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Summer Game 2019 Preseason prediction Thread
Eric Quinn replied to chasmmi's topic in Chasmmi's Infamous Box Office Game
TOP 15 ETC PREDICTION TEMPLATE Below is a helpful template to use for making predictions. All Players who use this template for their predictions will receive 10,000 bonus points for making my life easier when I have to score everything at the end of the game. A: Domestic top 15: 1) Avengers: Endgame: 760M 2) The Lion King: 510M 3) Spider-Man: Far From Home: 375M 4) Toy Story 4: 370M 5) Pokemon: Detective Pikachu: 300M 6) The Secret Life of Pets 2: 260M 7) Aladdin: 240M 😎 Godzilla: King of the Monsters: 210M 9) Fast and Furious Presents: Hobbs and Shaw: 200M 10) Once Upon A Time in Hollywood: 145M 11) It: Chapter Two: 140M 12) Yesterday: 135M 13) John Wick: Chapter 3 - Parabellum: 130M 14) Rocketman: 125M 15) Men in Black International: 110M Backup 16*) Annabelle Comes Home: 100M *Only used if a film above exits the game B: Top 7 Domestic OW: 1) Avengers: Endgame: 307M 2) The Lion King: 175M 3) It: Chapter Two: 130M 4) Pokemon: Detective Pikachu: 120M 5) Toy Story 4: 110M 6) Spider: Man Far From Home: 105M 7) Aladdin: 85M Backup 8*)The Secret Life of Pets 2: 82M *Only used if a film above exits the game 😄 Worldwide top 12: 1) Avengers: Endgame: 2.6B 2) The Lion King: 1.3B 3) Spider-Man: Far From Home: 1.1B 4) Pokemon Detective Pikachu: 1.05B 5) Toy Story 4: 970M 6) The Secret Life of Pets 2: 950M 7) Fast and Furious Presents: Hobbs and Shaw: 925M 😎 Aladdin: 800M 9) Godzilla: King of the Monsters: 650M 10) Men in Black International: 500M 11) Dark Phoenix: 430M 12) Rocketman: 400M Backup 13*) Annabelle Comes Home: 350M *Only used if a film above exits the game 😧 TOP 5 Weekends 1) April 26-28: 350M 2) July 19-21: 250M 3) May 10-12: 240M 4) May 31-June 2: 225M 5) June 21-23: 225M backup 6*) May 24-26: 220M *Only used if a film above exits the game E: Multipliers 1) Yesterday: 4.8x 2) Rocketman: 3.57x 3) Toy Story 4: 3.36x 4) Once Upon A Time in Hollywood: 3.22x 5) The Secret Life of Pets 2: 3.17x backup 6*) Dora and the Lost City of Gold: 3.1x *Only used if a film above exits the game F: Total Grosses Top 15 DOM) 3.97B Top7 OW) 1.01B Top 12 WW) 11.55B Top 5 W/E) 1.290B Average Multi) 3.4x G: RANDOM FREE QUESTIONS RFQ1: Predict which film will finish closest to each of the following milestones domestically by the end of the game: A: 100M Annabelle Comes Home B: 200M Fast and Furious Presents: Hobbs and Shaw 😄 300M Pokemon: Detective Pikachu 😧 400M Spider-Man: Far From Home E: 500M The Lion King RFQ2: Predict which film will finish closest to each of the following milestones Worldwide by the end of the game: A: $1.5B The Lion King B: $1B Toy Story 4 😄 800M Aladdin 😧 600M Godzilla: King of the Monsters E: 400M Rocketman RFQ3: Predict the top grossing film of each month: A: April Avengers: Endgame B: May Pokemon: Detective Pikachu 😄 June Toy Story 4 😧 July The Lion King E: August Fast and Furious Presents: Hobbs and Shaw DO NOT ALTER THE TEMPLATE! JUST ADD IN YOUR ANSWERS AS REQUIRED. FOLLOWING THIS ONE SIMPLE INSTRUCTION WILL LAND YOU 20,000 BONUS POINTS -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Eric Quinn replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Movie/Time Monday Tuesday Wednesday Thursday Friday Saturday Sunday Avengers: Endgame 26,081 27,623 33,668 26,817 21,975 19,606 36,215 11 days 10 days 9 days 8 days 7 days 6 days 5 days Detective Pikachu 350 258 240 234 201 165 220 25 days 24 days 23 days 22 days 21 days 20 days 19 days John Wick 3 1,361 734 601 291 194 140 187 32 days 31 days 30 days 29 days 28 days 27 days 26 days Secret Life of Pets 2 11 11 12 13 10 8 10 53 days 52 days 51 days 50 days 49 days 48 days 47 days Endgame Last 7 Days (11-5) 194% of Black Panther (391.7M) 143% of Infinity War (368.5M) 292% of Captain Marvel (448.9M) Day 17-5 188% of Black Panther (379.4M) 160% of Infinity War (411.3M) 358% of Captain Marvel (550.2M) Day 22-5 185% of Infinity War (476.5M) 444% of Captain Marvel (681.7M) Cumulative (minus first two days) 125% of Infinity War (322.5M) 313% of Captain Marvel (481.2M) Before we have more comps tomorrow, it feels like the sky's the limit for Endgame at the moment. Pikachu Day 23-19 49% of Shazam (26.4M) Last 7 Days (25-19) 49% of Incredibles 2 (90.5M) 273% of The Grinch (184.7M) 96% of Dragon 3 (52.8M) Day 28-19 59% of Incredibles 2 (107.1M) 312% of The Grinch (210.6M) 123% of Dragon 3 (67.6M) Day 30-19 89% of Incredibles 2 (163.3M) 202% of Dragon 3 (111M) Cumulative 40% of Incredibles 2 (73.1M) 173% of Dragon 3 (95M) This still has a pretty wide open range, although I guess somewhere between the lowest and highest Incredibles comps is where we should see the movie land (I know, large range) Wick Last 7 Days (32-26) 35% of Captain Marvel (53M) Day 39-26 23% of Captain Marvel (35.4M) Also a pretty big range too, but it's a bit smaller, and 35-55 meets the expectations people here have. Hopefully it hits the upper range. Pets First 12 Days 12% of Lego 2 (4.1M) Still can't do any legit comps with this yet lol -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Eric Quinn replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
@stfletch made some posts a while back that mentioned akvalley's official archive, and that IW's final Thursday was at 76,734, which I think makes way more sense. Jumping from 68k to 206k in one day is basically unheard of, and would seem like a massive stretch to get a bounce that back, even for a movie like Infinity War. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Eric Quinn replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Movie/Time Monday Tuesday Wednesday Thursday Friday Saturday Avengers: Endgame 26,081 27,623 33,668 26,817 21,975 19,606 11 days 10 days 9 days 8 days 7 days 6 days Detective Pikachu 350 258 240 234 201 165 25 days 24 days 23 days 22 days 21 days 20 days John Wick 3 1,361 734 601 291 194 140 32 days 31 days 30 days 29 days 28 days 27 days Secret Life of Pets 2 11 11 12 13 10 8 53 days 52 days 51 days 50 days 49 days 48 days Last 7 days (12-6) 187% of Black Panther (378M) 148% of Infinity War (381.6M) 319% of Captain Marvel (489.1M) Day 17-6 187% of Black Panther (378.5M) 164% of Infinity War (422.4M) 387% of Captain Marvel (594.2M) Day 22-6 192% of Infinity War (495M) 488% of Captain Marvel (748.6M) Cumulative (minus first two days) 124% of Infinity War (320.7M) 325% of Captain Marvel (498.5M) -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Eric Quinn replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Could it be that we're both just alt accounts of @Porthos all along? -
Child's Play | June 21, 2019 | Orion Pictures
Eric Quinn replied to Box Office Hit's topic in Box Office Discussion
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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Eric Quinn replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
You got me. I've been a BKB alt all this time. I'm sure this will come as a surprise to all of you, but it's true -
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Oh Jesus. Hope he'll be okay
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BOX OFFICE FOR APRIL 19-21 THUMB RANK FILM DIS. SCREENS (CHG) FRIDAY 3-DAY TOTAL WK 1 Curse Of La Llorona NL/WB 3,372 $11.8M $26M $26M 1 2 Shazam! NL/WB 4,183 (-123) $6.1M (-3%) $16.5M (-32%) $120.5M 3 3 Breakthrough Dis/Fox 2,824 $3.8M $10.9M $14.4M 1 4 Captain Marvel Dis 2,653 (-322) $3.1M (+43%) $9M (+6%) $400M 7 5 Little Uni 2,667 $2.9M (-46%) $8.2M (-47%) $29.1M 2 6 Dumbo Dis 3,225 (-481) $2.7M (+19%) $7.1M (-25%) $101.6M 4 7 Pet Sematary Par 3,146 (-439) $1.76M (-40%) $4.65M (-52%) $49.3M 3 8 Missing Link UA 3,437 (+24) $1.8M (+11%) $4.57M (-22%) $13.1M 2 9 Us Uni 2,264 (-504) $1.5M (-28%) $4.1M (-40%) $170.2M 5 10 Hellboy LG/Mill 3,303 $1.3M (-73%) $3.8M (-69%) $19.6M 2
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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Eric Quinn replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Movie/Time Monday Tuesday Wednesday Thursday Friday Avengers: Endgame 26,081 27,623 33,668 26,817 21,975 11 days 10 days 9 days 8 days 7 days Detective Pikachu 350 258 240 234 201 25 days 24 days 23 days 22 days 21 days John Wick 3 1,361 734 601 291 194 32 days 31 days 30 days 29 days 28 days Secret Life of Pets 2 11 11 12 13 10 53 days 52 days 51 days 50 days 49 days Last 7 Days (13-7) 183% of Black Panther (369M) 149% of Infinity War (384.3M) 329% of Captain Marvel (505.2M) Day 17-7 186% of Black Panther (375.1M) 164% of Infinity War (423.6M) 397% of Captain Marvel (609.3M) Day 22-7 194% of Infinity War (500.8M) 506% of Captain Marvel (776.9M) Cumulative (minus first two days) 123% of Infinity War (316.9M) 289% of Captain Marvel (443.7M) -
Even if they don't make any money, I always appreciate Disney funding at least one nature documentary per year. I used to love watching this kind of stuff on Discovery and Nat Geo as a kid, and it's cool at least one company is keeping it alive in theaters. I also hope Disney gives Nat Geo's film division a higher platform for more of this kind of stuff.
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https://www.boxofficepro.com/long-range-tracking-men-in-black-international-shaft-avengers-endgame-updated-tracking/ Men in Black International: 30-50 range. 39/107 Shaft: 25-40 range. 31/100 Avengers: Endgame: 270-300+/660-730+ (that's literally how it's typed out lmao) Godzilla: 54 (+13%)/144 (+11%)
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@aabattery