eman92

Awesome news all around and I'm really surprised to see this is coming out September 2024, I thought at the earliest we'd see a sequel was 2025. My guess is LIonsgate is fast tracking this because they have a very light 2024 schedule because of the writers/actors strike. Saw XI can benefit if all is done right. Saw X writers aren't back for this movie, which is a little surprising considering they wrote one of the better Saw movies as of lately, but they also were responsible for Jigsaw and Spiral. My guess is that Lionsgate was accepting scrips from all writers and went with what they thought the best script was. Similar approach to what they did with Saw IV and Jigsaw. Reddit was theorizing maybe a writers credit would be going the way of the director Kevin Greutert. My guess is that's not the case and we've got a script from some sort of horror writers.

Awesome news all around! Really happy it was able to hit 100M. It still needs to release in a few more big markets like Germany/Austria/Japan/South Korea so I'm thinking it can do 10M more at least. Should hopefully close somewhere around $110-115M WW. I think lionsgate has to be extremely happy with how this performed, especially being able to hit $50M+ domestically. I will say that Jigsaw's numbers were by no means bad, but it did underperform domestically which did make them shift into making Spiral instead of a Jigsaw sequel (Which will likely never happen). I think Lionsgate must be very happy with Saw X since this hit $50M+ domestically after Jigsaw and Spiral both did like 38M and 26M respectively domestically. This is the highest earning Saw film domestically since Saw V, which Saw X will end up being only like 3M away from that gross. I am expecting for sure SAW XI to be announced soon, sounds like they probably are trying to line up what the exact plan is first before announcing. So they're probably trying to get back Kevin Greutert and Tobin before saying anything.

Saw X officially crossing that 50M domestic milestone! I honestly thought this movie was going to do 42M domestically at best. The fact that this movie will be potentially the leggiest Saw movie besides just the original Saw is crazy. I think this will end around 53M domestically which is great. Next stop is 100M WW which apparently Saw X is at 92M at the moment. I'm hoping Saw X can land around 110-115M WW.

Saw X is outselling the Exorcist in basically all the theaters in my area. And in most of the theaters by me, Saw X is being given more showtimes than Exorcist (Only 1 more typically). I think we'll see another small drop for Saw X this weekend, but I think Exorcist is in too many more theaters than Saw X for Saw to do better overall this weekend than Exorcist.

Almost all of Deadline's numbers seem very odd. They have KOFTM only doing 22M which seems low. Then on top of that they have A Nightmare before Christmas doing 4.3M which sounds crazy. Hocus Pocus only did 1.6M, and almost every other box office site is showing 1.4-1.6M for the whole weekend for Nightmare. The Exorcist number also makes no sense, especially since it really didn't lose many theaters. But to say Exorcist is gonna drop from 11M to 4M in its 3rd week doesn't make any sense.

Saw marketing is still hitting it out of the park

Really happy for the overall drops this movie has seen the last two weeks. I'm honestly a little shocked by its legs, because even though it got good reviews, I thought for sure Taylor Swift was gonna crush Saw X. TET actually forced so many movies to move their release dates, and therefore left Saw X and Exorcist as the main adult movies to see as counter programing to Taylor Swift. If somehow Saw X can keep in a good amount of theaters come Halloween time then I think it can do 50M domestically, but it'll all come down to how many theaters it can hold onto. Only major release next week is KOTFM, I'm hoping that in general what theaters do is just take the screens away from Taylor and split them between Taylor and KOTFM. But then for Halloween weekend I am worried with Freddy tracking so crazy, that Saw X will lose a lot of theaters that weekend, but it is Halloween so maybe theaters will be more inclined to keep Saw X on the roster??? Would be crazy if this movie legged out over 50M+ domestically.

Damn 28M Saturday. What would that mean for Sunday? I can't imagine Sunday would have had strong pre-sales. Are we looking at mid 80's? 38M Friday (Including previews) 28M Saturday 18M Sunday? = 86M OW. I'm completely pulling that Sunday number out of my ass, so I have no clue how accurate it is.

Damn low 90's would be a little bit disappointing (Just in terms of how crazy pre-sales were in the beginning). This movie is still gonna be a huge success but I'm really shocked it didn't do 125-150M. Still a huge success all around for theaters since October was pretty dead. In the end I actually think the Taylor Swift release will end up helping most of the films out currently, since they serve as counter-programming. We're seeing really great solid small drops all around with existing films that are out. And weekday numbers should be stronger than usual I'd assume since the movie won't be playing Mon-Wed. Which means a ton of screens will be given back to Exorcist, Creator, Saw X and Paw Patrol. Overall this is a win win for pretty much every film out right now. I'm really curious what the 2nd weekend for Taylor Swift is gonna look like. Does it crash and burn? Or are there a good amount of pre-sales for the 2nd weekend that things will not be that bad.

I think it'll all depend on how many theaters Saw X can hold onto going into Halloween weekend. That's basically its last chance to make any sort of money. But the competition with FNAF will make it hard to hold onto any screens basically, unless theaters see an opportunity for it to do well that weekend. I think realistically it'll probably end around 48M dom unless it continues to have great legs

At my theater, which is a hugeeee theater, only Taylor Swift, Exorcist and Saw X have any type of showtimes after 7 PM. I think the lack of new movies will push people to see Exorcist and Saw X this weekend, more than usual. The average moviegoer isn't going to see Taylor Swift, so they are almost tied into seeing either Creator, Saw X or Exorcist if they want to see any type of movie this weekend. I just checked the 8 PM showing for Saw X like 20 minutes ago, and it's legit the most crowded I've ever seen a showtime for Saw X. Only like 1-2 random seats left in each row, and even seats being sold in the first half of the theater near the screen. Not completely sold out the bottom half, but the first row is essentially all taken. It does only have 1 good showtime though, but still this has to be a good sign. If Saw X had been given more screens I think it could have done better as counterprograming this week. I think theaters overplayed the demand of Taylor Swift and gave it so many new screens that aren't selling much. But yeah its tough to say with 100%%% certain if the lack of showtimes in general though could hurt Saw X, but the showtimes it does have should do well this weekend. It is also Friday the 13th so maybe that is gonna give Saw X and Exorcist more of a bump than they typically would have gotten

I don't see Exorcist having a huge disastrous drop like many are saying, I think it'll have the typical 60-68% drop that horror films typically have. I think maybe Halloween's drops were really more related to Peacock then to the actual quality of the film. I guess we'll see but Exorcists numbers haven't been bad at all this whole week

The deadline article about Taylor Swift's Thursday numbers also gave the other top 5 films Thursday grosses "The last minute showtimes for Eras Tour didn’t take too much air out of the sleepy autumn box office with Universal/Blumhouse/Morgan Creek’s The Exorcist: Believer earning an estimated $1.3M yesterday at 3,663 theaters, -9% from Wednesday for a first week of $33.9M. Lionsgate’s Saw X at 3,262 theaters did $729K yesterday, +1% from Wednesday, and $11.3M in week 2 and $35.7M running cume. Paramount and Spin Master’s second week of Paw Patrol: The Might Movie earned $15.8M after a second Thursday of $620K, +2%, at 4,027 theaters. The animated pic’s running total is $42.8M. New Regency/20th Century Studios/Disney’s The Creator at 3,680 theaters grossed $571K on Thursday, even with Wednesday, with a second week of $9.3M and a running total of $28M. Fathom Events’ The Blind saw $271K at 1,312 theaters, and a second week of $4.5M and a running total of $11.9M." Saw X holding VERY well, and it only lost around 200ish theaters this weekend. I'm curious to see how it does this weekend. Maybe with Friday the 13th and very little competition besides Taylor Swift, the film can have a good drop of like 40%? I'm gonna estimate 4.3-4.7M weekend which would be great for Saw. Would officially put it over Jigsaw and extremely close to 40M Domestically. I'd think if it does at least 4M+ this weekend it has a very strong chance of hitting 45M domestically in its total end run. I do think 50M is out of the question, but I'm really happy to see it having strong legs so far.

The Swifties on reddit are pissedddd. And rightfully so. Could you imagine that the people who aren't die hards who didn't get tickets ahead of time, now have the opportunity to see the movie earlier, in less crowded theaters and can get the merch early and guaranteed.

My theater has already removed all dolby and IMAX times on Thursday after 2 PM from Exorcist and Creator. That alone will add 6-8 showings, I'm curious how many regular showings they'll add. I think AMC knew about this earlier in the week because the Thursday showings already looked light before they did this. I still don't really understand the move, the no refunds basically means that anyone who sees it tomorrow will have to buy a 2nd ticket.