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bapi

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Posts posted by bapi

  1. 3 minutes ago, Lordmandeep said:

    2nd weekend drop will be big but film will do okay on saturday  (23 to 25 saturday likely)...

     

    So should do 55+ but that is still 65%+ drop.

    Yeah, I guess 55-58M is realistic. And honestly before BvS Snyder directed six movies - four of them had 2nd weekend drop over 60%.

    • Like 2
  2. 6 minutes ago, efialtes76 said:

    With good reviews JL can make(much) more than BvS.

    Well, JL's gonna be directed by the guy who made MoS and BvS so I hope you don't expect 80+% on RT. Plus it's clear a lot of GA and fans don't like BvS so why they should return for JL (when BvS is already JL 0.9)?

  3. 30 minutes ago, langer said:

    The-Numbers has been catching up on their charts lately, releasing 2 charts per week and are now about 4 weeks behind which is still behind what they used to do in the past (2 weeks).

     

    Movies from September and October (Maze Runner, Martian, SOC, HT2) are popping up on the charts with tepid HV sales that will end up between 20M$ and 40M$ each once all is said and done.

     

    The next few weeks should see bigger movies being released on HV:

    The Peanuts Movie - 40M$ potential

    Spectre - 50M$ potential (could be as low as 40M$ - definitely won't reach QoS's current 61M$)

    Hunger Games MJ2 - 50M$-60M$ potential (could be as low as 40M$)

    The Good Dinosaur - 50M$ potential (should recoup its bad DOM BO on HV...hopefully)

    Alvin 4 - 35M$ potential

    Star Wars - 150M$-200M$ potential (tricky prediction - this should definitely be better than JW's 125M$, but how high can it go?)

     

    Fun trivia, in the last 5 years, only 3 blockbusters sequels were able to outgross their previous entries on HV.

    Fast and Furious 6 (131M$) over Fast 5 (70M$)

    Skyfall (100M$) over Quantum of Solace (61M$)

    Sherlock Holmes 2 (87M$) over Sherlock Homes (86M$)

     

    Exceptions

    Men of Steel (106M$) outgrossed Superman Returns (86M$) but this was a reboot

    X-Men Days of Future Past (73M$ over X-Men First Class (67M$) ------ although it didn't outgross X-Men The Last Stand (146M$)

    Rio 2 finished with 52M and Mr. Peabody & Shermanwith 29M. And that was two years ago. So personally don't think The Good Dinosaur will make more than 20-25M. Also would say that Spectre will finish under 40M.

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