MagnarTheGreat
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Posts posted by MagnarTheGreat
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This thing seriously comes out in 2.5 weeks? I've seen zero ads anywhere. I saw Wrinkle ads. Hell, I even saw Strange Magic ads, and next to nobody remembers that movie ever existed.
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56 minutes ago, MrGlass2 said:
$208M for Venom if it continues to follow Logan, legs seem a bit worse but $200M is looking good.
Daily Domestic Multiplier Solo: A Star
Wars StoryLogan Venom* Weekend 1 FSS $84,420,489 $88,411,916 $80,255,756 Weekend 1 FSS 1.00 1.00 1.00 Day 4 M 1.22 1.08 1.12 Day 5 T 1.31 1.18 1.22 Day 6 W 1.36 1.24 1.28 Day 7 T 1.42 1.30 1.33 Weekend 2 FSS 1.76 1.73 1.77 Day 11 M 1.80 1.77 1.81 Day 12 T 1.85 1.82 TBD Day 13 W 1.88 1.85 TBD Day 14 T 1.91 1.88 TBD Final Multiplier 2.53 2.56 TBD * still in theaters
Venom multiplier = Logan +0.04, +0.04, +0.04, +0.03, 2nd Weekend +0.04, +0.04It's pretty steady with Logan so far. If it stayed always stuck at +0.04 its final domestic multiplier would be 2.60 and its gross would be ~208.7M.
March isn't too bad a comparison to October.
Release
MonthAverage
MultiplierMedian
MultiplierRelease
MonthAverage
MultiplierMedian
MultiplierJanuary 2.88 2.66 July 3.30 3.22 February 2.81 2.73 August 3.22 3.00 March 3.02 2.89 September 2.87 2.75 April 2.76 2.65 October 3.02 2.75 May 2.95 2.82 November 3.43 3.23 June 3.13 3.01 December 5.45 4.76 all (1025 movies) 3.21 2.93 excludes 2018 releases highest month in blue; lowest month in red -
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Venom skewing young makes it more of a weekend monster when the schools are in session.
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Cume Domestic Multiplier Gravity Blade
Runner
2049Venom* A Star
Is Born*Weekend 1 FSS $55,785,112 $32,753,122 $80,255,756 $42,908,051 Weekend 1 FSS 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 Day 4 M 1.11 1.14 1.12 1.19 Day 5 T 1.23 1.25 1.22 1.33 Day 6 W 1.32 1.32 1.28 1.44 Day 7 T 1.42 1.39 1.33 1.54 Weekend 2 FSS 2.19 1.86 1.77 2.20 Day 11 M 2.30 1.91 1.81 2.27 Day 12 T 2.38 1.96 TBD TBD Day 13 W 2.44 2.00 TBD TBD Day 14 T 2.50 2.04 TBD TBD Final Multiplier 4.91 2.81 TBD TBD * still in theaters Columbus Day was Gravity's Day 11 and Gravity received a January expansion.
Venom trails BR2049: -0.02, -0.03, -0.04, -0.06, 2nd Weekend -0.09, -0.10
ASIB above and below Gravity: +0.08, +0.10, +0.12, +0.12, 2nd Weekend +0.01, -0.03
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Gravity Blade
Runner
2049Venom* A Star
Is Born*ASIB
% change
from VenomWeekend 1 FSS $55,785,112 $32,753,122 $80,255,756 $42,908,051 -46.54% Day 4 M $6,027,128 $4,471,019 $9,631,343 $6,744,451 -29.97% Day 5 T $6,638,467 $3,557,142 $8,228,610 $6,053,663 -26.43% Day 6 W $5,338,032 $2,462,894 $4,731,282 $4,591,089 -2.96% Day 7 T $5,346,180 $2,234,210 $4,255,160 $4,513,106 6.06% Domestic Gross on
Day 7$79,134,919 $45,478,387 $107,102,151 $64,810,360 -39.49% Multiplier on Day 7 1.42 1.39 1.33 1.51 Final Multiplier 4.91 2.81 TBD TBD Final Domestic Gross $274,092,705 $92,054,159 TBD TBD * still in theaters Columbus Day wasn't Gravity's Day 4 but its Day 11. Gravity received an expansion in mid-January 2014 at $256.4M.
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Could be worse.
There's no Jumanji 2 and Star Wars 8 to suck up >$1B in ticket sales domestic together this time (but next year is a different matter). So there's more potential money available to the numerous releases.
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IGN - PETER JACKSON'S MORTAL ENGINES LOOKS KIND OF AMAZING
http://www.ign.com/articles/2018/10/05/peter-jacksons-mortal-engines-looks-kind-of-amazing
SpoilerThe panel opened with that first 25 minutes of footage, which was pretty stunning. Immediately we’re thrown into the scene of one giant moving city -- London -- pursuing a smaller, town-like place, with the latter rolling along in a high-speed chase that sounds like the most unlikely of circumstances but actually plays as a gripping chase scene.
On the bridge of London, Hugo Weaving (as Thaddeus Valentine) oversees the pursuit over their overmatched soon-to-be victim town. The chase culminates with grinding wheels on the victim town falling apart, and giant harpoons being launched at the town, and it being “ingested” by London.
Within London we meet Tom Natsworthy (Sheehan) and Katherine Valentine (George), who discuss the “60-Second War” of the distant past that almost wiped out mankind. But soon, Hester Shaw (Hilmar), a resident of the town that was just ingested, attacks Thaddeus and flees. Another chase follows as Natsworthy and Shaw find themselves amid her old town as it is essentially consumed by the larger city in a humongous factor of sorts. It all culminates in the pair, perhaps inevitably, literally falling together into the same dire circumstances that will no doubt result in the two having to work together for the greater good in order to avoid a potentially cataclysmic event.-
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For the curious. Note that not all movies launched on a weekend, such as TASM, though I haven't gotten around to specifically noting the titles. Sequels are more frontloaded than origins or first entries in general, and the calendar also has an effect, as does the overall opening and box office.
Live-action Comic Book Superhero
Movies (2008 – 2018)Multiplier
(DG ÷ FW)90% of
Gross
on DayDomestic
GrossFirst
WeekendRelease
MonthBatman v Superman: Dawn of Justice 1.99 18 $330.4M $166.0M Mar. 2016 X-Men Origins: Wolverine 2.11 24 $179.9M $85.1M May 2009 Kick-Ass 2 2.16 17 $28.8M $13.3M Aug. 2013 Fantastic Four 2.18 20 $56.1M $25.7M Aug. 2015 Green Lantern 2.19 20 $116.6M $53.2M Jun. 2011 The Amazing Spider-Man 2 2.21 24 $202.9M $91.6M May 2014 Captain America: Civil War 2.28 23 $408.1M $179.1M May 2016 Ghost Rider: Spirit of Vengeance 2.34 22 $51.8M $22.1M Feb. 2012 Iron Man 3 2.35 25 $409.0M $174.1M May 2013 X-Men: Apocalypse 2.36 20 $155.4M $65.8M May 2016 Avengers: Age of Ultron 2.40 26 $459.0M $191.3M May 2015 Kick-Ass 2.42 20 $48.1M $19.8M Apr. 2010 Suicide Squad 2.43 30 $325.1M $133.7M Aug. 2016 The Incredible Hulk 2.43 23 $134.8M $55.4M Jun. 2008 Iron Man 2 2.44 27 $312.4M $128.1M May 2010 Justice League 2.44 23 $229.0M $93.8M Nov. 2017 Man of Steel 2.50 22 $291.0M $116.6M Jun. 2013 The Wolverine 2.50 24 $132.6M $53.1M Jul. 2013 Deadpool 2* 2.54 29 $318.5M $125.5M May 2018 Logan 2.56 26 $226.3M $88.4M Mar. 2017 Thor: Ragnarok 2.57 29 $315.1M $122.7M Nov. 2017 X-Men: Days of Future Past 2.58 28 $233.9M $90.8M May 2014 Avengers: Infinity War 2.63 30 $678.8M $257.7M Apr. 2018 X-Men: First Class 2.66 24 $146.4M $55.1M Jun. 2011 Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 2.66 30 $389.8M $146.5M May 2017 Captain America: The First Avenger 2.72 26 $176.7M $65.1M Jul. 2011 Captain America: The Winter Soldier 2.73 30 $259.8M $95.0M Apr. 2014 Doctor Strange 2.74 29 $232.6M $85.1M Nov. 2016 Deadpool 2.74 31 $363.1M $132.4M Feb. 2016 Thor 2.75 26 $181.0M $65.7M May 2011 The Dark Knight Rises 2.79 30 $448.1M $160.9M Jul. 2012 Ant-Man and the Wasp* 2.85 31 $216.2M $75.8M Jul. 2018 Spider-Man: Homecoming 2.86 36 $334.2M $117.0M Jul. 2017 Marvel’s The Avengers 3.01 35 $623.4M $207.4M May 2012 Ant-Man 3.15 37 $180.2M $57.2M Jul. 2015 Iron Man 3.23 37 $318.4M $98.6M May 2008 The Dark Knight 3.37 36 $533.3M $158.4M Jul. 2008 Black Panther 3.47 38 $700.1M $202.0M Feb. 2018 Guardians of the Galaxy 3.53 43 $333.2M $94.3M Aug. 2014 Wonder Woman 4.00 41 $412.6M $103.3M Jun. 2017 The Amazing Spider-Man 4.23 25 $262.0M $62.0M Jul. 2012 average of table 2.70 28 median of table 2.57 27 * numbers are not final / still in theaters display of dollars rounded to nearest hundred thousand this is an incomplete work-in-progress / numbers current as of October 2, 2018 Calendar effect
Release
MonthAverage
MultiplierMedian
MultiplierRelease
MonthAverage
MultiplierMedian
MultiplierJanuary 2.88 2.66 July 3.30 3.22 February 2.81 2.73 August 3.22 3.00 March 3.02 2.89 September 2.87 2.75 April 2.76 2.65 October 3.02 2.75 May 2.95 2.82 November 3.43 3.23 June 3.13 3.01 December 5.45 4.76 all (1025 movies) 3.21 2.93 excludes 2018 releases highest month in blue; lowest month in red numbers from top opening domestic earners (2008-2017) as of August 16, 2018 -
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Some new guy directed the film it's not Peter Jackson. Which is either good or bad depending on your point of view.
I might check it out in December if I find someone else that interested to go.
December is a pretty friendly time for multiple movies doing well.
Release
MonthAverage
MultiplierMedian
MultiplierRelease
MonthAverage
MultiplierMedian
MultiplierJanuary 2.88 2.66 July 3.30 3.22 February 2.81 2.73 August 3.22 3.00 March 3.02 2.89 September 2.87 2.75 April 2.76 2.65 October 3.02 2.75 May 2.95 2.82 November 3.43 3.23 June 3.13 3.01 December 5.45 4.76 all (1025 movies) 3.21 2.93 excludes 2018 releases highest month in blue; lowest month in red numbers from top opening domestic earners (2008-2017) as of August 16, 2018 On the other hand you can wind up like The Golden Compass (Dec. 2007 - 2.72 domestic multiplier; $70.1M/$93.6M domestic adjusted to ticket price of 2018; made about as much money as Solo did globally 11 years ago) (I read all the books and don't hate that movie and will check out the TV series when it launches) but I think the environment is a little friendlier domestically now than 11 years ago for that type of movie (December Star Wars has done better; The Hobbit December movies did well riding the coattails of The Lord of Rings movies) but I don't know if this book series was anywhere as popular worldwide as Philip Pullman's book series is - I'll guess not.
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The state of the MCU:
comparison table / calendar table
Ant-Man 2 as of this weekend has the slowest burn rate to 90% of its domestic total out of all the MCU sequels.
Sequels:
31 days: Ant-Man 2
30 days: Avengers 3
30 days: Guardians of the Galaxy 2
30 days: Captain America 2
29 days: Thor 3
27 days: Iron Man 2
26 days; Avengers 2
25 days: Iron Man 3
24 days: Thor 2
23 days: Captain America 3
First entry:
43 days: Guardians of the Galaxy
38 days: Black Panther
37 days: Iron Man
37 days: Ant-Man
36 days: Spider-Man
35 days: Avengers
29 days: Doctor Strange
26 days: Thor
26 days: Captain America
23 days: The Incredible Hulk -
2015-2018 High domestic earners (>$200M) stamina update (last week's table):
SpoilerTop 10 Highest Domestic Grossing
Movie >$200M (2015 – 2018)90% of
Gross
on DayMultiplier
(DG ÷ FW)Domestic
GrossFirst
WeekendRelease
MonthRank Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice 18 1.99 $330.4M $166.0M Mar. #8 (2016) Justice League 23 2.44 $229.0M $93.8M Nov. #10 (2017) Captain America: Civil War 23 2.28 $408.1M $179.1M May #3 (2016) Star Wars: The Last Jedi 23 2.82 $620.2M $220.0M Dec. #1 (2017) Solo: A Star Wars Story* 24 2.53 $213.8M $84.4M May #8 (2018) Furious 7 24 2.40 $353.0M $147.2M Apr. #5 (2015) Rogue One: A Star Wars Story 25 3.43 $532.2M $155.1M Dec. #1 (2016) Avengers: Age of Ultron 26 2.40 $459.0M $191.3M May #3 (2015) It 28 2.65 $327.5M $123.4M Sep. #7 (2017) Spectre 29 2.84 $200.1M $70.4M Nov. #10 (2015) Thor: Ragnarok 29 2.57 $315.1M $122.7M Nov. #8 (2017) Deadpool 2* 29 2.54 $318.5M $125.5M May #5 (2018) Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom* 29 2.81 $416.3M $148.0M Jun. #4 (2018) Finding Dory 29 3.60 $486.3M $135.1M Jun. #2 (2016) Suicide Squad 30 2.43 $325.1M $133.7M Aug. #9 (2016) Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 30 2.66 $389.8M $146.5M May #5 (2017) Avengers: Infinity War 30 2.63 $678.8M $257.7M Apr. #2 (2018) Star Wars: The Force Awakens 30 3.78 $936.7M $248.0M Dec. #1 (2015) Ant-Man and the Wasp* 31 2.84 $215.4M $75.8M Jul. #7 (2018) The Hunger Games: Mockingjay – P2 31 2.74 $281.7M $102.7M Nov. #7 (2015) Minions 31 2.90 $336.0M $115.7M Jul. #6 (2015) Deadpool 31 2.74 $363.1M $132.4M Feb. #6 (2016) Beauty and the Beast 31 2.88 $504.0M $174.8M Mar. #2 (2017) Jurassic World 31 3.12 $652.3M $208.8M Jun. #2 (2015) Cinderella 32 2.96 $201.2M $67.9M Mar. #9 (2015) Mission: Impossible – Fallout* 32 3.53 $216.1M $61.2M Jul. #6 (2018) Sing 32 7.67 $270.4M $35.3M Dec. #10 (2016) Incredibles 2* 35 3.32 $605.6M $182.7M Jun. #3 (2018) Spider-Man: Homecoming 36 2.86 $334.2M $117.0M Jul. #6 (2017) Despicable Me 3 37 3.65 $264.6M $72.4M Jun. #9 (2017) The Secret Life of Pets 37 3.53 $368.4M $104.4M Jul. #4 (2016) Black Panther 38 3.47 $700.1M $202.0M Feb. #1 (2018) Inside Out 39 3.94 $356.5M $90.4M Jun. #4 (2015) The Jungle Book 39 3.53 $364.0M $103.3M Apr. #5 (2016) Wonder Woman 41 4.00 $412.6M $103.3M Jun. #3 (2017) The Martian 44 4.21 $228.4M $54.3M Oct. #8 (2015) Zootopia 45 4.55 $341.3M $75.1M Mar. #7 (2016) Jumanji: Welcome To The Jungle 54 11.18 $404.5M $36.2M Dec. #4 (2017) average of table 32 3.38 median of table 31 2.87 * highlighted in yellow: numbers are not final / still in theaters display of dollars rounded to nearest hundred thousand numbers current as of September 16, 2018 Release
MonthAverage
MultiplierMedian
MultiplierRelease
MonthAverage
MultiplierMedian
MultiplierJanuary 2.88 2.66 July 3.30 3.22 February 2.81 2.73 August 3.22 3.00 March 3.02 2.89 September 2.87 2.75 April 2.76 2.65 October 3.02 2.75 May 2.95 2.82 November 3.43 3.23 June 3.13 3.01 December 5.45 4.76 all (1025 movies) 3.21 2.93 excludes 2018 releases highest month in blue; lowest month in red numbers from top opening domestic earners (2008-2017) as of August 16, 2018
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21 minutes ago, Barnack said:
Yeah that will it go just over 30m or reach 40m seem like a line written if the movie would have ended in the very lower end of the first 13-15m tracking.
Why a movie like that would not reach 2.5x mutli and maybe have a shot to 50m, the question seem much more will it barely scrap 40m or will it get to 50m.
Yeah. Here's everything new opening between $17M and $15M since 2008 in September. The lowest was $39.3M. The highest was $55.7M.
Title Studio Opening* % of Total Theaters Average Total Gross^ Date** American Made Uni. $16,776,390.00 32.70% 3024 $5,548.00 $51,342,000.00 9/29/17 Righteous Kill Over. $16,288,361.00 40.60% 3152 $5,168.00 $40,081,410.00 9/12/08 Legend of the Guardians: The Owls of Ga'Hoole WB $16,112,211.00 28.90% 3575 $4,507.00 $55,675,313.00 9/24/10 A Simple Favor LGF $16,050,000.00 100.00% 3102 $5,174.00 $16,050,000.00 9/14/18 Dolphin Tale 2 WB $15,873,397.00 37.80% 3656 $4,342.00 $42,024,533.00 9/12/14 Lakeview Terrace SGem $15,004,672.00 38.20% 2464 $6,090.00 $39,263,506.00 9/19/08 -
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2 hours ago, Krissykins said:
What’s with BOMs report on A Simple Favour??
”now we’ll see if it either barely scrapes $30m or eventually reaches $40m”.
Theyre expecting a multiplier potentially as low as 1.8x? Wth.
September multipliers are on the lower side...but not that low. I mean, it's not even a sequel which would typically make it more first weekend frontloaded so it's hard to see a multiplier that low (1.8x). Viewer feedback isn't weak on it either so far.
Release
MonthAverage
MultiplierMedian
MultiplierRelease
MonthAverage
MultiplierMedian
MultiplierJanuary 2.88 2.66 July 3.30 3.22 February 2.81 2.73 August 3.22 3.00 March 3.02 2.89 September 2.87 2.75 April 2.76 2.65 October 3.02 2.75 May 2.95 2.82 November 3.43 3.23 June 3.13 3.01 December 5.45 4.76 all (1025 movies) 3.21 2.93 excludes 2018 releases highest month in blue; lowest month in red numbers from top opening domestic earners (2008-2017) as of August 16, 2018
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Day 49
Mission: Impossible - Rogue Nation: 32 days to 90% of domestic gross (final result 37 days); 3.41 opening weekend to dom. gross multiplier (final result multiplier 3.51)
Mission: Impossible - Fallout: 31 days to 90% of current domestic gross; 3.49 opening weekend to current dom. gross multiplier
Great results for July sequels and similar performance numbers though Fallout has grossed more than its predecessor.
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I like Cavill as Superman and Man of Steel despite a few issues that make it second to Wonder Woman, but I had to make my peace that Man of Steel 2 was very remote when they used up his appearances with the Batman v Superman and Justice League direction. Even Cavill's recent musing on the topic of his contract and Man of Steel 2 didn't move me otherwise.
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Stamina for Top 10 high domestic earners >$200M (2015-2018) (last week's table):
SpoilerTop 10 Highest Domestic Grossing
Movie >$200M (2015 – 2018)90% of
Gross
on DayMultiplier
(DG ÷ FW)Domestic
GrossFirst
WeekendRelease
MonthRank Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice 18 1.99 $330.4M $166.0M Mar. #8 (2016) Justice League 23 2.44 $229.0M $93.8M Nov. #10 (2017) Captain America: Civil War 23 2.28 $408.1M $179.1M May #3 (2016) Star Wars: The Last Jedi 23 2.82 $620.2M $220.0M Dec. #1 (2017) Solo: A Star Wars Story* 24 2.53 $213.7M $84.4M May #7 (2018) Furious 7 24 2.40 $353.0M $147.2M Apr. #5 (2015) Rogue One: A Star Wars Story 25 3.43 $532.2M $155.1M Dec. #1 (2016) Avengers: Age of Ultron 26 2.40 $459.0M $191.3M May #3 (2015) It 28 2.65 $327.5M $123.4M Sep. #7 (2017) Spectre 29 2.84 $200.1M $70.4M Nov. #10 (2015) Thor: Ragnarok 29 2.57 $315.1M $122.7M Nov. #8 (2017) Deadpool 2* 29 2.54 $318.5M $125.5M May #5 (2018) Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom* 29 2.81 $415.9M $148.0M Jun. #4 (2018) Finding Dory 29 3.60 $486.3M $135.1M Jun. #2 (2016) Mission: Impossible – Fallout* 30 3.47 $212.2M $61.2M Jul. #8 (2018) Ant-Man and the Wasp* 30 2.83 $214.8M $75.8M Jul. #6 (2018) Suicide Squad 30 2.43 $325.1M $133.7M Aug. #9 (2016) Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 30 2.66 $389.8M $146.5M May #5 (2017) Avengers: Infinity War* 30 2.63 $678.8M $257.7M Apr. #2 (2018) Star Wars: The Force Awakens 30 3.78 $936.7M $248.0M Dec. #1 (2015) The Hunger Games: Mockingjay – P2 31 2.74 $281.7M $102.7M Nov. #7 (2015) Minions 31 2.90 $336.0M $115.7M Jul. #6 (2015) Deadpool 31 2.74 $363.1M $132.4M Feb. #6 (2016) Beauty and the Beast 31 2.88 $504.0M $174.8M Mar. #2 (2017) Jurassic World 31 3.12 $652.3M $208.8M Jun. #2 (2015) Cinderella 32 2.96 $201.2M $67.9M Mar. #9 (2015) Sing 32 7.67 $270.4M $35.3M Dec. #10 (2016) Incredibles 2* 35 3.31 $604.5M $182.7M Jun. #3 (2018) Spider-Man: Homecoming 36 2.86 $334.2M $117.0M Jul. #6 (2017) Despicable Me 3 37 3.65 $264.6M $72.4M Jun. #9 (2017) The Secret Life of Pets 37 3.53 $368.4M $104.4M Jul. #4 (2016) Black Panther 38 3.47 $700.1M $202.0M Feb. #1 (2018) Inside Out 39 3.94 $356.5M $90.4M Jun. #4 (2015) The Jungle Book 39 3.53 $364.0M $103.3M Apr. #5 (2016) Wonder Woman 41 4.00 $412.6M $103.3M Jun. #3 (2017) The Martian 44 4.21 $228.4M $54.3M Oct. #8 (2015) Zootopia 45 4.55 $341.3M $75.1M Mar. #7 (2016) Jumanji: Welcome To The Jungle 54 11.18 $404.5M $36.2M Dec. #4 (2017) average of table 32 3.38 median of table 30 2.87 * highlighted in yellow: numbers are not final / still in theaters display of dollars rounded to nearest hundred thousand numbers current as of September 9, 2018 Release
MonthAverage
MultiplierMedian
MultiplierRelease
MonthAverage
MultiplierMedian
MultiplierJanuary 2.88 2.66 July 3.30 3.22 February 2.81 2.73 August 3.22 3.00 March 3.02 2.89 September 2.87 2.75 April 2.76 2.65 October 3.02 2.75 May 2.95 2.82 November 3.43 3.23 June 3.13 3.01 December 5.45 4.76 all (1025 movies) 3.21 2.93 excludes 2018 releases highest month in blue; lowest month in red numbers from top opening domestic earners (2008-2017) as of August 16, 2018
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Stamina for Top 10 high domestic earners >$200M (2015-2018) (last week's table):
Top 10 Highest Domestic Grossing
Movie >$200M (2015 – 2018)90% of
Gross
on DayMultiplier
(DG ÷ FW)Domestic
GrossFirst
WeekendRelease
MonthBox Office
PositionBatman v Superman: Dawn of Justice 18 1.99 $330.4M $166.0M Mar. #8 (2016) Justice League 23 2.44 $229.0M $93.8M Nov. #10 (2017) Captain America: Civil War 23 2.28 $408.1M $179.1M May #3 (2016) Star Wars: The Last Jedi 23 2.82 $620.2M $220.0M Dec. #1 (2017) Solo: A Star Wars Story* 24 2.53 $213.7M $84.4M May #7 (2018) Furious 7 24 2.40 $353.0M $147.2M Apr. #5 (2015) Rogue One: A Star Wars Story 25 3.43 $532.2M $155.1M Dec. #1 (2016) Avengers: Age of Ultron 26 2.40 $459.0M $191.3M May #3 (2015) It 28 2.65 $327.5M $123.4M Sep. #7 (2017) Spectre 29 2.84 $200.1M $70.4M Nov. #10 (2015) Mission: Impossible – Fallout* 29 3.37 $206.7M $61.2M Jul. #8 (2018) Thor: Ragnarok 29 2.57 $315.1M $122.7M Nov. #8 (2017) Deadpool 2* 29 2.54 $318.5M $125.5M May #5 (2018) Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom* 29 2.81 $415.2M $148.0M Jun. #4 (2018) Finding Dory 29 3.60 $486.3M $135.1M Jun. #2 (2016) Ant-Man and the Wasp* 30 2.82 $214.0M $75.8M Jul. #6 (2018) Suicide Squad 30 2.43 $325.1M $133.7M Aug. #9 (2016) Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 30 2.66 $389.8M $146.5M May #5 (2017) Avengers: Infinity War* 30 2.63 $678.8M $257.7M Apr. #2 (2018) Star Wars: The Force Awakens 30 3.78 $936.7M $248.0M Dec. #1 (2015) The Hunger Games: Mockingjay – P2 31 2.74 $281.7M $102.7M Nov. #7 (2015) Minions 31 2.90 $336.0M $115.7M Jul. #6 (2015) Deadpool 31 2.74 $363.1M $132.4M Feb. #6 (2016) Beauty and the Beast 31 2.88 $504.0M $174.8M Mar. #2 (2017) Jurassic World 31 3.12 $652.3M $208.8M Jun. #2 (2015) Cinderella 32 2.96 $201.2M $67.9M Mar. #9 (2015) Sing 32 7.67 $270.4M $35.3M Dec. #10 (2016) Incredibles 2* 34 3.30 $602.6M $182.7M Jun. #3 (2018) Spider-Man: Homecoming 36 2.86 $334.2M $117.0M Jul. #6 (2017) Despicable Me 3 37 3.65 $264.6M $72.4M Jun. #9 (2017) The Secret Life of Pets 37 3.53 $368.4M $104.4M Jul. #4 (2016) Black Panther 38 3.47 $700.1M $202.0M Feb. #1 (2018) Inside Out 39 3.94 $356.5M $90.4M Jun. #4 (2015) The Jungle Book 39 3.53 $364.0M $103.3M Apr. #5 (2016) Wonder Woman 41 4.00 $412.6M $103.3M Jun. #3 (2017) The Martian 44 4.21 $228.4M $54.3M Oct. #8 (2015) Zootopia 45 4.55 $341.3M $75.1M Mar. #7 (2016) Jumanji: Welcome To The Jungle 54 11.18 $404.5M $36.2M Dec. #4 (2017) average of table 32 3.37 median of table 30 2.87 * highlighted in yellow: numbers are not final / still in theaters display of dollars rounded to nearest hundred thousand numbers current as of September 3, 2018 Release
MonthAverage
MultiplierMedian
MultiplierRelease
MonthAverage
MultiplierMedian
MultiplierJanuary 2.88 2.66 July 3.30 3.22 February 2.81 2.73 August 3.22 3.00 March 3.02 2.89 September 2.87 2.75 April 2.76 2.65 October 3.02 2.75 May 2.95 2.82 November 3.43 3.23 June 3.13 3.01 December 5.45 4.76 all (1025 movies) 3.21 2.93 excludes 2018 releases highest month in blue; lowest month in red numbers from top opening domestic earners (2008-2017) as of August 16, 2018
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Avengers movies (unadjusted) Release First
Weekend%
ChangeDomestic
Gross%
Change90%
of Gross
on DayMultiplier
(DG ÷ FW)Foreign
Gross%
ChangeWorldwide
Gross%
ChangeCinematic
Universe
Release #Marvel’s The Avengers May 2012 $207.4M $623.4M 35 3.01 $895.5M $1518.8M #6 Avengers: Age of Ultron May 2015 $191.3M -7.79% $459.0M -26.37% 26 2.40 $946.4M 5.69% $1405.4M -7.47% #11 Avengers: Infinity War* Apr. 2018 $257.7M 34.73% $678.7M 47.86% 30 2.63 $1367.5M 44.49% $2046.2M 45.59% #19 Jurassic World movies (unadjusted) Jurassic World Jun. 2015 $208.8M $652.3M 31 3.12 $1019.4M $1671.7M #4 Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom* Jun. 2018 $148.0M -29.11% $413.3M -36.64% 28 2.79 $882.3M -13.46% $1295.6M -22.50% #5 Star Wars episodes (unadjusted) Star Wars: The Force Awakens Dec. 2015 $248.0M $936.7M 30 3.78 $1131.6M $2068.2M #7 Star Wars: The Last Jedi Dec. 2017 $220.0M -11.27% $620.2M -33.79% 23 2.82 $712.4M -37.05% $1332.5M -35.57% #9 * numbers are not final / still in theaters display of dollars rounded to nearest hundred thousand data current as of August 30, 2018 Cinematic Universe Release numbers for the live-action movies (so not counting the Clone Wars movie).
Jurassic World 2 cranking out a 2.8x multiplier from June is way more impressive than Star Wars cranking out a 2.8x multiplier in December. The overall drop of JW2 domestically is similar to the foreign drop of Star Wars Episode 8 (~36% vs. 37%).
Release
MonthAverage
MultiplierMedian
MultiplierRelease
MonthAverage
MultiplierMedian
MultiplierJanuary 2.88 2.66 July 3.30 3.22 February 2.81 2.73 August 3.22 3.00 March 3.02 2.89 September 2.87 2.75 April 2.76 2.65 October 3.02 2.75 May 2.95 2.82 November 3.43 3.23 June 3.13 3.01 December 5.45 4.76 all (1025 movies) 3.21 2.93 excludes 2018 releases highest month in blue; lowest month in red numbers from top opening domestic earners (2008-2017) as of August 16, 2018
And how about those Mission: Impossible sequels? They sure do well beyond their openings. Great stats for sequels.
Ant-Man 2 has the best MCU sequel multiplier, but to be fair it was released in July which outside of December is one of the best months to release in to have a longer run beyond the opening while the previous highest sequel multiplier for the MCU was released in April (Winter Soldier). Since Infinity War was released in April, its multiplier as a sequel is also stronger than it appears on first glimpse.
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2
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Ant-Man and the Wasp: +2 days to 29 days to 90% of dom. gross (MCU highest ever sequel is 30 days; Ant-Man was 37 days)
Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom: +1 day to 28 days (Jurassic World was 31 days)
Incredibles 2: +1 day to 32 days (The Incredibles was 44 days)
Stamina for Top 10 high domestic earners >$200M (2015-2018) (last week's table):
SpoilerTop 10 Highest Domestic Grossing
Movie >$200M (2015 – 2018)90% of
Gross
on DayMultiplier
(DG ÷ FW)Domestic
GrossFirst
WeekendRelease
MonthBox Office
PositionBatman v Superman: Dawn of Justice 18 1.99 $330.4M $166.0M Mar. #8 (2016) Justice League 23 2.44 $229.0M $93.8M Nov. #10 (2017) Captain America: Civil War 23 2.28 $408.1M $179.1M May #3 (2016) Star Wars: The Last Jedi 23 2.82 $620.2M $220.0M Dec. #1 (2017) Solo: A Star Wars Story* 24 2.53 $213.6M $84.4M May #6 (2018) Furious 7 24 2.40 $353.0M $147.2M Apr. #5 (2015) Rogue One: A Star Wars Story 25 3.43 $532.2M $155.1M Dec. #1 (2016) Avengers: Age of Ultron 26 2.40 $459.0M $191.3M May #3 (2015) It 28 2.65 $327.5M $123.4M Sep. #7 (2017) Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom* 28 2.79 $413.0M $148.0M Jun. #4 (2018) Spectre 29 2.84 $200.1M $70.4M Nov. #10 (2015) Ant-Man and the Wasp* 29 2.79 $211.5M $75.8M Jul. #7 (2018) Thor: Ragnarok 29 2.57 $315.1M $122.7M Nov. #8 (2017) Deadpool 2* 29 2.54 $318.4M $125.5M May #5 (2018) Finding Dory 29 3.60 $486.3M $135.1M Jun. #2 (2016) Suicide Squad 30 2.43 $325.1M $133.7M Aug. #9 (2016) Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 30 2.66 $389.8M $146.5M May #5 (2017) Avengers: Infinity War* 30 2.63 $678.7M $257.7M Apr. #2 (2018) Star Wars: The Force Awakens 30 3.78 $936.7M $248.0M Dec. #1 (2015) The Hunger Games: Mockingjay – P2 31 2.74 $281.7M $102.7M Nov. #7 (2015) Minions 31 2.90 $336.0M $115.7M Jul. #6 (2015) Deadpool 31 2.74 $363.1M $132.4M Feb. #6 (2016) Beauty and the Beast 31 2.88 $504.0M $174.8M Mar. #2 (2017) Jurassic World 31 3.12 $652.3M $208.8M Jun. #2 (2015) Cinderella 32 2.96 $201.2M $67.9M Mar. #9 (2015) Sing 32 7.67 $270.4M $35.3M Dec. #10 (2016) Incredibles 2* 32 3.27 $597.1M $182.7M Jun. #3 (2018) Spider-Man: Homecoming 36 2.86 $334.2M $117.0M Jul. #6 (2017) Despicable Me 3 37 3.65 $264.6M $72.4M Jun. #9 (2017) The Secret Life of Pets 37 3.53 $368.4M $104.4M Jul. #4 (2016) Black Panther 38 3.47 $700.1M $202.0M Feb. #1 (2018) Inside Out 39 3.94 $356.5M $90.4M Jun. #4 (2015) The Jungle Book 39 3.53 $364.0M $103.3M Apr. #5 (2016) Wonder Woman 41 4.00 $412.6M $103.3M Jun. #3 (2017) The Martian 44 4.21 $228.4M $54.3M Oct. #8 (2015) Zootopia 45 4.55 $341.3M $75.1M Mar. #7 (2016) Jumanji: Welcome To The Jungle 54 11.18 $404.5M $36.2M Dec. #4 (2017) average of table 32 3.37 median of table 30 2.86 * highlighted in yellow: numbers are not final / still in theaters display of dollars rounded to nearest hundred thousand numbers current as of August 26, 2018 Release
MonthAverage
MultiplierMedian
MultiplierRelease
MonthAverage
MultiplierMedian
MultiplierJanuary 2.88 2.66 July 3.30 3.22 February 2.81 2.73 August 3.22 3.00 March 3.02 2.89 September 2.87 2.75 April 2.76 2.65 October 3.02 2.75 May 2.95 2.82 November 3.43 3.23 June 3.13 3.01 December 5.45 4.76 all (1025 movies) 3.21 2.93 excludes 2018 releases highest month in blue; lowest month in red numbers from top opening domestic earners (2008-2017) as of August 16, 2018 M:I-F will join the table next time.
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M:I -
Rogue NationM:I -
Fallout*M:I-F %
change from
M:I-RNWeekend 1 $55,520,089 $61,236,534 10.30% Day 4-7 $23,734,118 $28,250,837 19.03% Weekend 2 $28,502,372 $35,323,815 23.93% Wknd. 1 → Wknd. 2 drop -48.66% -42.32% Day 11-14 $13,379,976 $17,156,098 28.22% Day 4-7 → Day 11-14 drop -43.63% -39.27% Weekend 3 $17,186,540 $19,352,090 12.60% Wknd. 2 → Wknd. 3 drop -39.70% -45.22% Day 18-21 $7,739,944 $8,919,347 15.24% Day 11-14 → Day 18-21 drop -42.15% -48.01% Weekend 4 $11,451,746 $10,773,347 -5.92% Wknd. 3 → Wknd. 4 drop -33.37% -44.33% Day 25-28 $4,571,745 $4,888,592 6.93% Day 18-21 → Day 25-28 drop -40.93% -45.19% Weekend 5 $8,155,581 $8,087,385 -0.84% Wknd. 4 → Wknd. 5 drop -28.78% -24.93% Domestic Gross on
Day 31$170,242,111 $193,988,045 13.95% Final Domestic Gross $195,042,377 TBD Multiplier on Day 31 3.07** 3.17 90% of Total Domestic
Gross on Day37 23 * still in theaters ** final gross multiplier: 3.51 (total divided by weekend 1) -
2
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-
Release
MonthAverage
MultiplierMedian
MultiplierRelease
MonthAverage
MultiplierMedian
MultiplierJanuary 2.88 2.66 July 3.30 3.22 February 2.81 2.73 August 3.22 3.00 March 3.02 2.89 September 2.87 2.75 April 2.76 2.65 October 3.02 2.75 May 2.95 2.82 November 3.43 3.23 June 3.13 3.01 December 5.45 4.76 all (1025 movies) 3.21 2.93 excludes 2018 releases highest month in blue; lowest month in red numbers from top openings (2008-2017) as of August 16, 2018 Movie 90% of
Gross
on DayMultiplier
(DG ÷ FW)Domestic
GrossFirst
WeekendRelease
MonthBox Office
PositionCrazy Rich Asians* TBD 2.90 $76.8M $26.5M Aug. 2018 Suicide Squad 30 2.43 $325.1M $133.7M Aug. 2016 Jumanji: Welcome To The Jungle 54 11.18 $404.5M $36.2M Dec. 2017 * still in theaters / numbers not final / projected numbers from Deadline.com
CRA is kind of like "Jumanji 2 in August" might end up being a better comparison... (Jumanji 2 made more money than the first weekend in its second weekend during the holiday break and third weekend; CRA won't have that environment in August.)-
1
-
-
M:I -
Rogue NationM:I -
Fallout*M:I-F %
change from
M:I-RNWeekend 1 $55,520,089 $61,236,534 10.30% Day 4-7 $23,734,118 $28,250,837 19.03% Weekend 2 $28,502,372 $35,323,815 23.93% Wknd. 1 → Wknd. 2 drop -48.66% -42.32% Day 11-14 $13,379,976 $17,156,098 28.22% Day 4-7 → Day 11-14 drop -43.63% -39.27% Weekend 3 $17,186,540 $19,352,090 12.60% Wknd. 2 → Wknd. 3 drop -39.70% -45.22% Day 18-21 $7,739,944 $8,919,347 15.24% Day 11-14 → Day 18-21 drop -42.15% -48.01% Weekend 4 $11,451,746 $10,773,347 -5.92% Wknd. 3 → Wknd. 4 drop -33.37% -44.33% Day 25-28 $4,571,745 $4,888,592 6.93% Day 18-21 → Day 25-28 drop -40.93% -45.19% Domestic Gross on
Day 28$162,086,530 $185,900,660 14.69% Final Domestic Gross $195,042,377 TBD Multiplier on Day 28 2.92** 3.04 90% of Total Domestic
Gross on Day37 20 * still in theaters ** final gross multiplier: 3.51 (total divided by weekend 1) -
1
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Much like with Star Wars and other old movies, Box Office Mojo doesn't do a great job in breaking it down domestically (and for foreign re-releases it's even more difficult.)
QuoteDecember 15th, 1939 (Exclusive) by MGM (Atlanta Premiere)
January 17th, 1941 (Wide) by MGM
March 31st, 1942 (Wide) by MGM
August 21st, 1947 (Wide) by MGM
June 3rd, 1954 (Wide) by MGM
March 10th, 1961 (Wide) by MGM
October 14th, 1967 (Wide) by MGM
September 18th, 1974 (Wide) by MGM
February 3rd, 1989 (Limited) by MGM
June 26th, 1998 (Limited) by MGM
https://www.the-numbers.com/movie/Gone-with-the-Wind#tab=summary
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1
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1
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Thursday Numbers
in Numbers and Data
Posted
Multiplier
Is Born*
Minus
Gravity
Minus
Logan
Wars Story
Runner
2049
Gravity's Day 11 was Columbus Day in October and it received a January expansion. Solo's Day 4 was Memorial Day. Day 4 was Columbus Day for the other October releases featured.
Venom @ 2.53 to 2.58 = $203.0M to $207.1M