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Foul01

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  1. Foul01
    Zootopia officially reached 1 Billion USD Box Office worldwide today. I joined this thread on April 30 when Zootopia was still around $850M purely just to see the chances of Zootopia hitting that mark I have never followed the box office of any movie before, let alone this intensely for this long. Now that it is done, I am bidding goodbye. I know The Jungle Book is coming close as well (also up to Japan, very similar to Zootopia's case), but I have absolutely no love for that movie. Zootopia is a very special movie in the sense that it achieved this box office purely based on its quality as a movie. It is neither a sequel nor a prequel of an existing franchise. In fact, it is the second highest grossing film not based on anything so far (but we all know Avatar only achieved the highest because of its 3D effects, the story itself is very ordinary). Not to mention the fact that Zootopia did not even start on even grounds with most of the top grossing movies in terms of the marketing, movie release dates, and DVD release dates. Anyway, it's been an interesting month and a few days I will have to occupy my mind with other stuff now. bye
  2. Foul01
    Current Japan Time 18:16, [順位] [販売数] [映画作品タイトル名] 　*1　*87609　ズートピア 　*2　*68017　植物図鑑 運命の恋、ひろいま… 　*3　*59722　デッドプール Zootopia needs to beat 植物図鑑 運命の恋 by 25K in order to finish this weekend as number 1... the gap has been 18~19K for a while now so it doesn't look like that's happening. Turns out the number 1 this week is neither Zootopia nor Deadpool. Who would have thought? Or as Shyamalan likes to put it, "what a twist!"
  3. Foul01
    Looks like this Sunday will be a drop of around 20% from last Sunday as well. But keep in mind that there was a Sports Monday right after the weekend last week... its almost a 3-day-weekend, so many kids and their families either couldn't watch on the weekend or deliberately waited until Monday to avoid traffic. I would say the actual drop is bigger than 20%, maybe 25%~30%. デイリー上映25分前販売数合計ランキング（14時中間集計）：20160605順位 販売数 座席数 回数 館数 先週比 映画（作品名）*1　50328　130434　491　228　*80.5%　ズートピア*2　38696　167045　510　225　******　植物図鑑 運命の恋、ひろいました*3　32086　126474　593　233　******　デッドプール
  4. Foul01
    Perfect timing to finally drop in Japan Its almost as if the Japanese viewers were thinking, "Yep. We guaranteed Zootopia 1 billion worldwide... so fuck it now, lets start watching other movies."
  5. Foul01
    no corpse estimation this weekend?
  6. Foul01
    because Zootopia is a great film, obviously. ... seriously though, it's effing bizarre.
  7. Foul01
    Results at 19:00, デイリー上映25分前販売数合計ランキング（19時中間集計）：20160601順位 販売数 座席数 回数 館数 先週比 映画（作品名）*1　56454　328050　1131　230　******　デッドプール*2　28489　178091　*783　225　109.2%　ズートピア*3　17074　269671　*932　214　******　オオカミ少女と黒王子*4　12742　190844　*919　226　******　スノーホワイト 氷の王国*5　10640　*85359　*542　171　*75.5%　海よりもまだ深く Ticket prices discounted around 19% for everyone today, whereas last week was only for ladies. Assuming ladies make up half the admissions, 19%/2 = 9.5%. Tickets were discounted 9.5% last Wednesday. So ticket prices decreased by 9.5%, but admissions also increased by 9.2%... probably a flat or slight decrease in revenue compared to last week As well as Deadpool is performing today, it does not seem like it is directly affecting Zootopia too much (if at all). Another thing to take away from today is that the evening admissions have not been as strong as last week. At 14:00, Zootopia was at 116.6% week-over-week, by 19:00, it has dropped to 109.2%. Perhaps we have passed the peak of Zootopia in Japan already, though the drop is still very small and could increase back up next week again.
  8. Foul01
    Deadpool is beating the crap out of Zootopia at the moment. Does anyone know if this is normal for the first day of a hit movie? [順位] [販売数] [映画作品タイトル名] 　*1　*20539　デッドプール 　*2　**8532　ズートピア 　*3　**5699　殿、利息でござる！ 　*4　**5660　海よりもまだ深く 　*5　**5536　スノーホワイト 氷の王国 PS: I probably would have a bigger problem with this if Zootopia wasn't already guaranteed to break 1 billion in less than two weeks.
  9. Foul01
    BoxOfficeMojo screwed up the Japan box office in the newest update. JAPAN Weekend Box Office2016 Date (click to view chart) Rank Weekend Gross / % Change Screens Change /Avg. Gross-to-Date Week # Apr. 23–24 2 $3,988,949 - 471 - $8,469 $3,988,949 1 Apr. 30–May 1 2 $4,795,368 +20.2% 0 -471 n/a $13,531,841 2 May 7–8 1 $3,611,350 -24.7% 0 - n/a $27,896,906 3 May 14–15 1 $4,225,882 +17.0% 0 - n/a $34,335,852 4 May 21–22 1 $4,579,568 +8.4% 0 - n/a $41,322,552 5 May 28–29 1 $438,671,300 +9,478.9% 0 - n/a $2,147,483,647 6 http://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/?page=intl&country=JP&id=disney2016.htm Forget about breaking the Billion Mark, apparently Japan made 2 Billion Dollars for Zootopia already. hahahaha Just putting this here before they update again.
  10. Foul01
    デイリー上映25分前販売数合計ランキング（14時中間集計）：20160531順位 販売数 座席数 回数 館数 先週比 映画（作品名）*1　*4876　146475　525　220　*94.0%　ズートピア*2　*4829　*53714　337　165　*64.9%　海よりもまだ深く*3　*4057　113523　499　219　******　スノーホワイト 氷の王国 6% drop... pretty good considering that yesterday was a huge Sports Monday and tomorrow is Ladies Day + First Day of Month Discount
  11. Foul01
    so at 14:00, This Monday is having a 52.5% increase compared to last Monday. Assuming that the total admissions for today will increase by the same percentage, today's mimorin admission should be around 75,400. If you add the most recent Saturday to Monday compared with the last Saturday to Monday, you get the following: Last Week This Week Growth Saturday 93,308 76,165 -18.4% Sunday 126,482 110,501 -12.6% Monday 49,451 75,413 52.5% Total 269,241 262,079 -2.7% Although the weekend drop is -15%, if you include the Sports Mondays as well, the actual drop for the three days is actually only -2.7%. Perhaps this is another great week-over-week hold after all. Looking forward to another $4M weekend next week.
  12. Foul01
    it's only 11:48AM at the moment, but, holy crap, look at that admission number [順位] [販売数] [映画作品タイトル名] 　*1　*30165　ズートピア 　*2　**5399　オオカミ少女と黒王子 　*3　**4810　名探偵コナン２０１６ 純黒の… this can easily beat some of the Saturday or Sunday admissions we have had. Maybe this is why last Weekend dropped so much? It's technically a three-day-weekend and many are waiting to watch on a Monday (not to mention the admissions lost from children in the weekend due to Sports Meeting)
  13. Foul01
    http://www.vulture.com/2016/05/moviegoers-dont-follow-alice-down-rabbit-hole.html# "Alice Through the Looking Glass did not have a good three-day opening. The sequel to Tim Burton's billion-dollar-grossing mess of computer-generated whimsy earned $28.1 million domestically, and is on pace to make less than $100 million during its run." Good news, I guess. For one, Through the Looking Glass is probably not going to affect Zootopia as much in Japan now (Domestic Gross for Zootopia is almost negligible at this point though). For another, it's about time Movie Studios start taking hints from Zootopia and make actual qualify film instead of riding on the hype of prequels (Through the Looking Glass) and possible sequels (Dawn of Justice).
  14. Foul01
    huh, i was just about to ask someone if it's Sports Monday today too
  15. Foul01
    edroger has been a little more optimistic in his estimation as compared to BoxOfficeMojo's numbers in the last few weeks. take last weekend's revenue for example, edroger estimated last weekend to be $5.07M when BoxOfficeMojo is $4.58M Date (click to view chart) Rank Weekend Gross / % Change Screens Change /Avg. Gross-to-Date Week # Apr. 23–24 2 $3,988,949 - 471 - $8,469 $3,988,949 1 Apr. 30–May 1 2 $4,795,368 +20.2% 0 -471 n/a $13,531,841 2 May 7–8 1 $3,611,350 -24.7% 0 - n/a $27,896,906 3 May 14–15 1 $4,225,882 +17.0% 0 - n/a $34,335,852 4 May 21–22 1 $4,579,568 +8.4% 0 - n/a $41,322,552 5 i estimate $47.5M based on BoxOfficeMojo's number as of last week, add $2.5M for the weekdays, and add another $3.7M for the weekend. Based on this number, OS-Japan is $606.7M last week ($648M - $41.3M) and $608.1M this week ($655.6M - $47.5M) OS-Japan increased by $1.4M... which sounds pretty reasonable, but we both know BoxOfficeMojo has a bad habit of underestimating foreign gross at first... so maybe there'll be another $0.5M BoxOfficeMojo just updated numbers about 30 minutes ago, looks like I overestimated Domestic Office and underestimated OS-Japan... total adds up to be about the same though ($991M~$992M)
  16. Foul01
    i meant the 3.5 from Filmarks... well, it's 3.4 now
  17. Foul01
    one review is 2.5/5, the other review is 3.5/5... average 3/5 3/5, 60%, seems like an average review for me. or maybe i'm not familiar enough with these review sites i was expecting "terrible" to be more like Dawn of Justice terrible
  18. Foul01
    tickets sold has not increased in more than 1 hour, I think this is it for today [順位] [販売数] [映画作品タイトル名] 　*1　110501　ズートピア 　*2　*64468　オオカミ少女と黒王子 　*3　*27668　世界から猫が消えたなら total mimorin admissions this weekend is 76,165 + 110,501 = 186,666... $3.7M weekend gross worldwide gross as of this Sunday for Zootopia should be $991M~$992M (Domestic: $336.5M, OS-Japan: $608M, Japan: $47.5M) Zootopia will break the Billion mark in two more weekends ... or one, if Japan manages to increase above 20% next week
  19. Foul01
    i don't think the reviews are terrible, they're just so-so. the box office will probably drop next week anyway though
  20. Foul01
    76K on mimorin on Saturday and if the 13.5% drop at 14:00 on Sunday is any indication, the number today on mimorin should be around 109K the revenue this weekend should be anywhere between $3.6M~$3.7M... a drop of roughly 20% from last weekend this will make Japan cumulative revenue a little above $47M, beating Cinderella. this should also put Zootopia's minimum revenue in Japan at $67M considering that the weekday drops are more or less between 3%~11%, I think it's safe to say that the weekend drop is mostly due to オオカミ少女と黒王子, which made its debut yesterday. anyone know if オオカミ少女と黒王子 is having good enough reviews to keep affecting Zootopia as well next week?
  21. Foul01
    by the way, is anyone keeping tarck of how many days Zootopia has been number 1 in Japan?
  22. Foul01
    Same story at 19:00 Actual number at 19:00 last Wednesday is 25093... percentage compare to last Wednesday is actually 104.0% デイリー上映25分前販売数合計ランキング（19時中間集計）：20160525順位 販売数 座席数 回数 館数 先週比 映画（作品名）*1　26093　266958　911　222　*82.4%　ズートピア*2　14084　198893　713　171　******　海よりもまだ深く*3　13662　181383　854　213　*66.4%　殿、利息でござる！*4　12905　166655　827　206　*68.6%　世界から猫が消えたなら*5　10293　133635　779　214　*68.0%　６４－ロクヨン－前編
  23. Foul01
    14:00 numbers are in and something is wrong with Mimorin's calculation. Mimorin's used the total number of last Wednesday as the base when calculating the growth percentage... hence the 32.6%. Actual number at 14:00 last Wednesday is 10719... which means the correct percentage should have been 96.3% デイリー上映25分前販売数合計ランキング（14時中間集計）：20160525順位 販売数 座席数 回数 館数 先週比 映画（作品名）*1　10649　107883　391　171　******　海よりもまだ深く*2　10319　155394　526　222　*32.6%　ズートピア*3　*8846　*96333　453　213　*43.0%　殿、利息でござる！*4　*6896　*97352　486　206　*36.6%　世界から猫が消えたなら*5　*6563　*77254　451　214　*43.4%　６４－ロクヨン－前編
  24. Foul01
    i love how, in the first two weeks, we were complaining about how Zootopia cannot keep their lead in tickets sold in the evening sessions. now, as long as the first place isn't twice the number of Zootopia, Zootopia can still manage to catch up by the end of the day.
  25. Foul01
    I say $82M. $41M now, two more weeks of $7M, $25M for drops afterwards, and an extra $2M because I think Zootopia can still defy historic numbers a little more. $41M + ($7M*2) + $25M + $2M = $82M
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