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Omni

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Omni last won the day on January 15

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About Omni

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  1. I know Obon fell right on the weekdays, but it's still odd to see all movies dropping >10%.
  2. We'll see. It's certainly more than just possible but we're getting a very hot 2nd half of August. 19/08/19 (Monday) 1 FAST & FURIOUS - HOBBS & SHAW (FAST & FURIOUS PRESENTS: HOBBS & SHAW) 08/08/2019 USA UNIVERSAL S.R.L. € 160.133 24.664 2 CRAWL - INTRAPPOLATI 15/08/2019 USA 20TH CENTURY FOX ITALIA S.P.A. € 49.956 8.154 3 MEN IN BLACK INTERNATIONAL 25/07/2019 USA WARNER BROS ITALIA S.P.A. € 29.310 5.059 4 SPIDER-MAN: FAR FROM HOME 10/07/2019 USA WARNER BROS ITALIA S.P.A. € 27.436 4.433 5 THE NEST (IL NIDO) 15/08/2019 ITA VISION DISTRIBUTION € 27.429 4.493 6 TOY STORY 4 26/06/2019 USA WALT DISNEY S.M.P. ITALIA € 16.201 3.550 7 THE QUAKE - IL TERREMOTO DEL SECOLO (SKJELVET) 08/08/2019 NOR ALTRE STORIE € 10.331 2.052 8 SERENITY 29/06/2019 GBR LUCKY RED DISTRIB. € 6.408 1.034 9 KIN 15/08/2019 USA INDIPENDENTI REGIONALI € 5.290 1.113 10 ISABELLE - L'ULTIMA EVOCAZIONE (THE WANTING) 01/08/2019 CAN NOTORIOUS PICT. S.P.A. € 4.891 815 Pretty solid Monday all around. Toy Story 4 is down only 14% from last week's rainy Monday, but the magic will end tomorrow.
  3. It really is. Second best drop in the top 10 for the third weekend in a row.
  4. WEEKEND RESULTS (15th-18th AUGUST) RANK MOVIE WEEKEND GROSS HOLD TOTAL GROSS PROJECTED GROSS (M) 1 Hobbs & Shaw 908.770 -54% 4.173.752 5.40 2 Crawl 307.855 NEW 307.855 0.75 3 Spider Man: Far From Home 167.045 -17% 11.460.092 11.70 4 MIB: International 166.235 -17% 2.549.631 2.80 5 The Nest - Il Nido (It) 146.641 NEW 146.641 0.30 6 Toy Story 4 84.345 +3% 6.057.858 6.20 7 Skjelvet 53.903 -37% 196.599 0.30 8 Serenity 47.075 -28% 1.341.399 1.40 9 Kin 39.089 NEW 39.089 0.10 10 The Wanting 25.501 -57% 307.243 0.35 The weekend was down 27.88% from the same weekend last year. As a result, 2019 has lowered its lead under 9%, to 8.92%. Despite the very solid weekdays and great overall holds, the week cost 2019 almost a full percentage point. In 2018 The Meg was a slightly weaker performer, but thanks to Ant Man 2 the week received some serious (at least for August standards) boost. Hobbs & Shaw dropped in line with expectations, but I'm upping its projected total a little due to the strong weekdays. Wonderful holds for Spider Man, MIB and Toy Story 4. Far From Home has now a small chance of beating The Amazing Spider Man, currently #12 in thye superhero chart with 12.77 millions, and the highest grossing non-Raimi Spider Man ever (not like there are many...). MIB will finish 30% above Godzilla, and 20/25% below Pets 2. In May, nobody thought that would translate into a sub-3M gross. Toy Story 4 is saving some face thanks to some great late legs - considering it's getting close to 1M admissions and will certainly get past that once SIAE releases the actual number, the movie has moved from failure territory to big disappointment. And in 2 days...The Lion King. I'm expecting a 8M 4-day opening (10M+ 5-day) for a total around right between Alice in Wonderland (30.4) and BatB (20.5). It has a bigger potential...but bad weather is nowhere to be seen.
  5. GENERAL UPDATE: 18/08/19 SUNDAY 1 FAST & FURIOUS - HOBBS & SHAW (FAST & FURIOUS PRESENTS: HOBBS & SHAW) 08/08/2019 USA UNIVERSAL S.R.L. € 241.967 32.845 2 CRAWL - INTRAPPOLATI 15/08/2019 USA 20TH CENTURY FOX ITALIA S.P.A. € 77.243 11.075 3 SPIDER-MAN: FAR FROM HOME 10/07/2019 USA WARNER BROS ITALIA S.P.A. € 46.559 6.658 4 MEN IN BLACK INTERNATIONAL 25/07/2019 USA WARNER BROS ITALIA S.P.A. € 44.244 6.425 5 THE NEST 15/08/2019 ITA VISION DISTRIBUTION € 39.584 5.636 6 TOY STORY 4 26/06/2019 USA WALT DISNEY S.M.P. ITALIA € 24.709 3.686 7 THE QUAKE - IL TERREMOTO DEL SECOLO (SKJELVET) 08/08/2019 NOR ALTRE STORIE € 13.889 2.516 8 SERENITY 29/06/2019 GBR LUCKY RED DISTRIB. € 12.045 1.678 9 KIN 15/08/2019 USA INDIPENDENTI REGIONALI € 11.405 2.352 10 IL TRADITORE 23/05/2019 ITA 01 DISTRIBUTION € 8.014 1.154
  6. Over 1.1B would have been a nice cherry But yeah, it doesn't really matters considering how big of a success it has been.
  7. Yeah, that's pretty bad. Obon was good but lower than expected, Germany is Germany and the holdovers fell pretty badly. Say 40M from current markets (Japan will boost the multiplier), 10M domestically and 15M from remaining markets - that's 1.082B. Totally unlikely to see a finish either above 1.1B or below TS3.
  8. If TS4 drops below 3M (which should be the case given Corpse's % range) I have a hard time seeing it reach 110M dollars. It would need a 10x multiplier from a post-Obon weekend.
  9. *scrolls the top 10 in total gross* "disneydisneydisneydisneydisney.....oh, Universal!...disneydisney..."
  10. It's crazy to think that Slop 2 is the third Hollywood grosser of the year so far with just 2.5M admissions (projected total), when in France that'd be barely enough to enter the top 10.
  11. The Lion King is absolutely locked to pass Endgame in Japan. Zero doubts.
  12. Pretty crazy to see that Treasure Planet did 3M admissions in France. That's like 1/4 of its entire OS gross.
  13. 12/08/19 (Monday) 1 FAST & FURIOUS - HOBBS & SHAW (FAST & FURIOUS PRESENTS: HOBBS & SHAW) 08/08/2019 USA UNIVERSAL S.R.L. € 358.511 54.711 2 SPIDER-MAN: FAR FROM HOME 10/07/2019 USA WARNER BROS ITALIA S.P.A. € 51.022 8.792 3 MEN IN BLACK INTERNATIONAL 25/07/2019 USA WARNER BROS ITALIA S.P.A. € 46.963 7.718 4 TOY STORY 4 26/06/2019 USA WALT DISNEY S.M.P. ITALIA € 18.786 3.209 5 THE QUAKE - IL TERREMOTO DEL SECOLO (SKJELVET) 08/08/2019 NOR ALTRE STORIE € 18.678 3.451 6 ISABELLE - L'ULTIMA EVOCAZIONE (THE WANTING) 01/08/2019 CAN NOTORIOUS PICT. S.P.A. € 16.853 2.611 7 SERENITY 29/06/2019 GBR LUCKY RED DISTRIB. € 14.662 2.260 8 HOTEL ARTEMIS 01/08/2019 USA 01 DISTRIBUTION € 12.221 2.025 9 IL TRADITORE 23/05/2019 ITA 01 DISTRIBUTION € 7.033 1.313 10 MIDSOMMAR - IL VILLAGGIO DEI DANNATI 25/07/2019 USA EAGLE PICTURES S.P.A. € 6.460 938 So, there was some rain here and there, and that's the result. Drops from Sunday: H&S > -26% FFH > -21% MIB Int > -22% TS4 > -38% Serenity > -26%
  14. Just a joke A month ago Geo1500 was totally sure, despite all reasonings and evidence, that Aladdin would have come quite close to Frozen in Japan (like around 200M, and certainly way above 150). Given that now you need reasonings and evidence to understand that Aladdin is finishing between 110 and 120M, he may still be convinced about his projection.
  15. Never going to happen. According to Geo1500, Aladdin is going to finish around 200 millions.
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