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Giesi

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    The Universal Thread | Dreamworks Animation seeing layoffs, set to outsource their work

    in Box Office Discussion

    Posted

    ehm... Yeah, because Get Smurfy and Spider-Man (which is still sony?) will gross at 2,5B each...

    I think the race between Universal and Disney will be even more intense 2017.

    Beauty and the Beast 250m

    Guardians 300m

    Star Wars 8 500m

    Toy Story 4 450m

    POTC5 300m

    Coco 250m

    Spiderman 250m

    Thor 3 200m

    Fast 8 300m

    50 Shades 100m

    DM3 400m

    PP3 150m

    Grinch 150m

    No by the way... 2017, disney will rule

    Lol at Pirates and DM3, subtract 50-100m for each film. I'm slightly unconvinced, that TS4 will gross more than the third one and no way SW8 only stops at 500m.

    Minions OS Thread | 1 BILLION WW CROSSED!! | 6m weekend | $811.4m OS total

    in International Box Office

    Posted

    The thing is, with Finding Dory.......it's a sequel to Pixar's second highest grossing film, Finding Nemo, which made $380M DOM & $936M WW as of today.

     

    And with IO performing better than what everyone expected, (now at $353M DOM and $761M WW), there is always a chance for Dory to be an even bigger hit, since Nemo was so intensly popular at the time. I mean...at the time, Finding Nemo outgrossed The Lion King to become the highest animated grosser produced by Pixar/Disney. (even though, 8-9 years later, TLK would take that rank back)

     

    This could similarly happen to Dory as well. With Japanese audience still loving Pixar-films as usual, Chinese audience starting to love Pixar films, more and more. Pixar is still a strong animation brand.

     

    And if Minions could not top Frozen, despite okay to decent WOM, i think FD with a much better WOM & nostalgia...will.

    The thing is, FD has to be better than MU, otherwise I don't see it beating Frozen. But I have faith in Stanton, he will deliver a satisfying story.
    • Like 1

    BO Germany/Austria: Dune first 2024 blockbuster (3mil admissions)

    in International Box Office

    Posted

    don't think so either ... 7mil seem locked and 8-9mil possible for FJG2, I just can't feel this much enthusiasm for SW7 or Spectre.

    Yeah, I don't feel the hype for Spectre too, but a lot of my friends can't wait for SW. Even my father and my uncle got excited after we had watched the teasers together. It looks like Spectre is in the 1,5 - 1,75mil range first weekend, SW can end up with 2mil if Abrams delivers.

    China Box Office Thread | Oppenheimer-August 30

    in China At The Box Office

    Posted

    Movies like FF7 and MH are definitely outliers in how much they earned. But even $200 million shouldn't be so easy to toss around. As MI5 has shown, not every Hollywood action blockbuster will earn what AoU or JW did. I don't expect Spectre or SW7 to do it, but major CBMs like Civil War and BvS should if AoU is an indicator.

    I expect Star Wars 7 to reach the $200M mark. JW was able to hit the milestone, so SW can do that, too.

    China Box Office Thread | Oppenheimer-August 30

    in China At The Box Office

    Posted

    There is someone who predicted $300m for Star Wars?? That is huge and illogical, IMHO  :blink:

     

    Anyway, you can not completely discard that some movie can hit again, like F7, AoU, Monster Hunt or Jurassic World have already done. I am not saying that KFP3, SW7, IA5, IO... all of them will make tons of money, but maybe 1 or 2 of them will. You can not rule out it. Or maybe none of them will smash, but 1 or 2 local films are able to. BO never is completely predictable as we have already seen.

     

    MI5 does not have 3D, Minions has been released with good pirate copies, ... you can not just low every prediction just because 2 presumed huge successes have not hit as hard as we thought.

     

    The reality say that last year, US had 33 films over $100m and China 11 films over 600 million Yuan (that amount is a bit lower than $100m, but I use those figures to not depend on exchange rates). This year, the gap for those figures has narrowed, for the moment, to 19-12. China keeps increasing the number of hits, and, in some moment, another film will hit again, grossing $300 or $400m. And then, for sure, we will go crazy with predictions again. It is a matter of keeping the perspective.

    What would a more proper prediction for Star Wars run in China?

    Adjusting Exchange Rates... (First post updated with Jason's new list)

    in International Box Office

    Posted

    Oh and one more thing, billion dollar grosses. With China you've got 35 films, without China 37 films. Even adding in classic old films, (Sound of Music, Ben Hur, etc...) and like we say various 3D bumps and expanding markets, there has probably not been more than 50-60 films in cinema history that have made a billion dollars. A billion dollars is still a special occurrence regardless of the times or trends but people always want to downplay a film grossing a billion, it had 3D its not as impressive as 2D (ignoring all the films in 3D that don't make a billion), or blame overseas audiences for their tastes ignoring the domestic lack of taste in many a blockbuster, especially if they don't like it, like say Minions or Pirates 3.

     

    This kind of list shows just how impressive it still is especially taking into account the last thirty years of modern box office.

    But when six movies are able hit the billion mark in one year, it is no longer as special and rare as it was the years before.
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