Shawn Robbins

38.5 from Disney

Sadly, the studios never reported those. We're probably at the mercy of guesstimates for them.

Also, shoutout to @filmnerdjamie as well who has been bullish on the movie for a long time and had several convos about it.

Thanks @AniNate! Definitely a lot of great trackers here too though who've spotted hard-to-read trends and wild variables on other movies before me. Always a mix of data and instinct with so much to consider and it's never a perfect science. Thankfully in this case though, a very fun result and great for summer box office.

Thanks, old friend!

Studio source has 31 Fri (includes previews) and 72 wknd. Fair chance it goes higher, IMO, but not sure if they are baking in walkups or not.

10.7 is definitely official, comes from the studio.

Agreed with you both. This has been an important part of projecting this movie, especially when EA was so strong and those shows can naturally enhance the True Thu-to-True Fri multiple versus a straight-up Thu preview release. We still went fairly bullish with final forecasts last night (didn't publish until this morning), but admittedly needed to bring down the temperature a little bit just in case. I still wouldn't rule out some crazy multipliers, though. https://boxofficetheory.com/weekend-forecast-twisters-eyes-the-disaster-epics-box-office-rebirth-with-potential-57-77-million-domestic-debut/

This week's 5-week tracking from BOT: Site: https://boxofficetheory.com/5-week-tracking-alien-romulus-30m-debut-healthy-in-early-pre-sales-twisters-and-deadpool-wolverine-still-shining-in-late-stage-models/ via Substack: https://boxofficetheory.substack.com/p/5-week-box-office-tracking-alien

Funny you asked that as I had incidentally answered just now (post above). But yeah, it's snuck up on a lot of us.

No worries! That's one I admittedly had been hesitant to include in long range stuff since we tend to focus on major studios and it can be tricky predicting a Neon location count... but as you all have clearly seen in your data here, it's absolutely merited inclusion in the forecast this week.

Could definitely see 20s happening, but we wanted to be a little more cautious in case the screen allocation/capacities/online discourse skew some of the current projections before getting to see how the final 24-36 hours go.

Hmm? We haven't had published any numbers for Longlegs yet except for clients.