lucasbenica

Week 11 report: Wrath crosses the $1 billion mark in Revenue. (This is a forum member's forecast. Numbers may vary.) Up to and including Mar 20. Last weekend (Mar 18-20) @lucasbenica finally stole @Wrath's #1 spot. Well, Wrath stole lucasbenica's spot as best revenue. A $34 million distance is what now makes Wrath #1 in revenue. Even though @CJohn had a nice performance (highest increase in Company value +29% and Revenue +4%), this week's best player was @grey ghost. He was the only one that managed to grow in all four rankings: Company value (+20%), Revenue (+3%), Profit/% (6%) and Return on investment (+3%). When we see last week numbers compared to its previous week, we can observe there's been a small recession in overall performance: -2,6%. It would've been worse if Grey Ghost (+7,7%), Cjohn (+5,3%) and @WrathOfHan (+4,8%) weren't there to help everyone out. What dragged the players down this week was the low predictions for April movies: there is only one profitable investment, which is "God's Not Dead 2". But there's hope when we get to May. April films will likely gross something around $650 million, but May will bring $1.4 billion (an optimistic forecast). So let's see how it turns out. It annoyed me that only Revenue and Company Value were taken into consideration previously, 'cause there are 5 ways to win FBO. Since it's (still) too difficult to predict highest weekend, I combined the other 4 ways and I called "overall performance". Now the players' order in the graph is sorted by this performance, and I feel better. So, Wrath remains #1 in Company value. Now he's took lucasbenica's position as #1 in Revenue, but it's very likely lucasbenica will get Wrath's Highest weekend spot next weekend when BvS comes out so that makes it fair, I guess. The Panda is still in the lead as Best investor and Return on investment.

Disappointments Room's date has changed.

Rules say it is not possible to sell an investment after the film is released.

Let me see if i get this. We can't exceed 300% of wide releases. By "wide release", we understand that it is a movie that is being played by more than 600 theatres. For instance, I got 25% Cloverfield and it is playing in 3391 theatres, but 25% of 3391 is 847 so it will count as 25%. I also got 100% The Boy, but it's currently being played by only 216 theatres, so it wont count and I'll remain 25%/300%. But I got Divergent, BvS, The Young Messiah and other stuff coming up really soon. That will exceed my limit for sure. So I won't be able to invest in any movie cause I already exceeded the 300% limit, and then Ill have to wait one by one to lower their number of theatres so they wont be counted as Wide Release to be able to invest on a new picture?

.

Week 10 report: Cjohn is the week's best player. (This is a forum member's forecast. Numbers may vary.) Up to and including Mar 13. That was another calm week in FBO. However, @CJohn (Hardcore Henry 100%, The Boss 75%) could be considered the week's best player. Last week he was #6 in Revenue and now he jumped to #4, joining @grey ghost and @JJ-8 in the B-Team. He also performs well on Company Value, increased by 22% compared to last week. @lucasbenica still remains #1 in Revenue ($1.1b), @Wrath still holds #1 for Company Value with $848m and has the Highest Weekend, even though it's very likely that that may change when BvS comes out cause we estimate a $193m weekend for @lucasbenica, a higher number than last week because of his latest acquisitions (Miracles from Heaven 100%, BvS 5%). The Panda holds the title for Return on Investment and Best Investor. About the traffic lights: they're a new thing. They basically translate what the graph shows, but they say "well, you're red as Best investor, why don't you improve your profit/% invested? You're doing good on Company Value, tho, so keep it going, bro". And stuff like that. They can change based both on your performance and the other players'. Let's see how it works out week to week.

If i do it now, I'll go neg by $16m but I'll have the money by sunday. @JJ-8

@JJ-8

@DAJK @chasmmi @Simionski I wanna buy Miracles from Heaven. I'm paying $400k/%, but if you sell me 50% or more I'll pay $600k/%.

Ok. I want 5%.

Amityville just got moved to 2017

Week 9 report: A calm week for everyone (and Zootopia performs better than expected). (This is a forum member's forecast. Numbers may vary.) Up to and including Mar 6. This week had no big investments. Zootopia's performance last weekend ended up being the biggest change in Company Value. @WrathOfHan had a growth of 103% while @CJohn 75% due to their 50% investment on the Disney animated film. @Wrath invested 70% on that and had a 31% increase, but what's $52m to him? Anyway, @lucasbenica still remains #1 in Revenue ($1b, now that he's bought 25% of 10 Cloverfield Lane), @Wrath still has the Highest Weekend (but it's very likely that that may change when BvS comes out cause we estimate a $162m weekend for @lucasbenica) and still holds #1 for Company Value with $761m. lucasbenica is #2 with $690m, @JJ-8 #3 $394m (last week he was #4), @The Panda is #4 with $364m (lw #3), and @Simionski #5 $329m. The Panda holds the title for Return on Investment and Best Investor.

yes. 25% $11.750.000,00 then. @JJ-8

@grey ghost @CJohn @DAJK i can pay $420k (+$50k to cover the budget) per each Cloverfield percentage you guys sell me. any of you interested?

Week 8 report: Batman and Superman don't really change stuff. (This is a forum member's forecast. Numbers may vary.) Up to and including Feb 28. About $700m were invested this week, a figure that represents 30% of all investments so far. Batman and Superman are the ones to blame. It would be nice to know how it's changed the players' company values, but bnk Forecast sadly announces it's suffered a cyber terrorist attack that compromised its data earlier this year (cof cof). The unidentified terrorist's target was the formula to estimate each player's company values. All previous reports were calculating their CV as $100.000.000 + revenue, BUT THAT DOESN'T MAKE SENSE DOES IT CYBER TERRORIST? Now we got it right and the CV value truly represents the amount each player will have in their bank account when the game is over: $100.000.000 + profit (profit = revenue - investments). Nevertheless, the biggest change was @lucasbenica's revenue mostly because he broke his piggy bank and made a 95% investment on "Batman v Superman", making him #1 in Revenue ($982m). He may steal @Wrath's Highest Weekend when BvS comes out ($144m v $162m). But as you can now see (new blue line), Wrath still holds #1 for Company Value with $668m. lucasbenica is a close second with $613m, @The Panda is #3 with $348m, @JJ-8 #4 $329m and @Simionski #5 $317m. The Panda holds the title for Return on Investment and Best Investor, both by a large margin. Anyway, now the graph looks neat. It gives a better sense that it's not only revenue that defines the winner of the competition. For instance, lucasbenica has the best revenue, but it's Wrath who has the highest company value. And there are still other stuff that you can't see in the graphic that determine a winner, such as highest weekend, return on investment and best investor. These last two may be indicated by the green future profit line (the closest to the top of each player's total revenue the best). I'm trying new ways to include these, but I don't think it's necessary 'cause they're mentioned in the text.

Ethan's got 25%

The Disappointments Room 35% Greek Wedding 30%

BvS +15%

BvS 80%

The Young Messiah 50% Divergent: Allegiant 50%

Week 7 report: Wrath's new investments make him #1, but can Batman and Superman change things? (This is a forum member's forecast. Numbers may vary.) As of Feb 21. Right after week 6 report, @Wrath invested nearly $80m in films which were released this weekend and future releases, easily making him #1 in company value. When we take these new investments (mostly because of Zootopia +60%) into account, we can estimate a grow of 243% in his future releases grosses compared to last week. Then we predicted that his yet to be released films could gross $42m and now we predict they can reach $144m. Nevertheless, @CJohn holds bigger numbers when we consider future grosses: $176m (Zootopia 50%, Cloverfield 100%). @CJohn also holds the second biggest increase (47%) in company value when compared to last week, what means he's growing way faster than the top 3 @Wrath (+12%), @lucasbenica (-7%) and @JJ-8 (+11%) whether because of new investments or old investments that now look more promising. The Company Value top 5 remains the same: @Wrath ($719m), @lucasbenica ($614m), @JJ-8 ($471m), @Simionski ($405m) and @BourneFan #1 ($338m). @CJohn ($327m) may surpass @BourneFan #1 if "Cloverfield" performs better than expected. @Wrath also has the biggest revenue and highest weekend so far, even though @The Panda is the best investor and has the biggest return on investment. Can "Batman v Superman" change things? Yes, a lot. If @Wrath doesn't invest on BvS, @lucasbenica, @JJ-8 and @Simionski are very likely to surpass him if they get to invest 100%. @BourneFan #1, @CJohn, @DAJK, @chasmmi, @grey ghost and @The Panda will even the score with @Wrath's current numbers if they get to invest 100%. "BvS" will be a bigger deal than "Deadpool", that's for sure.

I forgot to say that the 1/2 rule for acquisitions could remain. Now we have a 100% limit when 200% (or 300%), then it would be 50% of 100%. I think of this because having 200% only generates more money and things end up being too easy. And I agree that we started out with too much money.

I know its been settled but Id like to give a few of my thoughts. I dont think a film should be given more than 100%. That only generates more and more fake money to the competition, when I think it should be more realistic. But then the game wouldnt be so inclusive, cause only the first person whos watching the clock would get it. Maybe if we could sorta auction the investment itd be more interesting and a little bit more realistic. It wouldnt be so based on luck. There could be a 48 hours auction where the highest bidder would take the investment. For example, BvS has a $200m budget and half of that ($100m) would be the initial bid, so 1% = $1m. Let's say that these would be the offers made in the 48 hour period: saturn offered $1.2m/% and wants 20% jupiter $2.5m/50% mars $1.8m/100% mercury $2.3m/30% earth $2.2m/25% we would give the percentage asked for the highest bidders, so jupiter would get 50% (paying $125m), mercury 30% ($69m) and earth 20% (not the 25% he asked, cause then it would sum up over 100%; for $44m). so the investments would sum 100% and $238m. in this case it would be higher than the original budget but it's a film that will give a large profit, so the players would take their chances. making the initial bid as half of the original budget would also open up a lot of more of investment options. currently there are only a few good options to invest. if more players join the game, it would be even harder to get an investment. *impossible, as a matter of fact. so thered be more options to invest, thered be less groundbreakingDeadpoolalike films cause players will pay more for high grossing films therefore making their profits a little bit lower and they would not simply skyrocket players.

Investment restrictions scare me. I think thats when other players may catch up. I dont wanna be the one who doesnt have early access to the investments. lol

Week 6 report: "Deadpool" unexpected big numbers bumps up its investors' company value. (This is a forum member's forecast. Numbers may vary.) As of Feb 15. Last week hottest investment, "10 Cloverfield Lane" (CJohn 100%, DAJK 100%, Grey Ghost 100%) made a difference in the chart, but it cannot match up to "Deadpool" opening weekend. The Marvel film grossed way more than expected: 80% of its total gross forecast. That ends up bumping up its final number and its investors' company values, making @lucasbenica hit the $600m mark, who has now a little more advantage than @Wrath ($576m) to become #1, mostly because of his "Zootopia" +25% investment. But big company value numbers don't always suggest winners. lucasbenica has invested 525% so far, a high number compared to the active players' average (325%), so as @Simionski (575%) and @Wrath (465%). That may turn into a disadvantage further ahead if such difference remains. The top 5 remains the same. While Wrath and lucasbenica struggle for #1, @JJ-8 and Simionski fight for #3 (JJ-8 is more likely to surpass Simionski). The last spot goes to BourneFan #1, but it may play out some other way since @CJohn (who has huge investments Zootopia 50%, Cloverfield 100% which may perform better than expected), DAJK and Grey Ghost have really close numbers. If Grey Ghost gets to invest more on "Batman" than the others in a couple of weeks (since he has more money in his account), it may impact the #5 dynamic.