Eric Prime

Not Russian Roulette I hope.

We aren’t allowed to place bets on here.

What has Kevin James been up to anyways? I don’t even think he’s in Adam Sandler’s Netflix movies. Last thing I heard about him was his network sitcom getting canceled after they killed off his wife in order to get Leah Remini on board.

I will say there is validity in movies being “too expensive”, but not because of monetary reasons. Rather, streaming made movie tickets way less valuable. Pre-COVID, you had about three services, unless you wanna be that guy and include CBS All Access. Now, we have a whopping 8 major SVOD services with large subscriber pools and there a lot of money spent to make sure these services expand their library size. In original stuff and old legacy stuff. When you have the option of 8 huge libraries in your house that costs the same, sometimes less than a movie ticket…yeah, that does feel worthless all of a sudden, barring the occasional nostalgic toy commercial. It’s not even really the fault of exhibitors. I don’t know how you can compete with something that offers 1,000+ movies and TV shows for $15. And even if Paramount or Peacock bite the dust, there’s still 6 services with huge libraries and lineups to get for cheap. And that isn’t even getting into Tubi or Roku Channel or Pluto, which offer the same value for free.

Some of us have been doing it since No Time to Die to be fair. 🧐

Alright. I'm sorry. I'm sorry I doubted you. I'm sorry that I didn't check earlier. I thought you were often wrong, but I wasn't. Can we please move on?

I'm just baffled why it's live-action. Like...do the fans want something that will literally look nothing like the games? Like have it animated, make it look like a high-res version of the game, get Kevin Hart to voice one of the Creepers, and you're golden.

You're the best baby

Detective Pikachu honestly came out in the worst summer possible. No matter where you put it, it was gonna get crushed by Endgame, by Toy Story, by Spider-Man, by Lion King. Any other summer prior, it could have comfortably got to around Lego Movie numbers IMO

I don’t know which of these is worse 🙃

Just noticed Deadline isn’t even reporting Furiosa anymore. Man…

https://deadline.com/2024/06/box-office-bad-boys-ride-or-die-1235961796/

https://thequorum.com/weekly-unaided-awareness-chart-sony-edition/ I'm assuming Mufasa is a typo and they mean Moana, since Mufasa wasn't on the charts last week, but Moana was.

Anyways... 4 > 2 > 3 > 1 Ready for part 5

I'm very much "assume the worst" for all superhero movies box office-wise these days, until proven otherwise (Deadpool and Joker should be fine, still kinda wait and see with Venom). And honestly, even Fantastic Four and Superman are looking pretty dicey IMO. Feel like next year could be like 2023 all over again for the genre.

It’s…not personal? And I’m not picking a fight? I’m just arguing with Legion about something. And it hasn’t gotten hostile IMO. Spirited? Sure. But we’re just arguing over different viewpoints, which is what forums are all about. Nobody is insulting one another, so things are fine. But you know? It’s clear neither party will agree, so I’ll end it here. I have my feelings, others have their own. It’s all good.

I mean I specifically said in the post you quoted that it doesn’t happen all the time. I know for Fall Guy and Bad Boys that it was accurate or even under predicted. But again, it shows how inconsistent he is and how wonky his projections are, and being right sometimes doesn’t invalidate his overestimating on other times. At the very least, I think it’s fair to say he is far from perfect with this stuff and he isn’t above criticism. Sorry.

That's also a big problem. Like I didn't bring it up, but he said IF was going to have "1.8M+ previews". That implies 1.8M is the minimum it can do. When it goes to 1.75M...yeah, I got a problem with that. Because you just said it did lower than even what is posted as the "low end". I'm sure that's not Charlie's intentions, but intentions don't equal actions.

Two weeks ago, Charlie's projections were 2.5M for Garfield and 4M for Furiosa. It went 1.9M and. 3.5M. Big drops. Charlie said 7M for Kingdom of the Apes, then it went lower at 6.6M. Challengers he had at 2.5M, then the actual was 1.9M. Civil War he had at 3.5M previews, and it was 2.9M. Like...yeah. He does overestimate previews. And in some cases, like Furiosa or Challengers, that's a pretty significant amount. Is it every single time? Of course not. But this has been a pretty consistent pattern of Charlie's. And I think it's fair to call it out when it happens this many times in the span of a few weeks. I'm clearly outnumbered in people thinking it should still be posted. But Charlie needs to figure out how to fix up his projections when he tweets this stuff out. Because this information isn't helpful. If anything, it makes things way worse for all parties.

https://deadline.com/2024/06/box-office-bad-boys-ride-or-die-1235961796/

The Watchers hit 1M. Which like...it could be worse? I guess?

Charlie is allowed to see another day. Thank god

Probably about half of that. Maybe 20M if it got lucky.

Quorum Updates Twisters T-43: 48.83% Awareness, 53.83% Interest They Listen T-85: 9.83% Awareness, 35.08% Interest The Best Christmas Pageant Ever T-155: 8.6% Awareness, 27.85% Interest Moana 2 T-174: 44.58% Awareness, 50.45% Interest Sonic the Hedgehog 3 T-197: 41.42% Awareness, 44% Interest Bad Boys for Life T-1: 67.03% Awareness, 58.38% Interest Final Awareness: 100% chance of 20M, 88% chance of 30M, 85% chance of 40M, 73% chance of 50M, 58% chance of 60M, 46% chance of 70M Medium Awareness: 100% chance of 70M Final Interest: 79% chance of 20M, 60% chance of 30M, 45% chance of 40M, 31% chance of 50M, 23% chance of 60M, 16% chance of 70M Medium Interest: 75% chance of 20M, 58% chance of 30M, 25% chance of 40M, 8% chance of 50M The Watchers T-1: 31.97% Awareness, 45.95% Interest Final Awareness: 41% chance of 10M Horror Awareness: 47% chance of 10M Final Interest: 49% chance of 10M Horror Interest: 45% chance of 10M Inside Out 2 T-8: 57.54% Awareness, 51.83% Interest Final Awareness: 92% chance of 20M, 73% chance of 30M, 35% chance of 40M, 23% chance of 50M, 15% chance of 60M, 11% chance of 90M, 8% chance of 100M Animation/Family Awareness: 100% chance of 20M, 50% chance of 30M Final Interest: 79% chance of 20M, 60% chance of 30M, 45% chance of 40M, 31% chance of 50M, 23% chance of 60M, 16% chance of 70M, 14% chance of 80M, 11% chance of 90M, 8% chance of 100M Animation/Family Interest: 100% chance of 20M, 86% chance of 30M, 71% chance of 50M, 43% chance of 90M, 29% chance of 100M Cuckoo T-57: 11.07% Awareness, 37.24% Interest T-60 Awareness: 29% chance of 10M Horror Awareness: 46% chance of 10M T-60 Interest: 33% chance of 10M Horror Interest: 40% chance of 10M Borderlands T-64: 28.31% Awareness, 42.84% Interest T-60 Awareness: 60% chance of 10M, 31% chance of 20M Medium Awareness: 75% chance of 10M, 37% chance of 20M T-60 Interest: 62% chance of 10M, 34% chance of 20M Medium Interest: 68% chance of 10M, 36% chance of 20M