Eric Prime
-
Posts
37,197 -
Joined
-
Days Won
455
Content Type
Profiles
Forums
Events
Blogs
Gallery
Annual Subscriptions
Media Demo
Posts posted by Eric Prime
-
-
1 minute ago, titanic2187 said:
With 5.88m, BB4. would need 8.5x IM to hit 50m. That is a very high IM for a live action movie, let alone a R-rated summer flick. Apes, show a better late surge than BB in presale, only managed to get 8.8x IM with MD boost. I can't say I am confident with 50m OW. I haven't seen the gender breakdown but it is safe to say lower female audience turnout is again to "blame" for the drop from BB3. BB3 actually had a good female % for action flick at 44%, a % I doubt BB4 can come close to.
https://deadline.com/2024/06/box-office-bad-boys-ride-or-die-1235961796/
QuoteDemos, which change throughout the weekend, were 36% Black, 29% Hispanic and Latino, 20% Caucasian, 10% Asian, and 4% other. Men over 25 were dominant at 40% followed by women over 25 at 38%.
-
1
-
-
The Watchers hit 1M. Which like...it could be worse? I guess?
-
2 minutes ago, titanic2187 said:
Charlie is allowed to see another day. Thank god
-
1
-
-
4 minutes ago, ringedmortality said:
Let's say Focus or Searchlight picked up Hit Man and released it in theaters. What do you think it would have made? I think it could have potentially made 30M DOM.
Probably about half of that. Maybe 20M if it got lucky.
-
1
-
1
-
-
Quorum Updates
Twisters T-43: 48.83% Awareness, 53.83% Interest
They Listen T-85: 9.83% Awareness, 35.08% Interest
The Best Christmas Pageant Ever T-155: 8.6% Awareness, 27.85% Interest
Moana 2 T-174: 44.58% Awareness, 50.45% Interest
Sonic the Hedgehog 3 T-197: 41.42% Awareness, 44% Interest
Bad Boys for Life T-1: 67.03% Awareness, 58.38% Interest
Final Awareness: 100% chance of 20M, 88% chance of 30M, 85% chance of 40M, 73% chance of 50M, 58% chance of 60M, 46% chance of 70M
Medium Awareness: 100% chance of 70M
Final Interest: 79% chance of 20M, 60% chance of 30M, 45% chance of 40M, 31% chance of 50M, 23% chance of 60M, 16% chance of 70M
Medium Interest: 75% chance of 20M, 58% chance of 30M, 25% chance of 40M, 8% chance of 50M
The Watchers T-1: 31.97% Awareness, 45.95% Interest
Final Awareness: 41% chance of 10M
Horror Awareness: 47% chance of 10M
Final Interest: 49% chance of 10M
Horror Interest: 45% chance of 10M
Inside Out 2 T-8: 57.54% Awareness, 51.83% Interest
Final Awareness: 92% chance of 20M, 73% chance of 30M, 35% chance of 40M, 23% chance of 50M, 15% chance of 60M, 11% chance of 90M, 8% chance of 100M
Animation/Family Awareness: 100% chance of 20M, 50% chance of 30M
Final Interest: 79% chance of 20M, 60% chance of 30M, 45% chance of 40M, 31% chance of 50M, 23% chance of 60M, 16% chance of 70M, 14% chance of 80M, 11% chance of 90M, 8% chance of 100M
Animation/Family Interest: 100% chance of 20M, 86% chance of 30M, 71% chance of 50M, 43% chance of 90M, 29% chance of 100M
Cuckoo T-57: 11.07% Awareness, 37.24% Interest
T-60 Awareness: 29% chance of 10M
Horror Awareness: 46% chance of 10M
T-60 Interest: 33% chance of 10M
Horror Interest: 40% chance of 10M
Borderlands T-64: 28.31% Awareness, 42.84% Interest
T-60 Awareness: 60% chance of 10M, 31% chance of 20M
Medium Awareness: 75% chance of 10M, 37% chance of 20M
T-60 Interest: 62% chance of 10M, 34% chance of 20M
Medium Interest: 68% chance of 10M, 36% chance of 20M
-
2
-
2
-
-
3 hours ago, charlie Jatinder said:
Bad Boys MiniTC2
Thursday - 7480/50977 (181 showings) $98K
Normally this would be $4.75-5M but it will likely underindex here. Using the previous film ratio gives $5.35M. ~$5.75M including early shows seems good.
I mean you say that, but you've been overpredicting preview numbers like crazy over the past couple weeks. Just saying...
-
Guys, M37 literally didn't say anything. Y'all are just projecting your thoughts and saying what he's feeling, acting like you know what he is feeling is underperforming. Let the man breathe for a second
-
1
-
2
-
-
Was vibing with a lot of the tension and suspense, even if it's clearly no M. Night. But then the third act comes in and...yeah, things get really clunky by the end. I can say I still liked it, but this was some serious wasted potential.
-
1
-
-
-
-
Are those dogs fresh?
-
-
3 minutes ago, Shawn Robbins said:
Are the DM4 numbers 3-day or 5-day?
-
I already saw this in theaters last year, but I'm more than happy to do it again.
-
2
-
-
lmao at Garfield getting Elemental legs out of the blue. Obviously it won't go as high as that movie, but this really might get to 100M on the basis that there is just nothing for kids to watch until Inside Out 2.
-
-
On 1/26/2024 at 11:48 AM, Eric Burnett said:
Does it...have to be Legos?
Still relevant. This whole thing is just...so weird.
-
-
1 hour ago, Eric Burnett said:
Rachel did that! Your faves could never.
-
1
-
-
54 minutes ago, excel1 said:
they're really not changing the release date, geez
I mean you can't really change a release date this late in the game. They made their bed. They're gonna have to sleep in it.
And honestly, while I'm sure the second weekend drop will be bad, I think it and Deadpool will co-exist. Important to remember this is the only big PG-13 tentpole for the rest of the summer. That goes a long way, as Planet of the Apes has shown.
-
Rachel did that! Your faves could never.
-
1
-
-
https://deadline.com/2024/06/bad-boys-ride-or-die-will-smith-the-watchers-box-office-1235960054/
QuoteSony‘s Bad Boys: Ride or Die will hopefully hit $75M or more in its global outing this weekend, in a marketplace that has suffered from not only lackluster, but lack of product. Broken out that’s $40M+ in U.S. and Canada and $35M abroad in a 92% footprint.
Presales for the R-rated fourthquel are behind that of the previous pre-Covid threequel, Bad Boys for Life, which hit a franchise opening high stateside of $62.5M 3-day and $101M worldwide. A few weeks ago domestic projections were at $50M domestic, but that simmered to $40M of late per several sources; Sony is officially calling the U.S. start at $30M+. Trepidation stems from the offbeat marketplace, which sources believe will pick up over Fathers Day with Disney/Pixar’s Inside Out 2 (currently at a $80M-$85M U.S./Canada projection).
-
1
-
1
-
-
Quorum Updates
The Bikeriders T-16: 20.04% Awareness, 34.52% Interest
A Quiet Place: Day One T-23: 40.73% Awareness, 51.05% Interest
Despicable Me 4 T-28: 63.21% Awareness, 58% Interest
Smile 2 T-135: 22.56% Awareness, 42.9% Interest
Red One T-163: 21.14% Awareness, 39.97% Interest
Bad Boys for Life T-2: 66.59% Awareness, 57.65% Interest
Final Awareness: 100% chance of 20M, 88% chance of 30M, 85% chance of 40M, 73% chance of 50M, 58% chance of 60M, 46% chance of 70M
Medium Awareness: 100% chance of 70M
Final Interest: 79% chance of 20M, 60% chance of 30M, 45% chance of 40M, 31% chance of 50M, 23% chance of 60M, 16% chance of 70M
Medium Interest: 75% chance of 20M, 58% chance of 30M, 25% chance of 40M, 8% chance of 50M
The Watchers T-2: 30.97% Awareness, 45.89% Interest
Final Awareness: 41% chance of 10M
Horror Awareness: 47% chance of 10M
Final Interest: 49% chance of 10M
Horror Interest: 45% chance of 10M
MaXXXine T-30: 18.43% Awareness, 34.74% Interest
T-30 Awareness: 15% chance of 10M
Horror Awareness: 11% chance of 10M
T-30 Interest: 32% chance of 10M, 6% chance of 20M
Horror Interest: 33% chance of 10M
Harold and the Purple Crayon T-58: 15.26% Awareness, 31.59% Interest
T-60 Awareness: 29% chance of 10M
Animation/Family Awareness: 33% chance of 10M
T-60 Interest: 33% chance of 10M
Animation/Family Interest: 40% chance of 10M
Trap T-65: 23.67% Awareness, 46.5% Interest
T-60 Awareness: 60% chance of 10M, 31% chance of 20M
Horror Awareness: 57% chance of 10M, 29% chance of 20M
T-60 Interest: 62% chance of 10M, 34% chance of 20M
Horror Interest: 68% chance of 10M, 32% chance of 20M
-
6
-
1
-
-
Weekend Numbers [June 07-09, 2024] | actuals | 56.5M BAD BOYS: RIDE OR DIE | 10.0M GARFIELD | 7.8M IF | 7.0M THE WATCHERS
in Numbers and Data
Posted
Two weeks ago, Charlie's projections were 2.5M for Garfield and 4M for Furiosa. It went 1.9M and. 3.5M. Big drops. Charlie said 7M for Kingdom of the Apes, then it went lower at 6.6M. Challengers he had at 2.5M, then the actual was 1.9M. Civil War he had at 3.5M previews, and it was 2.9M.
Like...yeah. He does overestimate previews. And in some cases, like Furiosa or Challengers, that's a pretty significant amount. Is it every single time? Of course not. But this has been a pretty consistent pattern of Charlie's. And I think it's fair to call it out when it happens this many times in the span of a few weeks. I'm clearly outnumbered in people thinking it should still be posted. But Charlie needs to figure out how to fix up his projections when he tweets this stuff out. Because this information isn't helpful. If anything, it makes things way worse for all parties.