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XXR vs XXR

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Posts posted by XXR vs XXR

  1. 2 minutes ago, spizzer said:

     

    Solid.  +78-85% from Thursday.

     

    49.0M Friday

    60.1M Saturday (+22.5%)

    49.3M Sunday (-18%)

     

    158.4M Weekend

     

    Or

     

    51.0M Friday

    62.5M Saturday (+22.5%)

    51.3M Sunday (-18%)

     

    164.7M Weekend

     

    Saturday jump might be weaker, but Sunday drop could be softer.  155-165M looks like the target range right now.


    Perfect! My derby prediction was $160.55 million so if things keep playing out like that I'm gonna look like a genius. I'm still hoping for $170 million though. Come on Sat/Sun, pick it up a bit.

  2. 1 minute ago, Darth AndyLL said:

     

    You are tempting fate by posting that the night before you see it.

     

    I think I need 55 to have a shot for my Derby prediction...

     

                                                                          Mine                                                             Avg

     

    Star Wars: The Force Awakens $170.00M $155.59M

     

     


    No matter what the number is, how much do you think Saturday increases from it (percentage wise) and Sunday decreases from that? My initial thought was Saturday would be 10% over Friday and Sunday would be 20% below Saturday.

  3. 28 minutes ago, MfA said:

    Been lurking the past few days on here, one mystifying thing is how RTH is treated as a sort of prophet.  His predictions seems to always be pretty accurate, so I understand why he is trusted, but where is he getting his numbers from and how does nowhere else on the net have access to them?


    Not sure exactly how he operates but I believe he works for a company that has access to early numbers (perhaps an online ticket vendor or large theater chain) and then extrapolates an estimate based on that. 

  4. I know I have no real say in it but here's what I want TFA to do the rest of the way....

    It needs to hit $700 million by the end of it's 3rd Sunday then just have Avatar's numbers for the rest of it's theatrical life! Avatar made almost $400 million after it's 3rd weekend and I'd think we'd all be happy if TFA did the same B)

  5. 4 minutes ago, Vadermort said:

    Just curious , were @Rth's predictions ever been wrong ?? 


    I haven't been here long but his prediction last Saturday started at $60 million and ended at $66-$69 million by the end of the night. Based on how early his first number came I'd say it could swing 10% by the time it's over or he could already be dead on.

  6. 8 minutes ago, tokila said:

    someone translate this for me. Is he saying 35 mil is already reached? And would only be correct if no went to any evening shows?


    That's exactly how I'm understanding it. He's saying $35 million can't be the low even if no one sees it in the evening, meaning it has to already be over that number. At least my fingers are crossed that that's what he means!

    • Like 1
  7. Gitesh Pandya ‏@giteshpandya  10h 10 hours ago

    Look for massive #Christmas haul today for #StarWarsTheForceAwakens. Should join all-time domestic Top 10 as early as tonight!

    I know this was at the beginning of the day but I imagine he gets good estimates (ala Rth) and for it to move into the Top 10 it needs at least $50 million today.

    • Like 2
  8. THR has a huge range on their numbers, which to me implies they don't really have a clue. I figured EP7 was a lock for double Christmas Eve's numbers but perhaps demand is catching up and the holds are going to start dropping compared to a movie half it's size who would still have a lot of people who haven't seen it. Fingers crossed for $170 million!

  9. However today turns out, be happy! If it comes in at $45 million because supply has started to meet demand or $65 million because it's an anomalous freak of a movie, just enjoy what we're seeing. Personally I'm banking on $53 million today for a $160 million weekend, though I'm hoping BOM's prediction of $178 million+ holds true.

     

    Merry Christmas everyone!

    • Like 5
  10. 3 minutes ago, kitik said:

    okay, so here's the schedule for next Christmas according to BOM

     

    Do all of these movies really want to go up against Rogue One? As of right now, it's not looking too promising for any of the openers this weekend, and the new ones' legs may get swept away by the likes of Revenant and Hateful Eight early next year anyway.

     

    Chicken Soup for the Soul (WB) - 12/16
    Rogue One: A Star Wars Story (BV) - 12/16
    Assassin's Creed (Fox) - 12/21
    Passengers (2016) (Sony) - 12/21
    Sing (Uni.) - 12/21
    Jumanji (2016) (Sony) - 12/25
    Miss Peregrine's Home for Peculiar Children (Fox) - 12/25

     

     

    The big difference next year is that I'm seeing some big budget movies in there that probably can't afford to get overwhelmed by Star Wars.


    I'd be surprised if they don't push Assassin's up 3 weeks to the end of November. Jumanji might also get pushed but I doubt it. No $50 million+ budgeted film wants to be within 2 weeks of Star Wars forward or backwards.

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