Jump to content

RJ 95

Free Account+
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    552

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Posts posted by RJ 95

    JOKER OS THREAD // 738.5M OS // 1.074B WW

    in International Box Office

    Posted · Edited by RJ 95

    Japan - Sunday

    It's already 9.30 pm in Japan as 99% of box office already counted and Joker will end this day with just 3% drop from yesterday.

    Also with admission alone it only drop 35% from first weekend. I just don't know what to say about this. After this weekend its total probably in 24-25.5m range. 

     

    All of you know that Japan box office is all about legs but Joker already opened with a big number for solo superhero movie. Then it also develop legs that I don't think I've ever seen in recent SH. Probably early Spidey or Batman '89. I mean Joker already 5x it's opening weekend and possibly will end with 7x or 8x it's OW.

    • Like 3
    • Thanks 3
    • Astonished 5

    Weekend Thread: Estimates - Mal2 36, Jokah 29.2, Zombi2 26.7, Addams 16, Gemini 8.5 | Parasite 1.2 (37.6K), Lighthouse 420K (52K), Jojo 350K (70K avg)

    in Numbers and Data

    Posted · Edited by RJ 95

    19 minutes ago, Xftg123 said:

    200-300 OS, not Domestic.

     

    Domestically though the movie will probably end up doing lower than the first.

     

    Yeah, overseas wise I think anywhere from 80-100M (depending on the legs) is a better chance then 100 to 200M.

    I would be very very happy, if Joker can get 80m let alone 90 or more OS this weekend 

     

    ITALY (Botteghino): 'Kung Fu Panda 4' becomes biggest 2024 film

    in International Box Office

    Posted

    3 minutes ago, Omni said:

    The story of the weekend is that Maleficent is headed for a a debut in line with the original. It's at 2.46 on Saturday, and it should get a 10/35% jump today, meaning a 1.6/1.9 Sunday for a 4.05/4.40 total. The first debuted with 4.3 millions.

     

    Joker will, I think, drop less than 40% over the weekend. Which is very good for Italy but unfortunately worse than Inside Out's -28%.

    D you think Joker can still maintain this 40% drop for few weeks until Frozen came out ? 

     

    Weekend Thread: Estimates - Mal2 36, Jokah 29.2, Zombi2 26.7, Addams 16, Gemini 8.5 | Parasite 1.2 (37.6K), Lighthouse 420K (52K), Jojo 350K (70K avg)

    in Numbers and Data

    Posted · Edited by RJ 95

    48 minutes ago, Xftg123 said:

    From what I've seen in the Overseas BO thread, Mal2 and Joker are pretty much neck-in-neck. There are some places where Joker is doing more than Mal2 and vice versa where Mal2 is doing more than Joker. Curious to see how it all goes when Sunday hits. Seeing how the first Maleficent made 517M overseas, so I think it's probably going to drop somewhere in the 300M or so range.

    Mal2 will win in SK, Brazil, Mexico, Russia, and Southeast Asia. Joker will win in Japan, Germany and France. UK, Spain and Italy will be close. Rest of Europe ( probably Mal2) , and South America ( probably Joker) will decide who will win that. Will be close but Mal2 I guess.

    JAPAN BOX OFFICE | Demon Slayer breaks all time record for OW

    in International Box Office

    Posted

    Just now, Bart Allen said:

    So given the typhoon - and that a great many people have probably yet to see the Joker - does that mean the numbers will increase? And what would you estimate Joker's end-run in Japan would and could be?

    Seems like today will be affected by rugby world cup, it will make probably 70% admission of yesterday but given that Saturday triple last Saturday number. Probably will still increase or at worst drop by 10-15%.

    JOKER OS THREAD // 738.5M OS // 1.074B WW

    in International Box Office

    Posted

    1 minute ago, Sunny Max said:

    #Joker grossed approx $1.7 M on 3rd Saturday at Japanese box office, looking to be #1 for the 3rd weekend in a row 

     

    2 days weekend looking to $3.5 To $3.7 M . will beat Constantine tomorrow most probably 

     

     

     

     

    Nice, that box office blog which track Japan box office multiplier seems work. Thanks man.

    • Thanks 1

    JOKER OS THREAD // 738.5M OS // 1.074B WW

    in International Box Office

    Posted · Edited by RJ 95

    28 minutes ago, reddevil19 said:

    Right now, if it continues to drop steeply, it could miss 300 DOM - hopefully it holds better domestically next weekend, as there's no direct competition. Terminator is opening in foreign markets, though, and it's mainly going to be internationally-driven, so I can see some steeper international drops for Joker, even if it recovers domestically. So I'm not really sold on 600 internationally. 

    Possibly this weekend 70m+ OS, so 470m after this weekend. It can just drop 50% each week and it will still get 600. I personally think 625 already locked.

     

    One of the thing that will make me doubt it if it get <65m weekend OS.

     

    • Thanks 1

    JOKER OS THREAD // 738.5M OS // 1.074B WW

    in International Box Office

    Posted

    13 minutes ago, Valonqar said:

    That's the problem with R rated movies. They exhaust their audience faster than PG-13. 

    I still don't know exact drops in Europe, only in Italy but it's drop in Asia like in SK, Japan, HK, India, and Indo still excellent even some better than avg CBM movie. In country like SK it drop 50% this week but that's normal for CBM movie, also in Japan only 15% drop.

    JAPAN BOX OFFICE | Demon Slayer breaks all time record for OW

    in International Box Office

    Posted

    2 minutes ago, efialtes76 said:

    Tomorrow will be a hard day with the Japan-South Africa at 19:30pm. 

    Last week when they played JPN vs SCO in Sunday, I thought until evening, number still look fine.

    Then dip a little. Since 18.00 that day, If I remember it only make 15% of daily box office. Usually 25%, but Saturday number is really good so still enough to at least match last weekend gross.

    JAPAN BOX OFFICE | Demon Slayer breaks all time record for OW

    in International Box Office

    Posted

    From WOKJ Corpse

     

    I didn't have time to post a Weekend Forecast this week, but after looking at the numbers, I probably wouldn't have anyway. Since last Saturday was impacted so heavily by the typhoon, this Saturday saw increases above 100/200% across the board versus last week. It would have been very difficult to post a reliable forecast under these circumstances.

    Maleficent: Mistress of Evil opened this weekend, and it is...nearly bombing. It's going to debut in second place, well behind Joker's third weekend. A Disney live-action fantasy tentpole losing to a DC film in its third weekend is quite the headline.

    I wasn't expecting Maleficent 2 to match the success of the original, and wouldn't have been shocked with a decline near 50% (not uncommon for questionable sequels released neither too early or too late), but it's actually looking at a possible 60%+ decline. Pretty harsh

    • Like 3
    • Thanks 3

    JOKER OS THREAD // 738.5M OS // 1.074B WW

    in International Box Office

    Posted

    1 hour ago, keysersoze123 said:

    We need this pinned on the top of this forum 🙂

    keysersoze, how high do you think Joker can make in domestic market ?

    With normal legs from now on Joker should finish with 640m OS with 42% drop also there are school breaks, halloween holiday and few more holiday in Japan. Japan in Saturday also still overperform that 45m become realistic now also Germany overperform with 10 more. 

    Do you think 340 domestic still possible ?

    ITALY (Botteghino): 'Kung Fu Panda 4' becomes biggest 2024 film

    in International Box Office

    Posted

    1 minute ago, Omni said:

    I'm really surprised to see Maleficent getting a better bump on Friday. It needed to be the other way round.

     

    If Joker really makes "just" 3.4M or so over the weekend as RJ predicts, it's going to finish at 26/27 millions.

    Ahh, but still 26/27 is a great result.

    Even if it doesn't reach 1billion but legs in Europe (particularly in Italy) is astounding that Joker can reach 625-650m without China.

    • Thanks 1

    ITALY (Botteghino): 'Kung Fu Panda 4' becomes biggest 2024 film

    in International Box Office

    Posted · Edited by RJ 95

    Friday

    Joker € 653.115 (39% increase from yesterday)

    Total : € 18.675.297

    Maleficent € 607.420 ( 49% increase from yesterday)

    Total € 1.018.496

     

    Joker failed to reach 700k but still good enough for #1 but maybe maleficent will pass it tomorrow. With 70-80% increase tomorrow good enough for € 3.2-3.6m weekend.

     

    Good increase for Maleficent, will be really good battle for tomorrow.

     

     

    • Like 2
×
×
  • Create New...

Important Information

By using this site, you agree to our Terms of Use and Guidelines. Feel free to read our Privacy Policy as well.

  I accept