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BestPicturePlutoNash

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    Old | M. Night Shyamalan | July 23, 2021 | Eliza Scanlen, Thomasin McKenzie, Aaron Pierre, Alex Wolff and Vicky Krieps

    in Box Office Discussion

    Posted

    The graphic novel is perfect material for him and very enticing. I'm excited to see Vicky Krieps and Eliza Scanlen in this. I know people who've attended test screenings. Say it's a blast but the ending does not work which is typical for M. Night, so I'm expecting very divisive reactions. Still think it will open well with like 20m. One of the only non-sequel releases this summer and high-concept horror usually does well

    • Like 1

    BLACK WIDOW OPENING WEEKEND THREAD | 80M DOM, 78 OS, Disney PR - 60M Premier Access (aka we swear it's not a disappoinment)

    in Numbers and Data

    Posted

    I saw the 5pm Cinemark XD showing. Theater was packed naturally. I checked the showtimes for tonight and all dozen showings had strong advance sales. It's absolutely mid-tier MCU for me. Found it very sloppy and all the action was buried by the shakycam. The theater was into it, though. Typical Marvel beats. It picked up in the 3rd act with humor that wasn't out of place and real sense of stakes. I think the audience will appreciate how it's one of the darker MCU movies. Florence Pugh is a standout and David Harbour is comic relief. I don't think it's going under 90m at all

     

    TRAILERS: Space Jam. Escape Room. Old. Snake Eyes. Jungle Cruise

    • Like 1

    THE SUICIDE SQUAD | August 6 2021 | James Gunn writing and directing

    in Box Office Discussion

    Posted

    38 minutes ago, clockwork said:

    Didn't Birds of Prey simply underpreform rather than flop? It might have done slightly better if they didn't make the title too fancy/long for it's own good,

    84.5m budget. 201m WW gross. Doing the 2.5 rule with the marketing, it probably needed at least 211m.

     

    84m domestic gross so WB brought in 42m. 117.7 internationally which is about 47. Give or take 90m total. They probably broke even/didn't lose a lot of money (which would have been the marketing cash) factoring in the ancillaries.  TheNumbers reports it made over 30m in video sales

    THE SUICIDE SQUAD | August 6 2021 | James Gunn writing and directing

    in Box Office Discussion

    Posted · Edited by BestPicturePlutoNash

    This is such a wildcard. I'm not sure the marketing has entirely caught on and Birds of Prey proved Harley herself is not a big enough draw to carry a movie. (I really liked Birds of Prey). DC is just very inconsistent in general and there's probably some confusion as to whether this is a sequel or not. This feels on paper something that SHOULD hit 100m but will probably do Shazam numbers?

     

    I'm not concerned quality wise, however. I think the trailers are just bad. I know someone who attended a screening last year and loved it despite a choppy 1st act with some forced humor that didn't land. Expects it to be huge since it's a major crowdpleaser and plays well

     

    It's also disappointing HBOMAX has ruined Thursday previews. Would have been a fun 7pm show

    Spider-Man: No Way Home | December 17, 2021 | The More Fun Stuff Version (yes, that's what it's called) comes to theaters September 2nd!

    in Box Office Discussion

    Posted

    I'll be honest, I'm not totally excited about this. I think Spiderverse was overrated (minority, I know) and the writers here are already at a disadvantage since they have to continue the Far From Home storylines. Not a fan of the black costume either so I'm afraid this could just be an overbloated MCU fest as opposed to a Spiderman movie. But of course, given the "possibilities", there's still a novelty factor I can't resist and maybe they pull off some interesting ideas regarding the identity of Peter Parker and what it means to be Spider-Man

     

    That said, it would be VERY underwhelming if the trailer doesn't lean into everything at this point. 

    Black Widow | July 9 2021 | ScarJo secures the bag from Disney

    in Box Office Discussion

    Posted

    3 minutes ago, lorddemaxus said:

    All these movies being the same isn't just a me problem. I'm not sure why people are trying so hard to make these things more than what they are. It all goes back to when the internet was forcing Winter Solider to be a "70s political thriller". Just whatever lol.

    Dude, people have different opinions but Marvel is the largest franchise in the world so whatever you're rambling about is the minority opinion. You're not the definitive statement on this matter. I agree some declarations can be overkill but the reason for Marvel's success is how they can seamlessly smuggle other genres into the superhero format (Winter Soldier, Guardians, etc) for mass audiences. They're not "trying so hard to make these things more than what they are". Other than The Dark Knight, this was nearly unprecedented at the time in regards to superhero movies so it's natural they'd have this reaction

    • Like 1

    The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

    in Numbers and Data

    Posted

    After raising the bar on what a movie can open to during the pandemic with F9‘s $70M weekend, Universal is adding a one-two wide release punch to the weekend with the debut of two titles geared at two different demos: DreamWorks Animation’s The Boss Baby: Family Business which is set to do $15M+ and Blumhouse’s The Forever Purge which is looking at $10M+ over 3-days.

    Together with the second weekend of the studio’s F9, which is speeding toward another $28M (-60%), all three movies will not only own the top three spots at the B.O. for Uni, but bring the studio a weekend of $53M+.

     

    https://deadline.com/2021/06/f9-boss-baby-family-business-forever-purge-universal-owns-july-4th-weekend-box-office-1234783750/

    • Like 5

    The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

    in Numbers and Data

    Posted

    I won't even begin to tally yet but judging by my theaters, the Thursday for Black Widow will be astronomical. I genuinely think 15m is on the table. Ant-Man and the Wasp had 11.5 and I see no reason given the tracking and buzz this would be lower. 

     

    I don't know what that means for the overall weekend and how frontloaded it'd be, especially factoring in Disney+ and the pandemic, but I'm feeling good about 95m+

     

    Ant-Man and the Wasp- 11.5m Thursday/75m weekend

    Justice League- 13m Thursday/93m weekend

    Solo- 14.1 Thursday/84m weekend

    Spiderman Homecoming- 15.4m Thursday/117m weekend

    Guardians vol 2- 17m Thursday/146m weekend

    Captain Marvel- 20.7m Thursday/153.4m weekend

    • Like 2

    F9 WEEKEND THREAD | 70M Opening Weekend! Now 405M Worldwide | The Moovies are back! | One Month of Gold only $7.50

    in Numbers and Data

    Posted

    I saw it. The 7pm showing was a nice size. Appropriate audience reactions. Overall, I'm somewhat underwhelmed. I expected more action--the trailers pretty much reveal all 3 big setpieces. But what the film offered in that department, still delivered. I understand why the reception is very mixed. Even for Fast and Furious, it's very plot-driven and melodramatic. The 2nd act will be a problem for many. It might not be "fun" enough. The lack of The Rock really deflates the energy. Cena isn't very memorable.

     

    I'd say it opens mid 60s and falls 60%+ next weekend. Wouldn't be surprised if The Boss Baby beats it for #1

    • Thanks 1

    The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

    in Numbers and Data

    Posted

    Going to theaters is all I have, this is making me so sad. Every Thursday night was like a therapy session and I miss it. I thankfully and safely got to experience New Mutants and Tenet. With Wonder Woman moving, I have nothing to look forward to. Hopefully the Nov releases stay but...

     

    Maybe Kajillionaire will expand here when it opens and I can see. But I’m not risking everything for Broken Hearts Gallery. I just want this all to be ok

    • Like 2
    • Sad 2
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