LegendaryBen
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Posts posted by LegendaryBen
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35 straight days without going below $4m and could be as high as 39 days for TG2!
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7 minutes ago, EmpireCity said:
$38m for Minions
Still have a $7.5m+ minimum on TG2
$38m True Friday, I assume?
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8 hours ago, Rebeccas said:
Last Night in Soho vibes
Elaborate please?
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The-Numbers predicting a harsher drop this weekend for Elvis than LY when the latter only grossed $1.61m today (they predicted only a 36% drop for its third weekend). It will be lucky to avoid a 60% drop
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3 minutes ago, Valonqar said:
for 3 or 4 days?
4-day portion if it follows Independence Day: Resurgence.
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1 hour ago, ThomasNicole said:
Top Gun maybe 27-28M
Elvis 25M or so
Black Phone maybe 14-15M
Wouldn't be surprised if they all ended up a bit bigger, since it's early numbers
If that $7m TGM holds, it will be closer to the low 30s. Hope TBP goes up
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9 minutes ago, BestPicturePlutoNash said:
Deadline's 4 day estimates:
Minions- 116m
Top Gun- 24-26m
Elvis- 25m
24-26m is for the 3 day portion. It'll be closer to the 30s since its estimated Friday was at $7m.
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Minions 2 will make it to $200M domestically if it opens more than $75M 4*day weekend.
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Does anyone know if Minions will get double features with The Bad Guys? I hope it will fudge it to $100m.
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3 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:
Let's get those sub-10% drops for Elvis and Top Gun this weekend
THat would be great though tougher for Elvis because it may lose some of its PLF to Minions 2 and a few to TGM.
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5 hours ago, keysersoze123 said:
why is that a surprise. Minions is a sequel to 100m+ opener while Lightyear is movie within another movie.
Anyway Minions breakout is confirmed. Tuesday is the strongest I have seen for any openers.
Minions MTC1 Friday - 76708/1264045 1166869.54 6905 shows + 32603
This is about 28 hours as well but still its crazy strong for a tuesday of a release. I think at this point even 100m OW cannot be ruled out. Let us see how wednesday goes.
Plus it did not have TMobile discounts inflated that I know of.
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I'm not going to say names but people need to stop complaining about TGM's $4M Wednesday! It's not that bad. Like @TwoMisfits and @M37, it may have been inflated by senior citizens discount Monday. Let's please be positive about this. #ByeFelicia to the trolls.
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35 minutes ago, Hilpkioy said:
TGM still has the best 5th Tuesday excluding holidays but almost no bump for it?? I guess the biggest question it's Wednesday drop.
Going by history, they usually have the best Wednesday drops and it was coming off of a smaller than normal Monday drop. @EmpireCity, thank you for all of your hard work.
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6 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:
Thor MTC2 previews - 108186/524756 1533651.20 3276 shows // As of morning
~3800 tickets ~24 hours. I think its playing like low 20s at MTC2 but MTC1 is more optimistic. But its really weird that MTC2 is < half MTC1 in gross at this point(By my calc MTC is at 3.75m). Thinking 25-27m previews at this point. Plus friday PS is well below DS2 as well and so I am expecting closer to 5 than 6x multi at this point.
That said let us see where things are in a week's time. Reviews could lead to big boost if it can have Ragnarok level reviews.
Thanks for Thor! There's still hope for it. Anything on Minions?
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3 minutes ago, interiorgatordecorator said:
how did lightyear do yesterday?
$2,621,774 -
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#TeamElvis or #TeamTGM for #1 when actuals come tomorrow?
I'm on #TeamTGM
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1 minute ago, M37 said:
Elvis at -23% estimated Sun has more room to improve than TGM at -15%. I'd bet on Elvis being #1 when the dust settles with actuals tomorrow
and TGM will still be a strong #2 if the King tomorrow when actuals arrive takes the top spot.
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Just now, filmlover said:
Elvis' opening is pretty good. The rest of the summer is largely absent of competition for older audiences (I guess with the exception of Where the Crawdads Sing?) so it might be on track for a nice run with $100M+ total being a strong possibility.
Even with 45-day unnecessary (should be extended to like 90 days) window from HBO, $100m is in the cards thanks to summer weekdays. As for Crawdads, I haven't seen much marketing for it and the starpower isn't there like The Fault in Our Stars and The Girl on the Train. It's this year's Paper Towns especially if it gets an R-rating.
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3 minutes ago, CaptNathanBrittles said:
If you told me after TFA was released that TOP GUN 2 was going to outgross EPISODE IX I'd have called you nuts!
Same here. TG2 could have gone the Independence Day 2 (Will Smith being absent + atricious reviews), The Matrix Resurrections (HBO Max Same-day, releasing idiotically right after NWH), Blade Runner 2049 (stricter rating and almost 3-hour runtime) route in terms of box office. Instead, its fantastic reviews, marketing, WOM helped its epic run.
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Just now, Grebacio said:
Lightyear 10 days total is lower than the early predictions for its OW
I predicted $89m before the modest reviews occurred.
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PREDICTION: TGM will be #1 today and tomorrow while it will have a seesaw battle with Elvis during the week for #1 until Minions 2 comes out.
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26 minutes ago, PhilipJ2001 said:
think elvis will hold off top gun today.
we're finding elvis strange at my cinema. it is busy but not with the people we though it would be. I thought it'd do really well with older audiences, but so far that's not the case
Will TGM have another great hold despite new competition in UK? I don't know how UK BO works like USA BO does.
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1 hour ago, nerves said:
Especially thor is coming next next week and will surely open bigger or on par with DSMOM
Final prediction total for SK? maybe like $50m+ total?
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1 hour ago, PhilipJ2001 said:
Elvis is looking pretty quiet today. I'd guess flat at best on yesterday. JWD will be #1 today i think
How is JWD #1 today since it was behind £100k TGM? Does it have the families on weekends and how is TGM looking today?
4th of July Weekend | Tiktok propels Minions 2 to 108.5 3-Day OW | TGM 25.5, Elvis 19, JWD 15.6, Black Phone 12.3 | Independence Day Weekend Sale!
in Numbers and Data
Posted
That's still strong for TG2 considering it's facing a $110M+ opener.