HummingLemon

A $20M to $27M OW would be more than expectations but still pretty bad compared to the budget. Even 3x legs and a 33/67 split would give that a final worldwide range of $182M to $246M. And yes I do consider 3x to be the upper ceiling.

Something would have to go really wrong for this to not do at least 2x

Being generous on both fronts (3x legs, 33/67 split) would give this a $227M to $273M worldwide total. So STILL a flop

Aside from Man of Steel, Wonder Woman, Shazam, Aquaman, and The Suicide Squad, Blue Beetle is definitely the best non-Batman DC film since The Dark Knight. /s

This is looking like a $20-25M opening weekend. Don't see how it breaks even off an opening so low.

@TheFlatLannister What's Blue Beetle's current pace against The Flash? (T-4)?

Given the current tracking, I say there's very small chance of that happening. The only hope right now is that reviews cause a MASSIVE increase or it gets insane walk-ups from Latino audiences.

Tracking for Blue Beetle is pretty bad right now. A score in the 60s would prevent it from crashing but it's not good enough to give it a massive increase. Right now I'm going with $3.5M previews for a $25M opening weekend.

$3.64M previews would mean a $21.84-$25.48M opening and 3x legs would mean a $65.52-$76.44M total. On a $120M budget this movie is screwed.

Blue Beetle seems kind of screwed. Its only hope for the Ow is positive reviews/walk-ups from Latino audiences.

@El Gato If it makes you feel better, Doctor Strange 2 (America Chavez) and Black Panther 2 (Namor) both did $850M+ So at least there's some Latin American superhero representation.

If this movie is really "so good" why not just lift the review embargo early? Somebody on the main sub basically said that WB is paranoid about releasing the embargo early after The Flash disaster

@TheFlatLannister Hello u/KingJonsnowIV. It's me, u/HummingLemon496 from Reddit. I just have a couple questions about Blue Beetle 1. Do you think sales can pick up when the review embargo drops (assuming reviews are positive, like 80%+ RT)? 2. Do you think this movie will have major walkups from Latino audiences because Latino audiences are more walk up friendly? Kind of like how Black Adan had a lot of walkups because of the Rock 3. What internal multiplier do you think Blue Beetle will have (weekend/Thursday previews) if it gets positive reception? The XXR guy said 6-7x but I'm wondering what you think? 4. If this does get positive reception like the first Shazam film (and let's say it has a $30M OW) do you think it'll leg out like a normal superhero film (2.5-3.0x) or a film like Elemental (4.0-5.0x)?

$400M+ domestic

What IM to do guys think Blue Beetle will have (opening weekend divided by Thursday previews)?

@TheFlatLannister what do you mean by "Blue Beetle pace vs The Flash"?

What do you think the IM for Blue Beetle will be if it has good reception?