[BSG KITIK WINS!!]

if Bo.com's weekend projections hold we'll have two preseason questions' answers.

 

Question 13:

Will any of the top 7 grossing sequels domestically this summer have a second weekend drop of less than 44.5%?
YES - MU does.

 

17)

A) Will any film listed as a horror OR thriller film by boxofficemojo.com gross more than 150 million dollars this summer? YES - WWZ will likely hit +180 mln
B ) Will any film listed as a horror OR thriller film by boxofficemojo.com open to more than 40 mill? YES - WWZ did
C) Will any film listed as a horror OR thriller film by boxofficemojo.com have a second weekend drop of less than 47%? YES - NYSM did
D) Will any film listed as a horror OR thriller film by boxofficemojo.com have an opening day of more than 18 mill? YES - WWZ did

[Wknd Est: MU - 46.1M; The Heat - 40M; WWZ - 29.8M; WHD - 25.7M; MoS - 20.8M; (pg 104)]

If WHD disappoints there are good news for TLR and PR

[Thursday Numbers MU 9.49M WWZ 5.63M MOS 3.92M NYSM Still above 1M (Actuals Pg. 6)]

Predictable numbers:

 

1. This has been the best June of all time so far and by far

2. Almost all movies have matched their original expectations ( Purge, Internship, MOS, MU) or surpassed them ( NYSM, WWZ)

 

This situation couldn't continue, unfortunately. Boxoffice bomb and boxoffice disappointments are always around the corner.

[Week 10 Magic Mike VS Female Power (MGS, ED, Gittes, filmovie individs)]

1) What film finishes number 3? WHD

2) Will WHD open to more than 38.5 mill? NO

3) Will The Heat open to more than 42.5 mill NO

4) Will Monster's University have BOTH a Friday increase of more than 35% and a Saturday increase of more than 30%? NO

5) Will WWZ fall less than 55.5%? NO

6) Will MOS decrease more than 50%? NO

7) Will any film in the top 12 have a Friday increase of more than 52.5%? YES

8) Will NYSM fall more than 30%? YES

9) Will TITE have a Saturday increase of more than 20%? YES

10) Will either WHD or Heat increase by more than 2.9% on Saturday? NO

11) Will WWZ and NYSM combine to make more than MOS, The Purge, TITE and FF6? NO

12) Will The Heat get at least an A- Cinemascore? YES

 

10/12 3000

11/12 5000

12/12 7000

 

Bonus 1:  What will the top 10 cume be for the weekend?  169.555 MLN

Bonus 2:  What will The Heat and WHD combine to gross? 69.432 MLN

Bonus 3:  If you add up the % drops of WWZ and NYSM, what do they add up to? 97.456 %

 

Bonus 4:  What finishes in spots:

 

6 TITE

7 NYSM

10 THE PURGE

13 IRONMAN3

14 EPIC

 

 

filmovie:  Will WWZ have a Friday increase of more than 40%? NO

Will FF6 have a Thursday decrease of more than 5.5%? YES

Will The Purge finish in the top 11 YES

[SOTM 8: Time to extrapolate like a boss (Deadline is in 2.5 hours)]

MU: 200 mln YES

[Sunday/Wknd #'s, MU 23-24/82, WWZ 17-18/66, MoS 11.7-12.3/41.2, TITE 13, NYSM 7.8 BOM, RTH]

Don't we go through this every weekend? Maybe the numbers change a lot, maybe they don't. What does it matter?

 

It doesn't. I was simply trying to be cautious because I didn't want to deceive myself. I'd love if these number don't drop!

[Sunday/Wknd #'s, MU 23-24/82, WWZ 17-18/66, MoS 11.7-12.3/41.2, TITE 13, NYSM 7.8 BOM, RTH]

We will have real estimated numbers in 19 hours.

 

We will have reliable numbers in 12 hours.

 

How can someone trust these figures? Come on, 32 could become easily 28.... or 34? WWZ will stay in the 17-24 range. A 6-7 million difference on Friday can give 16-20 milion difference on the OW. 

[Sunday/Wknd #'s, MU 23-24/82, WWZ 17-18/66, MoS 11.7-12.3/41.2, TITE 13, NYSM 7.8 BOM, RTH]

14 mln and 48 mln Weekend for MOS

[How Long Have You Been Following the Box Office?]

November 2005

[SOTM 7: Show us how good you are Deadline for this SOTM is Monday June 24 at 10 pm BO.com time.]

A) Before Midnight:  5 mill YES
B] Now You See Me:  102 mill YES
C) After Earth:  62 milll NO
D) IM3:  403.5 mill YES
E) The Purge:  61 mill YES
F) Pain and Gain:  49.4 mill ---

[Week 9 Monsters vs Zombies (punishment CHD Tele individs)]

1) Will the first place film make at least 10 mill more than the second place film? YES

2) Will MU open to more than 65 mill? YES

3) Will WWZ open to less than 50 mill? NO

4) Will MOS drop less than 55%? NO

5) Will MOS's Saturday drop less than 45% from last Saturday? YES

6) Will WWZ make more than 2 mill at midnights/sneaks? NO

7) Will any film in the top 12 besides Bling Ring have a Friday increase of more than 105%? NO

8) Will Bling Ring make more than 3.5 mill NO

9) Will MU fall less than 5% on Sat? NO

10) Will WWZ drop more than 25% Sunday? YES

11) Will NYSM fall less than 38% NO

12) Will TITE have a Friday increase of more than 65%? YES

13) Will WWZ and MU combine to make more than 100 mill? YES

14) What film finishes in first? MU

 

12/14 4000

13/14 5000

14/14 7000

 

What finishes in spots

 

2 MOS

3 WWZ

7 INTERNSHIP

8 STID

9 EPIC

 

2000 each

3000 bonus if all correct

 

Bonus 2:  Whats the combine gross of MOS and TITE  64,777 MLM

Bonus 3:  What % does MOS drop?  57,567 %

 

[BSG KITIK WINS!!]

??? What's the third film? So far we have IM3 and MOS, right? "More than two" means... more than two, not two.

 

Yes, I agree. So far we had only two +50 mln OD (MOS+IM3) and so the answer should be "NO" until an another movie has a +50mln OD

[SOTM 6 Your punishment must be more severe (HUUUGE QUESTION) Due Fri June 14 4AM]

1) Will MOS make more than 7.5 mill at midnight? YES
2) Will MOS make more than 42 mill OD? YES
3) Will MOS make more than 47.5 mill OD? ABSTAIN
4) Will MOS make more than 98.5 mill OW? YES
5) Will MOS make more than 110 mill OW? YES

[Week 8: The Apatow Gang Apocalypse meets Son of Jor-el (Due Wed June 12 @ 3AM) Individs in 2nd post]

1) Will MOS have one of the top 3 opening days for June of all time? 5000 YES
2) Will MOS make at least 5 mill from early/midnights? 3000 YES
3) Will MOS make less than 45 mill OD? 3000 YES
4) Will MOS make more than 15 mill OW in UK? 2000 YES
5) Will MOS have a WW opening of more than 175 mill? 2000 YES
6) Will MOS make more than 90 mill OW? 2000 YES
7) Will MOS have a Saturday drop? 2000 YES
8) Will MOS make more than 100 mill OW? 5000 YES
9) Will MOS make more than 10 mill at IMAX domestically? YES
10) Will MOS have a per theater average of more than $25,000? YES
11) Will MOS have a cinemascore of at least A? YES
12) Will MOS make at least 26.1 mill on Sunday? YES
13) Will MOS make at least 30 mill on Sunday? YES
14) Will MOS drop less than 25.5% on Sunday? YES
15) Will MOS make at least 90 mill more than IM3 and After Earth combined? YES
16) Will MOS make more than 120 mill OW? 2000 NO
17) Will This is the End make more than 3.5 mill for sneaks? 2000 NO
18) Will TITE make more than 10 mill OD? 2000 YES
19) Will TITE drop more than 32.2% on Thurs? 2000 YES
20) Will TITE have a 5 day of more than 40 mill? 2000 YES
21) Will TITE have a Friday increase of more than 75% NO
22) Will TITE's 5 day be at least half of MOS's 3 day? NO
23) Will the top 10 films combine to make more than 170 million? YES
24) Will The Purge drop less than 62.5%? NO
25) Will The Purge finish top three? NO
26) Will The Purge finish with at least half of TITE's 3 day? YES
27) Will The Internship drop more than 45%? YES
28) Will Nikki's first Friday report come out before 1pm PST time (just go to deadline and see when she posts her tentpoles)? YES
29) Will Nikki's first posting about MOS contain the phrase "NOT A RECORD" or mention anything that resembles MOS not setting any kind of record? NO
30) Will Nikki's first "projection" about MOS be higher than the number reported with official Friday estimates? 3000 NO
31) On the first three days, will BKB post anywhere at anytime about how the film is not meeting expectations from a box office standpoint? NO
32) Will the Weekend Numbers thread (this starts with Thurs midnights and goes until Sunday estimates) reach 250 pages by 9AM on Monday? YES
33) Will NYSM drop less than 40%? YES
34) Will any film in the top 10 drop less than 15% on Wednesday? YES
35) Will any film in the top 12 (besides Before Midnight) drop less than 35%? NO
36) Will Before Midnight make more than 2.5M? NO
37) Will IM3 drop less than 50%? NO
38) Will AE, TH3 and TGG all drop more than 50%? YES
39) Will The Internship jump more than 30% on Saturday? YES
40) Will The STID jump at least 60% on Friday? YES

35/40 5000
36/40 8000
37/40 10,000
38/40 12,000
39/40 15,000
40/40 25,000

Bonus 1: What will MOS's weekend gross be? 114,765MLN
Bonus 2: What will TITE's weekend gross be (3Day)? 26,666 MLN
Bonus 3: What will TITE's 5 day be? 42,654 MLN
Bonus 4: What will AE, TH3 and Mud's combined weekend gross be? 6,567 MLN

Bonus 5: What finishes in spots:

6 EPIC
8 STID
10 TH3
11 TGG
13 MUD

2000 each and a bonus of 5000 if all correct

Bonus 6: On Wednesday, what finishes in spots: 

3 FF6
4 PURGE
6 EPIC

2000 each one correct and a bonus of 3000 if all three correct.

[SOTM 4(Back in the groove) Due Sunday June 9th at 6pm.]

6) Watchmen

[BSG Week 7 (Anarchy vs Big Business)(makeups this week as well) indivds start next week]

Due regular time:

 

All questions worth 1000 UOS

 

1) What film finishes number 1? THE PURGE

2) Will FF6 finish in one of the top 3 spots? YES

3) Will After Earth fall less than The Happening did in it's second weekend? YES

4) Will any film in the top 12 have a Friday increase of more than 83.5%? YES

5) Will any film in the top 12 have a Saturday increase of more 51.6%? NO

6) Will The Purge open to more than 20 mill? YES

7) Will The Internship open to more than 20 mill? NO

8) Will NYSM fall less 39.4%? NO

9) Will The East increase more than 200%? NO

10) Will FF6 have a Saturday increase of more than 43.2%? YES

11) Will IM3 drop less than 40%? NO

12) Will STID increase more than 65% on Friday YES

13) Will The Hangover 3 make more than 50 mill internationally? YES

14) Will The Internship have a better Sunday decrease than The Purge? YES

15) Will TGG stay in the top 10? YES

 

 

What finishes in spots:

 

1 THE PURGE

2 FF6

3 NYSM

12 YEW JAVAANI HAI DEWAANI

15 BEFORE MIDNIGHT

 

2000 each spot correct

5000 bonus if all 5 correct

 

Bonus 2:  What will the cume be for the top three films? 58,678 MLN

Bonus 3:  What will Epic, The Croods and Oz gross combined for the weekend? 11,567 MLN

 

 

Makeup questions for anyone who has missed one week so far. I missed Week 1.

All questions due by Thurs at 11:59 pm

All questions worth 1000 points

 

1) Will This is the End make more than 5 mill on Wednesday (includes midnights/early) on Tues YES

2) Will This is the End drop more than 30% on Thurs? YES

3) Will Epic have an increase of more than 40% on Saturday (this weekend) YES

4) Will The Purge drop more than 72.5% on Monday? YES

5) Will NYSM have a Tuesday increase of more than 25%? NO

6) Will After Earth have a Tuesday increase of more than 25%? NO

7) Will The Internship or the Purge have a Tuesday increase of more than 7.5%? NO

8) Will FF6 drop more than 25% on Wed? NO

9) Will The Hangover 3 drop less than The Purge on Wed? YES

10) Will film in the top 12 will have the best Tuesday increase? TGG

 

8/10 2000

9/10 3000

10/10 5000

 

Bonus 1:  We will only go by whatever information is available to us by Tuesday June 11th.  

 

What films internationally (for the weekend) finish in spots:

 

2 AFTER EARTH

3 FF6

4 ST2

 

3000 each bonus of 4000 if all three correct.  Good luck.  

 

Bonus number 2:  What will This is the end gross for midnights/early shows on Tuesday? 1 MLN

[SOTM 5 What M. Night Shyamalan Film with AE finish closest to in gross?]

The Happening

[The International Box Office Discussion Thread]

In Italy TH3 is really doing insane numers: 4.2 mln euro in 3 days (thur-sat). By comparision TH2 made 3.2 mln in its 5-days debut (wed-sun).

 

But today it's Sunday, the biggest day here. So it's going to make +6 mln euro in 4days (almost a +100% increase on TH2's first 5 days, if it's strong today, +100 is still possible).

 

Its result is on par with FF6's one week ago.

[Which Franchise Finale Offered The Best Closure?]

Toy Story 3

[The Hangover Part III OS thread]

3 mln $ in 2 days (+120% over TH2, however it had wed-thur while TH3 had thur-fri), it's really doing a lot of business in Italy. Didn't expect such a breakout after FF6 success.

 

It's without any doubt going do outgross TH2 5days Opening today. 

[The Hangover Part III OS thread]

It's still to early to say where it's headed to go, 400 mln would be amazing (considering possible sub-120 mln DOM)

[The Hangover Part III OS thread]

In Italy it had a fantastic start (OD 1,4 mln $)), it's really impressive, it's 75% better than the OD of TH2 and on par with FF6 (without previews).

[BSG Week 6: Batman's friends vs Captain Hiller]

Alll questions are based on the drops regarding the 3 DAY WEEKEND FROM MEMORIAL WEEKEND.

 

1) What film will finish #1? AFTER EARTH

2) Will After Earth finish with at least 10 mill more than NYSM? NO

3) Will TH3 drop more than 50%? YES

4) Will Epic increase more than 50% on Saturday? YES

5) Will ST finish higher than TH3? YES

6) Will NYSM make more than 10 mill OD? YES

7) Will TGG drop more than 45%? YES

8) Will The East have a theater average of more than $5000? YES

9) Will F6 drop less than 50%? NO

10) Will F6 increase more than 25% on Saturday? YES

11) Will After Earth have an increase on Saturday of more than 10%? NO

12) Will Fast 6 make more that ST, TH and Epic combined? NO

 

 

Bonus 1:  What will Fast 6 gross on Friday? 10.734 MLN

Bonus 2:  What will the top 3 films gross? 107.897 MLN

 

Bonus 3:  What  will finish in positions:

 

2 FAST AND FURIOUS 6

5 EPIC

9 MUD

13 OBLIVION

[BSG Surprise Number 1 (The Donovan CHOOSE WISELY question)]

A) choose one film that you did not put on your list.  Predict what it's final gross will be.  Your deadline to pick this film and predict the gross is the day before it comes out.  For example, if you choose The Purge, then your deadline to predict its final gross is Thursday June 6th at 11:59pm.  This will give you time to use tracking to decide what it will open to and subsequently what it will finish with.

 

 

The Internship: 35,456 mln

[SOTM 3 (Can it be done?) Question deadline Sunday May 26th at 3pm.]

ABSTAIN