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raegr

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    Weekend Thread (11/18-20) | Black Panther 67.3, The Menu 9, The Chosen 8.2, Black Adam 4.5, Ticket 3.2

    in Numbers and Data

    Posted

    19 minutes ago, PlatnumRoyce said:

    Yeah, but that was before Black Panther was one of the biggest hits of all time. You'd expect that earned interest to be sticky to a certain degree. 
    If you released Black Panther today in same markets and it sold the same number of tickets, it's INT gross would decline by about 5%. Most of the box office decline is driven by a plunge in ticket sales. We can debate why that is but the real story isn't china or exchange rates it's ticket sales. 

    Idk, the first Black Panther made 105M in China. If this makes 900M like it possibly will, the China theory will hold true 

    Weekend Thread (11/18-20) | Black Panther 67.3, The Menu 9, The Chosen 8.2, Black Adam 4.5, Ticket 3.2

    in Numbers and Data

    Posted · Edited by raegr

    26 minutes ago, thajdikt said:

    That was with China which i forgot to highlight. I will be very surprised if it even gets closed. 600M without China seems possible. 700M? Maybe if it gets good reviews and WOM?

    Even 600M is a good gross. Most blockbusters would dream of 600M. Mind you, that's 1/3 of Marvel's theatrical films for 2023. There's still GOTG3 and The Marvels, both of which will easily clear 850M at the very least with ease

    Weekend Thread (11/18-20) | Black Panther 67.3, The Menu 9, The Chosen 8.2, Black Adam 4.5, Ticket 3.2

    in Numbers and Data

    Posted

    Ant Man 2 made 622M. 75m OW, 216M DOM. There's no reason to think AM3 at the very least can't get to 700M with decent reception, especially considering he was a fan favourite in Avengers Endgame, there's excitement surrounding Kang, and despite the past few years, the Marvel brand is still incredibly strong despite mixed reviews for some of the shows and movies. 

    Weekend Thread (11/18-20) | Black Panther 67.3, The Menu 9, The Chosen 8.2, Black Adam 4.5, Ticket 3.2

    in Numbers and Data

    Posted

    I don't think quantumania needs to gross 1B to be successful. I think a solid 750M to 850M gross would be acceptable. Especially if it grosses more than its predecessors. People need to readjust their expectations. With the rise of streaming, a growth of the marvel brand and the content like TV Shows and Christmas specials, us heading into a recession and exchange rates/china's refusal to accept any superhero movies, it's going to be very hard for a lot of movies to cross 1B going forward. Heck, if it wasn't for China, Civil War would have made nearly the same amount of money as Multiverse of Madness (which shocker, did the same amount without China). We're living in a different time now where theaters are a premium and luxury experiences. Having the 45ish day window doesn't help either. 

    Weekend Thread (11/18-20) | Black Panther 67.3, The Menu 9, The Chosen 8.2, Black Adam 4.5, Ticket 3.2

    in Numbers and Data

    Posted

    2 hours ago, Ryan Reynolds said:

    muted first week reminds of Last Jedi , everyone was confused , making excuses about people still working and Christmas is coming up 🙈

    looool. even if it "only" makes 450-475M, that's still an enormous gross. That was higher than the ceiling for most people's BP predications back in 2017/2018. Most solo superhero outings make only 250-400M these days so this a terrific win for the marvel brand that they're still able to pull these numbers despite mixed reception for the past few films/tv shows, a recession and lack of china/worse exchange rates. 850-900M is still great! 

    • Like 1
    • Haha 1

    Weekend Thread (11/18-20) | Black Panther 67.3, The Menu 9, The Chosen 8.2, Black Adam 4.5, Ticket 3.2

    in Numbers and Data

    Posted

    Hey Box Office Theory!
     

    It’s been a loooong loooong time but I just wanted to pop in and say hi again after a long hiatus. This community has been so much fun and I’ve really enjoyed getting to meet and know all of you guys. I know I was very young and silly and immature when I first came to this website, and I truly apologize for the silly and annoying things I did back then and how I’ve derailed threads sometimes. I’ve really grown since I was 14 and yiiikes I’m embarrassed looking back ahaha. But I just wanted to say thank you for helping me grow in my passion for film and just being such awesome community members to engage with on the forums. I have learned so much from you guys and this is one of the best little corners on the internet. I want to thank the mods for sustaining this incredible website. I also wanted to say that I hope you guys are taking great care of yourselves, and practicing self-love and compassion. These past few years have been very enlightening, sometimes challenging, and a lot of fun. I’ve really grown a lot, personally and professionally, and my passion for film has only grown. ALSO, the pandemic was crazy. No way home was awesome. I still love BvS. And no more unions (at least for now, just joking mods btw).

     

    I missed you guys 😊

     

    And sorry for the double post in the other thread, I meant to post it in this thread, not the other one!

    • Like 13

    Weekdays Thread (11/14-17)

    in Numbers and Data

    Posted

    Hey Box Office Theory!
     

    It’s been a loooong loooong time but I just wanted to pop in and say hi again after a long hiatus. This community has been so much fun and I’ve really enjoyed getting to meet and know all of you guys. I know I was very young and silly and immature when I first came to this website, and I truly apologize for the silly and annoying things I did back then and how I’ve derailed threads sometimes. I’ve really grown since I was 14 and yiiikes I’m embarrassed looking back ahaha. But I just wanted to say thank you for helping me grow in my passion for film and just being such awesome community members to engage with on the forums. I have learned so much from you guys and this is one of the best little corners on the internet. I want to thank the mods for sustaining this incredible website. I also wanted to say that I hope you guys are taking great care of yourselves, and practicing self-love and compassion. These past few years have been very enlightening, sometimes challenging, and a lot of fun. I’ve really grown a lot, personally and professionally, and my passion for film has only grown. ALSO, the pandemic was crazy. No way home was awesome. I still love BvS. And no more unions (at least for now, just joking mods btw).

     

    I missed you guys 😊

    • Like 4
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