Caylu

is there any long weekend coming?

I see NWH Friday numbers are upped by 10k from 1.065 to 1.075 and now Sunday numbers have jumped from 1.28 to 1.39, so any update in Saturday numbers also? May be as somebody said, it might do 4.6 Million this weekend. More than impressive.

What about other movies e.g. Uncharted? Any early estimates for them?

is it not a bit bigger drop. Can it reach 130M ?

i think drops are only going to get bigger. !!!

thats quite optimistic. NWH has Saturday jumps of 80% also and Sundays falls of 47% too. Anyway its a hard job to predict. It will be mighty impressive if it does above 4.5 Million this weekend. So lets wait for 24 more hours.

Normall saturday number are around 2x the friday numbers. Sometime a bit more and sometime a bit less. and sunday numbers are 50-60% of Saturday number. So it will be like 1+2+1 or at most 1+2+1.2 = 4.0 to 4.2 M. 4.6 looks quite a bit out of reach.

if it reaches 787M by Sunday, this means it will have 5 Million this weekend. But i think it will only do 4M this weekend. and next weekend it will have 3.3M and after that 2.5M Weekend. which will take it to 794.4 M. So i think it will need a bit of push from Sony to cross over 800 M

They are predicting 137m

Daily Domestic Chart for Thursday March 3, 2022 Movie Title Gross %YD %LW Theaters Per Theater Total Gross Days In Release - P The Batman $21,600,000 $21,600,000 - (1) Uncharted $1,075,000 -21% -53% 4,275 $251 $89,269,293 14 - (3) Spider-Man: No Way Home $470,000 -9% -20% 3,002 $157 $782,093,905 77 The Batman with the preview of 21.6 M Captain marvel with previews of 20.7m had opening day of ~62M and weekend at 153M Lion King with previews of 23m had opening day of ~78M and weekend at 191M Suicide Squad with previews of 20.5m had opening day of ~65M and weekend at 133M Hunger Games with previews of 19.4m had opening day of ~67M and weekend at 152M The Avengers with previews of 18.7m had opening day of ~81M and weekend at 207M

Daily Domestic Chart for Thursday March 3, 2022 Movie Title Gross %YD %LW Theaters Per Theater Total Gross Days In Release - P The Batman $21,600,000 $21,600,000 - (1) Uncharted $1,075,000 -21% -53% 4,275 $251 $89,269,293 14 - (3) Spider-Man: No Way Home $470,000 -9% -20% 3,002 $157 $782,093,905 77 The Batman with the preview of 21.6 M Captain marvel with previews of 20.7m had opening day of ~62M and weekend at 153M Lion King with previews of 23m had opening day of ~78M and weekend at 191M Suicide Squad with previews of 20.5m had opening day of ~65M and weekend at 133M Hunger Games with previews of 19.4m had opening day of ~67M and weekend at 152M The Avengers with previews of 18.7m had opening day of ~81M and weekend at 207M

Spiderman lost not much theaters to Batman. Only 293 less theaters. So it can have a weekend of 4 - 4.5 million pretty easily https://www.the-numbers.com/news/251420830-Theater-counts-The-defender-of-Gotham-is-back-with-a-colossal-opening-count-for-The-Batman

Definitely your statement has lot of merit and i also think chances are low, but i will not rule it out just yet because it has so far done more than estimates. So there is a small possibility of it hitting the 800 million mark.

Movie Title Gross %YD %LW Theaters Per Theater Total Gross Days In Release 1 (1) Uncharted $2,220,497 +50% -47% 4,275 $519 $86,838,933 12 2 (2) Dog $1,090,758 +57% -27% 3,827 $285 $32,713,996 12 3 (3) Spider-Man: No Way Home $688,856 +43% -14% 3,002 $229 $781,107,715 75 - (5) jackass forever $333,647 +20% -37% 2,913 $115 $52,651,978 26 - (7) Marry Me $250,350 +76% -38% 3,110 $80 $20,644,225 19 Dog performing pretty impressive.

Yes i dig a little more and i found that definitely its not a very reliable multiplier especially if the number of theaters sees a high percentage of drop or increase. I m not sure which films will be losing screens to Batman, but if NWH loose more than 500 theater then definitely weekend numbers will be quite a bit low. I saw in one case where multiplier from Monday was less than 4 and the film lost more than half of the theaters. and in other case the film multiplier was more than 20 after expanding 3 to 4 times the Monday theater count.

Thank you for the details. Btw i just looked at last normal Monday of NWH and it was 722,957 on 7th Feb. If other 2 Mondays had been normal Mondays (14th Feb and 21st Feb) to reach 480k NWH should have dropped 13% to 628973 and 13% on 21st Feb to 547,206 and then 12.2% to 480,447, so this looks good from 73% drop its showing from last weekend. Are there any Monday to weekend multiplier? From 7th Feb (Monday) numbers of 722,957 and it went on to make 7,521,730 on the weekend, which is like 10x of the monday numbers. So can we assume there will be 10x numbers in coming weekend also for NWH, somewhere around 4.5 to 5 million?

What does this means? and how it is calculated. I am sorry for may be asking a very basic or silly question.

Look like Dog will end with 65+ million .

FULL OD - 70M SATURDAY- 50M SUNDAY. - 40M OW. - 160M

Next week again Ghostbuster:Afterlife might be better because Uncharted will have Batman to face. So look like in the end Uncharted will have less than GB:A total.

good jump for uncharted and Dog. Lowest jump for NWH from Thursday to Friday in last 6 weeks.

When we get early estimates from deadline?

The-Numbers is predicting 14.7 for Uncharted and 3.84 for NWH which will only take it to 778 million by Sunday. https://www.the-numbers.com/news/251390830-Weekend-predictions-Uncharted-unchallenged-on-slow-weekend what are other predicting?

What could be the possible comparison for NWH then? Black Panther also added only 24 million from 9th Week and 17 million from 10th Week and NWH needs 38 from 9th Week and will need 26 million after 10th Week. That does not look easily doable especially after soon to be released Batman. !