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OffTheHizzle

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Posts posted by OffTheHizzle

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  1. On 9/6/2019 at 11:02 AM, StarWarsMemer said:

    We'll assume Frozen 2's trailer views will be 75M by time of release. It gained 5M~ this week, so 10M more is plausible.

    Based on how quickly it's racking up views, 75M seems like a conservative estimate. The only thing that may keep it below 75M would be the release of the next F2 trailer.

  2. On 8/28/2019 at 6:41 PM, VenomXXR said:

     

    I held back from saying what I want to, so I don’t get banned. 

    Perhaps it’s better for you to use Google more often and BOT a bit less.

    Pretty sad that we've reached a point where you have to be concerned about getting banned from a forum for expressing opinions that differ from the current socially acceptable norms.

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  3. <blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-lang="en"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">Bumped into a couple of my favorite sisters in The Walt Disney Animation Studios booth at D23Expo. Full weekend of great events. Can’t wait to share some  F2 peeks and more! <a href="https://twitter.com/hashtag/D23Expo?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">#D23Expo</a> <a href="https://t.co/wtTY4v1qR6">pic.twitter.com/wtTY4v1qR6</a></p>&mdash; Jennifer Lee (@alittlejelee) <a href="https://twitter.com/alittlejelee/status/1164901902024228864?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">August 23, 2019</a></blockquote>
    <script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>

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  4. On 8/8/2019 at 12:46 AM, rihrey said:

    Has anyone noticed how fast the trailer views have been growing lately? it's at 46,7 million right now, and it reached 40M just a few days ago.

    I noticed that a few days ago.  It's almost at 47 million now.  Not sure what caused it to spike like that.  Is the trailer playing before The Lion King?  Maybe that's generated additional interest?

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  5. On 11/29/2016 at 11:54 AM, cannastop said:

    I think that this is going to make around $600m-$700m ww. Thanksgiving 2019 is probably the future release date.

     

    Frozen 2 would have to be incredibly bad for this to happen, and even then this is still an extremely low estimate.  Frozen made almost 650 million in the US and Japan alone.

  6. 12 hours ago, Heretic said:

    Surprised Tangled isn't higher in Japan, it seems like the sort of film that'd do amazing there.

     

     

    Tangled is a great movie and would have done much better in Japan were it not for the earthquake.

     

    12 hours ago, Heretic said:

    Also, it's so much better than Frozen.

     

     

    But it's not better than Frozen.  It would have never gotten close to ¥25 billion.

  7.  

    Maybe.  There'll be at least 8, most likely 9 (the next Rurouni Kenshin).  I don't think Marnie is going to reach the mark, and 4 billion is always a difficult mark to reach for most films, so we'll see how the latter releases in the year do.

     

    Here is my projected Top 10:

     

    Projected Top 10 of 2014 (Dec.-Dec.)
     
    01. ¥25.5 billion ($250 million) - Frozen (Disney)
    02. ¥8.74 billion ($84.9 million) - The Eternal Zero (Toho)
    03. ¥6.50-8.00 billion ($63-78 million) - Stand By Me, Doraemon (Toho)
    04. ¥6.60-6.80 billion ($64-66 million) - Maleficent (Disney)
    05. ¥4.40-4.60 billion ($43-45 million) - Rurouni Kenshin: The Great Kyoto Fire Arc (Warner Bros.)
    06. ¥4.43 billion ($43.5 million) - Thermae Romae II (Toho)
    07. ¥4.25 billion ($41.2 million) - Lupin III vs Detective Conan (Toho)
    08. ¥4.09 billion ($40.1 million) - Detective Conan: The Sniper from Another Dimension (Toho)
    09. ¥3.70-4.00 billion ($36-39 million) - Memories of Marnie (Toho)
    10. ¥3.58 billion ($35.1 million) - Doraemon: Nobita's Great Demon - Peko and the Exploration Party (Toho) 
     
    Stand By Me, Doraemon's range is quite wide because it's still pretty new, and with it appealing to an audience much broader outside the normal Doraemon film, it's hard to predict what will happen to it at the end of the month.  Children/family films usually fall apart when September begins, but it's appealing to a much broader audience.  Maleficent, Rurouni Kenshin 2, and Marnie are unlikely to land outside of their ranges, and other notable films in release (Godzilla, Transformers 4, and Pokemon XY) don't have enough left to make a run at the Top 10 for the year.  
     
    Remaining 2014 Top 10 (¥3.5/4 billion+) Contenders:
    Rurouni Kenshin: The Legend Ends (Warner Bros.) [09/13]
    Interstellar (Warner Bros.) [11/22]
    Parasyte Part 1 (Toho) [11/29]
     
    Director Takashi Yamazaki could have 3 films in the Top 10 (The Eternal Zero, Stand By Me, Doraemon, and possibly Patasyte Part 1).  I don't think any director has ever accomplished this feat.
     
    If 2014 can manage 10 films above ¥4 billion (locked for 8, 9/10 is possible), it'll be the first time the Top 10 have all been above the mark since 2010, and then 2007 before that.  Think of ¥4 billion as about the $225 million equivalent release in the US. 

     

     

    Does that mean that the ¥25.5 billion ($250 million) for Frozen would be the equivalent of over $1.4 billion in the US?

  8. I think it will beat Avatar Blu-rays sold by end of 2014.

     

    Also, I don't recall ever seeing any Blu-ray on Amazon having over 10,000 reviews.

    http://www.amazon.com/Frozen-Two-Disc-Blu-ray-Digital-Copy/dp/B00G5G7K7O/ref=sr_1_1?ie=UTF8&qid=1405225661&sr=8-1&keywords=frozen+bluray

     

    I'm not sure how long ago this list was compiled, but there's nothing even close to 10,000 reviews!

    http://www.amazon.com/Most-Reviewed-Items-Amazon-com/lm/R2T3W4O42W6US1

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