Eric Prime

Also of note, we only had to lock the thread one time. Again, I should just open all the event weekend threads. *winkwinknudgenudge*

I don't know what your theaters are like, but I believe those attachments are intended for those with digital projections, or using digital files to broadcast the movie. Could be wrong though.

and btw

Hating on Jorge Lendengorg or whatever his name is has got to be one of the strangest actors to dislike. It's the equivalent of hating on Odeya Rush or some shit

The literal second I leave to get some work done, and they're already breaking my rules and making a mess. Now I know how my parents feel

You need to go to a library

https://deadline.com/2019/03/captain-marvel-opening-weekend-box-office-breaks-records-1202571905/

Ironic that in a year like this, even after we finally have blockbuster numbers, it's still a relatively boring one. Above tracking for sure, but most were expecting an OW around the $140-160M range, barring a couple of people here and there predicting a potential breakout based on presales. But of course, a $153M OW is nothing to sneeze at, and shows the POWAH of the MCU brand. The fact that this is basically the first time we're seeing this character (I don't care about that IW pager BS), and it's openings already bigger than just about every solo MCU solo minus BP is kind of mind-boggling. And while potential indirect competition like Us and Dumbo might give it a bit of a dent (although they might just give CM double features with Dumbo, ya never know), it's relatively smooth sailing up until Shazam, and it should cross the $400M mark with relative ease. With a 2.75x multiplier, that would be around $420.7M. Hopefully it makes about $700K less for...reasons. Arguably the even bigger success story is its OS results. The fact that this managed to beat out Black Panther's global OW despite the US results being $50M less is astonishing and bodes well for Endgame in these markets. Should also mean another billion grosser. Outside of CM, holds weren't actually all that bad. While it would've been cool to see Dragon 3 drop sub-50%, it's still a pretty decent drop, and it should continue to hold well for the next couple of weeks up until Dumbo. Madea and Lego also had okay holds, and Alita's definitely could have been worse. Green Book's China box office is also impressive and honestly pretty mind-boggling (although having Alibaba as an investor probably helps its performance in that country quite a bit). Oh, and Gloria Bell's $30K PTA seems pretty decent. It's better than Climax's opening from last week in the same TC

TW LW Title (click to view) Studio Weekend Gross % Change Theater Count / Change Average Total Gross Budget* Week # 1 N Captain Marvel BV $153,000,000 - 4,310 - $35,499 $153,000,000 - 1 2 1 How to Train Your Dragon: The Hidden World Uni. $14,696,000 -51.1% 4,042 -244 $3,636 $119,662,125 $129 3 3 2 Tyler Perry's A Madea Family Funeral LGF $12,050,000 -55.5% 2,442 - $4,934 $45,879,810 - 2 4 4 The LEGO Movie 2: The Second Part WB $3,825,000 -42.0% 2,930 -528 $1,305 $97,109,961 - 5 5 3 Alita: Battle Angel Fox $3,200,000 -55.7% 2,374 -722 $1,348 $78,346,064 $170 4 6 6 Green Book Uni. $2,488,000 -45.6% 2,097 -544 $1,186 $80,140,871 $23 17 7 7 Isn't It Romantic WB (NL) $2,410,000 -46.6% 2,223 -1,102 $1,084 $44,154,720 - 4 8 5 Fighting with My Family MGM $2,188,868 -53.0% 2,455 -400 $892 $18,656,958 - 4 9 8 Greta Focus $2,161,000 -51.8% 2,417 +6 $894 $8,252,735 - 2 10 15 Apollo 11 Neon $1,301,000 -19.0% 405 +285 $3,212 $3,780,952 - 2 11 9 What Men Want Par. $1,200,000 -56.6% 1,062 -956 $1,130 $51,997,160 $20 5 12 12 The Upside STX $1,020,000 -49.3% 1,010 -597 $1,010 $104,540,031 $37.5 9 13 10 Happy Death Day 2U Uni. $859,000 -65.0% 1,098 -1,233 $782 $26,785,645 $9 4 14 13 A Star is Born (2018) WB $744,000 -59.9% 810 -425 $919 $214,532,255 $36 23 15 11 Spider-Man: Into The Spider-Verse Sony $650,000 -69.8% 824 -1,580 $789 $188,791,684 $90 13 16 N Badla Relbig. $614,328 - 94 - $6,535 $614,328 - 1 17 16 Run the Race RAtt. $607,745 -53.7% 753 -322 $807 $5,241,994 - 3 18 14 Cold Pursuit LG/S $520,000 -68.6% 823 -942 $632 $31,121,970 - 5 19 N The Kid (2019) LGF $505,000 - 268 - $1,884 $505,000 - 1 20 18 Bohemian Rhapsody Fox $370,000 -61.5% 386 -453 $959 $215,228,036 $52 19 21 20 The Favourite FoxS $260,000 -68.1% 278 -464 $935 $33,809,298 - 16 22 30 Ralph Breaks the Internet BV $253,000 +12.3% 209 +5 $1,211 $200,510,283 $175 16 23 27 Arctic BST $182,292 -50.1% 208 -60 $876 $1,983,722 - 6 24 31 Mary Poppins Returns BV $168,000 -20.6% 215 -30 $781 $171,471,260 $130 12 25 34 Furie WGUSA $164,000 +5.0% 27 +13 $6,074 $395,464 - 2 26 N Gloria Bell A24 $154,775 - 5 - $30,955 $154,775 - 1 27 24 Total Dhamaal FIP $150,000 -65.9% 117 -92 $1,282 $2,014,552 - 3 28 61 CatVideoFest 2019 Osci. $141,500 +624.7% 55 +52 $2,573 $216,076 - 4 29 26 Free Solo NGE $131,600 -64.6% 119 -119 $1,106 $17,221,949 - 24 30 37 Never Look Away SPC $113,086 -13.6% 77 -45 $1,469 $860,249 - 15 31 41 Climax A24 $110,786 -7.2% 28 +23 $3,957 $280,672 - 2 32 25 The Prodigy Orion $105,546 -75.0% 152 -381 $694 $14,642,501 $6 5 33 64 The Wedding Guest IFC $66,078 +261.8% 31 +27 $2,132 $90,306 - 2 34 50 Birds of Passage Orch. $61,343 +7.1% 50 +19 $1,227 $246,581 - 4 35 46 Capernaum SPC $60,883 -17.6% 45 -13 $1,353 $1,469,926 - 13 36 36 Cold War (2018) Amazon $53,800 -59.9% 60 -68 $897 $4,470,495 - 12 37 52 Stan & Ollie SPC $52,657 +12.0% 61 -10 $863 $5,150,756 - 11 38 56 Transit MBox $42,538 +33.2% 5 +3 $8,508 $89,730 - 2 39 69 Giant Little Ones VE $23,500 +80.2% 7 +6 $3,357 $40,568 - 2 40 N Babylon (2019 re-release) KL $20,096 - 1 - $20,096 $20,096 - 1 41 58 To Dust Good Deed $15,496 -30.7% 17 -6 $912 $123,442 - 5 42 70 Ruben Brandt, Collector SPC $8,894 -27.3% 17 +2 $523 $50,687 - 4 43 59 Lords of Chaos G&S $7,435 -63.0% 17 -18 $437 $238,499 - 5 44 82 Wrestle Osci. $4,750 +20.8% 4 +2 $1,188 $17,820 - 3 45 N Ferrante Fever Greenwich $4,000 - 1 - $4,000 $4,000 - 1 TOTAL (45 MOVIES): $206,765,996 +79.0% 34,629 -11,142 $5,971

It's what I do best. Now let me take charge of all first posts for all event weekends from now until the end of time.

Black Panther dropped 13.1% from Friday (w/ previews obviously) to Saturday, so if 54M is the floor, that means a drop of 12% or less. All hail Brie Larson, box office queen

Sigh...I really hate that I have to keep bringing this up.

a park of wonder

The funniest experience with the Wonder Park trailer was when I saw Mary Poppins. It directly followed up Lego Movie 2, with the audience laughing, then SLOP 2, with the audience laughing, then this comes, and it was so dead silent you could hear a pin drop. Even the little little kids seemed unamused by it. Guess some people are just allergic to volunteering.

what the chuck?

That's also very true, and is why I have doubts on this dropping 65%. Maybe some demand gets burnt out here and there, but not to any extremes that would have been expected in the summertime. And this seems to have solid WOM and zero competition on weekend 2.

Does it really affect it that much that it causes drops in the 60s? In terms of similar films, Tomb Raider dropped 57% for its second weekend, Logan 57%, Kong: Skull Island 54%. Only recent exception is Pacific Rim 2, but that probably has more to do with the fact Ready Player One was coming out a week later, and the movie sucked. I'm personally predicting a drop around 56-58%

I was on "Over 70M OW" for a couple of months, but last night's reaction have me much more confident in that idea.

Well Us already has good reviews.

They mention in the letter that Gemini Man isn't supposed to be an attachment to the movie. It's just there for theaters to test out HFR

AHEM

The past couple of weeks and the next few is looking to be very similar to Spring 2015, where Cinderella, Insurgent, Home, and Furious 7 all opened above $50M back to back (although Captain Marvel is obviously in the middle instead of the end like Furious)

At $150M, it would need a 2.67x multiplier to get there, so I would say yes. I'm betting on a multiplier around 2.7-2.8, but I wouldn't be surprised if it was slightly lower than that.

AHEM