LegendaryBen
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Posts posted by LegendaryBen
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If Friday number holds, MG may still survive and hold #1 three weekends in a row since NFL championship games this weekend may impact Beekeeper's audience (Sunday drops will be uglier to male-oriented films).
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8 hours ago, keysersoze123 said:
Argylle MTC1
Previews(T-6) - 12846/290951 248978.96 1415 shows +1085
Friday - 9870/549578 180964.16 2598 shows +791
Awful pace as I said yesterday.
I hope it won't fall below $10m OW
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https://deadline.com/2024/01/box-office-mean-girls-beekeeper-1235806489/
Early Friday Numbers:
1. Mean Girls - $1.85m
2. Beekeeper- $1.7m
3. Anyone But You - $1.5m
4. Wonka - $1.35m
5. Migration - $1m
Could Beekeeper take over the top spot? Stay tuned. MG will barely pass $70m. Awesome for Wonka, Migration, and ABY.
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https://the-numbers.com/box-office-chart/daily/2024/01/19
Number trickling in.
Terrible for Beekeeper. Migration and BITB held very well.
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1 hour ago, IndustriousAngel said:
Sat updated estimates from insidekino.de higher for Anyone and Migration, lower for Wonka and Poor Things - overall still a good weekend.
That has to mean a $3M OW for ABY? If so, that's outstanding and I hope I can leg out a final total of $13M+
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ABY needs to drop on average 10% or less every weekend (not easy, but not impossible) to have a chance at 100m DOM. Luckily, it has Ghostbusters to fudge the number if it's at $98 or 99m by then. Realistically, it should finish above $80m and surpass The Marvels ($84.5m). Still, it does not have anything affecting it until at least mid-February (I imagine Madame Web will only help instead of hurt it due to V-Day's release).
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26 minutes ago, CJohn said:
Migration and Wonka are fucked. 100M and 200M are dead.
Anyone But You seems like it is going to end with 80-90M. Impressive considering today's market.
Solid ODs for Mean Girls and Beekeeper, even if unspectacular because of how big the share of them are previews.
Not just yet for Migration and Wonka. If they do not stabilize next weekend (it has zero competition for at least the rest of the month), then they are dead.
Even though ABY reaching 80-90m is awesome, it still has a chance at 100m.
Mean Girls will finish at 70m and Beekeeper at 50m at this pace. Expected more considering their fantastic previews for sure.
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1 minute ago, Kon said:
Considering The Color Purple lost more than 2000 theaters, the numbers for Friday shouldn't be surprising anymore.
Still, I wonder how much TCP will make at the DOM box office. 70M seems doubtful at its drops rates.
Doubtful is more like it will definitely miss $70m even if it gets many oscar noms. However, PGAs snubbed it. $60M is my final prediction.
Meanwhile, ABY held well against the crummy weather and Mean Girls. Bodes well for $100m DOM.
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$11.65m-Mean Girls
$6.8m-Beekeeper
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$965,000 for ABY (-7% from Yesterday)
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$50M+ OS = Final Projection at this point
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Mean Girls and ABY can co-exist together. Even though MG has the same audience as ABY, it doesn't have the date night option like the latter. Plus, it doesn't seem that it will have the same legs like the 2004 one. Crossing my fingers it can get to $100m, but at least it will pass No Hard Feelings globally.
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With The Color Purple's unfortunate failure, does this bode poorly for Mean Girls or does this have a lot more going for it?
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18 minutes ago, Grand Cine said:
I think ABY will have a good hold but not as other weekend ( logical) , i think he will have a 30-35% decline like M3GAN last year
30-35% decline (4-day or 3-day weekend)?
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1 minute ago, Boxofficerules said:
What a boring weekend.
Outside of Anyone But You (which will pass No Hard Feelings before Mean Girls release and may have a chance at 100m), yes.
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Sad for The Color Purple. Even if it has many nominations with SAG and Oscars, that sadly won't be enough to reach $100m.
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4 minutes ago, JustLurking said:
The post literally says "it's going to happen with Wonka"
Thanks!
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18 hours ago, keysersoze123 said:
Easily mother of all bombs. It happened during a season where we have yet to see a 200m grosser(its going to happen with Wonka but that is well after Marvels run). Looking at equity that MCU built, I dont think there has been a bigger BO Bomb ever.
I can't see Wonka missing $200M Domestically. It doesn't have any competition until Dune 2.
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Anyone But You stayed just above $2m Thursday!
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This looks awesome. Hopefully, this can upset Barbie.
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1 minute ago, RthMav said:
BA est in right ball park ,I'd been going with 26-27, TTP 7
Thanks for these numbers. That's awesome for TTP if it holds up. $20M OW isn't impossible if it gets a great increase. Anything on Smile?
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1 minute ago, BadOlCatSylvester said:
It could still go below it with actuals.
and not only that, it could be below $10m next weekend.
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2 hours ago, DAJK said:
Didn't Deadline early friday numbers also have smile at 3.7M or so last week?
True Dat.
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3 minutes ago, Wolverpool XXR said:
It's possible. The comp to HK is currently 1.3x which would be over $60M. However, my expectation is still under HK.
Plus, worse WOM and it being on Peacock same day could lead it to a sub-$45m OW. I'm on #TeamSmile
Weekend Thread | Argylle 1.7 Previews
in Numbers and Data
Posted
MG dropped 47% from last Friday. ABY will certainly beat it this weekend.