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Cappoedameron

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  1. Cappoedameron
    Most outlets are reporting 310-340 including Disney, where's 370 coming from? The legs are gonna be interesting it could perform like a Marvel film where it does a 50-55% or it could be higher because of the sheer demand of wanting to see it OW for the GA or it could be lower cause of incredible WOM and great legs. We shall have to see.
  2. Cappoedameron
    Then it'd be 185, assuming of course the $370 is legit. It could be anywhere from 310 - 370
  3. Cappoedameron
    Regardless of how big the movie is to suggest a 52% drop off rate with no competition but only a 39% with actual hard competition makes no sense to me.
  4. Cappoedameron
    So let me get this straight you see Endgame having a 52% drop off rate in 2nd weekend. Which is understandable 50-55% is the average drop rate for Marvel movies in 2nd weekend. I personally think it'll be higher but we shall see. Then with Detective Pikachu you see Endgame only having a drop off rate of - 39%? Listen buddy if Battleship was able to give Avengers only a -45% hold and Infinty War also had a - 45% against Life of the Party and Breaking in. Ain't no way in hell an established behemoth like Pokemon is gonna only give Endgame a - 39% hold. I personally believe Pokemon will give Endgame another 50-55% drop off rate. Battleship, Life of the Party, Breaking In was not competition and Avengers films did -45% against it, Pokemon is competition. Whether people choose to believe it or not. I honestly have no idea where you got your predictions tbh. You clearly underwhelm everything in place of Endgame. Aladdin is estimated for an $80 M OW, and Pikachu is estimated for an $82 OW which I have a feeling may go up. You took your Godzilla prediction from BOP but not any other. Endgame and Pikachu is gonna be a battle, either can win the 3rd weekend.
  5. Cappoedameron
    If you're using BOP's you should use it for Pika as well which they estimate at 82M which could balance out to 85M. And it's also not clean cut that Endgame beats Pikachu, it's actually gonna be probably a very close battle.
  6. Cappoedameron
    Even if it loses it still comes out looking like a beast and IMO something WB would be happy with.
  7. Cappoedameron
    BTW we should open up a thread for this upcoming pokemon battle where i honestly think it's too close to call. And if Pikachu loses it still looks damn good in defeat coming with a bunch of accolades. *Highest grossing film in May *Highest grossing opening weekend for WB since Justice League *Able to compete against Endgame and still make a dang good profit This is going to be a Pokemon battle for the ages, screw Mewtwo vs Mew.
  8. Cappoedameron
    Or it could prove it was extremely frontloaded... we shall known within a week. I'm off now to watch EG for the 2nd time, with family.
  9. Cappoedameron
    It could be 350 x .50(-50%) = 175. It could be 350 x .45(-55%) = 157. This is the traditional Marvel studios average drop. It could be a 350 x .40(-60%) = 140 or lower 350 x .38 (-62%) = 133. This would be if it's a heavily influenced frontloaded film and people rushed to see it due to spoilers and it being the "end" of the last 22 films. It could be a 350 x .55(-45%) = 192 or even higher if it will indeed have incredible legs. Lots of ways it can go and we'll know it all within a week from now.
  10. Cappoedameron
    I guess we'll have to wait till next week to see what kind of legs it will have. Instead of playing this guessing game.
  11. Cappoedameron
    Pokemon Red/Blue or Pokemon film with Ash, Misty, and Brock + Team Rocket Super Smash Bros Or if we want to keep it in house. X-Men vs Avengers or X-Men + Avengers + Fantastic 4 vs Galactus
  12. Cappoedameron
    BOP has Pikachu at $82 could likely end up at $90. It's gonna be a close battle. Anything could happen. I still say Pikachu will win but it'll be close. Pikachu 85/90 Endgame 75/80 If Pikachu loses it still is a huge victory for WB as a company. Likely the biggest May release and for WB the biggest opening since Justice League in 2017. If Pikachu wins WB can boast that it took down the king of the box office.
  13. Cappoedameron
    I mean Ultron is always going to be at the bottom... of literally everything. I think the only worse movie in the MCU then it is Thor 2.
  14. Cappoedameron
    Yes because it's an event finale film. Demand won't be as high next week when the GA have already seen said finale. Marvel films get a 50-55% drop off rate traditionally. Is this gonna be like that, lower, or higher. We'll have to find out.
  15. Cappoedameron
    It's massively frontloaded. Not just a bit, people want to see it OW so they don't get spoiled. This is a massive event film, I would say the biggest similarity is Deathly Hallows with Harry Potter. Yes I know it's making a sh*t ton more then that movie. But it was a finale and the 2nd weekend drop off of said finale was over 68% 2nd weekend is gonna be telling could be a normal Marvel drop off like 50-55% or it could be higher because of how heavily frontloaded it is with Disney going for that opening weekend record. It's gonna be a very interesting week.
  16. Cappoedameron
    You know what I find fascinating? How Detective Pikachu is #2 and it's the only one that did not have a single major trailer come out during this date time line. The last major trailer for DP fell on February 26th.
  17. Cappoedameron
    Pika is tracking on BOP for a 90+ OW.
  18. Cappoedameron
    Nothing has recovered cause Endgame is here and that's what all the trades said. Why not wait till Monday to start this? Geez in the other thread you said sales are good and now it's bad. I don't understand this back and forth mentality but then again I don't understand tracking box office yet. So IDK how it works.
  19. Cappoedameron
    Ugly Dolls was never gonna win. It was either gonna be destroyed by Endgame or completely overshadowed by Detective Pikachu opening the same weekend which is what was slated and then it moved. I guess it hopes that parents will take their kids to go see a kids movie over a 3 hr epic.
  20. Cappoedameron
    No. Because Pikachu comes out in EG 3rd weekend and JW comes out it's 4th weekend. After this weekend demand won't be as high anymore. Endgame is severely frontloaded for obvious reasons(Disney wants that record) and this likely means second weekend is going to have a big drop off and even more in the 3rd one. Pikachu and Wick won't be effected by Endgame. Pikachu is safe according to many BOA's on Twitter and YT. The same cannot be said for Ugly Dolls, that is R.I.P indeed.
  21. Cappoedameron
    Shoot I'm the one pushing this movie and I took a second to realize what he was saying. Can we just call it Pika Pika from now on to not confuse it with Deadpool?
  22. Cappoedameron
    My apologies for my naiveness when it comes to tracking. I hope to be able to understand it hopefully soon to not come off the way I have been.
  23. Cappoedameron
    Thank you for this. Is it a good thing that Pikachu is so dang steady and consistent across the board so far or no?
  24. Cappoedameron
    So essentially the article is a lot of clickbait.
  25. Cappoedameron
    Back in Novemeber everyone predicted that the trades would not be able to track this movie so they go with the lowest possible number. It's a true wildcard and they do not know what to do with it. Even Scott doesn't know what to do with it.
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