second Hardy-Mad Max film was released. That would have benefited way more from the goodwill of Fury Road, made the franchise more popular and relevant, and then would have made people more eager to see a Furiosa prequel that has none of the actors people are familiar with. This whole situation is basically like when Lego Batman came out before Lego Movie 2.

Well I trust Keysersoze with my life, so I'll believe him. (The user, not the guy from the movie )

Furiosa I can kind of see (TGM did 6.6x w/ Early Access, 7.5x isn't too crazy IMO), but I call BS on Garfield only getting 10x. This isn't going to play like Little Mermaid or even Aladdin. I can buy it doing worse than IF's IM, but surely something like Cruella's 15.35x IM makes way more sense, right?

Quorum Updates The Watchers T-15: 29.44% Awareness, 44.24% Interest Harold and the Purple Crayon T-71: 15.76% Awareness, 33.81% Interest The Fire Inside T-78: 12.89% Awareness, 37.56% Interest Trap T-78: 25.04% Awareness, 47.14% Interest White Bird T-133: 12.55% Awareness, 38.98% Interest Mufasa: The Lion King T-211: 48.2% Awareness, 56.14% Interest Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga T-1: 44.67% Awareness, 44.06% Interest Final Awareness: 46% chance of 20M, 25% chance of 30M, 16% chance of 40M, 9% chance of 70M Tentpole Awareness: 100% chance of 20M Final Interest: 48% chance of 10M, 17% chance of 20M, 9% chance of 30M, 4% chance of 70M Tentpole Interest: 100% chance of 30M The Garfield Movie T-1: 61.28% Awareness, 51.29% Interest Final Awareness: 100% chance of 20M, 92% chance of 30M, 88% chance of 40M, 76% chance of 50M, 60% chance of 60M, 48% chance of 70M, 36% chance of 80M, 28% chance of 100M Animation/Family Awareness: 100% chance of 50M, 60% chance of 70M, 40% chance of 100M Final Interest: 79% chance of 20M, 61% chance of 30M, 46% chance of 40M, 33% chance of 50M, 23% chance of 60M, 16% chance of 70M, 15% chance of 80M, 11% chance of 90M, 8% chance of 100M Animation/Family Interest: 100% chance of 30M, 83% chance of 50M, 50% chance of 90M, 33% chance of 100M Sight T-1: 12.89% Awareness, 29.62% Interest Final Awareness: 0% chance of 10M Low Awareness: 0% chance of 10M Final Interest: 0% chance of 10M Low Interest: 0% chance of 20M

Lasagna

WITNESS

Moderation Guys we're getting a little off-topic. Please focus on the numbers and tracking.