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Bigscrubnus

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Posts posted by Bigscrubnus

  1. 2 minutes ago, Shawn said:

    Roughly $155-160M worst case as of today. This has never been a giant pre-sales franchise and the ticket price inflation since 2018 should at least get it higher than FK even if admissions were to drop. Final marketing push this week will be hugely important though to get it toward the upper end of tracking.

    What do you think the ceiling is? If you’re saving that for the Wednesday forecast I don’t mind lol.

    • Like 2
  2. 19 minutes ago, Shawn said:

    Agreed. I haven't checked any data since Thursday but I'd be shocked if models don't come down on JWD. It'll still be big, of course. But the thunder has been stolen.

     

    Real pickle now is for Paramount trying to get IMAX screens back as much as possible throughout the summer. It's a shame TGM will lose so much premium footprint four days after an historic second weekend hold.

    My threshold for disappointment is below 160 OW. Do you still think that’s in the cards?

  3. Just now, Alex SciChannel said:

    The subreddit is made up of a bunch of doltish fucks. When news came out that Dominion was tracking ahead of No Time to Die in China and everyone there was comparing how that's no where close to the previous two installments mocking it while ignoring that China just reopened and is slowly recovering from a pandemic.

    My favorite comment from that China thread was the one that said “there’s zero hype or advertising for this movie” which is just, bruh. Have they went outside recently, there’s advertising EVERYWHERE. And they seem to forget Shaun bases a lot of his projections on online hype and he’s predicting a much higher OW than they are.

  4. 11 minutes ago, Alex SciChannel said:

    Reddit is not a good gauge for the performance of a film because they're just normies all live in America and don't know how the international box office works. While also being in their little reddit bubble praying that this film does badly because reddit hates the JW movies. The Italy thread here only has two posts but they seem to be positive and predict a final result anywhere between the first and second film.

    Doesn't make it less frustrating to watch them circlejerk about how this movie is “failing”

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