HeyItsMoses

May 7, 2012

Opening on a Tuesday, Spidey has no chance.I believe the highest first weekend for a Wed opening movie is 110M for TF2.Spidey opens on a Tuesday.And MIB3 is tracking at mid 80 OW at present. So, yeah, MIB3's OW might be higher than TASM.

No shit?I always figured that MIB3 wouldn't even pass $75m, I had it in the 60's actually. We'll see what happens though, it could still be overestimated and open lower than expected.

May 7, 2012

Lol back to your old ways eh.What was your name again? Moses? Something like that.There are proper forums even if they aren't as frequented.

Yeah, I had my name as a Username back in BOM. Remember: I.Am.Moses? (I Am Legend)

May 7, 2012

Is that even a contest?Puny God

Loved that scene! Actually, I loved every scene that The Hulk was in.

May 7, 2012

Not related to Box Office, but I wanted to post this here, since it's the most active section in the Forums. Anyway, after seeing The Avengers in Theaters, who do you think is the Strongest Avenger? My Top 2:ThorHulkThese 2 are just beasts, and full of so much power; it's insane.For the poll, I selected the option of Allowing Multiple Choices, so you can pick your 2 favorites. If I did it wrong, can a mod/admin fix it please?Thanks.

May 7, 2012

I think its virtually impossible for Spidey to reach $100m opening weekend. That's just my two cents, though. I'd give MIB3 a stronger chance at it.

Is this a joke?

May 7, 2012

There's a mid credits clip and then one after the credits too. Stay until the end.

Thank you so much.It's 9:07, our movie starts in 8 mins, can't wait!

May 7, 2012

Hey guysso, im in line for a 9:15 showing, and its not even 8pm! Anyway, just curious, is there a clip after the credits or what?

May 6, 2012

Epic number..Hopefully it can hold over 200M with the actuals.

It's not even 12pm here in California, it's definitely going over $200m. I'm gonna see it today with my girl, and a few of my friends are gonna see it also.I can't wait for this movie!

May 5, 2012

I still see about 65-66M

$67m seems to be the ceiling for this, and I don't see it grossing less than $62m, so you're range should be spot on.

May 5, 2012

Here are my SOTM answers:

1) Will The Avengers make more than 22.5 mill for midnights? Yes <Wrong

2) Will The Avengers make more than 27 mill for midnights? Yes <Wrong

3) Will The Avengers make more than 30 mill for midnights? No <Wrong

4) Will The Avengers set the midnights record? No <Right!

5) Will The Avengers set any daily or opening record this weekend (midnight, OD, Saturday, Sunday or opening weekend)? Yes <Right!

6) Will The Avengers have a Friday of more than 68.5 mill? Yes <Right!

7) Will The Avengers drop more than 15% on Saturday? Yes <Pending

8) Will The Avengers have a Sunday drop of more than 30%? No <Pending

9) Will The Avengers have a Sunday gross of more than 45 mill? Yes <Right, most likely.

10) Will The Avengers make more than 160 mill this weekend? Yes <Right, most likely.

11) Will The Avengers have a WW weekend (as reported by THR on Sunday, only estimates will count) of more than 225 mill?4000 Yes

12) Will The Avengers WW total be more than 400 mill as reported by THR, only estimates will count? No

13) Will The Avengers open to more than 15 mill in RUSSIA (as reported by THR and only estimates will count)? Yes

14) Will The Avengers Friday total gross be at least 2.7 times bigger than it's midnight gross? Yes <Right!

15) Will The Hunger Games have a drop of less than 40%? No

16) Will Five Year Engagement finish number 2 for the weekend? No

17) Will The Raven have a Friday increase of more than 125%? Yes

18) Will any film increase by more than 60% on Saturday? Yes

19) Will Nikki's FIRST Friday number (not her midnight report, but actual Friday report ) have The Avengers making more than 5 mill more than the real estimate reported by Boxofficemojo.com FOR THE FRIDAY NUMBER? 3000 Yes

20) Will American Reunion have a Saturday increase of more than 40%? No

The Midnight numbers really messed me up, but I think I did pretty well afterwards.

If It's saturday drop is more than 15% (lets say 16%) and it's Sunday drop is less than 30% (lets say 29%), it's numbers should be like this (according to my answers):

Friday: $80.5m

Saturday: $67.6m

Sunday: $48m

Weekend: $196.1m.

Holy shit..

May 5, 2012

I know it's not possible at this point, but imagine if estimates goes up again to $74-$80m, lol.That would be amazing though.

I posted this on Page 45. Post number 885. Who would've thought it'd be right? lmao.So hyped for this movie. Can't wait to see it tomorrow!

May 5, 2012

Can't believe this thread grew over 60 pages in 8 hours, wow.

May 5, 2012

I know it's not possible at this point, but imagine if estimates goes up again to $74-$80m, lol. That would be amazing though.

May 5, 2012

I think that's too low. To be honest I think all of us in the game are too low. This thing is hitting $500m, imo. Like I said, last time I can remember WOM like this for a movie they were called Avatar and TDK. I mean A+ CS? That's insane right there.

Maybe, but my prediction is for the game which ends in Sept 3rd. But, you could be right. Who knows, we got some films that are pretty action packed and could take away from it's legs in the coming month or two.

May 5, 2012

My $429.8m prediction for Baumers Game looks really good right now.

May 5, 2012

^Ok, where is it?

May 5, 2012

This right here is what I see happening, and could very well likely play out like this:Midnight: $18.7mFriday: $52.3mSaturday: $54.4mSunday: $39.1mWeekend: $164.5m

May 4, 2012

Say it opens to 75M. A 10% drop would be 67.8M on Saturday. That sounds way too high18.7M Midnights56.6M Friday67.8M Saturday (+19.7%)44.1M Sunday (-35.0%)187.2M OWThat's an impossible breakdown. Saturday can't increase that much with midnights being so largeA Saturday increase around 3-5% much more likely

With a 3% Saturday increase and 35% sunday drop, with the midnight and friday number you gave; we should get $171.5m

May 4, 2012

Unfortunately that'll be a wrong answer for you, no way it drops from this number.

Damn, I misread the question! I thought it was asking if TA number will rise from Nikki's estimate.Fuck me.

May 4, 2012

So here's a question from the summer game:

19) Will Nikki's FIRST Friday number (not her midnight report, but actual Friday report ) have The Avengers making more than 5 mill more than the real estimate reported by Boxofficemojo.com FOR THE FRIDAY NUMBER? 3000

I said YES for this, here's hoping for the best..

May 3, 2012

I didn't even submit most of my predictions. Just the Top 12, and Top 5 worldwide. Didn't enter my Top 5 ww ow, or the Top 7 question. I really hope my numbers are good enough, and the 16 questions I answered helps my score; as well as the SOTM questions.

May 3, 2012

Baumer, BTW:

Wed May 3rd at 11:59 pm

^Makes no sense, because May 3rd is on Thursday, not Wednesday; so yeah..

May 3, 2012

Top 12 Grosses

[*]Dark Knight Rises: $441.3 million

[*]The Avengers: $429.8 million

[*]Amazing Spider-Man: $307.7 million

[*]Brave: $258.5 million

[*]Prometheus: $214.4 million

[*]Ice Age 4: $188.2 million

[*]Snow White: $184.9 million

NO MORE JO

[*]Madagascar 3: $156.9 million

[*]MIB 3: $154.2 million

[*]Bourne Legacy: $152.3 million

[*]Battleship: $144.4 million

^Winning numbers right there.

I'm not sure if Editing my original post will disqualify me or something, so I'm just quoting my predictions instead.

I know I answered SOTM questions, I just gotta find em and paste em here. Honestly though, I'm a bit lost. There are so many threads for this game and I'm getting a bit mixed up..

Anyway, here are my SOTM:

1) Will The Avengers make more than 22.5 mill for midnights? Yes

2) Will The Avengers make more than 27 mill for midnights? Yes

3) Will The Avengers make more than 30 mill for midnights? No

4) Will The Avengers set the midnights record? No

5) Will The Avengers set any daily or opening record this weekend (midnight, OD, Saturday, Sunday or opening weekend)? Yes

6) Will The Avengers have a Friday of more than 68.5 mill? Yes

7) Will The Avengers drop more than 15% on Saturday? Yes

8) Will The Avengers have a Sunday drop of more than 30%? No

9) Will The Avengers have a Sunday gross of more than 45 mill? Yes

10) Will The Avengers make more than 160 mill this weekend? Yes

11) Will The Avengers have a WW weekend (as reported by THR on Sunday, only estimates will count) of more than 225 mill?4000 Yes

12) Will The Avengers WW total be more than 400 mill as reported by THR, only estimates will count? No

13) Will The Avengers open to more than 15 mill in RUSSIA (as reported by THR and only estimates will count)? Yes

14) Will The Avengers Friday total gross be at least 2.7 times bigger than it's midnight gross? Yes

15) Will The Hunger Games have a drop of less than 40%? No

16) Will Five Year Engagement finish number 2 for the weekend? No

17) Will The Raven have a Friday increase of more than 125%? Yes

18) Will any film increase by more than 60% on Saturday? Yes

19) Will Nikki's FIRST Friday number (not her midnight report, but actual Friday report ) have The Avengers making more than 5 mill more than the real estimate reported by Boxofficemojo.com FOR THE FRIDAY NUMBER? 3000 Yes

20) Will American Reunion have a Saturday increase of more than 40%? No

15/20 2000

16/20 3000

17/20 4000

18/20 5000

19/20 8000

20/20 12000

Bonus #1: Tell me what the top 5 cume will be: $196.543m

Closest: 5000

2nd closest: 3000

3rd closest: 2000

Bonus #2: What will the combined weekend gross be of The Raven, Safe and THG? $12.947m

5000..only one winner

Bonus 3: What will Titanics WW gross be according to THR when it comes out on Sunday? $339.74m

5000...only one winner.

What will finish in spots:

3) The Hunger Games

7) Safe

8) The Raven

12) The Cabin in the Woods

15) Wrath of the Titans

2000 each correct spots, 5000 bonus if you get all five correct.

Hold on, there are more questions besides these?

Top 5 Worldwide:

1. The Dark Knight Rises

2. Ice Age: Continental Drift

3. The Avengers

4. Spider-Man

5. Brave

EDIT: Is it too late for me to answer these?

HERE ARE YOUR FIRST PRE SEASON BONUS QUESTIONS THAT MUST BE ANSWERED BEFORE MIDNIGHT MAY 2ND

THESE WILL BE WORTH A TOTAL OF 10,000 POSSIBLE POINTS.

10,000 IF CORRECT

-5000 IF INCORRECT

3000 FOR TELLING ME THAT YOU ARE ABSTAINING

Tell me, of these five films, which one will be the lowest grossing of the summer. Only these five films can you choose from.

1) Diary of a Wimpy Kid 2

2) Savages

3) Tyler Perry's The Marriage Counselor

4) People Like Us

5) Seeking a Friend for the End of the World $6m

FOR AN ADDITIONAL 10,000 Tell me, within 5 million dollars, what its gross will be. Anyone who calls this within 5 million dollars (note you MUST CALL THE CORRECT FILM TO QUALIFY FOR THE 5000 BONUS PTS) whether it is over or under the total, will get the 10,000 points.

Second Bonus Question:

Tell me which of these will be the highest grossing film of the summer:

1) Magic Mike $110m

2) Abraham Lincoln Vampire Hunter

3) Dark Shadows

4) The Dictator

For 10,000 POSSIBLE bonus points, tell me, within 5 million dollars, what its gross will be. Anyone who calls this within 5 million dollars (note you MUST CALL THE CORRECT FILM TO QUALIFY FOR THE 10,000 BONUS PTS) whether it is over or under the total, will get the 10,000 points.

Third Bonus Question:

Tell me, of these five films, which will be the highest grossing?

1) Total Recall $100m

2) The Dictator

3) Dark Shadows

4) The Expendables 2

5) Paranorman

For 15,000 bonus points, call the correct film within 5 mill.

Any questions please let me know.

THIS BONUS QUESTIONS ARE DUE BY MIDNIGHT MAY 2ND.

GOOD LUCK EVERYONE. I CAN'T WAIT FOR SUMMER.

TRIPLE BONUS

Here are your 16 bonus questions that have to be answered before the MAY 2ND start date.

Question 1: Will the Opening Weekend (3 day) record be broken? The current record holder is HARRY POTTER AND THE DEATHLY HALLOWS 2 WITH $169,189,427. YES

Answer it correctly: 15,000 points

Answer it incorrectly: lose 8000 points

Choose not to answer ( and you must state that you are not answering..failing to do so will automatically result in a loss of 8000 points) 3000 points.

Question 2: Will the opening day record be broken? This includes all monies earned from midnight as well, but will not include any money earned from early start times like 8pm and so on). The current record holder is DH2 WITH $91,071,119. NO

Answer it correctly: 15,000 points

Answer it incorrectly: lose 8000 points

Choose not to answer ( and you must state that you are not answering..failing to do so will automatically result in a loss of 8000 points) 3000 points.

Question 3: Will any film this summer open to a worldwide opening weekend of more than 400 million? (THIS WILL INCLUDE ANY 5 DAY WEEKENDS. WHATEVER IS REPORTED FOR THE ACTUALS ON MONDAY EVENING WILL BE THE NUMBER WE GO BY). YES

Answer it correctly: 15,000 points

Answer it incorrectly: lose 8000 points

Choose not to answer ( and you must state that you are not answering..failing to do so will automatically result in a loss of 8000 points) 5000 points.

Question 4: Will any film make more than 60 million this summer in FRANCE? NO

Answer it correctly: 15000 points

Answer it incorrectly: lose 8000 points

Choose not to answer ( and you must state that you are not answering..failing to do so will automatically result in a loss of 8000 points) 3000 points.

Question 5: Will any film make more than 85 million dollars this summer in the UK box office? YES

Answer it correctly: 15000 points

Answer it incorrectly: lose 10,000 points

Choose not to answer ( and you must state that you are not answering..failing to do so will automatically result in a loss of 8000 points) 5000 points.

Question 6: Will any film make more than 50 million in CHINA this summer? Both Transformers 3 and DH2 did more than 60 in China last year. YES

Answer it correctly: 15000 points

Answer it incorrectly: lose 10,000 points

Choose not to answer ( and you must state that you are not answering..failing to do so will automatically result in a loss of 10,000 points) 3000 points.

Question 7: Will at least 2 films make one billion WW this summer? YES

Answer it correctly: 15000 points

Answer it incorrectly: lose 10,000 points

Choose not to answer ( and you must state that you are not answering..failing to do so will automatically result in a loss of 10,000 points) 3000 points.

Question 8: Will at least 2 films, listed as a comedy by Box Office Mojo, make more than 100 million dollars this summer? YES

Answer it correctly: 15000 points

Answer it incorrectly: lose 10,000 points

Choose not to answer ( and you must state that you are not answering..failing to do so will automatically result in a loss of 10,000 points) 3000 points.

Question 9: Will at least 2 animated film have a WW gross of more than 700 million dollars? YES

Answer it correctly: 15000 points

Answer it incorrectly: lose 10,000 points

Choose not to answer ( and you must state that you are not answering..failing to do so will automatically result in a loss of 10,000 points) 3000 points.

Question 10: Which combination of films will make more money domestically?

1) The Avengers, The Bourne Legacy, Step Up 4, Rock of Ages

2) The Dark Knight Returns, Ted, Neighborhood Watch

3) Brave, MIB 3, Battleship, Prometheus

4) Madagascar 3, The Amazing Spiderman, Piranha Double DD's, Snow White and the Huntsmen

Answer it correctly: 15000 points

Answer it incorrectly: lose 10,000 points

Choose not to answer ( and you must state that you are not answering..failing to do so will automatically result in a loss of 5000 points) 3000 points.

Question 11: Will any film make more than 30 million in Russia this summer? YES

Answer it correctly: 15000 points

Answer it incorrectly: lose 10,000 points

Choose not to answer ( and you must state that you are not answering..failing to do so will automatically result in a loss of 10,000 points) 3000 points.

Question 12:

Will TDKR and The Avengers combined make more this summer than the other top 5 films combined (domestic only)? YES

Answer it correctly: 15000 points

Answer it incorrectly: lose 10,000 points

Choose not to answer ( and you must state that you are not answering..failing to do so will automatically result in a loss of 10,000 points) 3000 points.

Question 13:

Will at least three films gross more than 100 mill opening weekend? YES

Answer it correctly: 15000 points

Answer it incorrectly: lose 10,000 points

Choose not to answer ( and you must state that you are not answering..failing to do so will automatically result in a loss of 10,000 points) 3000 points.

Question 14:

Will The Avengers or The Dark Knight Returns have a better Saturday drop than The Hunger Games? YES

Answer it correctly: 25,000 points

Answer it incorrectly: lose 15,000 points

Choose not to answer ( and you must state that you are not answering..failing to do so will automatically result in a loss of 15,000 points) 5000 points.

Question 15:

Will The Amazing Spider-man have a better gross than TDKR in any of these three regions: YES

Japan

China

South Korea

Answer it correctly: 25,000 points

Answer it incorrectly: lose 15,000 points

Choose not to answer ( and you must state that you are not answering..failing to do so will automatically result in a loss of 15,000 points) 5000 points.

Bonus Question of all Bonus Questions:

This is a four parter:

1) Will TDKR make at least 500 million domestically? No

2) Will TDKR make more than 580 million internationally? Yes

3) Will TDKR do at least 40 million for midnights? Yes

4)) Will TDKR make at least 1.1 billion WW? Yes

May 2, 2012

Avengers is now down to 93% at RT, 84% among top critics. I think it's going to slip under 90% today.TDKR will win this contest.

Good thing that I voted for TDKR.

April 30, 2012

Ok, the Avengers trailers have been looking great, and the reviews just further proves on how amazing the film is, and it's going to be huge!It currently has an RT score of 97% and I don't see it dropping less than 95% after all the reviews are accounted for. Before The Avengers, The Dark Knight had the highest RT score for a Live-Action superhero film (The Incredibles, animated, scored 97%) with a score of 94%.With the finale coming up in just 3 months, and coming off from a great film, will The Dark Knight rises have a better RT score than The Avengers or will The Avengers be champ for this year, and of all Superhero films?[Note: Or do you think The Amazing Spider-Man will be a great quality film, despite with how Spider-Man 3 scored?]

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