BOfficeStats
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Posts posted by BOfficeStats
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2 hours ago, Bob Train said:
If you look at the most successful sequels post-COVID, except for NWH they are all at least 4-5 years after their predecessors.
You don't even have to look at the most successful sequels post-COVID. Only 5 out of the 22 sequels that passed $400M WW since March 2020 had less than a 4 year gap and only 2 of them (John Wick Chapter 4 and Fast X) came out after April 2022. John Wick Chapter 4 had a 46 month gap so it was basically a 4 year gap.
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13 hours ago, Issac Newton said:
M/F Ratio - 27 : 73
Age Range - 30s~60s
Average Occupancy - 61.5%
Customer Satisfactory Rate - 96.3% (Recommendation Rate - 96.6%)
Where is this data from?
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5 hours ago, Flip said:
aquaman is somehow going to be outsold by the marvels, would need a WOM miracle to pass 1m admits
How do their presales compare?
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On 12/12/2023 at 5:23 PM, SpiderByte said:
Amazon lands streaming!
Amazon Prime Video only allows you to rent it, like all the other platforms.
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On 12/2/2023 at 2:35 PM, Jake4 said:
True. What is your final prediction?
Late response but I'm going with $22M OW.
For my total prediction, I think it will end at $40M. Compared to The Eras Tour, the older audience and December season will boost legs but the low admissions for opening weekend (likely ~1 million) combined with higher competition for screens will largely cancel that out.
I wouldn't be surprised if Renaissance falls out of the top 5 by its 3rd weekend then basically ends its run by Christmas day.
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8 hours ago, Issac Newton said:
$116.3M OS / $80.7M DOM / $197M WW
From @Disney - With "The Marvels" box office now winding down, we will stop weekend reporting of International/Global grosses on this title.
When is the earliest that another Hollywood blockbuster stopped reported weekend INT/WW grosses?
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4 hours ago, Jake4 said:
Its funny how this thread was looking like doom and gloom that bey would do 15m or less OW.
The earlier weak tracker numbers were alarming but we should have accounted for them underindexing. The Thursday tracker comps increased by the final day (compared to the previous days and weeks) but Renaissance still outperformed them by 12% ($5.06M vs $4.52M).
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Key takeaways:
- ~$5M Thursday previews
- Could have the best opening weekend for a movie during the first weekend of December (The Last Samurai with $24.2M in 2003).
- 100% All/Top Critics (17 All reviews, 12 Top reviews) AND Verified Audience score on Rotten Tomatoes (100+ VA reviews)
- Early Posttrak Thursday score (5 stars, 99% positive, and 90% definite recommend).
- 70% female
- 51% Black, 20% Caucasian, 20% Latino and Hispanic and 6% Asian.
- The biggest demo were those 25-34 which repped 45% of the audience. Over 25 showed up at 53%
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2 hours ago, MG10 said:
Godzilla Minus One is in theaters just for one week, but it's also impossible to find 🥲
Not a single theater in the radius of 50km, and after seeing the incredible reviews it's a real pity
Godzilla (2014) made €5.09M but Minus One will barely make anything. It's sad to see.
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My original OW prediction was 20%-25% of The Eras Tour OW but it might not even come close to 20% ($18.6M) if this is very frontloaded and walkups are terrible like they were for The Eras Tour.
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Final Thursday preview tracking predictions/comps for Renaissance:
Average Prediction: $4.29M
- abracadabra1998 ($3.7M-$4.3M)
- keysersoze123 ($4.3M-$4.5M)
- Porthos ($3.5M-$4.5M)
- TheFlatLannister ($4.5M-$5.0M)
Average Comp: $4.52M
- abracadabra1998 ($3.73M)
- jeffthehat ($5.5M)
- Porthos ($3.7M)
- TheFlatLannister ($5.14M)
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2 hours ago, Bob Train said:
The Abyss has racked up pretty impressive sales at some theaters near me
How do they compare to Titanic's 2023 re-release?
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5 hours ago, Issac Newton said:
Austria
- Napoleon - €391K (i.p. €445K)
- The Hunger Games: The Ballad of Songbirds &Snakes - €221K / €848K
Where do you get your Austria data from?
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52 minutes ago, Eric Bonaparte said:
Well...shit. If Napoleon really does land and Color Purple succeeds, stuff like Holdovers and Poor Things do solid for platform releases...maybe people are finally moving away from NTCs after all.
NTCs?
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Taylor Swift: The Eras Tour broke into the Domestic 2023 Top Ten (in-year releases) on its 37th day (November 18th) with $174.6M, kicking out Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny ($174.5M).
It might have made a lot less than some people predicted but it is still a huge financial success and one of the most surprising box office successes of the year!
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I'm still sticking with my $18.6M-$23.2M prediction because it seems to have almost 0 appeal to General Audiences but it will still make some money.
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On 11/18/2023 at 2:02 AM, Dreamss said:
No updates on how it will perform opening weekend? Where is everyone?
Renaissance Thursday preview comps/predictions as of November 21st:
- abracadabra1998 ($2.87M)
- Hilts ($1.99M)
- keysersoze123 ("thinking 5m previews and high 20s OW. ")
- Porthos ($2.49M)
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6 hours ago, ThatWaluigiDude said:
Napoleon started its pre-sales two days ago. In my city, it have sold more than 8x of what The Marvels sold during the same period.
And THIS is a clickbait lol. This is really not that big of a deal for Napoleon, it sold 17 tickets, is just that Marvels sold barely anything at first. Just curious to see if people will see just the first part and not this second part lol
You almost got me
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1 hour ago, M37 said:
One final note, that I suppose you could classify under "buzz": after watching a TV spot for Wonka, my teenage daughter goes:
"That's not Willy Wonka"
"Why? Its just a prequel"
"Cause he's hot.🥵 Wonka is not supposed to be hot, so that can't be him"
Adjust your forecasts accordingly
Looks like Momoa has some direct competition this Christmas.
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4 hours ago, dudalb said:
I got a feeling that in a couple of years, only Chinese movies will be shown in the Chinese Theater Chains. Think Russia in the COld War Years.
Many of the most successful films in the Soviet Union during the Cold War were from other countries, some were even from the USA.
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The MCU's current marriage of factory production + slow overall narrative momentum + risky bets has been a financial disaster. If Captain America: Brave New World, with big crossovers, was coming out this weekend with rave reviews then it would be boosting the MCU's momentum but The Marvels is just adding more fuel to the fire.
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18 minutes ago, BadOlCatSylvester said:
Mark my words: She'll be Kang's first kill in the cold open of Kang Dynasty. Marvel gets to dispose of some baggage, Brie no longer has to deal with any more rabid fandoms and Kang regains credibility in the eyes of fans as he kills a near-godlike being. Everyone wins.
I think Disney might be wary of Rise-Of-Skywalkering the next Avengers film. That seems way too on the nose.
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8 hours ago, icebearraven said:
Forgot to post there before lol but
October 14 (Saturday):
Taylor Swift: The Eras Tour - ₱37M
How does that compare to other films?
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43 minutes ago, MovieMan89 said:
Eras really gonna be the 2nd biggest q4 grosser DOM huh
Also locked DOM to be the 2nd biggest PG-13 film of 2023 with a 30+ year old blonde woman in the lead role.
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Mexico Box Office | Inside Out 2 opens to mind-blowing $30.2M, 2nd highest 4-day lc OW ever!
in International Box Office
Posted
Are those the weekly numbers (December 13-19)?