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Posts posted by HeyItsMoses
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Hopefully it still crosses $200m! If 300 can do it in March, I'm sure Prometheus can in June, besides, it looks amazing.Prometheus fucked me over. I was thinking it was going to be PG-13 than a week later it was announced it going to be rated R.
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So why not lower this bonus by like 3k-5k points, and have this bonus on top of this bonus, as predicting the bo number? If not, it's cool; I'm sure I can come up with a good question to ask later.
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Opens with $45m and give it a 2.7 multiplier, that's $121m. I got it at $144m, and yeah, it's entering the Top 12.
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SOTM3: May 26th w/ $514.19m
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Well, the only reason why I suggested for people to give a box office number as well, is because it's pretty obvious that it's going to pass $500m on May 26th. With my calculations, I was being a bit conservative also, it's going to reach $498.73m on Friday, then $514.19m by Saturday May 26th. And since a lot of people have it on that day, I figured why not give some bonus points to whoever predicts it's gross best. But yeah, if I come up with something, I'll pm you.
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I got Battleship at #12 with $144. No matter how bad it's WOM is, any opening above $40m will still guarantee $100m. Look at TF2, it has an mp of 3.7, and people hated it (i thought it was pretty good). With this movie having a same feel to it, but looking much more serious, it shouldn't have a hard time with a 3.0 mp, and its gonna end up in the Top 12.What I worry, is that I think I might've underestimated Snow White, the tv spots makes it look really good; but I hate that Kristen bitch, hopefully she's asleep the entire time, lol.We screwed with TA, but it doesn't really matter as nobody will get points. DS however really messed up a lot of players top 12 already. Battleship is the next one to flop hopefully. I left both DS and Battleship out of my top 12.
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18, not bad. Hoping I enter the Top 10 by the end of June.
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Can you give a bonus of like 5-10k points if we guess how much money it will have when it passes $500m? Obviously it won't be exactly $500m, so can you throw in a prediction question bonus?
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Everyone who picked Dark Shadows for their Top 12 just lost points. It's not gonna pass $100m, real shame that at least half the people on that list is gonna lose 5k points.
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1) Will Battleship open to more than 47 mill? YES
2) Will What to Expect open to more than 20 mill? NO
3) Will The Dictator open to more than 30 mill for the 5 day? NO
4) Will The Dictator's two day (wed-Thurs) gross be more than 10 mill? NO
5) Will the combined gross of The Dictator (5 day) and What To Expect (3 day) be more than the Avengers (3 day)? NO
6) Will any film have a Saturday increase of more than 60%? YES
7) Will any film have a Sunday drop of less than 24%? YES
8) Will The Avengers drop more than 45%? NO
9) Will The Avengers weekend gross be more than the combined gross of films in places 3-10? YES
10) Will The Avengers total gross be more than 450 mill? YES
11) Will What to Expect and Battleship both have increases on Saturday? YES
12) Will THG make at least 500k more than The Lucky One? YES
13) Will Safe House have an increase this weekend? YES
14) Will The Raven make more than Safe? NO
15) Will Think Like a Man fall less than 30%? NO
12/15 3000
13/15 5000
14/15 6000
15/15 10,000
Bonus 1: To three decimal points, what will The Avengers % drop be this weekend? 3000 42.740%
Bonus 2: What will the top five cume be for the weekend (only 3 day counts) $143.487m
Bonus 3:
What finishes in spots:
3 Dictator
4 What to Expect
9 The Lucky One
11 Chimp
13 Safe
15 Raven
2000 each...get all 6 correct get a 7000 bonus!
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If adim got 10/12, which is 10k points, and an extra 3k bonus for getting 10 right, shouldn't he have 13k points, instead of 15k?Just wondering where the 2k came from..
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Did adim get all 12 questions right?
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"Ok, you're saying under $50m, I'm saying over $100m; meet me half way?Under $75m you win.Over $75m I win.Wanna take the bet?"^Dark, are you in on this or what?I bet it won't cross 50m.
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My bad, I thought GI Joe 2 was opening in August. Ok yeah, We'll know by the end of August.Signature change is fine by meI don't get why we'll know in December Infamous? I expect to win by August B)Stakes, I'm thinking signature for a month commencing whenever I win, eh, avatar as well since I don't even have one.
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So these are my results..
1) Will Dark Shadows open to more than 30 mill? YES <Wrong
2) Will Dark Shadows come within 70 mill of The Avengers? NO <Right
3) Will Dark Shadows drop more than 25% on Sunday? YES <Wrong
4) Will Dark Shadows weekend gross be more than any single day of The Avengers? YES <Right
5) Will The Avengers fall less than 55%? YES <Right
6) Will The Avengers fall less than 52%? YES <Right
7) Will The Avengers have a Saturday increase of more than 44%? NO <Wrong
8) Will The Avengers have a Friday increase of more than 180%? NO <Right
9) Will Girl In Progress make more than 2 mill? NO <Right (Baumer, estimates show $1.35m)
10) Will The Hunger Games gross more than 3 mill? YES <Right
11) Will Think Like a Man fall less than 38%? NO <Wrong
12) Will The Avengers fall more than 50% on Saturday from it's previous Saturday? NO <Right
10/12 3000
11/12 4000
12/12 6000
Bonus 1: What will Avengers weekend gross be? $105.239 <Hopefully estimates go up by $2m.
3000
Bonus 2: What will The Avengers drop be? Three decimal places please. -49.267% <Maybe
3000
Bonus 3: How much more will The Avengers make than Dark Shadows? $73.24m <On the money with this one! Off by $127k!
3000
Bonus 4:
What finishes in spots:
5: The Pirates! Band of Misfits <Wrong
7: The 5-Year Engagement <Right
11: John Carter <Wrong
15: 21 Jump Street <Wrong
^Overall, I think I did pretty good. So far got 8/12, Definitely got Bonus 3 right, hopefully first 2 could help me out (but then Bonus 3 wouldn't count, lol), as for Bonus 4, just got 1 right.
How did everyone else do?
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You do know that we won't know who wins until probably November/December, right? lol.Anyway, why the hell not.Bring it!Yeah, bring it on
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Either way, it's grossing over $500m before the month is over. I could see it around $540-$545m by May 31st.
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weekend 1: $207m3rd weekend too low.
week1: $62m
weekend2: $104m
week2: $39m
weekend3: $62m
week3: $23m
weekend4: $50m (4 day)
week3: $13m
Total by May 31st: $560m?!
Better?
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weekend 1: $207mweek1: $62mweekend2: $104mweek2: $37mweekend3: $55mweek3: $21mweekend4: $50m (4 day)week3: $12mTotal by May 31st: $548m?!Is that possible?
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Ok, you're saying under $50m, I'm saying over $100m; meet me half way?Under $75m you win.Over $75m I win.Wanna take the bet?I bet it won't cross 50m.
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At least you guys answered question 17, for some reason I only answered til 15. :|
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50% increase possible?$43m Saturday? That would be awesome!
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So lemme get this straight, you're betting that Brave, GI Joe, Snow White, and Prometheus will have a combined domestic gross of $1b? Hmm, I'm tempted on taking this..How do I make a bet?I'm going to go with $1 b from Brave, GI Joe 2, Snow White and Prometheus. I'd love to do a Brave over $300m, Snow White over $250m etc. but makes sense to combine them all.Also Brave will at least make 2.5x of Madagascar 3 if anyone wants to take me up on that too.And since I'm at it, $300m between Bourne Legacy and Total Recall or $600m between those two, the Campaign and the Expendables 2.Who wants in?
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"InFamous: The Avengers will drop over 60% on it's 2nd weekend."
Thank God no one decided to take this, or I would've been fucked! What the hell was I thinking? lol.
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Bet Thread. Please post all ongoing bets or completed bets in this thread.
in Box Office Discussion
Posted
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