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DisposedData

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Posts posted by DisposedData

  1. 14 minutes ago, TheFlatLannister said:

    The problem with banking on Holiday legs to save Aquaman is the CBM climate is not the same as it was in 2018. Also, DCEU is a dead franchise and I’m not so sure people will show up just because it’s the Holidays.

     

    i think 3x multi is where it’s heading, but 3.5x+ feels way too optimistic.

     

    i should have the first update posted around 7pm EST 

     

    things to watch out for during my update (if its sold over 2k tickets that’s excellent, if its sold under 1k tickets 🚨🚨)

    It's very hard for a film to miss a 3.5x multi at this time of year though. That being said I do agree that it's unlikely to natch the 5x multi that the first film had.

    • Like 1
  2. 20 minutes ago, Wandavisionlover0924 said:

    More people would know Bad Romance, Just Dance, and Born This way than both of those songs

     

     

    Selena is one of the luckiest artists ever. I have absolutely no idea how she got this far. IME she has always been just there. She has never dominated music ever while having big hits. She's not an artist that many people IME think of when they think of someone who makes bops. She has a nice and relatable personality but still. I think the reason why she is so popular is because of nostalgia. I grew watching her on tv and maybe her listeners did the same but kept following her afterwards

    Um no I definitely don't agree that those songs are more known than Anti Hero and Cruel Summer at this rate. All are relatively equal outside of Born This WY which isn't even on the same league as the rest. 

     

    As for Selena, she has a huge follower count because she has a big career outside of music. She is an actress and has a very successful makeup line, also she is just a social media guru.

  3. 5 hours ago, Wandavisionlover0924 said:

    Bffr. The Beatles, Madonna, Britney Spears were much bigger. Even recently Rihanna and Adele have a much wider reach than taylor. They simply don't have as huge or dedicated fanbase as Swift. Especially Rihanna who is very dependent on the casual listeners compared to other listeners. 

     

    I personally believe there isn't any popstar in the last 15 years that peaked as high as Justin Bieber or even Lady Gaga. People often forget how easy it is now  especially in western countries to ignore artists you don't care about. With the rise of streaming and the fall of radio if you didn't want to hear its easy that wasn't the case when radio dominated 

     

     

    Edit: Y'all are definitely affected by recency bias. 

     

    Taylor has already eclipsed Britney's, Rihanna's, and Adele's career in equivalent album sales.

  4. 1 hour ago, filmlover said:

    It's hard to compare FNAF to anything when it's only being booked on one screen at most theaters for that weekend so far. Only expectations one should have is for it to immediately fall off a cliff after the opening weekend, regardless the dollar amount.

    I really don't see why that should be expected tbh. I think you guys are vastly overstating how frontloaded it will be.

    • Thanks 1
  5. 9 minutes ago, DAJK said:

    FNAF feels like it’s shaping up to be the next Detective Pikachu. People are gonna start predicting 100-200M+ OW for it, sticking their heads in the sand and yell at everyone who’s not on board. And then freak out that the movie is a huge bomb when it “only” opens to 40M or so.

    Difference is DP never actually had strong pre sales lmao. I don't think anyone is expecting a 100m+ opening. Rather just compete to potentially be the biggest horror of the year. 

    • Like 1
    • Haha 1
  6. 3 hours ago, wildphantom said:


    Easy. 
     

    Look up how many albums Thriller sold. When people actually had to go out and spend money on ONE album and leave the house. 
     

    There was a mania around Jackson that I and others on here actually lived through, and trust me….Swift isn’t close. Nobody has been. It’ll never happen again. 

    It's not a fair comparison because people consume albums differently. Comparing physical album sales is a very flawed comparison, you have to look at things like equivalent album sales which take streaming into account. Taylor hasn't reached the level of MJ at his peak and never will but I'm certain she will have more longevity and have a real shot at matching his career when it's all said and done.

  7. 15 minutes ago, jeffthehat said:

    Assuming comps are unreliable, wouldn't the best way to predict Era's OW be to speculate on the final % of available seats sold? If MTC1 is already at 60+% at t-40, hard for me to see how it sells less than 50% nationwide on Fri. And if @Relevation's math is correct, that would put the floor for Friday at 45m... 

    This. I'm confused why people are throwing around 30m when that's already where it's at with T-0 comps. This has been very confusing to follow

     

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