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carlsalf38

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Everything posted by carlsalf38

  1. So more bad news for movies this year. After the terrible numbers Tenet has done in USA, China and now Mexico, almost everything has moved out of this year. Disney just announced Black Widow moves to May 2021, Eternals to Nov. 2021. Death on the Nile moves from October to December and Wonder Woman was announced previously for Christmas... so October is also lost. I think theaters should basically close again until people really want to come back to the movies. I don't really think they are even covering expenses with these terrible numbers. The only saving grace would be No Time to Die and that is if the movie doesn't move from November¡ I don't think Disney will keep Soul for those dates either, seeing how they are running from cinemas.
  2. Went to see The New Mutants in Imax, sunday at 2pm, we were 12 people in the whole theater... if that's not sad I don't know what is then. Cinepolis was empty when we arrived not sure many other movies had that much people. When we left there was some more movement but it feels so strange going to an empty theater chain and specially one as big as Perisur and as @Carlangonz mentioned... the mall was full and restaurants were crowded... people still do not trust going to the movies. But I must say I have already bought my tickets for Imax on Wednesday 16th for Tenet... Perisur and Universidad were crowded (well Covid crowded I mean)... almost all center seats have already been taken for the three showings of that day... so I think it will really open way much better than The New Mutants... considering it was only for Wednesday and not the full weekend.
  3. So, according with the numbers I have we're already passed the 15B mark at 15.4B (estimated of course). Considering the record is 16.8B I can definitely see Terminator, Frozen, Jumanji, Star Wars and Maleficent doing 1.4B JUST between them, so 18B is almost assured... that would be really incredible
  4. Santos payasos, Batman¡¡ With those numbers, there is a strong possibility "El Bromas" crosses 700M in the end. A good hold (50%) will send it above 520M for this weekend with another great week before Maleficent takes away some big theaters. I think at least it will surely cross the 636M of BvS:DoJ Always great to have this kind of surprises. What do you think for Maleficent? Can it open above 150M? 175M? 200M? Is anyone really expecting this sequel?
  5. So... It seems this weekend was not that bad thanks to Yesterday that debuted decently (and I'm hearing good things, will probably have good legs) I'm also leaning towards a 200M opening for It 2. hoping it will get at least to 500M so it can help the overall results BTW, has the Box office crossed the 14Billion Pesos mark? Last I have is it's was almost about to cross 13Billion but I don't have the exact numbers, you have more information that what I have. The Lion King is at 993M - 7 Million more and crosses the magical mark... I know you have already said that Disney will probably not do anything but is just so close that I really think they will do something about it... at least lie about next weekend numbers¡ Hahaha
  6. I bought my tickets on Monday for Imax at 9:30pm on thursday. And the theater was already at 60%. I guess it will have a great start but the long runtime will probably hurt it a bit, heard that critics are not that happy with the duration. And what do you expect for Once Upon a time in Hollywood? I see a lot of publicity but not sure it will be for mainstream audiences
  7. Wholly freaking Sh... This is just incredible. Three 1 Billion Movies in the same year and two breaking the record for admissions is just… unbelievable. So for the $18B mark we would need: Hobbs and Shaw 600 The Secret Life of Pets 550 Crawl 80 Scary Stories 120 Once upon a Time in Hollywood 50 Angry Birds 2 80 Angel has Fallen 45 Como si fuera la Primera Vez 110 It: Chapter 2 550 Dora and the Lost City of Gold 85 Mama se fue de Viaje 50 Ad Astra 60 Tod@s Caen 180 Abominable 60 The Joker 250 Maleficent: Mistress of Evil 800 Gemini Man 170 The Adamas Family 80 Terminator: Dark Fate 130 Redrum 80 Zombieland 2: Double Tap 58 Charlie's Angel 75 Frozen 2 350 Guadalupe Reyes 40 Knives Out 55 Jumanji: The Next Level 250 (2019) Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker 200 (2019) Spies in Disguise 180 (2019) 5338 Along with lower tier movies like Yesterday, 47 Meters Down: Uncaged, Midsommar, Booksmart, Playmobil: The Movie, Ready or Not, Rambo: Last Blood, Downton Abbey, Good Boys, La Boda de la Abuela, Ford vs. Ferrari, The Good Liar, El Hubiera si Existe so yeah… probably good for reaching the mark. Let’s hope for other movies outside these ones to breakout and help the BoxOffice to reach 19B
  8. As per DL for TLK: Elsewhere, the Thursday openers on TLK include Brazil with the 2nd highest industry launch day of all time, behind only Avengers: Endgame. At $4.5M, it more than doubled the opening day of Beauty And The Beast. Latin America saw the highest opening day of all time across the region for a Disney branded live action film. Again, more than twice what BATB did in 2017. So. Huge numbers ahead. If we have the third Billion Movie in the same year that would be not just incredible but unbelievable
  9. WOW. Thank you very much for the compilation. It's curious (other than the sad state of our economy) that every sequel increased (in LC) from the previous one (except for AOU), even if it was by a low margin (Surely SM:FFH will gross more than 485M right? I mean it should have a terrible multiplier not to get there) and also is more evident that Captain Marvel was really a Hit as is the only Solo movie mith more than 600M. We're leaving in a Marvel world... the question is how long will it last?
  10. And just like that we have the first year ever that two movies cross the 1 Billion Club. Can a third one be on the horizon with TLK? I don't see that happening but at least it should Cross 600-700M. By the way, does anyone know when The Secret Life of Pets 2 will open? It's already gone from USA theaters so... what gives? Piracy will surely make a dent in this one and I don't think no one was crying for TSLOP2 to begin with¡ What else we have for the summer? Fast & Furious: Hobbs & Shaw will surely be a big hit, it looks SUPER ridiculous but fun Scary Tales to tell in the Dark will pull Del Toro's fans and be one of the big horror movies? Andgry Birds 2 can surely make 200M, right? Can Como si Fuera la Primera Vez make it to the 200M club also?
  11. A:CH did 27.8 Million on Thursday considering this will clearly be frontloaded will it get to 100M in the four days, I somewhat doubt it. Sequel fatigue, anyone?? Toy Story just keeps rolling along¡ Already at 700MP+ and clearly the billion mark is on it's sights. In one week is halfway to what A:EG has done in total. Will it have the legs to get to 1.3-1.4-1.5B??? Although next week SM:FFH will probably steal some audience this weekend can make it or break it Considering FFH will close Phase 3 of the MCU and is directly connected to what happened on A:EG will this break the 300M mark? Considering It’s opening it a Thursday I think it can happen And the TLK will have another 200M opening weekend? I think there’s only so much money Mexicans can spend in a 5 week stretch… so I imagine TLK will suffer a little bit.
  12. I bought Tickets for TS4 for today at 7pm in Santa Fe (I did the operation at 11am) and the theather was basically 70% full. By now the theater is already at 90% full. Other nearby times are also 90% full and even the 10:10pm is at 30% so I guess that will get to 70-80% by the time all is said and done, so this will have a great Friday indeed (specially as kids are not in true holidays still) Still haven't seen MIB or Dark Phoenix but did see Solteras - I laughed but when I analized the movie I'm not sure I like it. The protagonist is very pyscho and she is not likable at all but I did laugh a lot at least that's something.
  13. So, what are your thoughts for Toy Story 4? It will most certainly brake 250M but can it get to 300M and 1Billion pesos por another Disney movie? Was able to see Aladdin yesterday and I understand the legs. It's a ver nice movie, very well done and Will Smith didn't try to be Robin Williams but in the end he is funny. Almost everyone was enjoying the comedy and at the end several people said that is was a cute movie. Haven't seen Dark Phoenix but I have heard so many bad comments that I'm doubting in seeing the movie. Has any of you enjoyed it? I wanted to think MIB4 had some potential but not hearing any buzz or anything whatsoever. Anabelle 3 will get to 150M? Will people be tired of the Conjuring Universe? Although I do think Warner has increased the marketing for this one and it looks nice. It's a shame we didn't get the return of Chucky this weekend.
  14. So basically Disney took the crown of admissions from... Disney¡ Wow. That's a great feat¡¡ It was defintely a good strategy to have that promotion in order to have more admissions but it feels... hollow. It has been a great number for Aladdin (haven't seen the movie but have heard much more good comments than bad ones) Godzilla, I think suffered from people not liking the first one but in the end is a good monster movie, if you take away the plot and human characters, and just enjoy the special effects. X-Men: Dark Phoenix, will not have a great number, I haven't heard too much buzz or anything for this one and people should be tired of the X-Men franchise. So I'm thinking below 100M for both fourquels (MIB: International next weekend) so we will have to wait until Toy Story 4 for the third 200M+ Debut of the year
  15. So now EG has broken the admissions record??? That's the total for Coco of for the original Coco without the re-release??? I thought I saw with the Re-Release Coco was over 24 M, no?? Am I crazy? Will EG get to 24M admission considering the onslaught of BB's for the coming weeks? At least for this weekend it maintained the drop just below 50%. But I think the grand total will in the end be 1,450 M Pesos as it will lose a lot of screens (big ones, 4D, Imax). But if this one grosses 45 M more it will be like 650,000 more admissions so... just there in the 24 M mark¡¡¡ Hahaha As I said before, no matter the front-loading this is nothing short of outstanding (the whole run of Avengers 3 and 4) and it will be difficult for other movies to get here again for a long time. Aladdin, I have heard a lot of people really want to see the movie (the Blue Genie backlash I think was just a gringo thing) and although the Prince Ali song sounds weird it looks very cool. So, if Dumbo is the floor (and really, why it shouldn't be?) can this get to 200M? or at least 170-180M?? I saw Brightburn over the weekend (didn't realize it opened one week before than in the USA) and was really disappointed. From the trailers I was expecting something terrifying, but the movie doesn’t know if it’s a drama, a horror movie, a superhero movie and it shows. Besides… spoilers… well not that much of a spoiler but everything worthwhile is already in the trailers.
  16. Well. It was definitely front-loaded but in the end nothing short of outstanding. Which movie will really get close to this level again? No Marvel movie will really be this event until Avengers 7 (Hahahaha)¡ So... how long will this record be mantained? 8-10-15 years? I'm going with 70M for the second weekend as Detective Pikachu will be a great competition. On the 17th that there is not much competition will level a little bit but from there basically will drop from the face of the earth¡ So, 100M for Pika-Pika? Apparently is a very fun movie¡
  17. This has been really, really crazy. Cinepolis Perisur was FULL yesterday (yes, I have seen the movie two times now) and there were not enough seats in basically any show (or at least good seats). I want to see it in Imax. I imagine it should be worth it but there is no seats available for anytime, probably over the weekend althouhg as @Carlangonz said I'm dying to see US¡ So, as we're nearing the weekend how much an impact will have the new movies? Big, some, barely worth mentioning? Will it be the first movie to have a 300M Second Weekend? (for that will need a 50% drop so that would be incredible but considering this had a 150M WEDNESDAY, everything is possible¡ And for Detective Picachu? I'm seeing strong early reactions to it. So 130M will be possible?
  18. Well.... I took 15 minutes just to get inside the theather (and it was one of the small ones - Cinepolis Diana), so I think it will break the OD record easily. When we got of the theater it was still crowded and everybody excited about have they just seen. I laughed, I was excited, I got goosebumps and I cried my heart out... and never felt the three hour runtime. Anyone that I have spoken about this have like it and a lot of them have said the last hour is more epic than anything ever put in cinema before. Legs will most surely be a factor. But 600M is in play for the OW if not more and anything about 1.4 Billion mostly assured.
  19. So it's finally here, just a few more hours to know who lives, who dies and which characters return along with other 120-350 people in the same theater that will shout, cry, laugh and be amazed at the same time. I already have my ticket for 12:15am and have avoided Spoilers like the plague. But then, what is the final magic number. I think 570M is still in the cards although @Carlangonz has lower the ceiling to $560 MXN. Eventhough, anything above 470M is a record so if EG does get to 550M it will still be oustanding and which movie will really challenge that record in the near future?? This will be history in the making. The important thing is we will have a good time and records will surely fall. Happy guessing¡
  20. So AV: EG's Floor is 462M (OW) and 1.14 Billion (Total) as that's what AV:IW did. This will of course explode on OW considering the level of pre-sales that have already been sold out (I'm going with 570M) but will it have a good multiplier as IW? If it's a good movie and has real emotional impact with the (expected) deaths of several characters it can certainly hold but with all the competition (Pikachu, the Blue Genie, King Ghidorah¡) it will be complicated to achieve the same multiplier. So IW did 2.46, if we go with that one and 570M*2.46 = 1.410 B but I don't think will have that legs. So... Predicted total: 1.25B (64M USD considering the rate). Of course I hope I'm wrong and this does at least 1.5Billion but want to be relastic¡ Hehehe So Shazam did well. At least 100M LC. Two weeks in a row with a 100M+ Opener. No Manches Frida 2 will most certainly do more than 60M (although it does not look that funny) but just based in the brand recognition. And The Curse of La Llorona will most certainly broke 140M (the marketing has been good and this is Mexican folklore so that should be the floor). April will be a great month.
  21. Didn't realize Pre-Sales began so early and I haven't been able to buy any ticket neither in the App nor the Web Page... I think Cinepolis just closed the connection and will wait until the crazyness happens. This will be huge really... really huge
  22. Captain Marvel really hold well. 600M is almost assured by now specially with the holiday on Monday and little competition until Dumbo on the 29th (why in god's name we will see US until May????) It was great seeing both Mexican movies surviving (despite En las Buenas y en las Malas being such a bad movie)... I really want to see Las Niñas Bien it looks at least interesting and well acted. So, how are you seeing Dumbo? Will it get to 120-130M OW? Less than 100M? I think everyone is at least a little bit excited for this one and we will have to see how Tim Burton does it this time, although apparently first reactions are good. April will definitely be a strong month with Shazam, Pet Sementary, No Manches Frida 2, The Curse of La Llorona and of course the titan that wil AW:EG be. Can we have 4 weekends with 70+M openers?
  23. I'm not sure if Netflix will really let theaters have their movies and local productions in a regular basis. Roma was obviously an important step due to all the awards coverage but will the next Adal Ramones movie be so important in order to fight about distribution or will it be forgotten in the: "Because you show Interest in Made in Mexico" List?? Yeah for Canacine for again showing the weekday numbers. Don't really know why they stopped but this is great actually. La Boda had a good star but I haven't heard good comments so I guess will not have a very good multiplier. Do you really think 70+Million is obtainable? I'm going with 55M. I don't know anyone that has liked the first Lego Movie. Some people find it inoffensive but haven't heard of someone really liking it and with so much Lego movies in the past years... I really was expecting this. 25Million will do for the first 4 days? I guess we will have to wait until Captain Marvel to see again a 100M+ Opening and probably 400+M Total?
  24. What a great number for MvsG. I have heard a lot of opinions. Some people say it's actually funny and some say it's horrible. Haven't been able to see it but I hope I can see it soon. Although of course I prefer to see The Favourite, Vice or How to Train your Dragon 3 first. (How much will this get to? 70-80m in the first three days?) Considering the great start for mexican movies (also Belzebuth did "ok") and the incoming La Boda de Mi Mejor Amigo (by the way, now we can use the word Zorra in the marketing??? Is that ok?) will this year be the biggest in Mexican history? How much do you think LBMMA will do? Thanks to nostalgia and the perfect date will it get to 100M in it's first 4 days?? Or will people will hate it because they will compare it to Julia Roberts?? February looks like a cemetary. Other than HTTYD and La Boda nothing will get even close to 70M in total¡ Alita looks... weird and the Lego Movie 2, after the 30M finish of the Lego Ninjago movie, I don't see this one improving too much.
  25. Went to see it last night in Imax. It was not 100% full but it was packed and apparently all the other screens had also good attendance. I think the audience in general liked it (I really, really liked it) so it could have fair "wom" that will be useful to send it above 100M+
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