Cooper Legion

I mean, I don't personallythink it would be a good idea, but they did make Luca D+ when they weren't early on and theaters were pretty reopened (in some ways the Luca release date being pre delta was a better date than most of 2H 2021)

When people decide they don’t want to come out to see certain products that much: people are still scared, they’re accustomed to streaming, yadda yadda, structural factors fully explain this miss When people decide they do want to come out to see certain other products: *crickets* Like sure, there is some truth to the fact that there are still structural challenges, but even within a structurally challenged market you still have movies doing better or worse than expected. The existence of the former means you can’t just trot out the structural stuff to explain away the latter.

“People have to understand we’re still in recovery” talk always seems to happen around underperformances 🤔

The show is literally titled after her character, what more do you want

These numbers are bad y’all. Gucci is the least bad because it’s an adult drama that will at least almost match Tom and Jerry or whatever. And yes, looking at 2020 there is some chance that 5day/wed will go high again — if things change, they will have changed, and not be the same.

Finally, a good one

Okay, that source seems a little more reliable. So tickets on sale Sunday for 3/4 of the time zones 😛

And I pointed out that whether a film underperforms and people react as such has nothing to do with official tracking. If Jat’s early numbers stick, it will be an underperformance in the eyes of many, even if you don’t agree.

That’s not fixing it, it’s breaking it! Before your edit it served as an accurate explanation to your implied question — “why do people seem sad with these (potential) numbers.” The version you changed it to no longer functions to explain that which you seemed to want explained! “It’s the only measure of X” is kind of meaningless when it’s still a weak measure of X and there isn’t much reason to care about X in the first place. Yeah, this part is true. If you want to predict the tone of hwr articles or whatever, comparing to the “industry tracking” is very useful. But most people on here don’t care that much if a performance they think was underwhelming gets written up as “beats (lowballed) expectations” in some magazine or not.

Live action spider-Gwen

FWIW though BOP went pretty high this weekend, which is an unusual move from them (though they were also high on bond, in recent memory).

People don’t care about official tracking because official tracking isn’t worth caring about. I feel like I have to say this in every single weekend thread when things look like they might go low.

In about 8 hours, soon in a sense

Both figs would be extrapolated to end of day based on genre, so could go up or down. Personally I’d say that 6.9 Encanto true wed +4.20 Gucci OD is fate 😏

40 and 19 then

They should go 23:59 for maximum tilt

Saw a rumor it was 00:01 eastern, but pretty skeptical of the source. Something like 09:00 eastern would be more typical iirc.

Same as Joker Same as Last Duel

Just looked at FSS/true wed for coco and moana, around 4.7x and 4.4x. TGD 4.6x, F1 4.4x, WIR2 is 3.9x but the only sequel. If you need a Th to fill in the gap, would be 5.5ish. Your 4 from 7 wed would be waaaaay outside historical norms.

Declining day over day growth, sad to see megaplex Th flopping like this

Pretty fine actually. For Encanto that looks like 31ish 3day 45ish 5day, not spectacular but not a collapse, would leg over 100 for sure. For Gucci maybe 17 3day 25 5day, still well higher than what I expected last week and way past other 2021 adult drama types.

RIP 100 Rothman's Law strikes again

Previews are meh (although raccoon city actually a bit better than expected). But quite a common story in the pandemic has been previews on low side+better than expected IM, so I’ll reserve judgement until we see Wed.

RIP NWH PS tracking, Jat no longer cares