[Father’s Day/Juneteenth Weekend Thread | Flash implodes with 55M, Elemental bombs with 29M, holdovers hold atrociously | Theaters are dead, streaming is dead. Everything is dead really.]

I remember someone saying Flash sales for Friday are bad. 

 

Are pre sales important to Fridays like they are for Thursdays? Or are Fridays more walk up heavy and unexpected?

[The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)]

19 minutes ago, excel1 said:

 

 

No way it was only at 115k last night, that would mean Wed barely increased from Tues and that the far today, it has added 8k in tickets between midnight and 10 am eastern time when sales are no doubt very spare, even on the day release. It was probably near 120 and trending up big. 200k+ should happen with relative ease. 😎

 

Jurassic Got $17.5m out of 250k admissions; Flash get 80% of that number with a slightly higher avg ticket + all the advanced show times...$15m previews maybe??

 

Man if you are right that'll be hilarious 😂 

[The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)]

6 minutes ago, XXRkham Asylum said:

9.5-10.5

 

At least it got saved from the 8 range 

[The Flash | June 16 2023 | Ezra Miller, Michael Keaton | We’re stoping the count at a Nice 69% RT (it’s 72% For Real) | Please Remember that Your Enjoyment Of The Film is Not Based On Others Opinions And To Be Nice To Each Other]

26 minutes ago, Issac Newton said:

China P/N Ratio

 

1657 Positive (Only 1 Negative) per Maoyan 

 

So how big can the opening weekend be? Can it make Guardians money?

[The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)]

Seems like Flash sales are improving slightly compared to comps (that aren't Spider-Verse). Hope for a strong final day

[The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)]

9 minutes ago, 21C said:

Which tracker is still saying it'll go above 80? 

 

BoxOfficePro has 60-80 right now

[The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)]

The fact that people aren't sure if The Flash can go sub 50 or go above 80 at this stage is why I love box office 

[South Korea Box Office]

1 minute ago, JpTransformers said:

 

 

Is their info off because it was just discussed that it'll make 5M-7M in its entire run. Or is the info here off

 

Fine it hard to believe it'll have 1.2 legs lol 

[South Korea Box Office]

1 hour ago, JustLurking said:

Flash didn't even have good walkups and its presales have already dropped to #2 at 85k. Does feel 5Mish at this point.

 

5M opening weekend or overall run? Or numbers of tickets sold?

[The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)]

It'll be funny if The Flash pulls something like a 9M previews, doom and gloom, and then it exploded with 8.5 IM

[The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)]

So from what I've seen in the last few pages the updated range is 8-10 Thursday previews and 48-70 weekend 😐

[THE FLASH | 163.2M overseas | 271.3M worldwide]

 

Gaining momentum in China pre-sales 

[The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)]

Premiere tonight + fan screenings + Rotten Tomatoes audience score revealed. 

 

Maybe this will bring the bump.

[The Flash | June 16 2023 | Ezra Miller, Michael Keaton | We’re stoping the count at a Nice 69% RT (it’s 72% For Real) | Please Remember that Your Enjoyment Of The Film is Not Based On Others Opinions And To Be Nice To Each Other]

39 minutes ago, xieh tie said:

 

 

This is good news. In China movies can gain traction very fast 

[THE FLASH | 163.2M overseas | 271.3M worldwide]

What should we expect overseas weekend to be?

 

Black Adam opened with around 75M. The Flash with China should make about +100M right?

[The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)]

So the dream scenario is recovering to 12M previews and having a X7 IM for a 85M weekend?

[The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)]

1 minute ago, Porthos said:

 

The Flash Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-4 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	178	22946	25142	2196	8.73%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

173

 

T-4 Comps:

	%		Sold T-4	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
Bats	36.47		368	6021		0/297	30769/36790	16.37%		11757	18.68%		7.88m
BA	116.44		216	1886		0/169	22425/24311	7.76%		4494	48.87%		8.85m
Shazam 2	355.34		49	618		0/110	16577/17195	3.59%		1663	132.05%		12.08m
Wick 4	95.27		241	2305		0/119	14274/16579	13.90%		5448	40.31%		8.48m
AtSV	55.69		370	3943		0/142	18531/22474	17.54%		9744	22.54%		9.66m

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of The Flash's current tickets sold versus that final number.

 

Regal:     380/5286  [7.19% sold]
Matinee:    64/2140  [2.99% | 2.91% of all tickets sold]

 

====

 

I almost posted the "Prepare the world for bad news" gif, but that would have been over-dramatic.  Plus the sample recovered somewhat on the back two-fifths (was pacing to be about a 130-140 day for a while).

 

As it is though, no Sunday breakout whatsoever. Any other conclusions, I'll leave for y'all to draw.

 

I honestly cannot comprehend this. How is it selling fewer tickets than Black Adam T-4? THE FLASH, a Justice League character. 

[The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)]

20 minutes ago, rehpyc said:

MTC3 The Flash T-5, including EAs:

BA: 12.80M

JW4: 12.33M

AtSV: 11.27M

FX: 12.65M

RoTB: 15.06M

Bats: 8.57M

 

RoTB has the high end right now, but it's rightly dropping at the highest rate (i.e. 1M per T day vs. others at .4-.5M), so in another 2 days will be just in line with the others. Bats being early 2022 is likely projecting low due to a different pricing scheme at the MTC at the time compared to more recent comps.

 

So this points to about $11M right?

[The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)]

17 minutes ago, vafrow said:

Batman went up as well and things stayed flat against some key comps. It's actually a pretty good update.

 

When you've been trending down, you need to stabilize before you start to rise. This feels like it could be that.

 

There certainly have been worse updates this week on Flash.

 

The comeback is on!

[The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)]

18 minutes ago, excel1 said:

If your formula says that the Flash will open below Black Adam and on par with where Transformers is looking to open, your formula is...flawed.

 

Come on dude. I ain't happy either but they've been doing it for years and undersrand more than us.

[The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)]

Maybe after Transformers opening weekend, the market will be clear, WB will start heavy marketing, and Flash will start accelerating. Let's hope

[The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)]

4 minutes ago, Into the Legion-Verse said:

Completely rule out? No. Theoretically things can always go very good or very bad on the final week. 
 

But I don’t see any particular reason for a CBM with much higher start and fairly sluggish pace for weeks to suddenly switch over to some GA heavy buying pattern at the last minute. It would already need to beat my expectations by some just to hit 65, right now thinking like 54-70 say

 

$54M in the cards?! I'm just going to stop asking & hope for the best because these numbers are depressing 😅

[The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)]

4 hours ago, Into the Legion-Verse said:

Conventional tracking has had some big wins post SV2 with 60ish for transformers and 65ish for flash

 

$65M now? So you completely rule out walk ups for The Flash like happend with Transformers just now?

[The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)]

13 minutes ago, excel1 said:

Walk up business will roll in like a quick forming hurricane, just watch...

 

The walk ups will be like the eagles in LOTR 

[The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)]

1 minute ago, Into the Legion-Verse said:

Even 59 vs 58 not out of the question 👀

 

If Flash falls behind Black Adam I'll go offline for a month or 2 from sites like Reddit or Twitter. It'll be unbearable.