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Eric Prime

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Everything posted by Eric Prime

  1. Can't forget about all those Subway sandwich sales
  2. Black Panther had the exact same thing. The first direct comp was Tomb Raider, and that came out a month later (I guess you could also argue something like Wrinkle in Time took away some families, but let's just use Tomb Raider for the time being), and made nothing. So if we're talking direct competition that made solid money, it's Ready Player One, which is about a month and a half. And despite the lack of competition and rave WOM, Black Panther only managed 3.46x. Keep in mind, this is the highest MCU multiplier thus far. On weekend 5, the same weekend as Tomb Raider, Shazam will come out. And...yeah, it's gonna at least double Tomb Raider's weekend by a comfortable amount, maybe even triple if WB manages to pull off their last-minute marketing push. Even to a lesser extent, Dumbo will take away some (obviously not by a whole lot, but it's likely to make more than what Wrinkle in Time generated last year) of the family audience Captain Marvel would have. Simply put, even if this garners Oscar buzz a la BP, I can't see a scenario where it reaches a 4x.
  3. Movie/Date Monday Tuesday Wednesday Thursday Friday Saturday Sunday Captain Marvel 6,647 8,737 10,157 10,232 7,477 6,672 15,703 11 days 10 days 9 days 8 days 7 days 6 days 5 days Us 148 181 188 215 176 144 214 25 days 24 days 23 days 22 days 21 days 20 days 19 days Captain Marvel Day 17-Day 5 .524x of Black Panther So I'm actually going to let y'all in on a secret. When it comes to comps for the past few days, I was using Black Panther's 4-Day as a comparison instead of the typical 3-Day. Part of the reason was because I just like bigger numbers, but also because I assumed a good chunk of presales was being given to President's Day that it wouldn't be fair to ignore it. Also Captain Marvel started out pretty low in comparison to Black Panther that it seemed unrealistic. But admittedly, I'm not entirely sure if I should use that specifically as a comparison here anymore. Not only has Captain Marvel caught up with Black Panther pretty significantly, even if you want to argue some of the Monday business would have just gone to the weekend, that 40M Monday is abnormally high and is something that is impossible for Captain Marvel to obtain, even with Spring Break. Simply put, it just seems unfair to do the 4-Day, and I should have fixed that a while ago. But I'm sure that'll be confusing and unfair to those who have followed me from the beginning, so I'll just divide this into two: the 3-day and the 4-day. With that multiple, that's 105.8M for the 3-Day and 126.8M for the 4-Day. Either way, that's great for both, and I'm excited to see what they do in the coming days as release week emerges
  4. Out of all the celebrities who died young (yes I know he was 43 shut up), Candy's is still one of the hardest ones for me. His comedic timing was like none other, and he could even bring in some sympathy and drama when needed.
  5. akvalley uses a central time zone, so I assume the cutoff is midnight central. Don't know how much impact that causes, but I doubt it's anything major. I also just added the 9PM tickets into the data, and...yeah, it's basically a lock to double from Saturday. In fact, it might just have a bigger Saturday to Sunday bump than Black Panther. BP jumped 205% from Saturday to Sunday, and CM has jumped 227% at the same point in time (midnight to 9PM). And with Captain Marvel likely to have better 10PM and 11PM sales than Saturday, this might go even higher. At this point, the gap between BP and CM for this Sunday probably won't be that huge
  6. And here I thought Kermit was the only Disney character to cross paths with Sesame Street.
  7. TW LW Title (click to view) Studio Weekend Gross % Change Theater Count / Change Average Total Gross Budget* Week # 1 1 How to Train Your Dragon: The Hidden World Uni. $30,046,000 -45.4% 4,286 +27 $7,010 $97,696,275 $129 2 2 N Tyler Perry's A Madea Family Funeral LGF $27,050,000 - 2,442 - $11,077 $27,050,000 - 1 3 2 Alita: Battle Angel Fox $7,000,000 -43.3% 3,096 -706 $2,261 $72,231,308 $170 3 4 3 The LEGO Movie 2: The Second Part WB $6,615,000 -31.7% 3,458 -375 $1,913 $91,670,040 - 4 5 11 Green Book Uni. $4,711,000 +121.4% 2,641 +1,388 $1,784 $75,920,611 $23 16 6 4 Fighting with My Family MGM $4,691,284 -40.0% 2,855 +144 $1,643 $14,945,905 - 3 7 5 Isn't It Romantic WB (NL) $4,645,000 -34.8% 3,325 -119 $1,397 $40,299,003 - 3 8 N Greta Focus $4,585,000 - 2,411 - $1,902 $4,585,000 - 1 9 6 What Men Want Par. $2,700,000 -48.6% 2,018 -371 $1,338 $49,641,004 $20 4 10 7 Happy Death Day 2U Uni. $2,516,000 -48.5% 2,331 -881 $1,079 $25,282,610 $9 3 11 16 Spider-Man: Into The Spider-Verse Sony $2,100,000 +137.5% 2,404 +1,661 $874 $187,386,210 $90 12 12 9 The Upside STX $2,070,000 -34.9% 1,607 -541 $1,288 $102,868,620 $37.5 8 13 20 A Star is Born (2018) WB $1,885,000 +208.9% 1,235 +490 $1,526 $212,914,339 $36 22 14 N Apollo 11 Neon $1,650,000 - 120 - $13,750 $1,650,000 - 1 15 8 Cold Pursuit LG/S $1,650,000 -48.6% 1,765 -555 $935 $29,911,215 - 4 16 19 Bohemian Rhapsody Fox $975,000 +56.1% 839 +415 $1,162 $214,466,597 $52 18 17 12 Glass Uni. $895,000 -49.4% 756 -690 $1,184 $109,465,250 $20 7 18 22 The Favourite FoxS $825,000 +48.1% 742 +454 $1,112 $33,217,039 - 15 19 14 Total Dhamaal FIP $460,000 -53.5% 208 +6 $2,212 $1,756,926 - 2 20 13 The Prodigy Orion $424,298 -62.2% 533 -798 $796 $14,377,863 $6 4 21 38 Free Solo NGE $364,100 +149.9% 238 +148 $1,530 $16,947,781 - 23 22 24 Arctic BST $362,124 -27.4% 268 +11 $1,351 $1,626,666 - 5 23 18 Vice Annapurna $249,411 -60.6% 262 -440 $952 $47,569,021 - 10 24 26 Ralph Breaks the Internet BV $233,000 -38.0% 204 -202 $1,142 $200,195,690 $175 15 25 33 Mary Poppins Returns BV $206,000 +6.0% 245 +11 $841 $171,218,892 $130 11 26 N Furie WGUSA $145,400 - 14 - $10,386 $145,400 - 1 27 29 Cold War (2018) Amazon $143,616 -52.3% 128 -131 $1,122 $4,368,187 - 11 28 36 If Beale Street Could Talk Annapurna $137,546 -7.8% 126 -1 $1,092 $14,643,560 - 12 29 35 Never Look Away SPC $136,474 -10.8% 122 +42 $1,119 $671,886 - 14 30 N Climax A24 $121,655 - 5 - $24,331 $121,655 - 1 31 41 Capernaum SPC $72,087 -43.8% 58 -57 $1,243 $1,370,062 - 12 32 48 The Iron Orchard Santa Rita $65,450 +42.7% 42 +34 $1,558 $121,140 - 2 33 51 Birds of Passage Orch. $64,652 +76.6% 31 +21 $2,086 $165,837 - 3 34 42 Stan & Ollie SPC $52,926 -57.8% 71 -57 $745 $5,075,931 - 10 35 37 The Wife SPC $36,942 -75.2% 78 -126 $474 $9,524,213 - 29 36 N Transit MBox $35,368 - 2 - $17,684 $35,368 - 1 37 53 To Dust Good Deed $23,872 +28.3% 23 +6 $1,038 $100,221 - 4 38 N The Wedding Guest IFC $20,156 - 4 - $5,039 $20,156 - 1 39 46 Lords of Chaos G&S $18,668 -65.5% 28 -43 $667 $218,415 - 4 40 N Giant Little Ones VE $13,500 - 1 - $13,500 $13,500 - 1 41 62 Ruben Brandt, Collector SPC $12,577 +87.2% 15 +12 $838 $34,314 - 3 42 N Chokehold Ammo $3,900 - 3 - $1,300 $3,900 - 1
  8. Part of it is because this kind of release strategy is done months in advance, so many times studios won't know ahead of time when something will have legs or not. Another part is studios wanting to strike while the iron is hot, and releasing a movie soon while it's still fresh in the minds of the public. Why force a movie to stay in theaters and get about a couple million more, when you can get more sales and revenue from Blu-Ray, 4K, or digital downloads?
  9. Not a bad result considering it's available on digital now. It's also got about two more weeks before the Blu-ray release, so it should at least cross $190M by the end of it all.
  10. Movie/Date Monday Tuesday Wednesday Thursday Friday Saturday Captain Marvel 6,647 8,737 10,157 10,232 7,477 6,672 11 days 10 days 9 days 8 days 7 days 6 days Us 148 181 188 215 176 144 25 days 24 days 23 days 22 days 21 days 20 days Captain Marvel Day 17-Day 6 .484x of Black Panther (117.1M) Bit surprised by how well this Saturday was and how it's helped the gap. Now all we have left is Sunday, which should see a good-sized boost when it comes to raw numbers, and release week will finally give us more comps than Black Panther to work off of.
  11. I don't know who this guy is and his credibility, but he has 34K+ followers on Twitter, so he must be important. Either way, makes sense this would premiere here I guess.
  12. Still, even if the film doesn't show some of the shadier stuff of Jackson's life, there's going to be a lot of uproar about the omissions or his history being whitewashed. That HBO documentary is already super polarizing. The idea of a movie not even acknowledging that stuff could lead to endless controversy, way more than whether or not BR is biphobic or not.
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