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Posts posted by Eric is Quiet
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Quorum Updates
The Garfield Movie T-22: 47.67% Awareness, 49.72% Interest
Sight T-22: 12.45% Awareness, 34.09% Interest
Inside Out 2 T-43: 51.81% Awareness, 51.92% Interest
Twisters T-78: 43.23% Awareness, 55.89% Interest
Venom: The Last Dance T-176: 34.34% Awareness, 54.83% Interest
Red One T-197: 21.46% Awareness, 40.77% Interest
Tarot T-1: 31.85% Awareness, 46.1% Interest
Final Awareness: 41% chance of 10M, 7% chance of 20M
Horror Awareness: 46% chance of 10M, 8% chance of 20M
Final Interest: 49% chance of 10M, 17% chance of 20M
Horror Interest: 44% chance of 10M, 11% chance of 20M
The Fall Guy T-1: 48.77% Awareness, 51% Interest
Final Awareness: 79% chance of 10M, 45% chance of 20M, 26% chance of 30M, 17% chance of 40M
Tentpole Awareness: N/A
Final Interest: 91% chance of 10M, 78% chance of 20M, 60% chance of 30M, 46% chance of 40M
Tentpole Interest: 100% chance of 40M
Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes T-8: 64.05% Awareness, 57.39% Interest
Final Awareness: 92% chance of 30M, 87% chance of 40M, 75% chance of 50M, 62% chance of 60M, 50% chance of 70M, 37% chance of 80M, 29% chance of 100M
Tentpole Awareness: 100% chance of 30M, 90% chance of 40M, 80% chance of 60M, 50% chance of 70M, 40% chance of 80M, 20% chance of 100M
Final Interest: 46% chance of 40M, 33% chance of 50M, 24% chance of 60M, 17% chance of 70M, 15% chance of 80M, 12% chance of 90M, 9% chance of 100M
Tentpole Interest: 100% chance of 40M, 75% chance of 50M, 67% chance of 60M, 42% chance of 70M, 33% chance of 80M, 17% chance of 100M
A Quiet Place: Day One T-57: 28.05% Awareness, 51.2% Interest
T-60 Awareness: 59% chance of 10M, 30% chance of 20M, 11% chance of 30M, 8% chance of 40M
Horror Awareness: 54% chance of 10M, 31% chance of 20M, 8% chance of 40M
T-60 Interest: 97% chance of 10M, 91% chance of 20M, 83% chance of 30M, 71% chance of 40M
Horror Interest: 80% chance of 10M, 60% chance of 30M, 20% chance of 40M
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Hell, in general, this year looks like the one that will cause World War 3 on BOT. A Michael Jackson biopic, Passion of the Christ 2, Snow White with a non-white lead, three Marvel movies that all have bomb potential, a Superman movie trying to start a new shared universe. Like, there's going to be so much drama next year. It's gonna suck!
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17 hours ago, Flip said:
Also, if both Michael and Passion of the Christ stick to April 18th, we might have two movies doing over 100m on the same weekend for the first time ever
This is like Barbenheimer for the worst kinds of people.
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I mean I buy the IF tracking. Haven't paid attention to sales or whatever, but this fits well in the same vein as a lot of other movies that aren't based on big IP, but have major starpower to compensate. Fall Guy, Free Guy, Lost City, Bullet Train, Nope if you want to add in directors. The higher-end of those do about 90-120M. So in normal circumstances, it would have probably opened in the 30s. But then you have a market that hasn't gotten anything since March, and you get a solid 10M bump for its opening. It all makes sense in my opinion.
Though I will say, and I'm sure it's hysterical to the kiddies, but when your trailer ends with a gummy bear farting, I do question its potential quality.
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4 hours ago, CJohn said:
NUCLEAR WASTELAND
Moderation
If you continue this nonsense any further, you will leave me with no other choice but to give you a thread ban. And I know that's not what you want.
2 hours ago, ListenHunnyUrOver said:Lady Gaga is the only movie star Hollywood has birthed in years.
1 hour ago, DAJK said:And are we forgetting Timothee Chalamet, from the biggest movie of the year?
I love you.
6 minutes ago, ringedmortality said:Hey Eric you ever thought about making your profile Eric Loves Lana Del Rey
I mean I've liked some of the songs she's done, but I don't hardcore stan her the way I do Beyonce or Gaga. But thanks for the suggestion mate
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50 minutes ago, Cmasterclay said:
In Hollywood, beyond just COVID and streaming, it’s clear that audiences are sick of crap and want some new stuff. They couldn’t coast on Marvel and Star Wars forever.
Do they though? Like 80% of all the movies that are hits post-COVID are still NTCs designed to be part of bigger franchises that make shareholders happy. Even Dune qualifies here. I have a Paul Atreides action figure in my house. Toys and merch were part of its reason to exist. The only other hits this year have been Kung Fu Panda and Godzilla X Kong. And you know darn well what type of movie those are.
Sorry mate, but the people just want the same old slop.
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46 minutes ago, SpiderByte said:
Wait, are tickets available? I'm not seeing anything where I am
Think it might just be UK only for now
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Seen a few "takes a while to get going" reactions that do make me go "hmm". Still, enough enthusiasm in these early reactions I suppose? Maybe? I dunno, this part of the marketing run always causes stress.
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Moderation
We're done with this hyperbolic "this is going to be the biggest bomb in history" talk. This movie won't be out for another nine months. Why are we doing this? What do you gain? What new information are we learning? Why?
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1 hour ago, Arlborn said:
Regarding the movies aspect of this deal, Hollywood is dead.
I know I know, let me overreact and moan a bit
I mean, this isn't an overreaction?
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You know what, 80s toys are still a huge moneymakers with collectors, and Turtles are still big with kids, so I can buy it. Like at my Target, we're still selling He-Man and GI Joe toys, even though not a single kid today knows what those properties are.
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No coincidence Challengers dropped so hard on the day Fall Guy started taking its PLFs...
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Quorum Updates
Back to Black T-16: 26.35% Awareness, 38.35% Interest
The Strangers: Chapter 1 T-16: 31.21% Awareness, 47.4% Interest
Furiosa T-23: 33.99% Awareness, 41.78% Interest
Wolfs T-142: 14.59% Awareness, 40.35% Interest
Joker: Folie a Deux T-156: 52.65% Awareness, 60.55% Interest
Gladiator II T-205: 28.51% Awareness, 46.78% Interest
Mufasa: The Lion King T-233: 49.58% Awareness, 55.95% Interest
Tarot T-2: 31.74% Awareness, 47.32% Interest
Final Awareness: 41% chance of 10M, 7% chance of 20M
Horror Awareness: 46% chance of 10M, 8% chance of 20M
Final Interest: 49% chance of 10M, 17% chance of 20M
Horror Interest: 44% chance of 10M, 11% chance of 20M
The Fall Guy T-2: 47.61% Awareness, 49.67% Interest
Final Awareness: 79% chance of 10M, 45% chance of 20M, 26% chance of 30M, 17% chance of 40M
Tentpole Awareness: N/A
Final Interest: 49% chance of 10M, 17% chance of 20M, 10% chance of 30M
Tentpole Interest: N/A
The Watchers T-37: 29.32% Awareness, 45.63% Interest
T-30 Awareness: 56% chance of 10M, 18% chance of 20M, 3% chance of 40M
Horror Awareness: 65% chance of 10M, 23% chance of 20M, 6% chance of 40M
T-30 Interest: 60% chance of 10M, 34% chance of 20M, 20% chance of 30M, 11% chance of 40M
Horror Interest: 70% chance of 10M, 39% chance of 20M, 17% chance of 30M, 4% chance of 40M
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Doesn’t Instagram have their own TikTok style video service? I’m sure another app will come in and save the day.
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Great increase for Challengers, though today could be bad, since Fall Guy will start taking IMAX and other PLFs later tonight. But I have hope we got a legs monster on our hands. Fitting, since all three leads have very sexy legs. 👅
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22 minutes ago, emoviefan said:
The fact that this movie may be going from a mild disappointment to a possibly outright bomb now. What do people want? So it has to be 95-100% or something on RT now for a movie like this to break out. Sigh
No. It has to be based on a popular IP people recognize from their childhoods, and then it can break out. If you dare to make something original or even based on something obscure, you're doomed to failure 90% of the time. Audiences are frankly repulsed with anything that isn't something they are already familiar with. Kind of disconcerting if I'm being honest.
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The Acolyte: High Republic SW Disney+ Show, June 4th
in Streaming, TV Series, & VOD Movies
Posted