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Posts posted by Ariadne
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1. Prometheus2. The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey3. Star Trek 24. Breaking Dawn Part 25. Iron Man 36. The Dark Knight Rises7. Skyfall8. Les Miserables9. Django Unchained10. Elysium
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There's been nothing decent aimed at the female audience since THG, so I expect this will be so. I do expect a decent male audience as well though, it seems like a perfect date movie too - there's something for everyone.I'm anxious to see what the percentage of females under 25 is. It seems like they might be the driving force.
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If it does 55m+ I'll be really pleased, I was hoping for 60m+ which is still possible. That would be awesome. I'm really pleased for the cast, who I love.
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SOTM 4
By July 1sts actuals, will these films surpass these totals?
A) Moonrise Kingdom: 10 mill
Chernobyl Diaries: 20 mill
C) Best Exotic Marigold Hotel: 25 mill (Yes)
D) Hunger Games: 401 mill (Yes)
E) Dictator: 53 mill (Yes)
F) Intouchables: 600K (Yes)
C,D, E and F.
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Pretty decent week for me (12/13), hopefully I've moved up a tad in the rankings.
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4 hour masturbation session? Talk about sore wrists!It must be. Cuz I've never heard of a four hour walking the dog session. But I have heard of a four hour masturbation session.
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Yeah, that was brought up when she was cast, but she's a really good actress which is the main thing.Shae's scenes in this episode were really good too. I was on her imdb page today and it turns out she was a porn actress with lovely titles such as "Sextrip - Heisses Pflaster Amsterdam" and "2002 wilde Sex-Nächte" under her belt.
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It's funny how much better the writing was this episode than the last. Martin isn't afraid to take whole sections of dialogue from the books, you don't have to change things just for the sake of it.
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Awesome episode - best of the season. Sansa was awesome in every way. It's a pity she hasn't been given much to do this season.And The Rains of Castamere was brilliant.
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Let's wait for Monday's actuals before tallying up our points. LOL.
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He deleted some people's and didn't delete others - I guess he got tired after awhile and just copy and pasted JUST TOP 11 over some peoples 12th film. But he says he's gone through and deleted them all now.Why do some people have top 12's then? baumer said he didn't delete anybody's #12 film.JUST TOP 11 makes it seem as though they didn't have a #12.For example 2-3 posters actually had GI JOE as #12 and baumer included their GI JOE gross below it.Doesn't make sense why he would delete 4 people's #12.
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All films for the top 12 unless otherwise specified
All questions worth 1000
1) Will Snow White open to more than 40 million? Yes
2) Will Piranha 3DD open to more 2.5 mill? No
3) Will Greater Glory have a per theater average of more than $4500? No
4) Will Battlefield America make more than 500K? Yes
5) Will Piranha have a Saturday drop of more than 20%? Yes
6) Will Snow White have a Saturday increase of more than 10%? Yes
7) Will The Avengers drop more than 49%? No
8) Will MIB3 drop more than 55%? Yes
9) Will any film in the top 10 have a Sunday drop of less than 40% from it's previous Sunday? Yes
10) Will Snow White make at least 15 mill more than MIB3? Yes
11) Will any film have a Friday increase of less than 30%? No
12) Will Chernobyl Diaries make at least 1 million more than Piranha 3DD Yes
13) Will Best Exotic Marigold finish in the top 10? Yes
10/13 3000
11/13 4000
12/13 5000
13/13 8000
Bonus 1) What will the Avengers WW total be after estimates on Sunday? 4000
$1.357b
Bonus 2) What will The Hunger Games domestic total be after Monday actuals? 4000
$398.415m
Bonus 3) What films finish in slots:
4 Battleship
6 Best Exotic Marigold Hotel
7 For Greater Glory
11 The Hunger Games
2000 each....get all four correct get a 5000 bonus.
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That's because baumer went through and deleted some peoples number 12.You should, go check it yourself you have no #12.
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Sorority BoysDuneDaredevilThe Village
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Titanic - 3 timesCrouching Tiger Hidden Dragon - 3 timesLast of the Mohicans - 3 timesNew Moon - 3 timesEclipse - 3 times
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DH2 - 8/10ROTS - 7/10
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1. Snow White and the Huntsman2. Prometheus3. The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey4. Star Trek 25. Breaking Dawn Part 26. Iron Man 37. Skyfall8. The Dark Knight Rises9. Django Unchained10. Elysium
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I completely agree baumer, I can't believe everyone's so up in arms about this. Those 10 people were right, GI Joe 2 didn't make the top 12 and to be honest, I don't think it would have made the top 12 anyway and if I had it to do again I'd remove it. Clearly, the studio agrees or it wouldn't have pulled the film.But we don't know if it would have made it to the top 12. No one does. And since we all called it to get there, and it didn't, even though not in the traditional sense, wouldn't it be pragmatic and fair to give those ten a small bonus?
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Crazy.with Marketing200m production 100m marketing
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I agree, over 200m is very unlikely, it's looking at around $170m at the moment.It's not a big hit you'd expect from Will Smith. I'd be shocked if it does more than 175m. Then again, let's wait for the Saturday number.
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You're joking.300M for GL.
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I disagree personally that it was locked to make the top 12. But the decision's been made. If TDKR moves to Wednesday or any other due dates are changed I don't want people clamouring for a do-over, because changes are always possible and you have to take that into consideration.I get what you're saying but honestly GI Joe if it were released would indisputably be in the Top 12.Saying it therefore made $0 or is unforeseen isn't fair a justification for the 10 people who didn't have it in.I'm not sure what the predictions for the #12 movie are for people who have 12 without GI Joe, but if it were listed, and say someone had predicted the #12 film at $90m, let's face it, GI Joe was never looking like making less than $90m.The flaw in my argument is that 10 people thought it would bomb anyway so obviously it wasn't a lock. But given where we are/were now right before GI Joe was yanked, you'd have to be living under a rock to say that it wasn't going to make at least $110m.
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Sorry, I've met my like quota for the day. -
They shouldn't be penalized for making a correct call. Take Totem for example, he didn't have GI Joe 2 in his top 12 - which was the right call. But he's now lost his 12th movie 'That's My Boy', but has had to keep Battleship and Dark Shadows. Now if That's My Boy makes the top 12, he has a legitimate right to be pissed - he's lost out on those points through no fault of his own.Those 10 people correctly predicted that GI Joe 2 wouldn't make the top 12 (you generally need to get $120m to get there). Well, they were right and the studio obviously agrees with them or it wouldn't have been pulled. I think everything should have stayed the way it was - unpredictable things happen in box office - so what if a movie gets pulled or an opening day changes?That is an awful idea. Why would those 10 people be allowed to take off any movie they want when the other 44 people can't? GI Joe being removed didn't help anyone, there is no reason to reward anybody for what is out of their control.We just need to move on. Shit happens.
New Deadline for Weekly Answers
in Chasmmi's Infamous Box Office Game
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Thanks for this baumer!