BestPicturePlutoNash

i just want flight risk to go crazy in 4dx i want to leave that theater bald

mikey madison will win there wicked wins ensemble also wicked is strong... where? missed BAFTA film missed DGA

really pulling for wolf man sad to see such underwhelming early tracking. but the trailers didnt blow up and blumhouse is kinda in a slump outside of Freddys Invisible man is my fave horror of the decade and Leigh whannell doing 80s Cronenberg horror for Wolf man sounds fire

Final predictions for the year (until SAG) PICTURE: 1. Anora 2. The Brutalist 3. Conclave 4. Dune- Part Two 5. Wicked 6. Emilia Perez 7. A Real Pain 8. The Substance 9. A Complete Unknown 10. Sing Sing ALT: Nickel Boys DIRECTOR: 1. Brady Corbet, The Brutalist 2. Sean Baker, Anora 3. Edward Berger, Conclave 4. Jacques Audiard, Emilia Perez 5. Coralie Faregat, The Substance ALT: Ramell Ross, Nickel Boys DARK HORSE: Mohammad Rasoulof, Seed of Sacred Fig ACTOR: 1. Adrien Brody, The Brutalist 2. Timothee Chalamet, Complete Unknown 3. Ralph Fiennes, Conclave 4. Colman Domingo, Sing Sing 5. Daniel Craig, Queer ALT: Hugh Grant, Heretic ACTRESS: 1. Mikey Madison, Anora 2. Karla Sofia Gascon, Emilia Perez 3. Demi Moore, The Substance 4. Angelina Jolie, Maria 5. Marianne Jean-Bapitste, Hard Truths ALT: Cynthia Erivo, Wicked DARK HORSE: Nicole Kidman, Babygirl SUPPORTING ACTOR: 1. Kieran Culkin, A Real Pain 2. Guy Pearce, The Brutalist 3. Yura Borisov, Anora 4. Ed Norton, Complete Unknown 5. Denzel Washington, Gladiator 2 ALT: Clarence Maclin, Sing Sing SUPPORTING ACTRESS: 1. Zoe Saldana, Emilia Perez 2. Ariana Grande, Wicked 3. Felicity Jones, The Brutalist 4. Isabelle Rosellini, Conclave 5. Margaret Qualley, The Substance ALT: Selena Gomez, Emilia Perez DARK HORSE: Monica Barbaro, Complete Unknown ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY: 1. Anora 2. Real Pain 3. The Brutalist 4. The Substance 5. Hard Truths ALT: September 5th DARK HORSE: Seed of Sacred Fig WILD CARD: Challengers ADAPTED SCREENPLAY: 1. Conclave 2. Sing Sing 3. Nickel Boys 4. Dune 2 5. Emilia Perez ALT: I'm Still Here

1. Anora 2. The Brutalist 3. Dune 2 4. Conclave 5. Emilia Perez 6. Sing Sing 7. Nickel Boys 8. Real Pain 9. Gladiator 10. Substance ALT: Complete Unknown Challengers Wicked- I refuse to believe but we'll see Challengers will do well with guilds. If Complete Unknown is solid, it should slide in. Blitz feels like a passionless non-event despite the prestige but it'll do well at BAFTA Gut feeling is that Substance benefits from weak year. It's a populist high-concept social commentary with prestige and strong audience reception to combat the genre voting. Demi Moore is campaigning heavily and has rooting factor. Gladiator reviews seem like they'll be decent. It could ultimately miss ala Wakanda Forever but it won't suffer from that genre bias. It's a gigantic Ridley Scott prestige movie from Paramount

JANUARY 2: Migration (2023)- 3D JANUARY 2: The Teacher's Lounge (2023) JANUARY 4: Good Grief (2023) JANUARY 4: Night Swim JANUARY 11: Totem (2023) JANUARY 11: The Beekeeper JANUARY 11: Mean Girls JANUARY 12: The Book of Clarence JANUARY 18: Founders Day JANUARY 19: One From the Heart reissue JANUARY 19: ISS JANUARY 30: Sometimes I Think About Dying JANUARY 31: Miller's Girl FEBRUARY 1: Argylle FEBRUARY 2: Suncoast FEBRUARY 6: She is Conann FEBRUARY 8: Lisa Frankenstein FEBRUARY 14: Madame Web (IMAX) FEBRUARY 14: Bob Marley: One Love (DOLBY) FEBRUARY 22: Spaceman FEBRUARY 23: Tenet reissue (IMAX 70mm) FEBRUARY 26: Drugstore June FEBRUARY 29: Dune- Part Two (DOLBY) FEBRUARY 29: Problemista MARCH 7: Love Lies Bleeding MARCH 13: Imaginary MARCH 21: Ghostbusters: Frozen Empire (IMAX) MARCH 21: Late Night With the Devil MARCH 21: Immaculate MARCH 28: Godzilla X Kong: The New Empire MARCH 30: Asphalt City APRIL 2: Wicked Little Letters APRIL 5: The Beast APRIL 5: The First Omen APRIL 6: Monkey Man APRIL 6: The People's Joker APRIL 12: Civil War (DOLBY) APRIL 16: Chicken For Linda APRIL 16: Sasquatch Sunset APRIL 18: Abigail (DOLBY) APRIL 19: Stress Positions APRIL 20: The Ministry of Ungentlemanly Warfare (AMC PRIME) APRIL 22: We Grown Now APRIL 23: Housekeeping For Beginners APRIL 26: Challengers (IMAX) APRIL 26: The Feeling That the Time For Doing Something Has Passed APRIL 30: I Saw the TV Glow (screening) MAY 2: The Fall Guy MAY 7: Evil Does Not Exist MAY 7: Tarot MAY 8: Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes (DOLBY) MAY 14: Poolman MAY 16: If (DOLBY) MAY 16: Babes MAY 22: The Strangers: Chapter One MAY 23: Furiosa (DOLBY) MAY 24: Back to Black MAY 29: In a Violent Nature MAY 31: Young Woman and the Sea MAY 31: TEST SCREENING JUNE 3: Handling the Undead JUNE 5: The Dead Don't Hurt JUNE 5: Bad Boys: Ride or Die (DOLBY) JUNE 6: The Watchers JUNE 7: I Used To Be Funny JUNE 12: Ezra JUNE 13: Tuesday JUNE 13: Inside Out 2 (DOLBY) JUNE 19: Ghostlight JUNE 19: Kinds of Kindness (DOLBY) JUNE 20: The Bikeriders JUNE 21: Humanist Vampire Seeking Consenting Suicidal Person JUNE 22: Thelma JUNE 26: Janet Planet (x2) JUNE 27: Horizon: Chapter 1 JUNE 27: Daddio JUNE 29: The Human Surge JULY 1: Maxxine JULY 2: A Quiet Place- Day One (4DX) JULY 3: Beverly Hills Cop: Axel F JULY 3: Kill JULY 5: Goldilocks and the Two Bears JULY 8: Mother, Couch JULY 11: Sing Sing JULY 12: Longlegs (AMC PRIME) JULY 15: Fly Me to the Moon JULY 18: Oddity JULY 18: Twisters (4DX) JULY 19: Cha-Cha (screening) JULY 25: Deadpool and Wolverine (4DX) JULY 26: National Anthem JULY 27: Didi AUGUST 1: Trap AUGUST 2: Moving (re-issue) AUGUST 4: The Instigators AUGUST 5: Kneecap

Last predictions before the fall fest run: Anora (NEON) Complete Unknown (SEARCHLIGHT) Conclave (FOCUS) Dune 2 (WB) Gladiator II (PARAMOUNT) Nickel Boys (MGM) Piano Lesson (NETFLIX) Real Pain (SEARCHLIGHT) Saturday Night (SONY) Sing Sing (A24) ------ ALT: Challengers (MGM/AMAZON)- didn't explode at box office, the studio will have Nickel Boys but should play well with the industry/guilds (WGA, ACE, etc) Emilia Perez (NETFLIX)- reviews are all over the place but Cannes loved, could play well to international voters Joker 2 (WB)- again? NOT FEELING: Blitz (APPLE) Queer- still no distributor, probably highbrow/sexually explicit ------- I'd predict Anora to win. It's already won the Palme with a jury including industry peers. It's Neon. It's a nice little underdog by an indie director that's never had an Academy breakout. It feels like one of the few true crowdpleasers this year that'll play broadly (should place top 3 at TIFF). Sing Sing has made less than 1m and would need serious resurgence from A24 come fall after the festivals throw even more contenders into the mix. Conclave feels something that peaks at Telluride and isn't exactly the type of bait that goes all the way anymore. I'd watch out for an acting win instead. Nickel Boys is one to watch out for. The NYFF spot indicates strong prestige reviews and it's a powerful topic. But skipping TIFF implies it might lack broad accessibility, etc. MGM/Amazon isn't a great studio at this point, and it probably is devoid of high commercial prospects.

JANUARY 2: Migration (2023)- 3D JANUARY 2: The Teacher's Lounge (2023) JANUARY 4: Good Grief (2023) JANUARY 4: Night Swim JANUARY 11: Totem (2023) JANUARY 11: The Beekeeper JANUARY 11: Mean Girls JANUARY 12: The Book of Clarence JANUARY 18: Founders Day JANUARY 19: One From the Heart reissue JANUARY 19: ISS JANUARY 30: Sometimes I Think About Dying JANUARY 31: Miller's Girl FEBRUARY 1: Argylle FEBRUARY 2: Suncoast FEBRUARY 6: She is Conann FEBRUARY 8: Lisa Frankenstein FEBRUARY 14: Madame Web (IMAX) FEBRUARY 14: Bob Marley: One Love (DOLBY) FEBRUARY 22: Spaceman FEBRUARY 23: Tenet reissue (IMAX 70mm) FEBRUARY 26: Drugstore June FEBRUARY 29: Dune- Part Two (DOLBY) FEBRUARY 29: Problemista MARCH 7: Love Lies Bleeding MARCH 13: Imaginary MARCH 21: Ghostbusters: Frozen Empire (IMAX) MARCH 21: Late Night With the Devil MARCH 21: Immaculate MARCH 28: Godzilla X Kong: The New Empire MARCH 30: Asphalt City APRIL 2: Wicked Little Letters APRIL 5: The Beast APRIL 5: The First Omen APRIL 6: Monkey Man APRIL 6: The People's Joker APRIL 12: Civil War (DOLBY) APRIL 16: Chicken For Linda APRIL 16: Sasquatch Sunset APRIL 18: Abigail (DOLBY) APRIL 19: Stress Positions APRIL 20: The Ministry of Ungentlemanly Warfare (AMC PRIME) APRIL 22: We Grown Now APRIL 23: Housekeeping For Beginners APRIL 26: Challengers (IMAX) APRIL 26: The Feeling That the Time For Doing Something Has Passed APRIL 30: I Saw the TV Glow (screening) MAY 2: The Fall Guy MAY 7: Evil Does Not Exist MAY 7: Tarot MAY 8: Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes (DOLBY) MAY 14: Poolman MAY 16: If (DOLBY) MAY 16: Babes MAY 22: The Strangers: Chapter One MAY 23: Furiosa (DOLBY) MAY 24: Back to Black MAY 29: In a Violent Nature MAY 31: Young Woman and the Sea MAY 31: TEST SCREENING JUNE 3: Handling the Undead JUNE 5: The Dead Don't Hurt JUNE 5: Bad Boys: Ride or Die (DOLBY) JUNE 6: The Watchers JUNE 7: I Used To Be Funny JUNE 12: Ezra JUNE 13: Tuesday JUNE 13: Inside Out 2 (DOLBY) JUNE 19: Ghostlight JUNE 19: Kinds of Kindness (DOLBY) JUNE 20: The Bikeriders JUNE 21: Humanist Vampire Seeking Consenting Suicidal Person JUNE 22: Thelma JUNE 26: Janet Planet (x2) JUNE 27: Horizon: Chapter 1 JUNE 27: Daddio TOTAL: 76

Amy Adams, Nightbitch Karla Sofia Gascon, Emilia Perez Angelina Jolie, Maria Mikey Madison, Anora Saoirse Ronan, Blitz ALT: Pamela Anderson, The Last Showgirl (Globe nom/narrative/comeback, etc) Lady Gaga, Joker 2 (Globe/SAG noms seem likely) Marianne Jean-Bapiste, Hard Truths Demi Moore, The Substance (welcome back Globe nom/too edgy a film) Tessa Thompson, Hedda

Austin Butler, Dune 2 Kieran Culkin, A Real Pain Samuel L. Jackson, The Piano Lesson John Lithgow, Conclave Denzel Washington, Gladiator 2 ALT: Drew Starkey, Queer Jeremy Strong, The Apprentice Yuri Borisov, Anora Someone from Blitz Someone from Sing Sing (Clarence Maclin?) Half of these are placeholders since the category will consist mainly of coattails

JANUARY 2: Migration (2023)- 3D JANUARY 2: The Teacher's Lounge (2023) JANUARY 4: Good Grief (2023) JANUARY 4: Night Swim JANUARY 11: Totem (2023) JANUARY 11: The Beekeeper JANUARY 11: Mean Girls JANUARY 12: The Book of Clarence JANUARY 18: Founders Day JANUARY 19: One From the Heart reissue JANUARY 19: ISS JANUARY 30: Sometimes I Think About Dying JANUARY 31: Miller's Girl FEBRUARY 1: Argylle FEBRUARY 2: Suncoast FEBRUARY 6: She is Conann FEBRUARY 8: Lisa Frankenstein FEBRUARY 14: Madame Web (IMAX) FEBRUARY 14: Bob Marley: One Love (DOLBY) FEBRUARY 22: Spaceman FEBRUARY 23: Tenet reissue (IMAX 70mm) FEBRUARY 26: Drugstore June FEBRUARY 29: Dune- Part Two (DOLBY) FEBRUARY 29: Problemista MARCH 7: Love Lies Bleeding MARCH 13: Imaginary MARCH 21: Ghostbusters: Frozen Empire (IMAX) MARCH 21: Late Night With the Devil MARCH 21: Immaculate MARCH 28: Godzilla X Kong: The New Empire MARCH 30: Asphalt City APRIL 2: Wicked Little Letters APRIL 5: The Beast APRIL 5: The First Omen APRIL 6: Monkey Man APRIL 6: The People's Joker APRIL 12: Civil War (DOLBY) APRIL 16: Chicken For Linda APRIL 16: Sasquatch Sunset APRIL 18: Abigail (DOLBY) APRIL 19: Stress Positions APRIL 20: The Ministry of Ungentlemanly Warfare (AMC PRIME) APRIL 22: We Grown Now APRIL 23: Housekeeping For Beginners APRIL 26: Challengers (IMAX) APRIL 26: The Feeling That the Time For Doing Something Has Passed APRIL 30: I Saw the TV Glow (screening) MAY 2: The Fall Guy MAY 7: Evil Does Not Exist MAY 7: Tarot MAY 8: Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes (DOLBY) MAY 14: Poolman MAY 16: If (DOLBY) MAY 16: Babes MAY 22: The Strangers: Chapter One MAY 23: Furiosa (DOLBY) MAY 24: Back to Black MAY 29: In a Violent Nature MAY 31: Young Woman and the Sea JUNE 3: Handling the Undead JUNE 5: The Dead Don't Hurt JUNE 5: Bad Boys: Ride or Die (DOLBY) JUNE 6: The Watchers JUNE 7: I Used To Be Funny JUNE 12: Ezra JUNE 13: Tuesday JUNE 13: Inside Out 2 (DOLBY) TOTAL: 68

the betting grind doesn't stop Super Bowl is in Feb, but that cant stop you from predicting who gonna win during training camp

Austin Butler could get in Supporting. But for the record, no I don't think it'll win. But I have it #1 just because it's the likeliest for a nom Gun to my head, I'd say Anora wins

Post Cannes predictions: 1. Dune 2 (WB) 2. Anora (NEON) 3. Blitz (APPLE) 4. Conclave (FOCUS) 5. A Real Pain (SEARCHLIGHT) 6. Sing Sing (A24) 7. The Nickel Boys (AMAZON/MGM) 8. The Piano Lesson (NETFLIX) 9. Gladiator 2 (PARAMOUNT)- can Ridley strike gold once again? 10. Queer (TBD) ALTERNATES: Hard Truths (BLEECKER)- mediocre distributor/can Mike Leigh strike gold once again? Here (SONY)- can Robert Zemeckis strike gold once again? Joker 2 (WB)- can Todd Phillips strike lightning once again? Juror No. 2 (WB)- can Clint strike gold once again? UNLIKELY: -Challengers (AMAZON/MGM)- the box office didn't take off, will need to remain in conversation with critics/industry but might lack the passion, Luca has a more prestige picture releasing in the fall

JANUARY 2: Migration (2023)- 3D JANUARY 2: The Teacher's Lounge (2023) JANUARY 4: Good Grief (2023) JANUARY 4: Night Swim JANUARY 11: Totem (2023) JANUARY 11: The Beekeeper JANUARY 11: Mean Girls JANUARY 12: The Book of Clarence JANUARY 18: Founders Day JANUARY 19: One From the Heart reissue JANUARY 19: ISS JANUARY 30: Sometimes I Think About Dying JANUARY 31: Miller's Girl FEBRUARY 1: Argylle FEBRUARY 2: Suncoast FEBRUARY 6: She is Conann FEBRUARY 8: Lisa Frankenstein FEBRUARY 14: Madame Web (IMAX) FEBRUARY 14: Bob Marley: One Love (DOLBY) FEBRUARY 22: Spaceman FEBRUARY 23: Tenet reissue (IMAX 70mm) FEBRUARY 26: Drugstore June FEBRUARY 29: Dune- Part Two (DOLBY) FEBRUARY 29: Problemista MARCH 7: Love Lies Bleeding MARCH 13: Imaginary MARCH 21: Ghostbusters: Frozen Empire (IMAX) MARCH 21: Late Night With the Devil MARCH 21: Immaculate MARCH 28: Godzilla X Kong: The New Empire MARCH 30: Asphalt City APRIL 2: Wicked Little Letters APRIL 5: The Beast APRIL 5: The First Omen APRIL 6: Monkey Man APRIL 6: The People's Joker APRIL 12: Civil War (DOLBY) APRIL 16: Chicken For Linda APRIL 16: Sasquatch Sunset APRIL 18: Abigail (DOLBY) APRIL 19: Stress Positions APRIL 20: The Ministry of Ungentlemanly Warfare (AMC PRIME) APRIL 22: We Grown Now APRIL 23: Housekeeping For Beginners APRIL 26: Challengers (IMAX) APRIL 26: The Feeling That the Time For Doing Something Has Passed APRIL 30: I Saw the TV Glow (screening) MAY 2: The Fall Guy MAY 7: Evil Does Not Exist MAY 7: Tarot MAY 8: Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes (DOLBY) MAY 14: Poolman MAY 16: If (DOLBY) MAY 16: Babes MAY 22: The Strangers: Chapter One MAY 23: Furiosa (DOLBY) MAY 24: Back to Black TOTAL: 57