MagnarTheGreat

October 7, 2019

Number of releases in a year hitting a box office milestone:


Year	>$50M	>$100M	>$200M	>$300M	>$400M	>$500M	>$500M	>$1B	>$1.5B
	domestic	domestic	domestic	domestic	domestic	domestic	world	world	world
2009	61	32	10	3	2	1	8	1	1
2010	67	30	10	4	1	0	9	2	0
2011	67	30	7	2	0	0	12	3	0
2012	66	31	11	5	3	1	13	4	1
2013	69	35	13	4	3	0	12	2	0
2014	67	33	13	3	0	0	15	1	0
2015	57	29	10	6	3	2	14	5	3
2016	66	30	13	9	3	1	16	4	0
2017	55	33	13	8	4	2	19	4	0
2018	57	34	14	6	4	3	18	5	1
average	63	32	11	5	2	1	14	3	1
median	66	32	12	5	3	1	14	4	0
2019*	38	20	7	6	4	2	10	6	2

* results not final / excluded from averages and medians / current as of October 6, 2019

October 7, 2019

Stamina updates for the Top 10 domestic movies >$200M (2015-2019):

Spoiler

Top 10 Highest Domestic Grossing Movie >$200M (2015 – 2019)	90% of Gross on Day	Multiplier (DG ÷ FW)	Domestic Gross	First Weekend	Release Month	Rank
Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice	18	1.99	$330.4M	$166.0M	Mar.	#8 (2016)
It: Chapter 2*	20	2.22	$202.2M	$91.1M	Sep.	#7 (2019)
Justice League	23	2.44	$229.0M	$93.8M	Nov.	#10 (2017)
Captain America: Civil War	23	2.28	$408.1M	$179.1M	May	#3 (2016)
Star Wars: The Last Jedi	23	2.82	$620.2M	$220.0M	Dec.	#1 (2017)
Furious 7	24	2.40	$353.0M	$147.2M	Apr.	#5 (2015)
Rogue One: A Star Wars Story	25	3.43	$532.2M	$155.1M	Dec.	#1 (2016)
Avengers: Endgame	25	2.40	$858.4M	$357.1M	Apr.	#1 (2019)
Avengers: Age of Ultron	26	2.40	$459.0M	$191.3M	May	#3 (2015)
It	28	2.65	$327.5M	$123.4M	Sep.	#7 (2017)
Spectre	29	2.84	$200.1M	$70.4M	Nov.	#10 (2015)
Thor: Ragnarok	29	2.57	$315.1M	$122.7M	Nov.	#8 (2017)
Deadpool 2	29	2.54	$318.5M	$125.5M	May	#6 (2018)
Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom	29	2.82	$417.7M	$148.0M	Jun.	#4 (2018)
Finding Dory	29	3.60	$486.3M	$135.1M	Jun.	#2 (2016)
The Lion King*	29	2.82	$541.3M	$191.8M	Jul.	#2 (2019)
Suicide Squad	30	2.43	$325.1M	$133.7M	Aug.	#9 (2016)
Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2	30	2.66	$389.8M	$146.5M	May	#5 (2017)
Avengers: Infinity War	30	2.63	$678.8M	$257.7M	Apr.	#2 (2018)
Star Wars: The Force Awakens	30	3.78	$936.7M	$248.0M	Dec.	#1 (2015)
Ant-Man and the Wasp	31	2.86	$216.6M	$75.8M	Jul.	#9 (2018)
The Hunger Games: Mockingjay – P2	31	2.74	$281.7M	$102.7M	Nov.	#7 (2015)
Aquaman	31	4.94	$335.1M	$67.9M	Dec.	#5 (2018)
Minions	31	2.90	$336.0M	$115.7M	Jul.	#6 (2015)
Deadpool	31	2.74	$363.1M	$132.4M	Feb.	#6 (2016)
Spider-Man: Far From Home*	31	4.22	$390.4M	$92.6M	Jul.	#5 (2019)
Beauty and the Beast	31	2.88	$504.0M	$174.8M	Mar.	#2 (2017)
Jurassic World	31	3.12	$652.3M	$208.8M	Jun.	#2 (2015)
Cinderella	32	2.96	$201.2M	$67.9M	Mar.	#9 (2015)
Sing	32	7.67	$270.4M	$35.3M	Dec.	#10 (2016)
Mission: Impossible – Fallout	36	3.60	$220.2M	$61.2M	Jul.	#8 (2018)
Spider-Man: Homecoming	36	2.86	$334.2M	$117.0M	Jul.	#6 (2017)
Incredibles 2	36	3.33	$608.6M	$182.7M	Jun.	#3 (2018)
Despicable Me 3	37	3.65	$264.6M	$72.4M	Jun.	#9 (2017)
The Secret Life of Pets	37	3.53	$368.4M	$104.4M	Jul.	#4 (2016)
Toy Story 4*	37	3.58	$433.3M	$120.9M	Jun.	#3 (2019)
Captain Marvel	38	2.78	$426.8M	$153.4M	Mar.	#4 (2019)
Black Panther	38	3.47	$700.1M	$202.0M	Feb.	#1 (2018)
Inside Out	39	3.94	$356.5M	$90.4M	Jun.	#4 (2015)
The Jungle Book	39	3.53	$364.0M	$103.3M	Apr.	#5 (2016)
Wonder Woman	41	4.00	$412.6M	$103.3M	Jun.	#3 (2017)
Dr. Seuss' The Grinch	42	4.00	$270.6M	$67.6M	Nov.	#7 (2018)
The Martian	44	4.21	$228.4M	$54.3M	Oct.	#8 (2015)
Zootopia	45	4.55	$341.3M	$75.1M	Mar.	#7 (2016)
Aladdin*	45	3.88	$355.5M	$91.5M	May	#6 (2019)
Jumanji: Welcome To The Jungle	54	11.18	$404.5M	$36.2M	Dec.	#4 (2017)
Bohemian Rhapsody	69	4.24	$216.4M	$51.1M	Nov.	#10 (2018)
average of table	33	3.43
median of table	31	2.90
* highlighted in yellow: numbers are not final / still in theaters

display of dollars rounded to nearest hundred thousand
numbers current as of October 6, 2019

September 27, 2019

^ 450M domestic with the same domestic/foreign split as Frozen would land it at around $1.433B worldwide, if both of those things happened.

September 16, 2019

Well as far rank goes, the higher the $ starting point, the bigger the advantage as the drops hit. Nothing except Avengers: Endgame opened this year to >$190M thus far; that movie also got hit by a bit of a sequel & finale rush effect which contributed to frontloading.

Aladdin's had more staying power than The Lion King I'd say...first off July is more of a boosted release month than May is, and Aladdin's multiplier was decreased because of that jacked up Sunday because of the Monday holiday like all the Memorial Day weekend releases. They're both first entry remakes and not sequels (which would further contribute to frontloading if they're not dormant like The Force Awakens and Toy Story 4).

The Lion King (July)

27 days to 90% of its current gross

2.79 current first weekend multiplier

Aladdin (May)

45 days to 90% of its current gross

3.88 current first weekend multiplier

Dumbo (March)

27 days to 90% of its gross

2.50 first weekend multiplier

Beauty and the Beast (March)

31 days to 90% of its gross

2.88 first weekend multiplier

The Jungle Book (April)

39 days to 90% of its gross

3.53 first weekend multiplier

Cinderella (March)

32 days to 90% of its gross

2.96 first weekend multiplier

September 9, 2019

Stamina updates on the Top 10 domestic movies >$200M (2015-2019):

Spoiler

Top 10 Highest Domestic Grossing Movie >$200M (2015 – 2019)	90% of Gross on Day	Multiplier (DG ÷ FW)	Domestic Gross	First Weekend	Release Month	Rank
Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice	18	1.99	$330.4M	$166.0M	Mar.	#8 (2016)
Justice League	23	2.44	$229.0M	$93.8M	Nov.	#10 (2017)
Captain America: Civil War	23	2.28	$408.1M	$179.1M	May	#3 (2016)
Star Wars: The Last Jedi	23	2.82	$620.2M	$220.0M	Dec.	#1 (2017)
Furious 7	24	2.40	$353.0M	$147.2M	Apr.	#5 (2015)
Rogue One: A Star Wars Story	25	3.43	$532.2M	$155.1M	Dec.	#1 (2016)
Avengers: Endgame*	25	2.40	$858.4M	$357.1M	Apr.	#1 (2019)
Avengers: Age of Ultron	26	2.40	$459.0M	$191.3M	May	#3 (2015)
The Lion King*	26	2.76	$529.2M	$191.8M	Jul.	#2 (2019)
It	28	2.65	$327.5M	$123.4M	Sep.	#7 (2017)
Spectre	29	2.84	$200.1M	$70.4M	Nov.	#10 (2015)
Thor: Ragnarok	29	2.57	$315.1M	$122.7M	Nov.	#8 (2017)
Deadpool 2	29	2.54	$318.5M	$125.5M	May	#6 (2018)
Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom	29	2.82	$417.7M	$148.0M	Jun.	#4 (2018)
Finding Dory	29	3.60	$486.3M	$135.1M	Jun.	#2 (2016)
Suicide Squad	30	2.43	$325.1M	$133.7M	Aug.	#9 (2016)
Spider-Man: Far From Home*	30	4.19	$388.1M	$92.6M	Jul.	#5 (2019)
Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2	30	2.66	$389.8M	$146.5M	May	#5 (2017)
Avengers: Infinity War	30	2.63	$678.8M	$257.7M	Apr.	#2 (2018)
Star Wars: The Force Awakens	30	3.78	$936.7M	$248.0M	Dec.	#1 (2015)
Ant-Man and the Wasp	31	2.86	$216.6M	$75.8M	Jul.	#9 (2018)
The Hunger Games: Mockingjay – P2	31	2.74	$281.7M	$102.7M	Nov.	#7 (2015)
Aquaman	31	4.94	$335.1M	$67.9M	Dec.	#5 (2018)
Minions	31	2.90	$336.0M	$115.7M	Jul.	#6 (2015)
Deadpool	31	2.74	$363.1M	$132.4M	Feb.	#6 (2016)
Beauty and the Beast	31	2.88	$504.0M	$174.8M	Mar.	#2 (2017)
Jurassic World	31	3.12	$652.3M	$208.8M	Jun.	#2 (2015)
Cinderella	32	2.96	$201.2M	$67.9M	Mar.	#9 (2015)
Sing	32	7.67	$270.4M	$35.3M	Dec.	#10 (2016)
Mission: Impossible – Fallout	36	3.60	$220.2M	$61.2M	Jul.	#8 (2018)
Spider-Man: Homecoming	36	2.86	$334.2M	$117.0M	Jul.	#6 (2017)
Toy Story 4*	36	3.57	$431.8M	$120.9M	Jun.	#3 (2019)
Incredibles 2	36	3.33	$608.6M	$182.7M	Jun.	#3 (2018)
Despicable Me 3	37	3.65	$264.6M	$72.4M	Jun.	#9 (2017)
The Secret Life of Pets	37	3.53	$368.4M	$104.4M	Jul.	#4 (2016)
Captain Marvel	38	2.78	$426.8M	$153.4M	Mar.	#4 (2019)
Black Panther	38	3.47	$700.1M	$202.0M	Feb.	#1 (2018)
Inside Out	39	3.94	$356.5M	$90.4M	Jun.	#4 (2015)
The Jungle Book	39	3.53	$364.0M	$103.3M	Apr.	#5 (2016)
Wonder Woman	41	4.00	$412.6M	$103.3M	Jun.	#3 (2017)
Dr. Seuss' The Grinch	42	4.00	$270.6M	$67.6M	Nov.	#7 (2018)
The Martian	44	4.21	$228.4M	$54.3M	Oct.	#8 (2015)
Zootopia	45	4.55	$341.3M	$75.1M	Mar.	#7 (2016)
Aladdin*	45	3.88	$354.8M	$91.5M	May	#6 (2019)
Jumanji: Welcome To The Jungle	54	11.18	$404.5M	$36.2M	Dec.	#4 (2017)
Bohemian Rhapsody	69	4.24	$216.4M	$51.1M	Nov.	#10 (2018)
average of table	33	3.45
median of table	31	2.93
* highlighted in yellow: numbers are not final / still in theaters

display of dollars rounded to nearest hundred thousand
numbers current as of September 8, 2019

Release Month	Average Multiplier	Median Multiplier	Release Month	Average Multiplier	Median Multiplier
January	2.88	2.66	July	3.30	3.22
February	2.81	2.73	August	3.22	3.00
March	3.02	2.89	September	2.87	2.75
April	2.76	2.65	October	3.02	2.75
May	2.95	2.82	November	3.43	3.23
June	3.13	3.01	December	5.45	4.76
all (1025 movies)				3.21	2.93
excludes 2018-2019 releases
highest month in blue; lowest month in red numbers from top openings (2008-2017) as of August 16, 2018

August 26, 2019

Stamina update on the Top 10 domestic movies $>200M (2015-2019):

Spoiler

Top 10 Highest Domestic Grossing Movie >$200M (2015 – 2019)	90% of Gross on Day	Multiplier (DG ÷ FW)	Domestic Gross	First Weekend	Release Month	Rank
Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice	18	1.99	$330.4M	$166.0M	Mar.	#8 (2016)
Justice League	23	2.44	$229.0M	$93.8M	Nov.	#10 (2017)
Captain America: Civil War	23	2.28	$408.1M	$179.1M	May	#3 (2016)
The Lion King*	23	2.66	$510.6M	$191.8M	Jul.	#2 (2019)
Star Wars: The Last Jedi	23	2.82	$620.2M	$220.0M	Dec.	#1 (2017)
Furious 7	24	2.40	$353.0M	$147.2M	Apr.	#5 (2015)
Rogue One: A Star Wars Story	25	3.43	$532.2M	$155.1M	Dec.	#1 (2016)
Avengers: Endgame*	25	2.40	$858.2M	$357.1M	Apr.	#1 (2019)
Avengers: Age of Ultron	26	2.40	$459.0M	$191.3M	May	#3 (2015)
Spider-Man: Far From Home*	27	4.10	$379.8M	$92.6M	Jul.	#5 (2019)
It	28	2.65	$327.5M	$123.4M	Sep.	#7 (2017)
Spectre	29	2.84	$200.1M	$70.4M	Nov.	#10 (2015)
Thor: Ragnarok	29	2.57	$315.1M	$122.7M	Nov.	#8 (2017)
Deadpool 2	29	2.54	$318.5M	$125.5M	May	#6 (2018)
Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom	29	2.82	$417.7M	$148.0M	Jun.	#4 (2018)
Finding Dory	29	3.60	$486.3M	$135.1M	Jun.	#2 (2016)
Suicide Squad	30	2.43	$325.1M	$133.7M	Aug.	#9 (2016)
Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2	30	2.66	$389.8M	$146.5M	May	#5 (2017)
Avengers: Infinity War	30	2.63	$678.8M	$257.7M	Apr.	#2 (2018)
Star Wars: The Force Awakens	30	3.78	$936.7M	$248.0M	Dec.	#1 (2015)
Ant-Man and the Wasp	31	2.86	$216.6M	$75.8M	Jul.	#9 (2018)
The Hunger Games: Mockingjay – P2	31	2.74	$281.7M	$102.7M	Nov.	#7 (2015)
Aquaman	31	4.94	$335.1M	$67.9M	Dec.	#5 (2018)
Minions	31	2.90	$336.0M	$115.7M	Jul.	#6 (2015)
Deadpool	31	2.74	$363.1M	$132.4M	Feb.	#6 (2016)
Beauty and the Beast	31	2.88	$504.0M	$174.8M	Mar.	#2 (2017)
Jurassic World	31	3.12	$652.3M	$208.8M	Jun.	#2 (2015)
Cinderella	32	2.96	$201.2M	$67.9M	Mar.	#9 (2015)
Sing	32	7.67	$270.4M	$35.3M	Dec.	#10 (2016)
Toy Story 4*	35	3.53	$426.7M	$120.9M	Jun.	#4 (2019)
Mission: Impossible – Fallout	36	3.60	$220.2M	$61.2M	Jul.	#8 (2018)
Spider-Man: Homecoming	36	2.86	$334.2M	$117.0M	Jul.	#6 (2017)
Incredibles 2	36	3.33	$608.6M	$182.7M	Jun.	#3 (2018)
Despicable Me 3	37	3.65	$264.6M	$72.4M	Jun.	#9 (2017)
The Secret Life of Pets	37	3.53	$368.4M	$104.4M	Jul.	#4 (2016)
Captain Marvel	38	2.78	$426.8M	$153.4M	Mar.	#3 (2019)
Black Panther	38	3.47	$700.1M	$202.0M	Feb.	#1 (2018)
Inside Out	39	3.94	$356.5M	$90.4M	Jun.	#4 (2015)
The Jungle Book	39	3.53	$364.0M	$103.3M	Apr.	#5 (2016)
Wonder Woman	41	4.00	$412.6M	$103.3M	Jun.	#3 (2017)
Dr. Seuss' The Grinch	42	4.00	$270.6M	$67.6M	Nov.	#7 (2018)
The Martian	44	4.21	$228.4M	$54.3M	Oct.	#8 (2015)
Aladdin*	44	3.87	$353.9M	$91.5M	May	#6 (2019)
Zootopia	45	4.55	$341.3M	$75.1M	Mar.	#7 (2016)
Jumanji: Welcome To The Jungle	54	11.18	$404.5M	$36.2M	Dec.	#4 (2017)
Bohemian Rhapsody	69	4.24	$216.4M	$51.1M	Nov.	#10 (2018)
average of table	33	3.45
median of table	31	2.93
* highlighted in yellow: numbers are not final / still in theaters

display of dollars rounded to nearest hundred thousand
numbers current as of August 25, 2019

August 12, 2019

Stamina updates on the Top domestic movies >$200M (2015-2019):

Spoiler

Top 10 Highest Domestic Grossing Movie >$200M (2015 – 2019)	90% of Gross on Day	Multiplier (DG ÷ FW)	Domestic Gross	First Weekend	Release Month	Rank
The Lion King*	17	2.47	$473.3M	$191.8M	Jul.	#2 (2019)
Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice	18	1.99	$330.4M	$166.0M	Mar.	#8 (2016)
Justice League	23	2.44	$229.0M	$93.8M	Nov.	#10 (2017)
Captain America: Civil War	23	2.28	$408.1M	$179.1M	May	#3 (2016)
Star Wars: The Last Jedi	23	2.82	$620.2M	$220.0M	Dec.	#1 (2017)
Furious 7	24	2.40	$353.0M	$147.2M	Apr.	#5 (2015)
Spider-Man: Far From Home*	25	4.01	$371.0M	$92.6M	Jul.	#5 (2019)
Rogue One: A Star Wars Story	25	3.43	$532.2M	$155.1M	Dec.	#1 (2016)
Avengers: Endgame*	25	2.40	$857.9M	$357.1M	Apr.	#1 (2019)
Avengers: Age of Ultron	26	2.40	$459.0M	$191.3M	May	#3 (2015)
It	28	2.65	$327.5M	$123.4M	Sep.	#7 (2017)
Spectre	29	2.84	$200.1M	$70.4M	Nov.	#10 (2015)
Thor: Ragnarok	29	2.57	$315.1M	$122.7M	Nov.	#8 (2017)
Deadpool 2	29	2.54	$318.5M	$125.5M	May	#6 (2018)
Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom	29	2.82	$417.7M	$148.0M	Jun.	#4 (2018)
Finding Dory	29	3.60	$486.3M	$135.1M	Jun.	#2 (2016)
Suicide Squad	30	2.43	$325.1M	$133.7M	Aug.	#9 (2016)
Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2	30	2.66	$389.8M	$146.5M	May	#5 (2017)
Avengers: Infinity War	30	2.63	$678.8M	$257.7M	Apr.	#2 (2018)
Star Wars: The Force Awakens	30	3.78	$936.7M	$248.0M	Dec.	#1 (2015)
Ant-Man and the Wasp	31	2.86	$216.6M	$75.8M	Jul.	#9 (2018)
The Hunger Games: Mockingjay – P2	31	2.74	$281.7M	$102.7M	Nov.	#7 (2015)
Aquaman	31	4.94	$335.1M	$67.9M	Dec.	#5 (2018)
Minions	31	2.90	$336.0M	$115.7M	Jul.	#6 (2015)
Deadpool	31	2.74	$363.1M	$132.4M	Feb.	#6 (2016)
Beauty and the Beast	31	2.88	$504.0M	$174.8M	Mar.	#2 (2017)
Jurassic World	31	3.12	$652.3M	$208.8M	Jun.	#2 (2015)
Cinderella	32	2.96	$201.2M	$67.9M	Mar.	#9 (2015)
Sing	32	7.67	$270.4M	$35.3M	Dec.	#10 (2016)
Toy Story 4*	32	3.47	$419.7M	$120.9M	Jun.	#4 (2019)
Mission: Impossible – Fallout	36	3.60	$220.2M	$61.2M	Jul.	#8 (2018)
Spider-Man: Homecoming	36	2.86	$334.2M	$117.0M	Jul.	#6 (2017)
Incredibles 2	36	3.33	$608.6M	$182.7M	Jun.	#3 (2018)
Despicable Me 3	37	3.65	$264.6M	$72.4M	Jun.	#9 (2017)
The Secret Life of Pets	37	3.53	$368.4M	$104.4M	Jul.	#4 (2016)
Captain Marvel	38	2.78	$426.8M	$153.4M	Mar.	#3 (2019)
Black Panther	38	3.47	$700.1M	$202.0M	Feb.	#1 (2018)
Inside Out	39	3.94	$356.5M	$90.4M	Jun.	#4 (2015)
The Jungle Book	39	3.53	$364.0M	$103.3M	Apr.	#5 (2016)
Wonder Woman	41	4.00	$412.6M	$103.3M	Jun.	#3 (2017)
Dr. Seuss' The Grinch	42	4.00	$270.6M	$67.6M	Nov.	#7 (2018)
The Martian	44	4.21	$228.4M	$54.3M	Oct.	#8 (2015)
Aladdin*	44	3.86	$352.8M	$91.5M	May	#6 (2019)
Zootopia	45	4.55	$341.3M	$75.1M	Mar.	#7 (2016)
Jumanji: Welcome To The Jungle	54	11.18	$404.5M	$36.2M	Dec.	#4 (2017)
Bohemian Rhapsody	69	4.24	$216.4M	$51.1M	Nov.	#10 (2018)
average of table	33	3.44
median of table	31	2.93
* highlighted in yellow: numbers are not final / still in theaters

display of dollars rounded to nearest hundred thousand
numbers current as of August 11, 2019

July 30, 2019

Movie	Teaser Release	Teaser Views (24 hours)	Release	Global Box Office	T Views to Global BO Multiplier	Domestic Box Office
Iron Man 3	Oct. 2012	20.0M	May 2013	$1.215B	60.74	$409.0M
Avengers: Age of Ultron	Oct. 2014	34.0M	May 2015	$1.405B	41.34	$459.0M
Star Wars: The Force Awakens	Nov. 2014	<55.0M	Dec. 2015	$2.068B	>37.60	$936.7M
Star Wars: The Force Awakens	Apr. 2015	88.0M	Dec. 2015	$2.068B	23.50	$936.7M
Captain America: Civil War	Nov. 2015	61.0M	May 2016	$1.153B	18.91	$408.1M
Beauty and the Beast	May 2016	91.8M	Mar. 2017	$1.264B	13.76	$504.0M
Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2	Dec. 2016	81.0M	May 2017	$0.864B	10.66	$389.8M
The Fate of the Furious	Dec. 2016	139.0M	Apr. 2017	$1.236B	8.89	$226.0M
Spider-Man: Homecoming	Dec. 2016	116.0M	Jul. 2017	$0.880B	7.59	$334.2M
It	Mar. 2017	197.0M	Sep. 2017	$0.700B	3.56	$327.5M
Thor: Ragnarok	Apr. 2017	136.0M	Nov. 2017	$0.854B	6.28	$315.1M
Star Wars: The Last Jedi	Apr. 2017	91.0M	Dec. 2017	$1.333B	14.64	$620.2M
Black Panther	Jun. 2017	89.0M	Feb. 2018	$1.347B	15.13	$700.1M
Avengers: Infinity War	Nov. 2017	238.0M	Apr. 2018	$2.048B	8.61	$678.8M
Incredibles 2	Nov. 2017	113.6M	Jun. 2018	$1.243B	10.94	$608.6M
Captain Marvel	Sep. 2018	109.0M	Mar. 2019	$1.128B	10.35	$426.8M
Avengers: Endgame*	Dec. 2018	289.0M	Apr. 2019	$2.793B	9.67	$856.6M
The Lion King*	Nov. 2018	224.6M	Jul. 2019	$0.990B	4.41	$351.9M
Spider-Man: Far From Home*	Jan. 2019	130.0M	Jul. 2019	$1.037B	7.98	$344.7M
Frozen 2	Feb. 2019	116.4M	Nov. 2019	TBD	TBD	TBD
Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker	Apr. 2019	111.0M	Dec. 2019	TBD	TBD	TBD
Mulan	Jul. 2019	175.1M	Mar. 2020	TBD	TBD	TBD

* box office results not final / current July 28, 2019

I think more was expected out of TLK based on teaser views, but to be fair it had quite a drop compared to Endgame for example on the trailer views later on.

Movie	Teaser/ Trailer Release	Views (24 hours)	Release	Global Box Office	T Views to Global BO Multiplier	Domestic Box Office
Avengers: Endgame (teaser)*	Dec. 2018	289.0M	Apr. 2019	$2.793B	9.67	$856.6M
Avengers: Endgame (trailer)*	Mar. 2019	268.0M	Apr. 2019	$2.793B	10.42	$856.6M
The Lion King (teaser)*	Nov. 2018	224.6M	Jul. 2019	$0.990B	4.41	$351.9M
The Lion King (trailer)*	Apr. 2019	174.0M	Jul. 2019	$0.990B	5.69	$351.9M

July 29, 2019

Stamina updates on the Top 10 domestic movies >$200M 2015-2019; (2 weeks ago table):

Spoiler

Top 10 Highest Domestic Grossing Movie >$200M (2015 – 2019)	90% of Gross on Day	Multiplier (DG ÷ FW)	Domestic Gross	First Weekend	Release Month	Rank
The Lion King*	9	1.83	$351.9M	$191.8M	Jul.	#4 (2019)
Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice	18	1.99	$330.4M	$166.0M	Mar.	#8 (2016)
Spider-Man: Far From Home*	19	3.72	$344.7M	$92.6M	Jul.	#6 (2019)
Justice League	23	2.44	$229.0M	$93.8M	Nov.	#10 (2017)
Captain America: Civil War	23	2.28	$408.1M	$179.1M	May	#3 (2016)
Star Wars: The Last Jedi	23	2.82	$620.2M	$220.0M	Dec.	#1 (2017)
Furious 7	24	2.40	$353.0M	$147.2M	Apr.	#5 (2015)
Avengers: Endgame*	24	2.40	$856.6M	$357.1M	Apr.	#1 (2019)
Rogue One: A Star Wars Story	25	3.43	$532.2M	$155.1M	Dec.	#1 (2016)
Avengers: Age of Ultron	26	2.40	$459.0M	$191.3M	May	#3 (2015)
Toy Story 4*	27	3.28	$396.2M	$120.9M	Jun.	#3 (2019)
It	28	2.65	$327.5M	$123.4M	Sep.	#7 (2017)
Spectre	29	2.84	$200.1M	$70.4M	Nov.	#10 (2015)
Thor: Ragnarok	29	2.57	$315.1M	$122.7M	Nov.	#8 (2017)
Deadpool 2	29	2.54	$318.5M	$125.5M	May	#6 (2018)
Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom	29	2.82	$417.7M	$148.0M	Jun.	#4 (2018)
Finding Dory	29	3.60	$486.3M	$135.1M	Jun.	#2 (2016)
Suicide Squad	30	2.43	$325.1M	$133.7M	Aug.	#9 (2016)
Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2	30	2.66	$389.8M	$146.5M	May	#5 (2017)
Avengers: Infinity War	30	2.63	$678.8M	$257.7M	Apr.	#2 (2018)
Star Wars: The Force Awakens	30	3.78	$936.7M	$248.0M	Dec.	#1 (2015)
Ant-Man and the Wasp	31	2.86	$216.6M	$75.8M	Jul.	#9 (2018)
The Hunger Games: Mockingjay – P2	31	2.74	$281.7M	$102.7M	Nov.	#7 (2015)
Aquaman	31	4.94	$335.1M	$67.9M	Dec.	#5 (2018)
Minions	31	2.90	$336.0M	$115.7M	Jul.	#6 (2015)
Deadpool	31	2.74	$363.1M	$132.4M	Feb.	#6 (2016)
Beauty and the Beast	31	2.88	$504.0M	$174.8M	Mar.	#2 (2017)
Jurassic World	31	3.12	$652.3M	$208.8M	Jun.	#2 (2015)
Cinderella	32	2.96	$201.2M	$67.9M	Mar.	#9 (2015)
Sing	32	7.67	$270.4M	$35.3M	Dec.	#10 (2016)
Mission: Impossible – Fallout	36	3.60	$220.2M	$61.2M	Jul.	#8 (2018)
Spider-Man: Homecoming	36	2.86	$334.2M	$117.0M	Jul.	#6 (2017)
Incredibles 2	36	3.33	$608.6M	$182.7M	Jun.	#3 (2018)
Despicable Me 3	37	3.65	$264.6M	$72.4M	Jun.	#9 (2017)
The Secret Life of Pets	37	3.53	$368.4M	$104.4M	Jul.	#4 (2016)
Captain Marvel	38	2.78	$426.8M	$153.4M	Mar.	#2 (2019)
Black Panther	38	3.47	$700.1M	$202.0M	Feb.	#1 (2018)
Inside Out	39	3.94	$356.5M	$90.4M	Jun.	#4 (2015)
The Jungle Book	39	3.53	$364.0M	$103.3M	Apr.	#5 (2016)
Wonder Woman	41	4.00	$412.6M	$103.3M	Jun.	#3 (2017)
Dr. Seuss' The Grinch	42	4.00	$270.6M	$67.6M	Nov.	#7 (2018)
Aladdin*	42	3.78	$346.2M	$91.5M	May	#5 (2019)
The Martian	44	4.21	$228.4M	$54.3M	Oct.	#8 (2015)
Zootopia	45	4.55	$341.3M	$75.1M	Mar.	#7 (2016)
Jumanji: Welcome To The Jungle	54	11.18	$404.5M	$36.2M	Dec.	#4 (2017)
Bohemian Rhapsody	69	4.24	$216.4M	$51.1M	Nov.	#10 (2018)
average of table	32	3.41
median of table	31	2.93
* highlighted in yellow: numbers are not final / still in theaters

display of dollars rounded to nearest hundred thousand
numbers current as of July 28, 2019

Release Month	Average Multiplier	Median Multiplier	Release Month	Average Multiplier	Median Multiplier
January	2.88	2.66	July	3.30	3.22
February	2.81	2.73	August	3.22	3.00
March	3.02	2.89	September	2.87	2.75
April	2.76	2.65	October	3.02	2.75
May	2.95	2.82	November	3.43	3.23
June	3.13	3.01	December	5.45	4.76
all (1025 movies)				3.21	2.93
excludes 2018-2019 releases
highest month in blue; lowest month in red numbers from top openings (2008-2017) as of August 16, 2018

July 23, 2019

I liked Hereditary but not this. The first 20 minutes or so is on par with Hereditary's quality but after it's not as good and it I was mostly bored with it thereafter unfortunately - a worldbuilding exercise but not much more. The last thing the movie needed is a lot more length to that end and even worse pacing.

July 23, 2019

2 hours ago, Ledmonkey96 said:

I'll believe it's happening when we get a trailer, until then I'll assume it's Vaporware like a decent chunk of the 'confirmed' DCEU movies.

In other news Disney's domestic % is 36.6%, WB + Universal + Sony are 36.9%, There's a pretty decent chance Disney will have a larger % than their combined totals by next Sunday.

Year ▼	Disney Top 10 Total $	Disney Top 10 Total %
2009	$293M	9.0%
2010	$950M	33.2%
2011	$433M	17.4%
2012	$861M	26.0%
2013	$1313M	41.4%
2014	$1057M	38.6%
2015	$1953M	48.8%
2016	$2132M	56.3%
2017	$1829M	48.1%
2018	$2204M	55.3%
2019*	$2190M	69.2%

* results not final...most of The Lion King's domestic run and Frozen 2 and Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker yet to come. :thinking:

distributor comparisons:

Spoiler

Top 30 Box Office Domestic Movies

by distributor

Year ►
Rank ▼

2
0
0
9

2
0
1
0

2
0
1
1

2
0
1
2

2
0
1
3

2
0
1
4

2
0
1
5

2
0
1
6

2
0
1
7

2
0
1
8

2
0
1
9
*

1

F

D

W

D

L

W

D

Key – Total

2

P

D

P

W

D

L

U

D

Disney (other)

21

3

W

P

L

D

W

D

Disney (Marvel Studios)

16

4

W

S

U

D

U

S

U

D

Disney (Pixar)

11

5

D

W

D

W

U

D

W

S

D

Disney (Animation Studios)

7

6

W

U

L

W

U

F

S

F

D

Disney (Lucasfilm)

4

7

P

U

P

S

D

P

L

D

W

U

D

Disney (Fox)

1

8

W

P

D

W

D

F

W

D

P

L

all Disney total

60

9

F

P

W

U

F

D

W

U

D

U

W

Warner Bros.

65

10

W

D

P

D

S

U

W

F

U

Universal

50

11

P

S

F

U

P

F

P

D

F

W

F

Fox

47

12

F

D

P

D

S

U

W

U

D

W

P

Paramount

44

13

F

P

D

P

W

F

D

S

D

S

Sony

39

14

F

W

U

S

F

S

D

F

W

D

U

L

Lionsgate

14

15

S

P

F

P

F

U

S

W

non-W/U/F/P/S/L studios

11

16

D

U

P

F

W

P

S

P

W

P

all non-Disney total

270

17

U

P

F

U

S

F

U

F

W

18

P

F

U

W

F

P

F

D

P

19

S

P

S

W

L

U

L

D

S

F

20

F

P

F

U

W

F

W

S

21

D

S

P

S

U

W

S

D

U

L

22

S

P

W

F

P

W

F

W

23

W

P

W

P

D

L

W

U

W

D

24

S

W

F

U

F

W

L

W

U

25

F

U

P

F

P

S

26

D

U

P

S

U

D

S

U

W

27

S

F

S

F

L

F

U

W

P

28

U

L

S

W

P

F

U

W

S

P

29

U

W

S

U

W

P

U

S

W

30

P

W

U

W

F

D

S

P

W

L

* 2019 results not final

Note: Does not retroactively consider Fox
releases as Disney releases before
March 20, 2019.

Other studios that want to compete are going to have to figure out why they're not reaching a broader audience besides the reason that Disney created or purchased the most popular brands. I'd hoped stuff like TSLOP2 would've turned out better than its >50% drop (yikes) but It Chapter 2 and Jumanji:TNL will probably get hit with drops from their predecessors as well, just hopefully not as big. There just seems to be a downward pressure operating out there applied to anything not MCU and to a lesser extent Disney in general.

Buzzfeed News - Disney Won. Now What? (July 3, 2019)

July 15, 2019

Stamina updates on the Top 10 domestic movies >$200M 2015-2019; (2 weeks ago table):

Spoiler

Top 10 Highest Domestic Grossing Movie >$200M (2015 – 2019)	90% of Gross on Day	Multiplier (DG ÷ FW)	Domestic Gross	First Weekend	Release Month	Rank
Spider-Man: Far From Home*	12	2.97	$274.6M	$92.6M	Jul.	#5 (2019)
Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice	18	1.99	$330.4M	$166.0M	Mar.	#8 (2016)
Toy Story 4*	19	2.87	$346.7M	$120.9M	Jun.	#3 (2019)
Justice League	23	2.44	$229.0M	$93.8M	Nov.	#10 (2017)
Captain America: Civil War	23	2.28	$408.1M	$179.1M	May	#3 (2016)
Star Wars: The Last Jedi	23	2.82	$620.2M	$220.0M	Dec.	#1 (2017)
Furious 7	24	2.40	$353.0M	$147.2M	Apr.	#5 (2015)
Avengers: Endgame*	24	2.38	$851.6M	$357.1M	Apr.	#1 (2019)
Rogue One: A Star Wars Story	25	3.43	$532.2M	$155.1M	Dec.	#1 (2016)
Avengers: Age of Ultron	26	2.40	$459.0M	$191.3M	May	#3 (2015)
It	28	2.65	$327.5M	$123.4M	Sep.	#7 (2017)
Spectre	29	2.84	$200.1M	$70.4M	Nov.	#10 (2015)
Thor: Ragnarok	29	2.57	$315.1M	$122.7M	Nov.	#8 (2017)
Deadpool 2	29	2.54	$318.5M	$125.5M	May	#6 (2018)
Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom	29	2.82	$417.7M	$148.0M	Jun.	#4 (2018)
Finding Dory	29	3.60	$486.3M	$135.1M	Jun.	#2 (2016)
Suicide Squad	30	2.43	$325.1M	$133.7M	Aug.	#9 (2016)
Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2	30	2.66	$389.8M	$146.5M	May	#5 (2017)
Avengers: Infinity War	30	2.63	$678.8M	$257.7M	Apr.	#2 (2018)
Star Wars: The Force Awakens	30	3.78	$936.7M	$248.0M	Dec.	#1 (2015)
Ant-Man and the Wasp	31	2.86	$216.6M	$75.8M	Jul.	#9 (2018)
The Hunger Games: Mockingjay – P2	31	2.74	$281.7M	$102.7M	Nov.	#7 (2015)
Aquaman	31	4.94	$335.1M	$67.9M	Dec.	#5 (2018)
Minions	31	2.90	$336.0M	$115.7M	Jul.	#6 (2015)
Deadpool	31	2.74	$363.1M	$132.4M	Feb.	#6 (2016)
Beauty and the Beast	31	2.88	$504.0M	$174.8M	Mar.	#2 (2017)
Jurassic World	31	3.12	$652.3M	$208.8M	Jun.	#2 (2015)
Cinderella	32	2.96	$201.2M	$67.9M	Mar.	#9 (2015)
Sing	32	7.67	$270.4M	$35.3M	Dec.	#10 (2016)
Mission: Impossible – Fallout	36	3.60	$220.2M	$61.2M	Jul.	#8 (2018)
Aladdin*	36	3.63	$331.8M	$91.5M	May	#4 (2019)
Spider-Man: Homecoming	36	2.86	$334.2M	$117.0M	Jul.	#6 (2017)
Incredibles 2	36	3.33	$608.6M	$182.7M	Jun.	#3 (2018)
Despicable Me 3	37	3.65	$264.6M	$72.4M	Jun.	#9 (2017)
The Secret Life of Pets	37	3.53	$368.4M	$104.4M	Jul.	#4 (2016)
Captain Marvel	38	2.78	$426.8M	$153.4M	Mar.	#2 (2019)
Black Panther	38	3.47	$700.1M	$202.0M	Feb.	#1 (2018)
Inside Out	39	3.94	$356.5M	$90.4M	Jun.	#4 (2015)
The Jungle Book	39	3.53	$364.0M	$103.3M	Apr.	#5 (2016)
Wonder Woman	41	4.00	$412.6M	$103.3M	Jun.	#3 (2017)
Dr. Seuss' The Grinch	42	4.00	$270.6M	$67.6M	Nov.	#7 (2018)
The Martian	44	4.21	$228.4M	$54.3M	Oct.	#8 (2015)
Zootopia	45	4.55	$341.3M	$75.1M	Mar.	#7 (2016)
Jumanji: Welcome To The Jungle	54	11.18	$404.5M	$36.2M	Dec.	#4 (2017)
Bohemian Rhapsody	69	4.24	$216.4M	$51.1M	Nov.	#10 (2018)
average of table	32	3.42
median of table	31	2.90
* highlighted in yellow: numbers are not final / still in theaters

display of dollars rounded to nearest hundred thousand
numbers current as of July 14, 2019

Release Month	Average Multiplier	Median Multiplier	Release Month	Average Multiplier	Median Multiplier
January	2.88	2.66	July	3.30	3.22
February	2.81	2.73	August	3.22	3.00
March	3.02	2.89	September	2.87	2.75
April	2.76	2.65	October	3.02	2.75
May	2.95	2.82	November	3.43	3.23
June	3.13	3.01	December	5.45	4.76
all (1025 movies)				3.21	2.93
excludes 2018-2019 releases
highest month in blue; lowest month in red numbers from top openings (2008-2017) as of August 16, 2018

July 13, 2019

MCU Movie (domestic)	11-day Total	Final Total	11-day Multiplier	90% of Gross On Day	Type
Avengers: Endgame*	$632.0M	$850.0M	1.34	24	Sequel
Avengers: Infinity War	$461.4M	$678.8M	1.47	30	Sequel
Black Panther	$411.7M	$700.1M	1.70	38	First
Marvel’s The Avengers	$381.0M	$623.4M	1.64	35	First
Avengers: Age of Ultron	$318.8M	$459.0M	1.44	26	Sequel
Captain America: Civil War	$300.7M	$408.1M	1.36	23	Sequel
Iron Man 3	$289.6M	$409.0M	1.41	25	Sequel
Captain Marvel	$270.1M	$426.8M	1.58	38	First
Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2	$253.1M	$389.8M	1.54	30	Sequel
Spider-Man: Far From Home*	$242.6M	TBD	TBD	TBD	Sequel
Thor: Ragnarok	$215.8M	$315.1M	1.46	29	Sequel
Iron Man 2	$214.9M	$312.4M	1.45	27	Sequel
*Spider-Man: Homecoming*	$212.7M	$334.2M	1.57	36	First
Guardians of the Galaxy	$181.9M	$333.2M	1.83	43	First
Iron Man	$181.7M	$318.4M	1.75	37	First
Captain America: The Winter Soldier	$162.3M	$259.8M	1.60	30	Sequel
Doctor Strange	$155.6M	$232.6M	1.50	29	First
Thor: The Dark World	$147.3M	$206.4M	1.40	24	Sequel
*Ant-Man and the Wasp*	$136.6M	$216.6M	1.59	31	Sequel
Thor	$122.3M	$181.0M	1.48	26	First
*Captain America: The First Avenger*	$120.9M	$176.7M	1.46	26	First
*Ant-Man*	$109.5M	$180.2M	1.65	37	First
The Incredible Hulk	$99.7M	$134.8M	1.35	23	First
sequel average			1.46	27
first entry average			1.59	33

* results not final / estimates
July releases highlighted in bold

See also: 6-day comparisons

July 7, 2019

Updated MCU 6-day comps with today's estimates. 9th biggest MCU 6-day with those current estimates, and that excludes a normal preview.

July 5, 2019

Movie	TRANSF	TASM	SM:H	SM:FFH
Type	First	First	First	Sequel
Day 0 + Day 1	$36.7M	$35.9M	$50.8M	$39.3M
Day 2	$29.1M	$23.3M	$37.0M	$27.0M
Day 3	$19.2M	$15.8M	$29.2M	$25.2M
Day 4	$22.7M	$20.5M	$12.2M	$32.5M
Day 5	$25.7M	$23.7M	$15.1M	$34.0M
Day 6	$22.1M	$17.9M	$9.9M	$27.1M
Total	$155.4M	$137.0M	$154.2M	$185.1M

SM:FFH results from official estimates and are not final

MCU Movie (domestic)	6-day Total	Final Total	6-day Multiplier	90% of Gross On Day	Type
Avengers: Endgame*	$452.4M	$847.9M	1.87	24	Sequel
Avengers: Infinity War	$322.8M	$678.8M	2.10	30	Sequel
Black Panther	$277.7M	$700.1M	2.52	38	First
Marvel’s The Avengers	$257.6M	$623.4M	2.42	35	First
Avengers: Age of Ultron	$227.0M	$459.0M	2.02	26	Sequel
Captain America: Civil War	$215.2M	$408.1M	1.90	23	Sequel
Iron Man 3	$204.8M	$409.0M	2.00	25	Sequel
Captain Marvel	$187.6M	$426.8M	2.27	38	First
Spider-Man: Far From Home*	$185.1M	TBD	TBD	TBD	Sequel
Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2	$176.0M	$389.8M	2.21	30	Sequel
*Spider-Man: Homecoming*	$154.2M	$334.2M	2.17	36	First
Iron Man 2	$152.8M	$312.4M	2.04	27	Sequel
Thor: Ragnarok	$148.0M	$315.1M	2.13	29	Sequel
Guardians of the Galaxy	$126.8M	$333.2M	2.63	43	First
Iron Man	$121.3M	$318.4M	2.62	37	First
Captain America: The Winter Soldier	$113.0M	$259.8M	2.30	30	Sequel
Thor: The Dark World	$105.0M	$206.4M	1.97	24	Sequel
Doctor Strange	$104.0M	$232.6M	2.24	29	First
*Ant-Man and the Wasp*	$98.7M	$216.6M	2.20	31	Sequel
*Captain America: The First Avenger*	$86.4M	$176.7M	2.04	26	First
Thor	$80.7M	$181.0M	2.24	26	First
*Ant-Man*	$76.6M	$180.2M	2.35	37	First
The Incredible Hulk	$70.7M	$134.8M	1.91	23	First
sequel average			2.07	27
first entry average			2.31	33

* results not final
July releases highlighted in bold

As a sequel, FFH should run out of gas faster than SM:H did. The multiplier gap between Ant-Man and AMatW increased as time went on from 0.15 on Day 6 to 0.29 comparing the final multipliers (FSS) and AMatW was 6 days less to 90% of its final domestic gross. July is a big month for stamina and it'll be interesting - if not anything else - what effect this atypical launch has in the longer run.

July 3, 2019

The key to the MCU is that they get the openings on sequels to be much larger (cushion) than their predecessor so that when the frontloadedness kicks in it is offset so that the movie makes more money even with the harsher drops after opening. Only Iron Man 2 was about flat with Iron Man with its bigger opening, Age of Ultron was pretty hopeless when the opening dropped out the gate.

Current state of the MCU (July 1, 2019): image

June 24, 2019

Stamina update on the Top 10 domestic movies >$200M (2015-2019); (2 weeks ago table):

Spoiler

Top 10 Highest Domestic Grossing Movie >$200M (2015 – 2019)	90% of Gross on Day	Multiplier (DG ÷ FW)	Domestic Gross	First Weekend	Release Month	Rank
Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice	18	1.99	$330.4M	$166.0M	Mar.	#8 (2016)
Justice League	23	2.44	$229.0M	$93.8M	Nov.	#10 (2017)
Captain America: Civil War	23	2.28	$408.1M	$179.1M	May	#3 (2016)
Star Wars: The Last Jedi	23	2.82	$620.2M	$220.0M	Dec.	#1 (2017)
Avengers: Endgame*	23	2.34	$834.6M	$357.1M	Apr.	#1 (2019)
Aladdin*	24	3.15	$288.6M	$91.5M	May	#3 (2019)
Furious 7	24	2.40	$353.0M	$147.2M	Apr.	#5 (2015)
Rogue One: A Star Wars Story	25	3.43	$532.2M	$155.1M	Dec.	#1 (2016)
Avengers: Age of Ultron	26	2.40	$459.0M	$191.3M	May	#3 (2015)
It	28	2.65	$327.5M	$123.4M	Sep.	#7 (2017)
Spectre	29	2.84	$200.1M	$70.4M	Nov.	#10 (2015)
Thor: Ragnarok	29	2.57	$315.1M	$122.7M	Nov.	#8 (2017)
Deadpool 2	29	2.54	$318.5M	$125.5M	May	#6 (2018)
Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom	29	2.82	$417.7M	$148.0M	Jun.	#4 (2018)
Finding Dory	29	3.60	$486.3M	$135.1M	Jun.	#2 (2016)
Suicide Squad	30	2.43	$325.1M	$133.7M	Aug.	#9 (2016)
Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2	30	2.66	$389.8M	$146.5M	May	#5 (2017)
Avengers: Infinity War	30	2.63	$678.8M	$257.7M	Apr.	#2 (2018)
Star Wars: The Force Awakens	30	3.78	$936.7M	$248.0M	Dec.	#1 (2015)
Ant-Man and the Wasp	31	2.86	$216.6M	$75.8M	Jul.	#9 (2018)
The Hunger Games: Mockingjay – P2	31	2.74	$281.7M	$102.7M	Nov.	#7 (2015)
Aquaman	31	4.94	$335.1M	$67.9M	Dec.	#5 (2018)
Minions	31	2.90	$336.0M	$115.7M	Jul.	#6 (2015)
Deadpool	31	2.74	$363.1M	$132.4M	Feb.	#6 (2016)
Beauty and the Beast	31	2.88	$504.0M	$174.8M	Mar.	#2 (2017)
Jurassic World	31	3.12	$652.3M	$208.8M	Jun.	#2 (2015)
Cinderella	32	2.96	$201.2M	$67.9M	Mar.	#9 (2015)
Sing	32	7.67	$270.4M	$35.3M	Dec.	#10 (2016)
Mission: Impossible – Fallout	36	3.60	$220.2M	$61.2M	Jul.	#8 (2018)
Spider-Man: Homecoming	36	2.86	$334.2M	$117.0M	Jul.	#6 (2017)
Incredibles 2	36	3.33	$608.6M	$182.7M	Jun.	#3 (2018)
Despicable Me 3	37	3.65	$264.6M	$72.4M	Jun.	#9 (2017)
The Secret Life of Pets	37	3.53	$368.4M	$104.4M	Jul.	#4 (2016)
Captain Marvel*	38	2.78	$426.8M	$153.4M	Mar.	#2 (2019)
Black Panther	38	3.47	$700.1M	$202.0M	Feb.	#1 (2018)
Inside Out	39	3.94	$356.5M	$90.4M	Jun.	#4 (2015)
The Jungle Book	39	3.53	$364.0M	$103.3M	Apr.	#5 (2016)
Wonder Woman	41	4.00	$412.6M	$103.3M	Jun.	#3 (2017)
Dr. Seuss' The Grinch	42	4.00	$270.6M	$67.6M	Nov.	#7 (2018)
The Martian	44	4.21	$228.4M	$54.3M	Oct.	#8 (2015)
Zootopia	45	4.55	$341.3M	$75.1M	Mar.	#7 (2016)
Jumanji: Welcome To The Jungle	54	11.18	$404.5M	$36.2M	Dec.	#4 (2017)
Bohemian Rhapsody	69	4.24	$216.4M	$51.1M	Nov.	#10 (2018)
average of table	33	3.43
median of table	31	2.90
* highlighted in yellow: numbers are not final / still in theaters

display of dollars rounded to nearest hundred thousand
numbers current as of June 23, 2019

Release Month	Average Multiplier	Median Multiplier	Release Month	Average Multiplier	Median Multiplier
January	2.88	2.66	July	3.30	3.22
February	2.81	2.73	August	3.22	3.00
March	3.02	2.89	September	2.87	2.75
April	2.76	2.65	October	3.02	2.75
May	2.95	2.82	November	3.43	3.23
June	3.13	3.01	December	5.45	4.76
all (1025 movies)				3.21	2.93
excludes 2018-2019 releases
highest month in blue; lowest month in red numbers from top openings (2008-2017) as of August 16, 2018

June 22, 2019

8 minutes ago, jedijake said:

Frozen 2 seems to be doing something entirely different from what TS4 did. If TS4 was a tack-on film (but a pretty good fun one), F2 is going deeper, more mythological, more inspired than the first one. People wanted to know more about this mystery and F2 is doing that. It gives the feel that people actually wanted an F2. I guess that was TS4's problem all along?

Maybe the lack of a hook for TS4 was what kept it from performing industry expectations (I emphasize "industry"). F2 really seems to have the hook (what is the mystery behind Elsa's powers and are there more powers out there?). Let's hope they learn how to use a hook for TROS.

Even right away Frozen 2 spiked more search traffic and video views (19M TS4 teaser versus 40M F2 on official channels - the view stats for 24 hour views on all platforms on F2 were 116.4M [comps]) than TS4 did in comparing teasers. We'll see how it sustains, but in my head F2 was always ahead of whatever TS4 ended up at, the question was how big the gap between the two was going to be.

June 22, 2019

Top 10 Domestic Movies Unadjusted Box Office (releases in first (a) and second (b) separate halves of year 2014-2019)
Rank	2014a	2015a	2016a	2017a	2018a	2019a*
1st	$259.8M	$652.3M	$486.3M	$504.0M	$700.1M	$832.6M
2nd	$257.8M	$459.0M	$408.1M	$412.6M	$678.8M	$426.7M
3rd	$245.4M	$356.5M	$364.0M	$389.8M	$608.6M	$275.3M
4th	$241.4M	$353.0M	$363.1M	$264.6M	$417.7M	$175.0M
5th	$233.9M	$201.2M	$341.3M	$226.3M	$318.5M	$160.8M
6th	$202.9M	$184.3M	$330.4M	$226.0M	$213.8M	$152.0M
7th	$200.7M	$177.4M	$155.4M	$176.0M	$188.0M	$141.7M
8th	$191.7M	$166.2M	$143.5M	$175.8M	$140.2M	$139.8M
9th	$177.0M	$163.0M	$127.4M	$175.0M	$137.7M	$114.1M
10th	$150.9M	$155.2M	$107.5M	$172.6M	$115.3M	$111.0M
Total	$2.161B	$2.868B	$2.827B	$2.723B	$3.519B	$2.529B
Average	$216.1M	$286.8M	$282.7M	$272.3M	$351.9M	$252.9M
Median	$218.4M	$192.7M	$335.8M	$226.1M	$266.1M	$156.4M
Rank	2014b	2015b	2016b	2017b	2018b	2019b*
1st	$350.1M	$936.7M	$532.2M	$620.2M	$335.1M	TBD
2nd	$337.1M	$336.0M	$368.4M	$404.5M	$270.6M	TBD
3rd	$333.2M	$281.7M	$325.1M	$334.2M	$220.2M	TBD
4th	$255.1M	$228.4M	$270.4M	$327.5M	$216.6M	TBD
5th	$222.5M	$200.1M	$248.8M	$315.1M	$216.4M	TBD
6th	$208.5M	$195.0M	$234.0M	$229.0M	$215.3M	TBD
7th	$191.2M	$183.6M	$232.6M	$209.7M	$213.5M	TBD
8th	$188.0M	$180.2M	$169.6M	$188.0M	$201.1M	TBD
9th	$167.8M	$169.7M	$162.4M	$174.3M	$190.2M	TBD
10th	$128.0M	$161.2M	$158.8M	$146.9M	$174.5M	TBD
Total	$2.382B	$2.873B	$2.702B	$2.949B	$2.254B	TBD
Average	$238.2M	$287.3M	$270.2M	$294.9M	$225.4M	TBD
Median	$215.5M	$197.6M	$241.4M	$272.0M	$215.9M	TBD

* 2019 results not final

If anybody's wondering how Toy Story 4 will affect the stats, it'll make 2019 on par with 2017 if not also 2016/2015 in the total and average, but the median will remain lower due to how top heavy the first half of the year is.

June 21, 2019

TS4's gonna finish higher than I thought it would 6 months ago, but I never thought it and Frozen 2 and TLK would be equals anyway. Had to figure there was going to be an interest gap between them, the question was always how big the gap was going to be. The attention was always bigger on Frozen 2's trailer views in terms of media writeups anyway, I don't even recall the stats on TS4's.

June 21, 2019

Incredibles 2 (18.5M Thursday Preview) * 9.88 = $182.7M June Opening Weekend
Finding Dory (9.2M Thursday Preview) * 14.68 = $135.1M June Opening Weekend
If Toy Story 4 (~12M Thursday Preview) * 9.88 = $118.6M June Opening Weekend
If Toy Story 4 (~12M Thursday Preview) * 14.68 = $176.2M June Opening Weekend

wide range of opening scenarios * June Pixar dormant franchise sequel multipliers:

If Toy Story 4 performs like…
First Weekend	3.00	3.26 (Monsters University)	3.33 (Incredibles 2)	3.60 (Finding Dory)	3.76 (Toy Story 3)	4.00
$50.0M	$150.0M	$163.0M	$166.5M	$180.0M	$188.0M	$200.0M
$60.0M	$180.0M	$195.6M	$199.8M	$216.0M	$225.6M	$240.0M
$70.0M	$210.0M	$228.2M	$233.1M	$252.0M	$263.2M	$280.0M
$80.0M	$240.0M	$260.8M	$266.4M	$288.0M	$300.8M	$320.0M
$90.0M	$270.0M	$293.4M	$299.7M	$324.0M	$338.4M	$360.0M
$100.0M	$300.0M	$326.0M	$333.0M	$360.0M	$376.0M	$400.0M
$110.0M	$330.0M	$358.6M	$366.3M	$396.0M	$413.6M	$440.0M
$120.0M	$360.0M	$391.2M	$399.6M	$432.0M	$451.2M	$480.0M
$130.0M	$390.0M	$423.8M	$432.9M	$468.0M	$488.8M	$520.0M
$140.0M	$420.0M	$456.4M	$466.2M	$504.0M	$526.4M	$560.0M
$150.0M	$450.0M	$489.0M	$499.5M	$540.0M	$564.0M	$600.0M
$160.0M	$480.0M	$521.6M	$532.8M	$576.0M	$601.6M	$640.0M
$170.0M	$510.0M	$554.2M	$566.1M	$612.0M	$639.2M	$680.0M
$180.0M	$540.0M	$586.8M	$599.4M	$648.0M	$676.8M	$720.0M
$190.0M	$570.0M	$619.4M	$632.7M	$684.0M	$714.4M	$760.0M
$200.0M	$600.0M	$652.0M	$666.0M	$720.0M	$752.0M	$800.0M
$210.0M	$630.0M	$684.6M	$699.3M	$756.0M	$789.6M	$840.0M
$220.0M	$660.0M	$717.2M	$732.6M	$792.0M	$827.2M	$880.0M
$230.0M	$690.0M	$749.8M	$765.9M	$828.0M	$864.8M	$920.0M
$240.0M	$720.0M	$782.4M	$799.2M	$864.0M	$902.4M	$960.0M
$250.0M	$750.0M	$815.0M	$832.5M	$900.0M	$940.0M	$1000.0M

unadjusted wide sequel openings close to these highlighted in bold above:

Disney Pixar Movie	Opening	% change	Dom. Total	% change	Annual Ticket Price % Change
Monsters, Inc. (2001)	$62.6M		$255.9M
Monsters University (2013)	$82.4M	31.7%	$268.5M	4.9%	43.9%
Finding Nemo (2003)	$70.3M		$339.7M
Finding Dory (2016)	$135.1M	92.3%	$486.3M	43.1%	43.5%
The Incredibles (2004)	$70.5M		$261.4M
Incredibles 2 (2018)	$182.7M	159.3%	$608.6M	132.8%	46.7%
Toy Story 3 (2010)	$110.3M		$415.0M
Toy Story 4 (2019)*	TBD	TBD	TBD	TBD	~15.5%

* ticket price from 2018 used for 2019 from http://www.natoonline.org/data/ticket-price/

June 18, 2019

There's not many movies in the past 10 years that opened over $100M that weren't Marvel/DC, but The Hunger Games got on the board all four times, peaking with movie #2. Not saying it'll do it again - we know how these spinoff/prequels can decline, look at Fantastic Beasts - just making a point at how remarkable the series was in its heyday. Lions Gate is just going back the once-successful well again like all these other studios do even if its drier now than before. The YA dystopian genre in particular has retreated a lot even since 2015.

Non-Marvel/DC Movie (2010-2019)	Distributor	Opening	Theaters	Multiplier	Dom. Total	Year
Star Wars: The Force Awakens	Disney	$248.0M	4134	3.78	$936.7M	2015
Star Wars: The Last Jedi	Disney	$220.0M	4232	2.82	$620.2M	2017
Jurassic World	Universal	$208.8M	4291	3.12	$652.3M	2015
Incredibles 2	Disney	$182.7M	4410	3.33	$608.6M	2018
Beauty and the Beast	Disney	$174.8M	4210	2.88	$504.0M	2017
Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows P2	Warner Bros.	$169.2M	4375	2.25	$381.0M	2011
The Hunger Games: Catching Fire	Lions Gate	$158.1M	4163	2.69	$424.7M	2013
Rogue One: A Star Wars Story	Disney	$155.1M	4157	3.43	$532.2M	2016
The Hunger Games	Lions Gate	$152.5M	4137	2.67	$408.0M	2012
Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom	Universal	$148.0M	4485	2.82	$417.7M	2018
Furious 7	Universal	$147.2M	4022	2.40	$353.0M	2015
The Twilight Saga: Breaking Dawn P2	Lions Gate/S	$141.1M	4070	2.07	$292.3M	2012
The Twilight Saga: Breaking Dawn P1	Summit	$138.1M	4066	2.04	$281.3M	2011
Finding Dory	Disney	$135.1M	4305	3.60	$486.3M	2016
Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows P1	Warner Bros.	$125.0M	4125	2.37	$296.0M	2010
It	Warner Bros.	$123.4M	4148	2.65	$327.5M	2017
The Hunger Games: Mockingjay – P1	Lions Gate	$121.9M	4151	2.77	$337.1M	2014
Alice in Wonderland	Disney	$116.1M	3739	2.88	$334.2M	2010
Minions	Universal	$115.7M	4311	2.90	$336.0M	2015
Toy Story 3	Disney	$110.3M	4028	3.76	$415.0M	2010
The Secret Life of Pets	Universal	$104.4M	4381	3.53	$368.4M	2016
The Jungle Book	Disney	$103.3M	4144	3.53	$364.0M	2016
The Hunger Games: Mockingjay – P2	Lions Gate	$102.7M	4175	2.74	$281.7M	2015
Transformers: Age of Extinction	Paramount	$100.0M	4233	2.45	$245.4M	2014

June 16, 2019

Toy Story 4 by itself doing ~$400M would bring the first half of 2019's Top 10 total and average close to 2015 and 2016 and 2017, but not the median (middle number derived by adding #5 & #6 together and dividing by 2).

Top 10 Domestic Movies Unadjusted Box Office (releases in first (a) and second (b) separate halves of year 2014-2019)
Rank	2014a	2015a	2016a	2017a	2018a	2019a*
1st	$259.8M	$652.3M	$486.3M	$504.0M	$700.1M	$830.5M
2nd	$257.8M	$459.0M	$408.1M	$412.6M	$678.8M	$426.5M
3rd	$245.4M	$356.5M	$364.0M	$389.8M	$608.6M	$263.4M
4th	$241.4M	$353.0M	$363.1M	$264.6M	$417.7M	$175.0M
5th	$233.9M	$201.2M	$341.3M	$226.3M	$318.5M	$160.8M
6th	$202.9M	$184.3M	$330.4M	$226.0M	$213.8M	$148.6M
7th	$200.7M	$177.4M	$155.4M	$176.0M	$188.0M	$140.8M
8th	$191.7M	$166.2M	$143.5M	$175.8M	$140.2M	$139.6M
9th	$177.0M	$163.0M	$127.4M	$175.0M	$137.7M	$113.9M
10th	$150.9M	$155.2M	$107.5M	$172.6M	$115.3M	$111.0M
Total	$2.161B	$2.868B	$2.827B	$2.723B	$3.519B	$2.510B
Average	$216.1M	$286.8M	$282.7M	$272.3M	$351.9M	$251.0M
Median	$218.4M	$192.7M	$335.8M	$226.1M	$266.1M	$154.7M
Rank	2014b	2015b	2016b	2017b	2018b	2019b*
1st	$350.1M	$936.7M	$532.2M	$620.2M	$335.1M	TBD
2nd	$337.1M	$336.0M	$368.4M	$404.5M	$270.6M	TBD
3rd	$333.2M	$281.7M	$325.1M	$334.2M	$220.2M	TBD
4th	$255.1M	$228.4M	$270.4M	$327.5M	$216.6M	TBD
5th	$222.5M	$200.1M	$248.8M	$315.1M	$216.4M	TBD
6th	$208.5M	$195.0M	$234.0M	$229.0M	$215.3M	TBD
7th	$191.2M	$183.6M	$232.6M	$209.7M	$213.5M	TBD
8th	$188.0M	$180.2M	$169.6M	$188.0M	$201.1M	TBD
9th	$167.8M	$169.7M	$162.4M	$174.3M	$190.2M	TBD
10th	$128.0M	$161.2M	$158.8M	$146.9M	$174.5M	TBD
Total	$2.382B	$2.873B	$2.702B	$2.949B	$2.254B	TBD
Average	$238.2M	$287.3M	$270.2M	$294.9M	$225.4M	TBD
Median	$215.5M	$197.6M	$241.4M	$272.0M	$215.9M	TBD

* 2019 results not final

June 15, 2019

Top 30 Box Office Domestic Movies

by distributor

Year ►
Rank ▼

2
0
0
9

2
0
1
0

2
0
1
1

2
0
1
2

2
0
1
3

2
0
1
4

2
0
1
5

2
0
1
6

2
0
1
7

2
0
1
8

2
0
1
9
*

1

F

D

W

D

L

W

D

Key – Total

2

P

D

P

W

D

L

U

D

Disney (other)

20

3

W

P

L

D

W

D

Disney (Marvel Studios)

16

4

W

S

U

D

U

S

U

D

Disney (Pixar)

10

5

D

W

D

W

U

D

W

U

D

Disney (Animation Studios)

7

6

W

U

L

W

U

F

S

F

L

D

Disney (Lucasfilm)

4

7

P

U

P

S

D

P

L

D

W

U

W

D

Disney (Fox)

2

8

W

P

D

W

D

F

W

D

P

W

all Disney total

59

9

F

P

W

U

F

D

W

U

D

W

Warner Bros.

64

10

W

D

P

D

S

U

W

F

U

Universal

51

11

P

S

F

U

P

F

P

D

F

W

F

Fox

47

12

F

D

P

D

S

U

W

U

D

W

P

Paramount

45

13

F

P

D

P

W

F

D

S

F

S

Sony

39

14

F

W

U

S

F

S

D

F

W

D

W

L

Lions Gate

14

15

S

P

F

P

F

U

S

L

non-W/U/F/P/S/L studios

11

16

D

U

P

F

W

P

S

P

W

P

U

all non-Disney total

271

17

U

P

F

U

S

F

U

F

W

P

18

P

F

U

W

F

P

F

D

S

19

S

P

S

W

L

U

L

D

S

P

20

F

P

F

U

W

F

W

P

21

D

S

P

S

U

W

S

D

U

W

22

S

P

W

F

P

W

F

W

23

W

P

W

P

D

L

W

U

W

L

24

S

W

F

U

F

W

L

W

P

25

F

U

P

F

P

D

26

D

U

P

S

U

D

S

U

S

27

S

F

S

F

L

F

U

W

U

28

U

L

S

W

P

F

U

W

S

D

29

U

W

S

U

W

P

U

S

U

30

P

W

U

W

F

D

S

P

W

S

* 2019 results not final

Note: Does not retroactively consider Fox releases as Disney releases before March 20, 2019,

Above ranked releases:

Top 10 - Disney leads (past 10.5 years)

Top 20 - Disney leads (past 10.5 years)

Top 30 - WB leads by a nose (past 10.5 years)

Top 10 domestic box office:

Year ▼	Disney Total $	Disney Total %
2009	$293M	9.0%
2010	$950M	33.2%
2011	$433M	17.4%
2012	$861M	26.0%
2013	$1313M	41.4%
2014	$1057M	38.6%
2015	$1953M	48.8%
2016	$2132M	56.3%
2017	$1829M	48.1%
2018	$2204M	55.3%
2019*	$1614M	65.0%

June 10, 2019

Movie	first wknd.	% change	mutliplier	dom. Total
Godzilla	$93.2M		2.15	$200.7M
Godzilla KotM	$47.8M	-48.7%
X: Apocalypse	$65.8M		2.36	$155.4M
Dark Phoenix	$32.8M	-50.1%
Secret Life of Pets	$104.4M		3.53	$368.4M
Secret Life of Pets 2	$46.7M	-55.3%

Can G: KotM multi go lower than the already low 2.15 since it's a sequel? Pets 2 should take a hit to the multiplier because it's a sequel that moved from July to June. Phoenix launched in June instead of May which is slightly more favorable for a multiplier. Pretty brutal if all three take a hit with lower multipliers than their predecessors after the way they opened.

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