Eric the Clown

Here I was thinking I was being pessimistic this year.

My brain hurts

March 27 Mulan: If you talked to me in July after the teaser broke records, I would have said this was going to be #1 for the year. But since the Hong Kong stuff, and views for the second trailer went pretty sharply down, I’ve been a touch more pessimistic. Key word here being “a touch”, because it’s still gonna be big. 1998’s Mulan wasn’t as popular as some of the other Renaissance films when it first came out, but it’s garnered a huge, nostalgic following over the years, and I definitely think those fans would be excited to see a new adaptation. And despite the drop-off, it’s obvious that interest is still there and kicking. And while plenty of 90s kids are whining about the lack of Mushu and songs, I feel like people won’t care so long as the movie’s good. If anything, deviating from the 1998 film might actually make some people who are tired of these Disney remakes get a little more on board with this film. Definitely expect this to be among the upper end of the Disney remakes. 115/330 (2.87x)

March 20 A Quiet Place Part II: The full trailer will drop on New Year’s, so I don’t have much to work with right now. But either way, I feel confident in this prediction here. This is obviously not gonna be the big lightning in a bottle hit the first one was financially, and possibly even critically. But it should still do okay enough. The first film is still popular, and I think there are plenty who are interested in how the story continues and what Emily Blunt and her kids are up to. The return of the creative team might also help too. It 2 dropped about 35% from its predecessor, and I think that sounds about right here. 40/120 (3x)

https://www.thewrap.com/female-led-blockbusters-wonder-woman-1984-and-black-widow-top-2020-fandango-poll-of-most-anticipated-movies/ Hit Fandango's list too #TheHypeisReal

I talked about this stuff with @Spidey Freak yesterday, where obviously this stuff is never perfect, but I feel like Fandango's list is a good indicator of what people are feeling, and what they're excited for. And, at least for last year, you can see where the discrepancy in these lists come from, in both placement and rankings. Glass got hit hard by bad reviews, and Dumbo was boring as sin to kids. Lion King had an empty August to make its money, which helped it jump over the other movies ahead of it, while Star Wars had December to boost its legs (though granted it didn't even have a subtitle yet, but I digress). Oh yeah, also from Fandango Judging the people who didn't put Timmy in for Most Anticipated Actor by the by

March 13 Bloodshot: Sony, I get that comic book movies are all the rage, but even I have never heard of Valiant Comics until this movie was announced. What makes you think the GA will? Anyways, looking at the trailer, this will probably play like most non-Fast Vin Diesel offerings, doing somewhere between Xander Cage and Last Witch Hunter. Make its money, then quietly come and go from theaters. 14/35 (2.5x) I Still Believe: The I Can Only Imagine boys are back with another Christian joint. And while Easter is a lot later compared to 2018, it should do on par, if not better than their last film. These movies have their audience, and the Erwins did a great job selling their last film that I’m sure they can do it to this guy’s fanbase too. Bigger opening, smaller legs, about the same results. 20/85 (4.25x) My Spy: It’s never a good sign for any movie when it’s delayed twice. And kids, both boys and girls, already have or will have better options once this comes out, which means this will basically get the table scraps. Sorry Bautista. 7/20 (2.86x)

March 6 Onward: John Lasseter’s evil is no more. After nothing but sequels, Pixar is finally back with an original slate, and this kickoff seems promising. Trailer views for the first and second trailer, fickle as trailer views may be, are already outpacing most of Coco’s trailers, while the premise and trailers are fun enough with some good laughs. A starry cast full of A-listers, arguably somewhat a rarity for Pixar movies, also doesn’t hurt. I don’t think the premise nor the ads have been as effective or memorable as Inside Out’s or Zootopia’s, so I don’t see a breakout compared to those two. But it should definitely be a great start for Disney and Pixar, especially if the emotional “dead Dad” stuff lands, and it’ll be a good appetizer for Pixar’s true moneymaker this June. 68/245 (3.6x) The Way Back: The Way Back is a bit of a throwback to the good ol’ days of inspirational sports movies we don’t see much of anymore, like Glory Road and Miracle, which shares a director. But with that said, the movie isn’t really catching on, as the trailer on WB’s YouTube page hasn’t even crossed 2 million, and with audiences being allergic to midbudget stuff like this nowadays...well, at least it’ll do well on HBO Max. 8/30 (3.75x)

Ayyy those increases rock. Gems' number not so much, but maybe potential Oscar noms could diminish the bad WOM somewhat.

Dolittle Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-21 and Counting Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold TOTALS 0 24 29 5,480 0.53% Total Seats Sold Today: 0 Comp 0.299x of Maleficent (688K) Before everyone asks, yes I know Deadline's tracking for Dolittle is poor. Yes I know they have Bad Boys at 40M+. But two things. 1. Bad Boys only has two theaters so far, so it's kind of a waste at the moment. 2. I'm going to wait until BOP's projections tomorrow to determine what to do with both movies. I like using their stuff as an indicator more IMO.

Lol we sucked at this one

Over Detective Pikachu confirmed

How was I supposed to know that Tom Hooper was going to make the most horrific thing ever conceived?

Love you @CoolioD1 😘

And that's it for me when it comes to February. I'm definitely more optimistic compared to January, but BoP and Sonic aside, not that much. March will come tomorrow. Which Disney movie will be bigger? Can the CBM save Vinny D's film career? Will the I Can Only Imagine boys deliver another Christian musical smash? Is Emily Blunt still an iconic queen? (okay, we all know the answer is yes) All those questions and more will be answered tomorrow

February 28 The Invisible Man: Like Birds of Prey, I feel like this should have more buzz to it when looking at it on paper. It’s a Blumhouse adaptation on one of the famous Universal Monsters That seems like something that would grab people’s attention, at least online. But unlike Birds, there doesn’t seem to be much discussion at all, and while this movie looks good, I just don't think people are really hooked on it so far. March is pretty light on adult fare, so it could still have good legs and there’s plenty of time for the marketing to turn around. But I’m erring on the negative side for now, especially after how mediocre 2019 was for Blumhouse. 10/28 (2.8x)

February 21 Brahms - The Boy II: Simply put...who asked for this? Nobody cared about the first Boy movie back in 2016, so what makes STX think adding Katie Holmes will be any better? They really need help, don't they? 5/10 (2x) The Call of the Wild: Director Chris Sanders, known for Lilo & Stitch and How to Train Your Dragon, is definitely a talent, and I’m sure this movie’s really good. But the marketing is not doing this any favors, as the only thing people are talking about is the off-putting CGI dog. And with Sonic and Onward both having way more buzz with families, this feels destined to be lost in the shuffle. Ah well, should still get an audience when it hits Disney+ or HBO or wherever it's streaming. 17/50 (2.94x)

One thing I definitely miss was when Fandango did a Top 30 Most Anticipated List, with a cool little gallery and all. I'm surprised they never did it again since there's no real loss in doing so.

You don't have to be a dick, ya know that?

Well it's important to recognize that we're still in the Christmas season, and most people aren't really jazzed to buy tickets for stuff in January just yet. I don't even think Dolittle's social medias have promoted tickets being on sale yet. And of course, this is a family movie that probably won't see a ton of presales until a week or so before release. Honestly, I'm not expecting any traction presales wise until the new year.