[ITALY (Botteghino): 'Kung Fu Panda 4' becomes biggest 2024 film]

53 minutes ago, lor15 said:

FFH is having good late legs, isn't it? Strange for a CBM in Italy

It really is.  Second best drop in the top 10 for the third weekend in a row.

[ITALY (Botteghino): 'Kung Fu Panda 4' becomes biggest 2024 film]

WEEKEND RESULTS (15th-18th AUGUST)

 

RANK	MOVIE	WEEKEND GROSS	HOLD	TOTAL GROSS	PROJECTED GROSS (M)
1	Hobbs & Shaw	908.770	-54%	4.173.752	5.40
2	Crawl	307.855	NEW	307.855	0.75
3	Spider Man: Far From Home	167.045	-17%	11.460.092	11.70
4	MIB: International	166.235	-17%	2.549.631	2.80
5	The Nest - Il Nido (It)	146.641	NEW	146.641	0.30
6	Toy Story 4	84.345	+3%	6.057.858	6.20
7	Skjelvet	53.903	-37%	196.599	0.30
8	Serenity	47.075	-28%	1.341.399	1.40
9	Kin	39.089	NEW	39.089	0.10
10	The Wanting	25.501	-57%	307.243	0.35

 

The weekend was down 27.88% from the same weekend last year. As a result, 2019 has lowered its lead under 9%, to 8.92%.

Despite the very solid weekdays and great overall holds, the week cost 2019 almost a full percentage point. In 2018 The Meg was a slightly weaker performer, but thanks to Ant Man 2 the week received some serious (at least for August standards) boost.

 

Hobbs & Shaw dropped in line with expectations, but I'm upping its projected total a little due to the strong weekdays.

 

Wonderful holds for Spider Man, MIB and Toy Story 4. Far From Home has now a small chance of beating The Amazing Spider Man, currently #12 in thye superhero chart with 12.77 millions, and the highest grossing non-Raimi Spider Man ever (not like there are many...). MIB will finish 30% above Godzilla,  and 20/25% below Pets 2. In May, nobody thought that would translate into a sub-3M gross. Toy Story 4 is saving some face thanks to some great late legs - considering it's getting close to 1M admissions and will certainly get past that once SIAE releases the actual number, the movie has moved from failure territory to big disappointment.

 

And in 2 days...The Lion King. I'm expecting a 8M 4-day opening (10M+ 5-day) for a total around right between Alice in Wonderland (30.4) and BatB (20.5). It has a bigger potential...but bad weather is nowhere to be seen.

[ITALY (Botteghino): 'Kung Fu Panda 4' becomes biggest 2024 film]

GENERAL UPDATE:

 

Spoiler

TUESDAY 13/08

1. FAST & FURIOUS: HOBBS & SHAW - € 288.358 - 45.356
2. SPIDER-MAN: FAR FROM HOME - € 44.037 - 8.886
3. MEN IN BLACK INTERNATIONAL - € 43.145 - 7.305
4. TOY STORY 4 - € 18.862 - 3.317
5. THE QUAKE - € 17.741 - 3.360
6. SERENITY - € 13.778 - 2.269
7. THE WANTING - € 12.928 - 2.099
8. HOTEL ARTEMIS - € 11.557 - 2.005
9. DOLCISSIME - € 6.460 - 1.142
10. MIDSOMMAR - € 5.997 - 925

 

WEDNESDAY 14/08

1. FAST & FURIOUS: HOBBS & SHAW - € 261.005 - 38.360
2. SPIDER-MAN: FAR FROM HOME - € 45.484 - 7.181
3. MEN IN BLACK INTERNATIONAL - € 43.419 - 6.880
4. TOY STORY 4 - € 25.788 - 4.235
5. THE QUAKE - € 18.326 - 3.343
6. SERENITY - € 14.517 - 2.316
7. THE WANTING - € 14.309 - 2.150
8. HOTEL ARTEMIS - € 11.493 - 1.925
9. DOLCISSIME - € 6.766 - 1.100
10. CATS AND PEACHTOPIA - € 6.110 - 1.068

 

THURSDAY 15/08

1. FAST & FURIOUS: HOBBS & SHAW - € 190.269 - 25.278
2. CRAWL: INTRAPPOLATI - € 73.741 - 10.558
3. MEN IN BLACK INTERNATIONAL - € 37.994 - 5.442
4. SPIDER-MAN: FAR FROM HOME - € 37.166 - 5.282
5. THE NEST (IL NIDO) - € 33.706 - 4.719
6. TOY STORY 4 - € 19.444 - 2.897
7. THE QUAKE - € 12.612 - 2.245
8. SERENITY - € 10.776 - 1.605
9. KIN - € 7.792 - 1.550
10. THE CURRENT WAR - € 5.089 - 750

 

FRIDAY 16/08 (taken from different site)

1 – FAST & FURIOUS – HOBBS & SHAW: 224.285 euro (32.602 spettatori)

2 – CRAWL – INTRAPPOLATI: 73.404 euro (11.293 spettatori)

3 – SPIDER-MAN: FAR FROM HOME: 38.461 euro (5.938 spettatori)

4 – MEN IN BLACK INTERNATIONAL: 35.899 euro (5.576 spettatori)

5 – THE NEST (IL NIDO): 32.217 euro (5.000 spettatori)

6 – TOY STORY 4: 18.387 euro (3.135 spettatori)

7 – THE QUAKE – IL TERREMOTO DEL SECOLO: 12.384 euro (2.396 spettatori)

8 – SERENITY: 10.564 euro (1.589 spettatori)

9 – KIN: 8.454 euro (1.749 spettatori)

10 – THE WANTING: 5.740 euro (887 spettatori)

 

SATURDAY 17/08

1 – FAST & FURIOUS – HOBBS & SHAW: 244.596 euro (32.921 spettatori)

2 – CRAWL – INTRAPPOLATI: 81.079 euro (11.572 spettatori)

3 – MEN IN BLACK INTERNATIONAL: 47.084 euro (6.700 spettatori)

4 – SPIDER-MAN: FAR FROM HOME: 43.387 euro (6.129 spettatori)

5 – THE NEST (IL NIDO): 40.212 euro (5.686 spettatori)

6 – TOY STORY 4: 21.350 euro (3.246 spettatori)

7 – THE QUAKE – IL TERREMOTO DEL SECOLO: 14.793 euro (2.635 spettatori)

8 – SERENITY: 13.392 euro (1.871 spettatori)

9 – KIN: 11.415 euro (2.323 spettatori)

10 – THE WANTING: 8.329 euro

 

18/08/19 SUNDAY

1	FAST & FURIOUS - HOBBS & SHAW (FAST & FURIOUS PRESENTS: HOBBS & SHAW)	08/08/2019	USA	UNIVERSAL S.R.L.	€ 241.967	32.845
2	CRAWL - INTRAPPOLATI	15/08/2019	USA	20TH CENTURY FOX ITALIA S.P.A.	€ 77.243	11.075
3	SPIDER-MAN: FAR FROM HOME	10/07/2019	USA	WARNER BROS ITALIA S.P.A.	€ 46.559	6.658
4	MEN IN BLACK INTERNATIONAL	25/07/2019	USA	WARNER BROS ITALIA S.P.A.	€ 44.244	6.425
5	THE NEST	15/08/2019	ITA	VISION DISTRIBUTION	€ 39.584	5.636
6	TOY STORY 4	26/06/2019	USA	WALT DISNEY S.M.P. ITALIA	€ 24.709	3.686
7	THE QUAKE - IL TERREMOTO DEL SECOLO (SKJELVET)	08/08/2019	NOR	ALTRE STORIE	€ 13.889	2.516
8	SERENITY	29/06/2019	GBR	LUCKY RED DISTRIB.	€ 12.045	1.678
9	KIN	15/08/2019	USA	INDIPENDENTI REGIONALI	€ 11.405	2.352
10	IL TRADITORE	23/05/2019	ITA	01 DISTRIBUTION	€ 8.014	1.154

 

[TOY STORY IV | 639.4 M overseas ● 1073.4 M worldwide]

Over 1.1B would have been a nice cherry But yeah, it doesn't really matters considering how big of a success it has been.

[TOY STORY IV | 639.4 M overseas ● 1073.4 M worldwide]

2 hours ago, pepsa said:

Only a 8.6m weekend, if  we subtract Germany and Japan we get $4m that is pretty bad tbh. 

Yeah, that's pretty bad. Obon was good but lower than expected, Germany is Germany and the holdovers fell pretty badly.

Say 40M from current markets (Japan will boost the multiplier), 10M domestically and 15M from remaining markets - that's 1.082B. Totally unlikely to see a finish either above 1.1B or below TS3.

[JAPAN BOX OFFICE | Demon Slayer breaks all time record for OW]

If TS4 drops below 3M (which should be the case given Corpse's % range) I have a hard time seeing it reach 110M dollars. It would need a 10x multiplier from a post-Obon weekend.

[Mexico Box Office | Furiosa #1 with $2.4M, lower than Fury Road; Apes #2, $15.5M total; Garfield reaches $17.4M.]

*scrolls the top 10 in total gross*

"disneydisneydisneydisneydisney.....oh, Universal!...disneydisney..."

 

[BO Germany/Austria: Dune first 2024 blockbuster (3mil admissions)]

It's crazy to think that Slop 2 is the third Hollywood grosser of the year so far with just 2.5M admissions (projected total), when in France that'd be barely enough to enter the top 10.

[JAPAN BOX OFFICE | Demon Slayer breaks all time record for OW]

The Lion King is absolutely locked to pass Endgame in Japan. Zero doubts.

[Official France Box Office Thread]

Pretty crazy to see that Treasure Planet did 3M admissions in France. That's like 1/4 of its entire OS gross.

[ITALY (Botteghino): 'Kung Fu Panda 4' becomes biggest 2024 film]

12/08/19 (Monday)

 

1	FAST & FURIOUS - HOBBS & SHAW (FAST & FURIOUS PRESENTS: HOBBS & SHAW)	08/08/2019	USA	UNIVERSAL S.R.L.	€ 358.511	54.711
2	SPIDER-MAN: FAR FROM HOME	10/07/2019	USA	WARNER BROS ITALIA S.P.A.	€ 51.022	8.792
3	MEN IN BLACK INTERNATIONAL	25/07/2019	USA	WARNER BROS ITALIA S.P.A.	€ 46.963	7.718
4	TOY STORY 4	26/06/2019	USA	WALT DISNEY S.M.P. ITALIA	€ 18.786	3.209
5	THE QUAKE - IL TERREMOTO DEL SECOLO (SKJELVET)	08/08/2019	NOR	ALTRE STORIE	€ 18.678	3.451
6	ISABELLE - L'ULTIMA EVOCAZIONE (THE WANTING)	01/08/2019	CAN	NOTORIOUS PICT. S.P.A.	€ 16.853	2.611
7	SERENITY	29/06/2019	GBR	LUCKY RED DISTRIB.	€ 14.662	2.260
8	HOTEL ARTEMIS	01/08/2019	USA	01 DISTRIBUTION	€ 12.221	2.025
9	IL TRADITORE	23/05/2019	ITA	01 DISTRIBUTION	€ 7.033	1.313
10	MIDSOMMAR - IL VILLAGGIO DEI DANNATI	25/07/2019	USA	EAGLE PICTURES S.P.A.	€ 6.460	938

 

So, there was some rain here and there, and that's the result.

Drops from Sunday:

H&S > -26%

FFH > -21%

MIB Int > -22%

TS4 > -38%

Serenity > -26%

[JAPAN BOX OFFICE | Demon Slayer breaks all time record for OW]

Just a joke

A month ago Geo1500 was totally sure, despite all reasonings and evidence, that Aladdin would have come quite close to Frozen in Japan (like around 200M, and certainly way above 150). Given that now you need reasonings and evidence to understand that Aladdin is finishing between 110 and 120M, he may still be convinced about his projection.

[JAPAN BOX OFFICE | Demon Slayer breaks all time record for OW]

On 8/12/2019 at 12:44 PM, RealLyre said:

how long until WWY passes Aladdin? 

Never going to happen. According to Geo1500, Aladdin is going to finish around 200 millions.

[ITALY (Botteghino): 'Kung Fu Panda 4' becomes biggest 2024 film]

WEEKEND RESULTS (8th-11st AUGUST)

 

RANK	MOVIE	WEEKEND GROSS	HOLD	TOTAL GROSS	PROJECTED GROSS (M)
1	Hobbs & Shaw	1.991.292	NEW	2.331.275	5.20
2	Bring the Soul - The Movie	231.760	NEW	363.595	0.60
3	Spider Man: Far From Home	200.744	-46%	11.149.931	11.50
4	MIB: International	199.336	-54%	2.246.673	2.50
5	Skjelvet (Nor)	85.861	NEW	85.861	0.25
6	Toy Story 4	81.576	-29%	5.905.712	6.10
7	Serenity	65.301	-48%	1.250.647	1.40
8	The Wantinf	59.877	-46%	236.351	0.35
9	Hotel Artemis	49.771	-79%	392.892	0.45
10	Dolcissime (It)	30.408	-62%	152.624	0.20

 

The weekend was unexpectedly DOWN, though by just 1.71% from the same weekend last year. Despite that, 2019 has increased its lead to 9.79%, mainly thanks to the H&S previews and BtS' relatively strong OD.

I just can't believe the weekend was down from 2018's, when The Meg opened with 1.68M. Thought H&S would comfortably beat that, but it did by less than 20%.

 

Hobbs & Shaw was...A DISASTER! Its 4-day opening beat the ODs (!) of the previous 3 chapters by just 25/30%. Its total will finish below the OWs of all of them. It was also very frontloaded. The heatwave certainly played a role in this, but it's not like holdovers were really hurt by that (the overall drops are totally fine), so this is mostly due to lack of interest. With no bad weather on the horizon, H&S will just barely beat The Meg (5.00M total) and compete with Slop 2 for the title of biggest failure of the year.

 

Bring the Soul did pretty well, but it was heavily frontloaded, so it will likely drop to the bottom of the chart as soon as next weekend. Also, to be honest. before the movie opened I didn't even know the band existed.

 

Spider Man: FFH is the winner of this weekend. Sub-50% drop despite the great weather, meaning the absolute certainty to beat Civil War in the sh rankings.

 

10) Suicide Squad > 12,11

11) Hancock > 12,00

12) The Amazing Spider-Man > 11,77

13) Spider Man: Far From Home > 11.50 (projection)

14) Captain America – Civil War > 11,29

15) Aquaman > 10,77

16) Batman V Superman – Dawn of the Justice > 10,55

 

The Spider Man movies used to be bigger, but at least it's a big improvement over Homecoming's depressing result (lowest SM movie with <9M).

 

Toy Story 4 held surprisingly well and has now beaten The Grinch among this year's animated titles. Makes the disappointing result less abominable.

 

No idea what happened to Hotel Artemis...

 

Outside the top 10, Aladdin increased over last weeknd (from 21K to 23K) and is now very likely to pass the 2.4M admissions mark.

 

 

This week...basically nothing except Crawl. Nobody wants to release a movie the week before TLK and in which pretty much everyone is on vacation.

 

[TAQUILLA | Spain Boxoffice]

Is it normal in Spain to have the weekdays grossing 50% more than the previous weekend? It requires the average gross on weekdays to be above the average gross on weekend days.

[SECRET LIFE OF PETS 2 | 273.2M overseas ● 431.5M worldwide]

Mexico's debut has been solid compared to the rest of the countries, and it should show some legs in Spain and France. Target is still Pikachu.

[ITALY (Botteghino): 'Kung Fu Panda 4' becomes biggest 2024 film]

11/08/19 (Sunday)

 

1	FAST & FURIOUS - HOBBS & SHAW (FAST & FURIOUS PRESENTS: HOBBS & SHAW)	08/08/2019	USA	UNIVERSAL S.R.L.	€ 483.412	65.335
2	SPIDER-MAN: FAR FROM HOME	10/07/2019	USA	WARNER BROS ITALIA S.P.A.	€ 63.388	9.100
3	MEN IN BLACK INTERNATIONAL	25/07/2019	USA	WARNER BROS ITALIA S.P.A.	€ 59.990	8.685
4	BRING THE SOUL: THE MOVIE	07/08/2019	KOR	NEXO DIGITAL S.P.A.	€ 52.985	4.459
5	TOY STORY 4	26/06/2019	USA	WALT DISNEY S.M.P. ITALIA	€ 30.336	4.472
6	THE QUAKE - IL TERREMOTO DEL SECOLO (SKJELVET)	08/08/2019	NOR	ALTRE STORIE	€ 27.011	4.408
7	SERENITY	29/06/2019	GBR	LUCKY RED DISTRIB.	€ 19.919	2.807
8	ISABELLE - L'ULTIMA EVOCAZIONE (THE WANTING)	01/08/2019	CAN	NOTORIOUS PICT. S.P.A.	€ 17.484	2.452
9	HOTEL ARTEMIS	01/08/2019	USA	01 DISTRIBUTION	€ 15.244	2.311
10	BIRBA - MICIO COMBINAGUAI (CATS AND PEACHTOPIA)	18/07/2019	CHN	NOTORIOUS PICT. S.P.A.	€ 10.774	1.730

 

Weekend recap later. But H&S missed the 2M mark by a bit more than 1K admissions.

And Spider Man did good!

[The Lion King OS Thread]

OS-Ch it did on the high end of expectations. Some people thought 2B was possible, and it would have happened with a better result in NA and a breakout in China.

[TOY STORY IV | 639.4 M overseas ● 1073.4 M worldwide]

Yeah, didn't realize there were so many openers next weekend.

Next weekend it will definitely have a double-digit OS weekend and an OS total of 600+. Gonna make 15+ from Japan alone.

[TOY STORY IV | 639.4 M overseas ● 1073.4 M worldwide]

It definitely does. Still some markets to opens, August legs in NA (hoping for a 25% drop next weekend), and 30+ from Japan alone.

 

Never thought TS4 would beat its predecessor worldwide. And with the usual absence of help from China, too.

[The Lion King OS Thread]

70M more domestically

120M more OS-Jap

80M more Japan

30M more Italy

Gives 1.635B. And the numbers above are not conservative at all.

 

Jurassic World should be safe. Blame (or thank) the domestic legs for that.

[BO Germany/Austria: Dune first 2024 blockbuster (3mil admissions)]

Isn't it normal for a bigger grosser (especially a non-original one) to drop a little more than the smaller one in a country like Germany where movies keep a strong amount of theaters for a long time? The small one has burnt far less demand, hasn't got any "fanbase" and is more able to find occasional moviegoers.

[TOY STORY IV | 639.4 M overseas ● 1073.4 M worldwide]

Add Italy, from 17M dollars to 7M dollars.

[JAPAN BOX OFFICE | Demon Slayer breaks all time record for OW]

7 hours ago, RealLyre said:

why don't they count Friday into the OW? shouldn't it be similar to thursday previews in NA or 5 day openings in other countries

What cannastop said (which is a practical reason), plus:

*Friday is a real opening day, and it's not part of the weekend range, so there's no logical reason to include its gross into the OW.

*Thursday previews in NA have become ridiculous at the point they can be hardly considered as previews. Not a good idea to copy a cheater.

[TOY STORY IV | 639.4 M overseas ● 1073.4 M worldwide]

Doesn't matter. It will become the #4 WW animated movie of all time with or without Germany.