Sandro Mazzola
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Posts posted by Sandro Mazzola
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1 hour ago, Thanos Legion said:
Man what kind of EeAAO tc is this working with?
About 2,700, A24 have form getting films that wide.
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Sandro Weekend Forecast:
Sonic 2 20.6m
Bad Guys 18.7m
FB3: Dumbledore 16.9m
Northman 16.4m
Weight of Massive Talent 10.2m
EEAAO 6.0m
Lost City 3.6m
Father Stu 2.9m
Ambulance 1.7m
Batman 1.7m-
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4 hours ago, Thanos Legion said:
Legion Weekend Forecast
Dumbledore 43M
Sonic 34M
EEAAO 7M
Stu 6.4M
Lost City 5.4M
Ambulance 4.2M
Morbius 3.9M
Batman 3.9M
Uncharted 1.45M
Sandro Forecast:
Dumbledore 43.2M
Sonic 35.6M
EEAAO 7M
Stu 6.4M
Lost City 5.5M
Morbius 4.9M
Ambulance 4.3M
Batman 4.3M
Uncharted 1.7M
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7 hours ago, Villain Legion said:
Legion Weekend Forecast
Morbius 39M
Lost City 17M
Batman 10.8M
Uncharted 3.2M
RRR 2.5M
JJK 2.05M
NWH 1.4M
Dog 1.35M
X 1.2M
EEAAO 1.1M
Sing 1.1M
Sandro Forecast
Morbius 45m
Lost City 16.3m
Batman 11.1m
Uncharted 2.9m
RRR 1.9m
JJK 1.9m
NWH 1.4m
X 1 m
Dog 1m
Sing2 1m
EEAAO 920k
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4 hours ago, el sid said:
That preview number for X is indeed a bit below my expectations (and tracking
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The Green Knight preview came in much lower than expectations too tbf, the A24 films do behave a bit differently. I personally had been operating at about a 500k Thurs off the numbers in the tracking thread.
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On 2/16/2022 at 2:50 PM, Sandro Mazzola said:
70,850,000
56,062,500
43,728,750
170,641,250Edit:
61,025,000 47,531,250 37,074,375 145,630,625 -
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Uncharted is going to approach 45m over the 4 day, Dog maybe 15m.
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70,850,000
56,062,500
43,728,750
170,641,250 -
2 hours ago, Product Driven Legion said:
6.9
ni.ce
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1 hour ago, CJohn said:
Omicron is gonna fuck the world in January. I expect Europe to go into lockdowns.
Early days but I don't think it will. It's going to be the dominant variant but doesn't look like its going to elevate hospitalizations or deaths compared to Delta.
Also with the vaccination levels in Western Europe the governments are going to be quite hesitant killing the hospitality industry.
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@katnisscinnaplex nailed RGW several days ago....
On 10/18/2021 at 2:32 PM, katnisscinnaplex said:Day Movie Area Theaters Shows Total Seats Total Sold New Sales* % Sold T-17 Eternals Jacksonville 6 47 7,996 419 63 5.24% Phoenix 6 35 5,949 369 71 6.20% Raleigh 7 26 3,094 396 65 12.80% Eternals Total 19 108 17,039 1,184 199 6.95% T-3 Dune Jacksonville 7 39 6,545 427 99 6.52% Phoenix 6 22 3,588 400 127 11.15% Raleigh 8 21 2,915 352 131 12.08% Dune Total 21 82 13,048 1,179 357 9.04% T-3 Ron's Gone Wrong Jacksonville 4 6 852 1 1 0.12% Phoenix 6 10 1,303 3 3 0.23% Raleigh 6 8 991 13 13 1.31% Ron's Gone Wrong Total 16 24 3,146 17 17 0.54% *New sales since Thursday morning
Dune comps
Venom 2 - .739x (8.57m)
F9 - .814x (5.78m)
Average - 7.17m
I don't really have anything this low for kids movies. Addams had 39 at this point, but with 4pm start which would be 240k.
Eternals comps
BW T-17 - .718x (9.48m)
Shang-Chi hadn't even gone on sell yet and day 7 would be t-10 so I'm not sure about using that comp until a few more days have passed.
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22 minutes ago, Cmasterclay said:
Godzilla vs Kong probably would have done 100m OW weekend in normal times though. What would Dune have done, maybe 60m at the max? It's still a three hour long Dune movie.
Oh Zilla is +100m in normal times easily, but I think Dune would hit 100m in normal time too. Its PG13 and has a very popular cast. Also 3 hrs is being facetious, its shorter than No Time To Die.
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6 minutes ago, grey ghost said:
So people are expecting ~45m OW for Dune but is that possible with a hybrid release?
Godzilla vs Kong had a 5 day hybrid release of 48.5m with theatre's in more severe covid restrictions... Dune can hit that 45m 3 day, whether it will is the question
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5 hours ago, Free Eric said:
It's hard to find other good comps for this, but there's no way this will go as low as the Voyagers comp suggests...or will it????
You wouldn't happen to have tracking numbers for Replicas?
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Not sure why people are getting depressed about this weekend, Old looks par for the course for an M Night non-sequel release, and Snake Eyes is a poorly received and not wanted film in a stale franchise (the expected drop from the last GI Joe film is not dissimilar to Dark Phoenix from Apocalypse).
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2 hours ago, DAJK said:
Would be the other way around. Previews are usually stronger in the summers than in January.
Honestly I think even 4M could be a stretch. Thinking it’ll end up with 3.8-3.9
ER landed in that January period of holidays between Christmas/New years and back to work/school. Comping to summer isn't the worst there. Also ER previews started at 4pm so the mult to ER2's Thurs should be broadly similar.
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43 minutes ago, lorddemaxus said:
When did Forever Purge start previews? This started at 3pm, which would lower the multi.
Purge was a 7pm start, as opposed to essentially a full day of previews for ER2. I'd be surprised with a Friday over 4m inc previews.
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Should pass $80m even with a $23.15m Saturday, I'd put it at $82m. A weak Saturday should see a soft Sunday drop.
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19 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:
Include. If Tuesday was discount day then $650-700K previews. If normal then $1.1M.
Per Deadline: Lionsgate had two sets of sneak previews over the weekend, with about 275 locations in a Atom Tickets/Snapchat sponsorship and another 1,500 locations which both amounted to $1.8M. Tuesday previews amounted to around $815K. The balance yesterday was $1.3M.
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47 minutes ago, The Futurist said:
You all make it sound like creating a world and characters, especially in the genre/fantasy/sci fi/ animation world that have global appeal is an easy task.
And you whine about sequilitis all day.
Evil creatively bankrupt Disney amirite ?
Meanwhile QT recreates 1969 and Mangold recreates Le Mans, Gerwing & Scorcese re-creates a time period, and they all get praised for it.
All hail the Xerox method.
But they are not evil sequels, so that s good, these movies love the mundanity and banality of our world and get praised for it.
Oh My gods, those Korean apartments in Parasite were so creative, rumor has it there are millions of them over there.
I know the filmmakers add their creativity to their films but don't pretend you are missing my point.
Creating a movie like Onward and xeroxing 1969 with a twist are NOT the same thing and If you don't understand the fundamental difference, I don't what to say to you.
Chris Terrio gets an Oscar for adapting true life events but he is the laughing stock of geeks worldwide for participating in the sabotage of two iconic fantasy/sci-fi franchises.
See ?
Am I the only one seing the hilarious double standard here ?
Seems so.
My premise is that creating ten different Toy Story & Finding Nemo in a lifetime is an impossible task for any person or entity.
Or even adapting fictionnal material like a comic book or other source material and make it work on film is ultra hard :
John Carter, Green Lantern, Suicide Squad, Lone Ranger, Green Hornet, Prince Of Persia, Assasin s Creed, Battleship ( lol), Pacific Rim, Speed racer, Jupiter Ascending, Tomorrow Land, Rampage, Wolverine 1 etc etc ring a bell ?
Even Mad Max Fury Road barely mad its money back & BR 2049 lost money.
The list goes on and on, dozens, hundreds of big blockbusters films failed, creatively, commercially or both.
YOu think Disney could afford more flops on the magnitude of Prince of Perisa, Sorcerer's Apprentice, Tomorrow Land, John Carter and Lone Ranger just to prove that, in your eyes, they are creative and take enough risks ?
Plus, what s wrong with giving new films with characters and worlds people love ?
People whine about the Marvel formula all day, but their(well,his) genius until now has been to be able to add just enough novelty with each new film to keep people interested & excited to move people s butts in seats.
Are the three Captain American movies the same ?
The MCU team is very self aware of that and every franchise producer too.
You are all forgetting on purpose all the franchises starters hopefuls that crashed and burnt at the box office to allow yourself to whine in an unjust manner about franchise filmmaking.
The flop list goes on and on but when you invest 100 to 300m in a movie your margin of error is pretty thin and then you learn the notion of taking a risk is absolutely not what you think it is.
Every movie is taking a risk, nut its nature and scope can be very different.
I remember Scott Derrickson saying how hard it had been to sell the world and laws of Dr Strange to audiences and make it work on film, everything had to be somewhat coherent, plausible & understandable to audiences when you are dealing with magic and inter-dimensionnal Gods & forces.
Bong Joon Ho took two hours to explain to you there are haves and have nots, that is is not cool, and that their co-existence can be somewhat difficult.
Breaking news information, call CNN.
The director of Parasite couldn't create ten new Toy Story and Fast & Furious if he tried, Cameron, Lucas, Spielberg ,Nolan could not either.
Plus it is way harder to do it in a real live action film setting than in animation where you can cheat way more with the suspension of disbelief :
Boss Baby in a live action anyone ? Good luck with that.
The baby in Incredibles 1&2 would be impossible to do in a live action setting too and he is a an audience favorite, same goes for all the crazy stuff that happens in Spiderman Into the Multiverse you just couldn't do in live action.
That s why sometimes people say they feel there is more creativity & new Ips in animation blockbusters than live action ones.
To cut a long story short, my premise is the following :
Making Good Fellas is easier to do than Making The Avengers.
But they are both herculean tasks done by brilliant men and women.
Yet, conceited cinephiles are condescending, patronizing and arrogant with one of these two films, i'll let you guess witch one of the two.
You have the right to prefer one to another, but you sould treat both of them with equal respect, at the very least.
The more things change, the more they stay the same.
Open an history book on Star Wars whith hundreds of articles and quotes of late 70's sci-fi writers and critics about how stupid and void George lucas creation was, how it was silly escapism for the masses).
Some of you sound like those grumpy late 70's guys I am referring to sometimes.
Tl;dr
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7 minutes ago, lorddemaxus said:
All movies will probably see an increase. Happened on Thursday 13th Feb in 2014
2014 didn't have between $4m and $5.5m of previews either though.
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1 hour ago, Jedi Jat said:
35
10.75-11.25
Pretty good for both, any early FvF, BD and Queen numbers?
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April 22-24th Weekend thread | Northman conquers $5m Friday, Mr. Wolf’s fine ass and The Bad Guys steal $8m, and Unbearable Talent has an unbearable start at $3m
in Numbers and Data
Posted
I think you're a bit low on Bad Guys and maybe a bit high on Cage