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Everything posted by Eric Quinn
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2023 Box Office Predictions and Discussion
Eric Quinn replied to Eric Quinn's topic in Box Office Discussion
Mangold is honestly what is selling me on the Indy dream. In terms of crowd pleasing popcorn blockbusters, he is one of the best at the moment. He knows what the people want -
2023 Box Office Predictions and Discussion
Eric Quinn replied to Eric Quinn's topic in Box Office Discussion
Sure. I wouldn't be surprised either. I just think Indiana Jones has a bit more potential than you're saying. -
2023 Box Office Predictions and Discussion
Eric Quinn replied to Eric Quinn's topic in Box Office Discussion
Kingdom of the Crystal Skull adjusts to 405M despite weak reception. Unless it's a creative disaster, which I doubt (Crystal Skull backlash was so toxic and the creatives/cast behind this are so strong that it's obligated by law to be good IMO), I see zero reason why it wouldn't at least get close to matching that. Plus there's Harrison Ford back in his most iconic role one last time, legacyquels are all the rage, Indiana Jones is still a popular and loved franchise, and the 15-year gap from the last movie is both a good enough time where the bad taste isn't really in people's mouths anymore and long enough where people can feel nostalgic about seeing Indiana Jones again. Plus adventure movies like Indy have always had a market, and that's especially true today. Jungle Cruise, Uncharted, and The Lost City all easily zoomed past 100M even though none of them had great reviews. Really, this has everything going for it to explode at the box office. -
I think you're underselling some stuff here, even if they aren't major massive breakouts. Black Phone legged out like crazy to a 90M gross and is the third-biggest non-sequel from Blumhouse. Nobody expected that going into the summer. Crawdads is also looking to reach 80M, which is also something nobody predicted for a poorly-reviewed feature where the biggest stars promoted aren't even in the movie itself. And yeah Nope hasn't stabilized, but a 120M gross is great for any horror movie, let alone an original one from a filmmaker who is intentionally being divisive with his features. And if we're talking specialty, Mrs. Harris is looking like a quietly strong breakout and will reach the teens. Even in a healthy, thriving indie/specialty market that is impressive, and things have been pretty poor in this area this year (though hopefully Bodies Bodies Bodies will be a winner once it expands). And yeah, these aren't barnbusting numbers, but these are the films that are most in danger in our current capitalist hellscpae, and they all are either surpassing expectations at best or just meeting at worst. These films would not have made these numbers last year, and it shows that there is a wider, diverse audience out there still.
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Deadline top 10 1.) Bullet Train 4,357 theaters, Fri $12.6M, 3-day $30M/Wk 1 2.) DC League of Super-Pets 4,332 (+18) theaters, Fri $3.35M (-64%), 3-day $10.9M (-53%)/Total $44.8M Wk 2 3. ) Nope (Uni) 3,016 (-791) theaters, Fri $2.52M (-57%)/3-day $8.05M (-57%)/Total $97.5M/Wk 3 4.) Thor: Love and Thunder (Disney) 3,400 (-250) theaters, Fri. $2.2M (-41%), 3-day $7.46M (-43%)/Total $315.8M /Wk 5 5.) Minions: Rise of Gru (Uni) 3,188 theaters (-391), Fri $2.09M (-38%), 3-day $6.85M (-38%), Total: $334.3M/Wk 6 6.) Top Gun: Maverick (Par) 2,760 (-248) theaters, Fri $1.9M (-21%) 3-day $6.6M (-21%), Total $662M/Wk 11 7.) Where the Crawdads Sings (Sony) 3,164 theaters (-362), Fri $1.66M (-28%), 3-day $5.2M (-31%)/Total $64.1M/Wk 4 8.) Easter Sunday (Uni/DW) 3,175 theaters, Fri $2M, 3-day $5M/Wk 1 9.) Elvis (WB) 2,411 (-490) theaters, Fri $1.15M (-34%), 3-day $3.72M (-35%) Total $136.2M/Wk 7 10.) The Black Phone (Uni/Blum) 1,197 (-441) theaters, Fri $440K (-43%) 3-day $1.4M (-44%)/Total $85.8M/Wk 7 NOTABLES: Vengeance (Foc/Blum) 1,003 (+5) theaters, Fri $200K(-69%), 3-day $630K (-64%), Total $3.1M/Wk 2 Bodies Bodies Bodies (A24) 6 theaters, Fri $94,7K, 3-day $246K/Wk 1
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That's gonna open to like 15M bro. Beast will open higher than that. Yeah you made the right call. It felt like the movie went on for an eternity with random characters and subplots popping up every other second. Doesn't help that Brad Pitt is basically trying to do Ryan Reynolds schtick and he's really bad at doing Ryan Reynolds schtick. At 90 minutes, it still wouldn't have been great, but it would have been way better as a brainless action movie.
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2023 Box Office Predictions and Discussion
Eric Quinn replied to Eric Quinn's topic in Box Office Discussion
Screw it, full top 10: 1. Indiana Jones 5: 455M 2. Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3: 430M 3. Little Mermaid: 340M 4. Ant-Man 3: 325M 5. The Marvels: 305M 6. Dune Part Two: 300M (fuck y'all) 7. Barbie: 300M 8. Mario: 280M 9. Blade: 275M 10. Across the Spider-Verse: 250M -
2023 Box Office Predictions and Discussion
Eric Quinn replied to Eric Quinn's topic in Box Office Discussion
Guardians 3 will be a major challenge, but I think Indiana Jones will win the year. Could even hit 500M if everything goes right, but I'll be more conservative around the 450M range. -
Bullet Train (2022)
Eric Quinn replied to Eric Quinn's topic in Review That Movie! (Spoilers Allowed)
Throughout this whole movie, I was saying to myself, "Brad Pitt is so miscast. He can't do this obvious Ryan Reynolds schtick. Why didn't they get Ryan Reynolds in this? They're copying his schtick, so just let him do the schtick he does so well." Then he popped up in a random 3-second cameo. Took me by surprise...but also made me even more confused why they just didn't have Ryan Reynolds in this movie. Anyways, the whole film should have been about Tangerine and Lemon. They carried this whole movie on their backs. -
Bullet Train was alright. Its biggest flaw really is that 2-hour runtime. There are still many other problems that would hold it back from greatness, but a 90-minute runtime would have made the film way easier to follow, and way less overbearing. It was right there to make it an easier crowdpleaser but Leitch just didn't do it. It's weird.
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Malignant | September 10 2021 | A James Wan Horror Joint
Eric Quinn replied to Eric Quinn's topic in Box Office Discussion