MinaTakla
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Posts posted by MinaTakla
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Think again. I nailed its OW, saw the movie, know that it's below par, won't have 3x multiplier.
We'll see
Still disagree though.
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Well just on paper,
Going by IO:
10.48m monday, 14.98m friday, 52.3m weekend
With that same ratios for Minions,
12.9m monday, 18.44m friday, 64.4m weekend.
I am not saying it will hold that well and fall just 42% like IO.
But -48% for a 60m weekend, no matter it's probability is not implausible
And DM2's first Monday was 10 million and rose 10% on Tuesday
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Minions won't hit 350m. No one said that it would collapse on its first Monday. It will do fine the whole week. From week 3 onwards will be become legs jelly.
Don't think so.
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You missed my point. I was asking you how dailies will play rest of the week leading to 60m. I dont see that happening anyway considering its heart of summer with no one at school. So weekdays have to be STRONG. We will know with wednesday drop where it will end but for now I am willing to bet its not making 60m.
I think 13 million for Monday is pretty good actually. It might make 50 or 52 million during the weekdays!
DM2's first Monday in July was barely 10.5 million
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Inside out's date is not confirmed, and I doubt it opens that early.
Someone on Twitter (apparently in China) tweeted yesterday saying there's a possibility neither films gets a China release - esp Minions - hope this isn't true. Even though both have Chinese posters and trailers..
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Germany's Top20 last weekend:
title
admissions
th.
PTA
total
drop
week
1
Minions
1.039.619
774
1.343
2.393.358
+11
2
2
Terminator Genisys
222.940
554
402
248.945
-
1
3
Jurassic World
182.546
597
306
3.425.958
+4
5
4
Ted 2
147.487
620
238
826.799
+14
3
5
Insidious 3
56.124
340
165
170.882
-2
2
6
DUFF
37.228
177
210
52.821
-
1
7
The Age of Adaline
32.643
234
140
48.000
-
1
8
Rico, Oskar und das Herzgebreche
20.230
579
35
302.676
+38
5
9
Victoria
17.736
143
124
170.473
+106
5
10
Papa ou Maman
15.487
113
137
21.678
-
1
11
Ostwind 2
14.852
446
33
1.056.501
+43
9
12
Escobar - Paradise Lost
9.689
77
126
22.035
-
1
13
Spy
9.631
210
46
577.970
-62
6
14
Honig im Kopf
9.217
112
82
6.952.519
+28
29
15
Die Kirche bleibt im Dorf 2
8.470
105
81
47.944
-25
3
16
It Follows
8.144
95
86
8.144
-
1
17
The Woman in Gold
8.022
187
43
170.380
-37
6
18
Men & Chicken
7.661
75
102
22.506
-24
2
19
Qu'est-ce que on a fait au Bon Dieu
6.746
20
337
3.822.127
+7
51
20
Pitch Perfect 2
3.991
119
34
1.363.273
-14
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A very nice weekend with lots of increases - now the Minions have a >1mil weekend after all; the total might be somewhere near 6mil or maybe 7. JW still on course for 4mil total.
The openers: Terminator Genisys was the only one doing strong business, but 222k admissions is a disappointment. The Age of Adaline had a lot od screens but generated little interest; domestic teen comedy DUFF came in stronger despite fewer screens.
Next weekend: There are no openers. Seriously, there's not a single wide release - obviously distributors considered the coming weekend absolutely BO poison. So, another very strong week for the Minions!
Wow so Minions will beat JW in Germany??!
Amazing
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I think IMDB and Cinemascore are more reliable because they measure feedback of those who actually saw the movie (cinemascore is a better polling system though not such a huge sample)
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He was not talking about the (critics) RT score. He was talking about the audience score which, like what he said, is now at 60%. Just for comparison, DESPICABLE ME got 82% and DESPICABLE ME II got 85% from the audience.
The thing about the user ratings on RT though is this: they add the user ratings before the film screens (anticipation ratings) to the actual ratings after it screens and that might skew the numbers. Before Minions opened, it had around 98,000 user ratings (Antman has 98,000+ and no GA saw it yet)
So that skews the rating. Antman has like 4.4/5 from 98,000 ratings and it's not even open yet.
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But they themselves had significantly different multipliers. Shrek 3 2.63x, Cars 2 2.89x.
That would give Minions a range of 304.5m - 334.7m.
I think Minions should do 340-360m.
Yeah am thinking around 360 and IO around 350.
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I agree. I am giving this a 300-330 M range.
DM2 had a 83 M OW opening on Wed, it would have done a very similar opening to Minions if it had had a Friday release.
RT score has nothing to do with final grosses. Critics do not generate tickets.
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Update on earlier
Min 12.9,IO 2.4,JP4 2.2,TG 1.5
Great -58% hold for Minions! 13 million on a Monday is very good!
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I have no idea how to determine from here, where Minions will end up. However, I think repeat viewings will be extremely low for this film, which I would think would be felt around week 4 and beyond giving it weak middle and late legs. I just don't know how much a failure to inspire repeat viewings effects box office. After seeing this movie Sunday, while not terrible, I can't imagine wanting to see it a 2nd time.
With Minions opening, first week and probable 2nd weekend numbers being so huge, I think it will still end up 10-20 million above Inside Out.
Both movies are huge wins for their studios. Even though Minions production was much cheaper than Inside Out, the marketing budget has to be off the charts. This is the most heavily marketed film I've ever seen. I bet total budgets are closer than anyone thinks.
I read on Twitter so many people saying they did/plan to see it again. Of course Twitter can't be used to judge at all but still a nice tiny indicator:)
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No way Minions gets to 350 M.
I think it will get to 360.
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If it can manage DM2's 2nd weekend drop (-47.4%) then it's going to have a great leggy run. Shrek the Third's 2nd weekend drop (-56.4%) would be problematic.
Am thinking a 50 to 52% drop which would be typical for a 3.2 to 3.3 multi.
DM2 had a 4 x mult. Shrek had a 2.6 x. Minions will be in between with a 3+ x
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That would be a pretty bad second weekend drop for Minions. I see it closer to 55-57m.
Me too.
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Awesome for Top-3.
For Minions, I am predicting:
Mon-Thurs 52-54
Fri-Sun 50-52 (220m cume)
Mon-Thurs 26-28
Fri-Sun 27-29 (275m cume)
and 4x multiplier thereafter for 360m finish.
JW should also get 4x multiplier for 645m finish.
IO should get a bit better multiplier. 350m requires 4.7x multiplier which isn't impossible. TS3 got 4.6x multiplier from its 4th weekend.
Very close to what am predicting too! Except I think Minions' 2nd weekend maybe slightly better - 55 or 57 mill
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So IMDB lists September 1 for IO.
Hope to hear about China for Minions soon...
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Date Daily Gross
Jul 12, 2015 $30,816,665
Jul 11, 2015 $38,859,535
Jul 10, 2015 $46,042,205
Awesome holds!
So Friday was 39.8 without the previews
Sat 38.9 (less than a million drop) a -3% drop without previews - almost flat
Sun 30.8
Especially Sunday. (-21% drop)
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MINIONS opened with $115.72M this weekend. #Minions
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In other news, Minions has bested FF7 as the highest opening weekend of all time in Russia!864.8 mln RUB - $ 15.2 million
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In other news, Minions has bested FF7 as the highest opening weekend of all time in Russia!
864.8 mln RUB - $ 15.2 million
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So IO doesn't win unless it makes more than Minions?
I already consider it a huge win, just with what it's made up to now. Whether Minions tops it or not, does not diminish from that movie's accomplishment.
EXACTLY!! 100%.
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Interesting read at Forbes: Why Minions' Box Office Blow Out is Good for Culture
They are true original pop culture sensations in a pop culture that seems to be run on generational nostalgia. We all know that at least some of this recycling is both stemming from a misplaced presumption that what was hip yesterday will still be hip tomorrow.
In an era when so much of our entertainment capital is geared towards youth-skewing fantasy films and so many of those fantasy products are based on characters that entertained kids of previous generations and seem almost targeted toward those same kids now as adults, Minions stands out as something of a near-miracle. The characters known as the Minions are just five-years-old, are wholly original cinematic creations, and were created specifically to entertain and amuse the current generation of children. The Minions aren’t for you dear adult, they are for your kids. I may not find Minions as hilarious as my daughter did but (without passing judgment on thoughtful adult moviegoers who enjoyed the film), I rather take comfort in that fact.
The kids of today, my daughter, my nieces, and all of our respective youngsters, need pop-culture icons of their own, ones created today for the kids of today rather than subsisting of rebooting or recycled versions of our heroes. If for that reason alone, I applaud and celebrate the massive success of Minions.-
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Indian Box Office Thread | Jawan overtakes Pathaan, becomes highest grossing Indian movie of 2023
in International Box Office
Posted
Thanks for the update!