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Corpse

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  1. (C) 2016「君の名は。」製作委員会 Weekend Forecast (09/24-25) 01 (01) ¥968,000,000 ($9.6 million), -10%, ¥11,225,000,000 ($109.3 million), Your Name. (Toho) WK5 02 (---) ¥300,000,000 ($2.9 million), 0, ¥300,000,000 ($2.9 million), Sully (Warner Bros.) NEW 03 (02) ¥164,000,000 ($1.6 million), -42%, ¥725,000,000 ($7.1 million), A Silent Voice (Shochiku) WK2 04 (04) ¥151,000,000 ($1.5 million), -35%, ¥650,000,000 ($6.4 million), Rage (Toho) WK2 05 (05) ¥144,000,000 ($1.4 million), -27%, ¥7,325,000,000 ($70.9 million), Shin Godzilla (Toho) WK9 06 (03) ¥141,000,000 ($1.4 million), -41%, ¥1,350,000,000 ($13.1 million), Suicide Squad (Warner Bros.) WK3 07 (---) ¥135,000,000 ($1.3 million), 0, ¥165,000,000 ($1.6 million), Sanada Ten Braves (Shochiku) NEW 08 (---) ¥125,000,000 ($1.2 million), 0, ¥155,000,000 ($1.5 million), Ushijima the Loan Shark - Part 3 (SPD) NEW 09 (06) ¥122,000,000 ($1.2 million), -31%, ¥900,000,000 ($8.8 million), Your Lie in April (Toho) WK3 10 (07) ¥95,000,000 ($940,000), -37%, ¥825,000,000 ($8.0 million), Samurai Hustle Returns! (Shochiku) WK3 >Your Name. will obviously stay atop the box office for another weekend, and should at least score the 2nd biggest fifth weekend of all-time (behind Harry Potter and the Sorcerer's Stone's fifth weekend [New Year bump]). It will also exceed the ¥11 billion milestone and 8.5 million admissions on Sunday, making it only the second film to ever reach both marks after five weeks in release (Spirited Away being the first). >Sully debuts this weekend, and based on pre-sales and morning/afternoon ticket sales, it's going to have a successful start of possibly ¥300 million or a little more. Eastwood is a very popular director in Japan (all his films are successful), and Hanks is also a respected actor and one of few Hollywood draws left. It's easy to predict a low avg. ticket price as it'll surely skew quite old, so that could prevent it from breaking ¥300 million; either way, it's looking good, and an opening on this level would guarantee at least ¥1.5 billion ($15 million), with a solid shot at ¥2 billion ($20 million). >The others openers, Sanada Ten Braves and Ushijima the Loan Shark 3 will have a minimal impact on the Top 10 as they're unlikely to make the Top 5.
  2. Fastest to ¥10 billion (90 Days or Less) 25 - Spirited Away (2001) 28 - Your Name. (2016) *Pending Today's Results* 28 - Harry Potter and the Sorcerer's Stone (2001) 30 - Bayside Shakedown: Save the Rainbow Bridge! (2003) 31 - Ponyo (2008) 33 - Howl's Moving Castle (2004) 35 - Harry Potter and the Chamber of Secrets (2002) 37 - Alice in Wonderland (2010) 37 - Frozen (2014) 43 - Princess Mononoke (1997) 44 - Harry Potter and the Prisoner of Azakaban (2004) 45 - Star Wars: The Force Awakens (2015) 47 - Star Wars: Episode 1 - The Phantom Menace (1999) 50 - Avatar (2009) 52 - Finding Nemo (2003) 52 - Toy Story 3 (2010) 52 - The Last Samurai (2003) 53 - The Wind Rises (2013) 53 - Pirates of the Caribbean: At World's End (2007) 53 - Harry Potter and the Goblet of Fire (2005) 57 - The Matrix Reloaded (2003) 78 - The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King (2004) Fastest to ¥15 billion (All) 36 - Spirited Away (2001) 38 - Harry Potter and the Sorcerer's Stone (2001) 50 - Howl's Moving Castle (2004) 53 - Frozen (2014) 58 - Bayside Shakedown: Save the Rainbow Bridge! (2003) 60 - Harry Potter and the Chamber of Secrets (2002) 76 - Princess Mononoke (1997) 94 - Ponyo (2008) 103 - Avatar (2009) Fastest to ¥20 billion (All) 61 - Spirited Away (2001) 75 - Frozen (2014) 78 - Titanic (1997) 121 - Harry Potter and the Sorcerer's Stone (2001) Fastest to ¥30 billion (All) 231 - Spirited Away (2001) *Not enough data on Titanic (1997), Bayside Shakedown (1998), Armageddon (1998) or anything prior (Jurassic Park, E.T., Antarctica and Independence Day) to be included on every list.
  3. It should earn around the 500 million mark, which (based on my estimates), will be enough to get it over the 10 billion milestone. If that happens, it'll have done so in just 28 days, making it the second fastest film to reach that milestone after Spirited Away (25 days). Also, it'll cement the film and director Makoto Shinkai in history as/with the only animated film by other than Miyazaki himself to ever reach the mark. And that's sure to cause even more exposure and interest in the film, and in Shinkai, moving forward.
  4. I also appreciate Hosoda's work more than Shinkai's. But it's pretty clear that Shinkai's work definitely resonated with Japanese audiences more over the years, indicated in the most incredible way possible by his first wide theatrical release (Your Name.).
  5. September can sometimes be strong, depending on the strength of the Summer holdovers and what's released in mid-September to take advantage of the couple holidays that week (sometimes a tentpole or two finds itself in that slot). It is, however, still one of the weaker months, while October is definitely among the weakest. It usually goes (not 100% of the time, mind you): August > July > December > April > March > January > September > February > May > November > June > October. The weakest four months can vary in position, it just depends on the holdovers from the prior month and if any opener manages to breakout. So, if Your Name. does indeed continue its insane pace and winds up near or over 20 billion ($200 million), its release just makes it all the more impressive since its run didn't occur over any of the strongest months. It'll make it through December (in its 15th week...), but you get my point.
  6. 2016 Charts are updated on WOKJ: http://www.worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=12&t=55322&p=2134387#p2134387 NOTE: These figures INCLUDE Monday.
  7. (C) 2016「君の名は。」製作委員会 Weekend Actuals (09/17-18) 01 (01) ¥1,076,215,400 ($10.5 million), -05%, ¥8,534,654,800 ($83.0 million), Your Name. (Toho) WK4 02 (---) ¥283,280,000 ($2.7 million), 0, ¥283,280,000 ($2.7 million), A Silent Voice (Shochiku) NEW 03 (02) ¥238,321,400 ($2.3 million), -39%, ¥976,184,770 ($9.5 million), Suicide Squad (Warner Bros.) WK2 04 (---) ¥233,000,000 ($2.2 million), 0, ¥233,000,000 ($2.2 million), Rage (Toho) NEW 05 (04) ¥197,656,200 ($1.9 million), -09%, ¥6,990,968,200 ($67.6 million), Shin Godzilla (Toho) WK8 06 (03) ¥177,000,800 ($1.7 million), -28%, ¥619,987,400 ($6.0 million), Your Lie in April (Toho) WK2 07 (05) ¥150,576,900 ($1.5 million), -32%, ¥601,821,000 ($5.8 million), Samurai Hustle Returns! (Shochiku) WK2 08 (---) ¥113,420,000 ($1.1 million), 0, ¥113,420,000 ($1.1 million), The BFG (Disney) NEW 09 (07) ¥72,991,700 ($714,000), -34%, ¥4,009,035,100 ($39.1 million), The Secret Life of Pets (Toho-Towa) WK6 10 (06) ¥66,990,700 ($653,000), -44%, ¥360,031,000 ($3.5 million), Gods of Egypt (Gaga) WK2 >Your Name. effortlessly retains its hold atop the box office and based on estimates; finally breaking Harry Potter and the Sorcerer's Stone's 15-year highest fourth weekend record. In its fourth weekend, it stayed above 800,000 admissions once again, and also becomes the first film to ever achieve a fourth weekend above ¥1 billion, too. Words are becoming hard to come by to describe this film at this point.. Also, after Monday, the film exceeded the ¥9 billion ($89 million) milestone on 6.98 million admissions on its 25th day in release, making it the second fastest film to ever reach the mark behind, again, only Spirited Away. It's on course to reach the ¥10 billion ($100 million) milestone on Thursday, only its 28th day in release, which will make it the second fastest film to reach the uber-blockbuster milestone after, again, only Spirited Away (25 days). There seems to be no slowing down for this film (seriously, expect to see it at #1 until sometime in November), and the fact that it's outpacing everything other than Spirited Away with minimal holiday support (only two days worth after this Thursday) is absolutely incredible, and is without a doubt the most impressive run in Japan of all-time. Expect this one to likely exceed ¥20 billion ($200 million). >A Silent Voice debuts in a distant, but strong, second place. The anime film is also playing at just 120 locations, making this debut all the more impressive. And since Monday, the film earned ¥411,126,450 ($4.0 million) on 310,083 admissions. Shochiku has another small-scale anime success on their hands here, and I wouldn't rule out a potential run at ¥2 billion ($20 million). >Rage settles for a fourth place start, but with a debut over the weekend frame comfortably above ¥200 million, and a 3-day total of of ¥348,438,000 ($3.4 million) on 264,722 admissions across 324 screens after Monday, this opening is perfectly acceptable. >Shin Godzilla is back to enjoying its incredible holds and remains in the Top 5 in its eighth week of release. After Monday, it has exceeded ¥7 billion ($68 million) on 4.87 million admissions. There is now a strong likelihood that the third reboot of the Godzilla franchise is going to reach ¥8 billion ($75 million+) with over 5.5 million admissions... this result is truly exceptional, as it's going to become the most-attended Godzilla film since 1965, and only the second domestic live-action film to reach ¥8 billion since 2009. Toho could not have hoped for more from their third reboot of their most-iconic creation. >The BFG bombed. There isn't much to really say here other than how disappointing this number is, especially with Spielberg at the helm. >The Secret Life of Pets quietly exceeded ¥4 billion over its sixth weekend, and probably last weekend in the Top 10. In doing so, it's only the second non-Disney/Pixar, imported animated film, to ever reach that milestone (the first being Minions).
  8. Yep, second fastest film to ever reach 9 billion (after Spirited Away). And actuals are mostly in-line with estimates (very slightly higher across the board), I'll have them up in a couple hours.
  9. Biggest Fourth Weekends (2001-) ¥1.075 billion, (-05%), ¥8.40 billion - Your Name. (2016) *NEW RECORD [Est.]* ¥972.2 million, (-19%), ¥8.43 billion - Harry Potter and the Sorcerer's Stone (2001) ¥953.2 million, (-06%), ¥8.45 billion - Howl's Moving Castle (2004) ¥940.0 million, (+06%), ¥10.75 billion - Spirited Away (2001) ¥922.9 million, (-21%), ¥8.13 billion - Harry Potter and the Chamber of Secrets (2002) ¥850.9 million, (-04%), ¥7.71 billion - Frozen (2014) ¥765.7 million, (+07%), ¥7.20 billion - Bayside Shakedown: Save the Rainbow Bridge! (2003) ¥755.2 million, (-03%), ¥7.21 billion - Ponyo (2008) ¥733.5 million, (-27%), ¥7.11 billion - Harry Potter and the Prisoner of Azkaban (2004) ¥683.5 million, (-27%), ¥7.45 billion - Pirates of the Caribbean: At World's End (2007) ¥657.9 million, (-05%), ¥6.23 billion - Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides (2011) ¥619.6 million, (-25%), ¥8.24 billion - Star Wars: The Force Awakens (2015) ¥618.6 million, (-23%), ¥6.02 billion - Rookies (2009) ¥617.1 million, (+15%), ¥5.41 billion - Toy Story 3 (2010) ¥604.4 million, (-22%), ¥7.55 billion - The Matrix Reloaded (2003) ¥565.4 million, (-12%), ¥5.96 billion - Finding Nemo (2003) ¥556.0 million, (-34%), ¥5.91 billion - Harry Potter and the Goblet of Fire (2005) ¥546.1 million, (-18%), ¥5.72 billion - Big Hero 6 (2014) ¥543.9 million, (-07%), ¥5.77 billion - Umizaru: The Last Message (2010) ¥542.8 million, (+07%), ¥5.18 billion - The Last Samurai (2003) ¥524.4 million, (-26%), ¥6.15 billion - The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King (2004) ¥521.6 million, (-52%), ¥8.38 billion - Alice in Wonderland (2010) ¥520.8 million, (-01%), ¥3.83 billion - Crying Out Love in the Center of the World (2004) ¥519.9 million, (+09%), ¥5.81 billion - Stand By Me, Doraemon (2014) ¥518.5 million, (-01%), ¥6.37 billion - Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest (2006) ¥510.3 million, (-07%), ¥5.60 billion - The Wind Rises (2013) ¥510.1 million, (-20%), ¥5.93 billion - Avatar (2009) ¥503.4 million, (-09%), ¥4.19 billion - Monsters, Inc. (2002) ¥501.2 million, (-27%), ¥6.26 billion - The Da Vinci Code (2006)
  10. (C) 2016「君の名は。」製作委員会 Weekend Estimates (09/17-18) 01 (01) ¥1,075,000,000 ($10.5 million), -05%, ¥8,400,000,000 ($81.8 million), Your Name. (Toho) WK4 02 (---) ¥250,000,000 ($2.4 million), 0, ¥250,000,000 ($2.4 million), A Silent Voice (Shochiku) NEW 03 (02) ¥231,000,000 ($2.3 million), -41%, ¥925,000,000 ($9.0 million), Suicide Squad (Warner Bros.) WK2 04 (---) ¥210,000,000 ($2.0 million), 0, ¥210,000,000 ($2.0 million), Rage (Toho) NEW 05 (04) ¥194,000,000 ($1.9 million), -11%, ¥6,950,000,000 ($67.3 million), Shin Godzilla (Toho) WK8 06 (03) ¥173,000,000 ($1.7 million), -29%, ¥575,000,000 ($5.6 million), Your Lie in April (Toho) WK2 07 (05) ¥141,000,000 ($1.4 million), -32%, ¥550,000,000 ($5.3 million), Samurai Hustle Returns! (Shochiku) WK2 08 (---) ¥110,000,000 ($1.0 million), 0, ¥110,000,000 ($1.0 million), The BFG (Disney) NEW 09 (07) ¥73,000,000 ($715,000), -34%, ¥3,975,000,000 ($38.8 million), The Secret Life of Pets (Toho-Towa) WK6 10 (06) ¥62,000,000 ($605,000), -48%, ¥350,000,000 ($3.4 million), Gods of Egypt (Gaga) WK2 >Your Name. effortlessly retains its hold atop the box office and based on estimates; finally breaking Harry Potter and the Sorcerer's Stone's 15-year highest fourth weekend record, and by possibly over 10%. Its fourth weekend is also expected to comfortably stay above ¥1 billion, making it the first film to ever achieve a fourth weekend above ¥1 billion, too. Its fourth weekend remains higher than its opening weekend, too, making it only the second film on record (Frozen being the other) to achieve that feat as well. Makoto Shinkai's incredible high-praised triumph continues along with its unprecedented performance, and its two-week total of ~¥8.4 billion could end up being the second-highest two-week total of all-time, only behind Spirited Away. Monday happens to be a holiday, the film's first (its doing these insane numbers without any holiday support so far), which should brings its total very close to ¥9 billion ($90 million), thus making it the second-fastest film to reach the mark (behind Spirited Away). I said it'd probably reach ¥10 billion on either its 30th or 31st day in release, but it's outpacing that projection and could exceed the mark on its 28th or 29th day instead. If it does it in 28 days, it'll be the second-fastest film to achieve uber-blockbuster status, behind, again, only Spirited Away. >A Silent Voice debuts in second place, and did so by only playing at 122 locations. An opening around ¥250 million ($2.5 million) is likely, possibly a bit higher since small-scale anime films sometimes boast high avg. ticket prices, making this another big success in Shochiku's near-limited release anime film list. >Rage experienced a healthy Sunday increase, so I'm pretty confident it'll come in above the ¥200 million ($2 million) mark now. >The BFG also enjoyed a nice Sunday bump, and it should be enough get it over the ¥100 million ($1 million) mark for the weekend, but not much higher. Overall, I'd still consider the film a bomb for Disney in the market.
  11. Yes, it delivered its biggest single day ever today, too. The Saturday-to-Saturday drop (~16%) will likely prevent a weekend increase, but a single digit drop, possibly as low as 5%, is likely. It "only" needed a 14.3% to beat Harry Potter and the Sorcerer's Stone's fourth weekend record, and that record is all but assured now. Also, it's looking very likely that Your Name. will become the first film to ever achieve a fourth weekend above ¥1 billion as well. Weekend Estimates will be up in a couple hours.
  12. It'll comfortably exceed $70 million. It'll make around $1.5 million this weekend for a total around $67 million, and has two holidays coming up on Monday and Thursday, so it should be at $69 million, or even $70 million, before next weekend begins I'd say. It'll likely finish between $75-78 million or so.
  13. Biggest Fourth Weekends (2001-) ¥972.2 million (-19%), ¥8.43 billion - Harry Potter and the Sorcerer's Stone (2001) ¥964.0 million (-15%), ¥8.30 billion - Your Name. (2016) *Prediction* ¥953.2 million, (-06%), ¥8.45 billion - Howl's Moving Castle (2004) ¥940.0 million, (+06%), ¥10.75 billion - Spirited Away (2001) ¥922.9 million, (-21%), ¥8.13 billion - Harry Potter and the Chamber of Secrets (2002) ¥850.9 million, (-04%), ¥7.71 billion - Frozen (2014) ¥765.7 million, (+07%), ¥7.20 billion - Bayside Shakedown: Save the Rainbow Bridge (2003) ¥755.2 million, (-03%), ¥7.21 billion - Ponyo (2008) ¥733.5 million, (-27%), ¥7.11 billion - Harry Potter and the Prisoner of Azkaban (2004) ¥683.5 million, (-27%), ¥7.45 billion - Pirates of the Caribbean: At World's End (2007) ¥657.9 million, (-05%), ¥6.23 billion - Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides (2011) ¥619.6 million (-25%), ¥8.24 billion - Star Wars: The Force Awakens (2015) ¥618.6 million, (-23%), ¥6.02 billion - Rookies (2009) ¥617.1 million, (+15%), ¥5.41 billion - Toy Story 3 (2010) ¥604.4 million, (-22%), ¥7.55 billion - The Matrix Reloaded (2003) ¥565.4 million, (-12%), ¥5.96 billion - Finding Nemo (2003) ¥556.0 million, (-34%), ¥5.91 billion - Harry Potter and the Goblet of Fire (2005) ¥543.9 million, (-07%), ¥5.77 billion - Umizaru: The Last Message (2010) ¥542.8 million, (+07%), ¥5.18 billion - The Last Samurai (2003) ¥524.4 million, (-26%), ¥6.15 billion - The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King (2004) ¥521.6 million, (-52%), ¥8.38 billion - Alice in Wonderland (2010) ¥520.8 million, (-01%), ¥3.83 billion - Crying Out Love in the Center of the World (2004) ¥519.9 million, (+09%), ¥5.81 billion - Stand By Me, Doraemon (2014) ¥518.5 million, (-01%), ¥6.37 billion - Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest (2006) ¥510.3 million, (-07%), ¥5.60 billion - The Wind Rises (2013) ¥510.1 million, (-20%), ¥5.93 billion - Avatar (2009) ¥503.4 million, (-09%), ¥4.19 billion - Monsters, Inc. (2002) ¥501.2 million (-27%), ¥6.26 billion - The Da Vinci Code (2006)
  14. (C) 2016「君の名は。」製作委員会 Weekend Forecast (09/17-18) 01 (01) ¥964,000,000 ($9.5 million), -15%, ¥8,300,000,000 ($80.9 million), Your Name. (Toho) WK4 02 (02) ¥207,000,000 ($2.0 million), -47%, ¥900,000,000 ($8.8 million), Suicide Squad (Warner Bros.) WK2 03 (---) ¥200,000,000 ($1.9 million), 0, ¥200,000,000 ($1.9 million), A Silent Voice (Shochiku) NEW 04 (---) ¥180,000,000 ($1.8 million), 0, ¥180,000,000 ($1.8 million), Rage (Toho) NEW 05 (04) ¥154,000,000 ($1.5 million), -29%, ¥6,900,000,000 ($66.9 million), Shin Godzilla (Toho) WK8 06 (03) ¥141,000,000 ($1.4 million), -42%, ¥550,000,000 ($5.3 million), Your Lie in April (Toho) WK2 07 (---) ¥130,000,000 ($1.3 million), 0, ¥130,000,000 ($1.3 million), The BFG (Disney) NEW 08 (05) ¥124,000,000 ($1.2 million), -40%, ¥525,000,000 ($5.1 million), Samurai Hustle Returns! (Shochiku) WK2 09 (06) ¥72,000,000 ($705,000), -39%, ¥350,000,000 ($3.4 million), Gods of Egypt (Gaga) WK2 10 (07) ¥70,000,000 ($685,000), -37%, ¥3,975,000,000 ($38.8 million), The Secret Life of Pets (Toho-Towa) WK6 >Your Name. only declined 3% week-to-week heading into its fourth weekend, and pre-sales suggest that while a weekend increase is unlikely, a great hold is in store; possibly sub-10% since Monday is a holiday, which should boost Sunday's evening business. No film has ever achieved a fourth weekend above ¥1 billion, and I don't think that'll be changing this weekend, but it's going to come really close and could take Harry Potter and the Sorcerer's Stone's fourth weekend record of ¥972.2 million. I know it fell short of taking the second weekend record after I said it was "very likely", but this weekend is a lot easier since it doesn't require an increase, nor a sub-10% decrease, to achieve it. Its four-week total is also going to comfortably exceed ¥8 billion, making it only the sixth film to reach exceed the milestone after four weeks, and depending on the total after Sunday, its four-week total could be anywhere from the second to fifth highest ever (after Spirited Away, the next three are quite close). I'll post the biggest fourth weeks chart in a bit. >A Silent Voice is only playing at 120 locations, but its pre-sales are very impressive (~27% of its available tickets). It'll be limited in what it can do over the weekend due to its screen count, but a potential second place debut with ¥200 million, or more, is looking pretty reasonable right now. >Rage should experience a solid debut, but nothing is indicating it'll perform particularly well, so it'll need to rely on legs to propel it. Pre-sales are decent, but ¥200 million will be tough unless walk-ups are strong, and Sunday delivers. >The BFG is going to disappoint and likely miss the Top 5.
  15. No film has ever achieved a fourth weekend above 1 billion, so that was always going to be a difficult figure to reach... however, if Sunday does deliver, it'd need a 12% decline to stay above 1 billion. I don't think it's going to happen, but it's within reach. I'll have some the weekend forecast up soon, but in the meantime, I shared some charts on WOKJ over the week for those interesting: http://www.worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=12&t=55322&start=7810 Note: This isn't self-advertising. As I mentioned, it's time-consuming to format my posts there so they're readable here.
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