nguyenkhoi282
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Posts posted by nguyenkhoi282
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6 hours ago, Issac Newton said:
Avatar 2 - $11.76M. Endgame - $12.3M
If Avg. Japanese Film does $4.0M in Vietnam - We can expect $5-6M in Vietnam depending on Oppenheimer Long Run.
Vietnamese box office works more like Chinese box office. Very short legs. With that opening, I'll be surprised with $3M total.
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11 minutes ago, Borobudur said:
What's wrong with those numbers? Both still heading to sub-50% drop after the historic OW.
sub 40% would be nice
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It's Dunkirk time baby!
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48 minutes ago, Claudio said:
How about my girl Ilsa?
She had a great action sequence.
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12 minutes ago, ChipDerby said:
You can't prove this
I used to track a movie in the same situation as describe and no, it didn't go 100% even if the % is past 99.5%. It was a long time ago but yeah, he was speaking the truth.
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12 minutes ago, AJG said:
This what got them?
Not sure until we see the entire movie. But I think not.
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10 minutes ago, druv10 said:
GOTG3 has surpass GOTG1 WW total. Next up, GOTG 2 863.8M around 84M away from passing. Fantastic legs in all of the markets!!!
Won't reach GOTG2 I'm afraid
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7 hours ago, IronJimbo said:
I saw the Mario trailer twice in IMAX 3D and it looks really nice in it.
They actually put effort into making the 3D look good, much respect.
Good 3D on animation is easier to be done than live-action because the 2nd camera angle can be rendered virtually. Unlike live-action when something shot in 2D then being digitally morphed to create 3D depth in post.
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I'm having the feeling that this bitch of a movie is gonna pull a clown card on us and hit $3B eventually 🤡
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This run is quite boring I must admit. Kinda missed the days of TFA with truly mindboggling weekdays.
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Dropped 10% in Vietnam this weekend ($7.2M so far). Likely to pass AEG as highest grossing foreign film ($12M), 2nd all-time. Final gross forecast: $14M.
WOM and social media discussion are going strong. Characters are well liked.
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A2 will do at least $10M+ in Vietnam alone (already at $5M 8 days in), entering Top 3 All-time, possibily challenging Endgame ($12M) for 2nd spot. All-time record of $18M by a local movie is out of reach though.
Very impressive.
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So far, I can confirm that TWOW does indeed: 1. draw out a lot of people that has not gone to the theaters for a while and 2. generate repeat viewings in premium screens unlike anything I've seen recently, could be all the way back to Endgame. Among my social circle, quite a few of my friends who rarely goes to the movies went, some of them already went twice and planning on a third show. And the general consensus is that no matter where you sit in an IMAX auditorium, you'll get a pretty good experience with 3D, something that would be outright terrible in 2D (say second row seats stuff). Very positive signs I'd say, and honestly, I doubt you can do much better than this in this day and age.
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21 minutes ago, stuart360 said:
Fact is until we hear otherwise, Cameron was given 1bil so far to make the sequels. Obviously if we add marketing on top, probably 200mil per movie, we are talking 1.8bil total. Lets round that up to 2bil for little bits of here and there, and we are talking about the sequels needing around 4bil to break even.
A2 - 1.5-2bil
A3 - 1.5 -2bil
A3 - 1-1,5bil
A4 - 1-1.5bil
5-7bil total.
And i feel those numbers are lowballing, especially for 3 and 4.
So yeah the films will post a healthy profit i'm sure.
You don't really need to add marketing to calculate break even point. Usually, as I've seen from the yearly Deadline's Profit Tournament, extra costs are often covered by post-theatrical revenues. So, it's mostly just what goes back to the studios minus production budget and that's it.
So taking the middle ground of your estimate, $6B (assuming 30/70 split) translates to about $2.5B coming back to the studios, minus $1B of production cost, netting a total profit of $1.5B.
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12 minutes ago, Nero said:
I have watched 1-2 movies while sitting in 1st / 2nd row from screen. It's very hard to watch the movie imo. You have to look up a lot and can't see properly
One thing I've heard recently from some moviegoers in my country is that: front row + 2D is terrible while front row + 3D is much more tolerable. I probably won't try it out myself but that's quite interesting.
Maybe the 3D effect somehow makes correction adjustment to the distorted angle (to certain degree)?
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14 minutes ago, vafrow said:
That's a really good hold in light of the competition and loss of premium screens.
Its going to stick around as a good option for people over the holidays looking for something epic, but not keen on the Avatar runtime.
It's close to 3 hour on its own lol.
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I'm still pretty confident on 2 Billie. Just a feeling. Could come close to 2.5 - 3.0 has China not been a dead zone like right now so still great everything considered.
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25 minutes ago, BadOlCatSylvester said:
Seeing this trail behind Black Panther 2 by a large margin in the US is pretty funny, because here in Turkey the former's opening day ended up bigger in admissions than the entire opening weekend of the latter.
Lol here in Vietnam TWOW's opening weekend eclipsed BPWF entire run (and the orginal Avatar run too).
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28 minutes ago, interiorgatordecorator said:
Read the blurb; as far as I understand theres nothing particularily wrong with the story, and it isnt any worse than those of other blockbusters; the movie is only a day old and im pretty sure the GA already believes the story sucks, lackluster might not mean bad, but thats how people will ready that.
That has to be really deadly.
Its almost unfair hows it been treated, not even JWD, with its 38 on MC got its story called out in the main blurb
Ignore the fact that 2 weeks ago I was on the 3 billion train, the way things around going, I would be overjoyed with 2 billion (and could find a way to cope with 1.5 billion)
I know im being a bit exhausting, but its been 13 years and its only in this final week that things began to go wrong
Dude calm down. Audience love it.
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Reception is unanimously through the roof in Vietnam. People say that the 3 hour runtime flies by and WOM is already spreading. I'm doing my job to tell all my friends to go.
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The Weeknd's song is fire. Rarely do I see a credit pop song that still retains cultural element from the score like this one, in a way reminding me of All The Stars from BP1. Usually these are just clean pop songs. The chanting melody in this won't leave my head any time soon.
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Y'all this is the greatest shit I've ever spent any 3 hours of my life on (maybe on par with Endgame). I'm too flabbergasted to put anything else in to words right now. Yet I'm sure of one thing, it'll be so much better on the second watch where all expectations has subsided and I can just be on that fucking ride again because it is insaneeeeee. And it's so emotional too, I teared up in several moments I didn't expect to 🥺
However I don't know if this will have the same impact on lesser quality screens. But on the right one it should blow everyone's mind.
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1 hour ago, Verrows said:
It's not the numbers that are surprising me so much as the abrupt turnaround. Internationally speaking the presales were pointing to one of the most massive movie events ever and then everything just came to a screeching halt. Like, not just "not as big as originally thought" but from really good to pretty average.
What happened???
Out of good seats at premium cinemas I think, at least where I live.
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Wait will every 3D showing be in HFR? Or is that like a special format that requires different equipment.
The Hunger Games: The Ballad of Songbirds and Snakes | November 17, 2023 | Prequel about President Snow | Francis Lawrence to direct | Given a SAG interim agreement
in Box Office Discussion
Posted
This movie is so good.