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Ariadne

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Posts posted by Ariadne

  1. Why do some people have top 12's then? baumer said he didn't delete anybody's #12 film.JUST TOP 11 makes it seem as though they didn't have a #12.For example 2-3 posters actually had GI JOE as #12 and baumer included their GI JOE gross below it.Doesn't make sense why he would delete 4 people's #12.

    He deleted some people's and didn't delete others - I guess he got tired after awhile and just copy and pasted JUST TOP 11 over some peoples 12th film. But he says he's gone through and deleted them all now.
  2. All films for the top 12 unless otherwise specified

    All questions worth 1000

    1) Will Snow White open to more than 40 million? Yes

    2) Will Piranha 3DD open to more 2.5 mill? No

    3) Will Greater Glory have a per theater average of more than $4500? No

    4) Will Battlefield America make more than 500K? Yes

    5) Will Piranha have a Saturday drop of more than 20%? Yes

    6) Will Snow White have a Saturday increase of more than 10%? Yes

    7) Will The Avengers drop more than 49%? No

    8) Will MIB3 drop more than 55%? Yes

    9) Will any film in the top 10 have a Sunday drop of less than 40% from it's previous Sunday? Yes

    10) Will Snow White make at least 15 mill more than MIB3? Yes

    11) Will any film have a Friday increase of less than 30%? No

    12) Will Chernobyl Diaries make at least 1 million more than Piranha 3DD Yes

    13) Will Best Exotic Marigold finish in the top 10? Yes

    10/13 3000

    11/13 4000

    12/13 5000

    13/13 8000

    Bonus 1) What will the Avengers WW total be after estimates on Sunday? 4000

    $1.357b

    Bonus 2) What will The Hunger Games domestic total be after Monday actuals? 4000

    $398.415m

    Bonus 3) What films finish in slots:

    4 Battleship

    6 Best Exotic Marigold Hotel

    7 For Greater Glory

    11 The Hunger Games

    2000 each....get all four correct get a 5000 bonus.

  3. But we don't know if it would have made it to the top 12. No one does. And since we all called it to get there, and it didn't, even though not in the traditional sense, wouldn't it be pragmatic and fair to give those ten a small bonus?

    I completely agree baumer, I can't believe everyone's so up in arms about this. Those 10 people were right, GI Joe 2 didn't make the top 12 and to be honest, I don't think it would have made the top 12 anyway and if I had it to do again I'd remove it. Clearly, the studio agrees or it wouldn't have pulled the film.
  4. I get what you're saying but honestly GI Joe if it were released would indisputably be in the Top 12.Saying it therefore made $0 or is unforeseen isn't fair a justification for the 10 people who didn't have it in.I'm not sure what the predictions for the #12 movie are for people who have 12 without GI Joe, but if it were listed, and say someone had predicted the #12 film at $90m, let's face it, GI Joe was never looking like making less than $90m.The flaw in my argument is that 10 people thought it would bomb anyway so obviously it wasn't a lock. But given where we are/were now right before GI Joe was yanked, you'd have to be living under a rock to say that it wasn't going to make at least $110m.

    I disagree personally that it was locked to make the top 12. But the decision's been made. If TDKR moves to Wednesday or any other due dates are changed I don't want people clamouring for a do-over, because changes are always possible and you have to take that into consideration.
  5. That is an awful idea. Why would those 10 people be allowed to take off any movie they want when the other 44 people can't? GI Joe being removed didn't help anyone, there is no reason to reward anybody for what is out of their control.We just need to move on. Shit happens.

    They shouldn't be penalized for making a correct call. Take Totem for example, he didn't have GI Joe 2 in his top 12 - which was the right call. But he's now lost his 12th movie 'That's My Boy', but has had to keep Battleship and Dark Shadows. Now if That's My Boy makes the top 12, he has a legitimate right to be pissed - he's lost out on those points through no fault of his own.Those 10 people correctly predicted that GI Joe 2 wouldn't make the top 12 (you generally need to get $120m to get there). Well, they were right and the studio obviously agrees with them or it wouldn't have been pulled. I think everything should have stayed the way it was - unpredictable things happen in box office - so what if a movie gets pulled or an opening day changes?
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