Eric the Clown

Moderation @Valonqar has been threadbanned for 24 hours, due to his rude and unnecessary comments on Kumail Nanjiani's appearance.

Black Panther's run up until release is still one of my all-time favorites. Obviously TFA and Endgame were great, but it was obvious both were going to be huge. With Black Panther, most people thought 300M would be considered impressive (it still would have been), but after the teaser came out and the marketing kept ramping up, it was getting bigger and bigger. People were going "over Civil War!" or "over 500M", and "Over Infinity War" and when the presales ramped up and ticket sales were through the roof, and every auditorium was packed, it was absolutely mind-boggling for something that didn't have the same hooks or build-up as other 200M openers

@Deep Wang never mind lol you answered my question

Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-4 and Counting Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold TOTALS 2 171 12,498 31,845 39.25% Total Seats Sold Today: 436 T-4 Comp 9.490x of It: Chapter Two 4 days before release (99.64M) 8.063x of Joker 4 days before release (107.24M) 8.388x of Frozen II 4 days before release (71.3M) T-4 Adjusted Comp 2.410x of Lion King 4 days before release (55.42M) Final Count Comp 6.571x of Once Upon’s final count (38.11M) 3.608x of It: Chapter Two (37.88M) 2.545x of Joker (33.85M) 17.931x of Maleficent (41.2M) 14.349x of Terminator (33.72M) 3.718x of Frozen II (31.61M) Final Count Adjusted Comp 1.136x of Lion King (26.14M) 5.394x of Hobbs & Shaw (31.28M)

Quite surprised Gems and Bombshell are so high, but that’s far from a bad thing

There's definitely no sellouts, but sales, at least for Thursday, are pretty decent. As always, it depends on how it picks up in the next couple days, but I think high teens are very, very likely.

Isn't Black Adam currently slated for the same period (yeah I know, we'll probably have a Matrix/Wick thing on our hands)? Also, I think Sony has Hotel Transylvania 4 for that period too, which are both going for a similar audience. Sony's taking a weirdly long time with releasing Cinemascores these days. Charlie's Angels and Beautiful Day also didn't have it public at the same point in time.

Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-5 and Counting Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold TOTALS 2 171 12,062 31,845 37.88% Total Seats Sold Today: 222 T-5 Comp 9.985x of It: Chapter Two 5 days before release (104.84M) 9.293x of Frozen II 5 days before release (78.99M) T-5 Adjusted Comp 2.537x of Lion King 5 days before release (58.35M) Final Count Comp 6.342x of Once Upon’s final count (36.78M) 3.482x of It: Chapter Two (36.56M) 2.457x of Joker (32.67M) 17.305x of Maleficent (39.8M) 13.848x of Terminator (32.54M) 3.589x of Frozen II (30.5M) Final Count Adjusted Comp 1.091x of Lion King (25.09M) 5.176x of Hobbs & Shaw (30.02M) This was a good day. People might be concerned at the decline, but the Saturday before release commonly sees a drop from yesterday, only for the ramp-up to begin, and there was a good increase in the T-X side with both It 2 and Frozen (even though obviously both movies aren't going to hit that high). As always, the last couple days make or break things, and none of my comps are that great as of now, but I think things are good.

While I understand your frustrations with JediJake, and I definitely am not a fan of his alarmist attitude, at least to me, he doesn't seem to be doing anything wrong, or at least is worthy of a threadban. I understand you may not be happy with that answer, so the only offer I have left is for you to put him on your ignore list, including both posts and quotes, so you do not have to see such postings.

Your bit's old now. It's over.

Rogue One had 29M previews and went to 155M. That's 5.35x. And while I know it varies from district to district, my old school's district will have its last day on the 20th, so it's not like everybody's going to be out.

That would mean its IM would be stronger than Rogue One. Sorry, don't see it.

Gotta Go Fast

Three wide openers will take up a lot of screen real estate, even no1currs like Black Christmas and Richard Jewell

Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-6 and Counting Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold TOTALS 2 171 11,840 31,845 37.18% Total Seats Sold Today: 259 T-6 Comp 9.801x of It: Chapter Two 6 days before release (102.91M) 9.122x of Frozen II 6 days before release (77.53M) T-6 Adjusted Comp 2.676x of Lion King 6 days before release (61.55M) Final Count Comp 6.225x of Once Upon’s final count (36.10M) 3.418x of It: Chapter Two (35.89M) 2.411x of Joker (32.07M) 16.987x of Maleficent (39.07M) 13.594x of Terminator (31.94M) 3.523x of Frozen II (29.94M) Final Count Adjusted Comp 1.066x of Lion King (24.51M) 5.058x of Hobbs & Shaw (29.34M)

So Jumanji is on the high-end of Variety/Deadline's estimates, and Frozen jumped about like 150% from yesterday. That seems good for both @a2k nah Charlie usually posts True Friday numbers. Trust me.

Regardless, Titanic's highest-grossing day was Valentine's Day. While you may not like the idea of watching a tear-jerker on Valentine's, it's clear there's an audience for those on that day (not even counting the Nicholas Sparks joints that typically pop up in February)

Considering the sexual tension between Sonic and Robotnik in the games, I think it's clear what couples are going to see next Valentine's

Okay I'll bite. What other movie that had a ton of sexist backlash and still saw attendance, at least on previews, by a majority men, do you want me to compare Black Christmas to?

I dunno, I felt like Birds of Prey was an easy slam dunk on paper, and I'm sure the movie's fun, but it doesn't feel like anyone is talking about it. And yeah, it's still two months from release, and Star Wars and the new trailers are soaking up the conversation, but Suicide Squad two months before release felt like everybody was talking about it.

https://www.boxofficepro.com/long-range-tracking-birds-of-prey-and-the-fantabulous-emancipation-of-one-harley-quinn/ 8-Week Tracking & Forecasts Release Date Title 3-Day (FSS) Opening Tracking Range 3-Day (FSS) Opening Forecast % Chg from Last Week Domestic Total Range Domestic Total Forecast % Chg from Last Week Distributor 12/20/2019 Bombshell (Wide Expansion) $5,000,000 – $10,000,000 $6,000,000 $30,000,000 – $45,000,000 $35,000,000 -13% Lionsgate 12/20/2019 Cats $10,000,000 – $20,000,000 $12,000,000 -14% $50,000,000 – $100,000,000 $59,000,000 -14% Universal 12/20/2019 Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker $185,000,000 – $225,000,000 $200,000,000 $550,000,000 – $750,000,000 $680,000,000 Disney / Lucasfilm 12/25/2019 Little Women (2019) $17,000,000 – $27,000,000 $23,000,000 15% $90,000,000 – $130,000,000 $115,000,000 15% Sony / Columbia 12/25/2019 Spies in Disguise $13,000,000 – $23,000,000 $16,000,000 $60,000,000 – $100,000,000 $75,000,000 -6% Fox / Blue Sky 12/25/2019 Uncut Gems (Wide) $3,000,000 – $8,000,000 $5,000,000 NEW n/a A24 1/3/2020 The Grudge (2020) $10,000,000 – $20,000,000 $14,000,000 $25,000,000 – $45,000,000 $32,000,000 Sony / Columbia 1/10/2020 1917 (Wide) $20,000,000 – $25,000,000 $24,000,000 4% $75,000,000 – $100,000,000 $94,000,000 4% Universal / DreamWorks 1/10/2020 Just Mercy (Wide) $13,000,000 – $18,000,000 $14,000,000 $50,000,000 – $70,000,000 $59,000,000 Warner Bros. 1/10/2020 Like a Boss $15,000,000 – $20,000,000 $17,000,000 $45,000,000 – $60,000,000 $51,000,000 Paramount 1/10/2020 Underwater $5,000,000 – $10,000,000 $6,500,000 $12,000,000 – $25,000,000 $18,000,000 Fox 1/17/2020 Bad Boys for Life $21,000,000 – $31,000,000 $25,000,000 $55,000,000 – $75,000,000 $64,000,000 Sony / Columbia 1/17/2020 Dolittle $30,000,000 – $50,000,000 $40,000,000 $120,000,000 – $170,000,000 $145,000,000 Universal 1/24/2020 The Gentlemen $10,000,000 – $15,000,000 $12,000,000 $30,000,000 – $50,000,000 $38,000,000 STX 1/24/2020 The Last Full Measure n/a n/a Roadside Attractions 1/24/2020 Run n/a n/a Lionsgate / Summit 1/24/2020 The Turning $10,000,000 – $15,000,000 $14,000,000 $25,000,000 – $40,000,000 $38,000,000 Universal 1/31/2020 Gretel and Hansel $5,000,000 – $10,000,000 $5,500,000 $10,000,000 – $20,000,000 $11,000,000 United Artists Releasing 1/31/2020 The Rhythm Section $10,000,000 – $15,000,000 $12,000,000 $30,000,000 – $45,000,000 $38,000,000 Paramount 2/7/2020 Birds of Prey (and the Fantabulous Emancipation of One Harley Quinn) $40,000,000 – $60,000,000 $49,000,000 NEW $100,000,000 – $150,000,000 $125,000,000 NEW Warner Bros.