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LonePirate

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Posts posted by LonePirate

  1. 9 minutes ago, across the Jat verse said:

    from presales 18.5-19 oppy. 32 barbie.

    At the start of the summer, those numbers for the Saturday of opening weekend, heck maybe even the entire opening weekend, would have led to champagne bottles being popped. For those to be the Saturday numbers from the second weekend is now simply obscene. 

     

    Someone is going to earn an MBA by writing a paper on these films' marketing and promotion campaigns coupled with the Barbenheimer event. 

  2. 13 minutes ago, eeetooki said:

    IMAX needs to step up their game. While searching through information about the film strips, I have already seen three viewings in Canada rescheduled because of different issues with IMAX. This is why we are not getting 15M! (JK)

    IMAX has a lot to learn from this Oppenheimer release. I know they prepared for the 70mm release by sending technicians to numerous (all?) locations; but the reports of problems in several locations shows more preparations or work is needed. 

     

    Not only that but numerous IMAX theaters are still showing movies in 2K resolution. There is absolutely no excuse for that given the prevalence of 4K screens such as AMC Dolby, Regal RPX, Cinemark XD and every or almost every Harkins screen. Moviegoers are not receiving the best possible visual experience on those 2K screens.

    • Like 1
  3. Barbie with $29M takes it to $287M and easily clearing $300M on Saturday.

     

    Oppenheimer with $14M brings it to almost $142M.

     

    Barbie was essentially flat last Saturday from its true Friday while Oppenheimer was up about 10% from its true Friday. I'm guessing both films increase 20% or more on Saturday; but nothing seems certain with these two films.

  4. Some milestones in the summer race this weekend as the Barbenheimer train rolls on:

     

    Barbie will pass TLM on Saturday. GotG3 is on tap for early next week with AtSV sometime later next week. She will be around 60% of Mario by Monday as that chase continues.

     

    Oppenheimer will pass MI7 today. It will pass SoF either today or Saturday. It will pass Elemental on Saturday. It will pass RotB on either Saturday or Sunday and it will pass IJ5 on Sunday. From there, TLM is a few weeks away. GotG seems out of reach; but who knows given the likelihood it remains on IMAX screens for many more weeks. 

    • Like 4
  5. 5 minutes ago, BoxOfficeZ said:

    Both great numbers if they hold up (might go down a bit with actuals). I hope Oppenheimer stays above 10m.

    Definitely hoping Oppy stays above $10M to surpass Passion of the Christ's number of consecutive days above $10M for R-rated films. Oppy needs a record to call its own, no matter how obscure.

    • Like 5
    • Astonished 1
  6. One thing which should help Oppenheimer on Friday and Saturday is much more heavily attended late shows or in many cases, the expansion from three shows a day to four shows a day per screen. I checked an AMC in Detroit and one in KC and their IMAX screens are both going from 3 to 4 shows a day on Friday and Saturday, up from 3 today.

    • Like 2
  7. Unless I missed something, Oppenheimer looks to tie The Passion of the Christ for the most consecutive days (6) above $10M for an R-rated film if that Wednesday estimate holds. If it can manage $10M on Thursday, the new record of at least 10 consecutive days likely stand for a long time.

    • Like 2
  8. 8 minutes ago, Mango said:

    Mall of Georgia added a 3:20am screening for Oppy Saturday “night”

    70mm IMAX locations need to keep showing the film until Dune/The Marvels. It would probably be theaters’ best interest of their bottom line if other IMAX screens did the same.

    • Like 3
  9. EaPmEXP.jpg
     

    ypAjTGV.jpg

     

    These are Regal IMAX showings for Oppy at roughly 3:00pm today in Denver and Raleigh. The 7pm showing for Denver is down to maybe 20 or so seats remaining while the one in Raleigh has about 5 seats left. I checked AMC IMAX showings at a theater in Philadelphia and one in Austin and both were about 80% packed for their afternoon showing and almost sold out for the prime time showing. 
     

    The film is like heroin for upscale, educated and cinephile type moviegoers. It could play in IMAX for months. Most films would love to receive this type of attendance on the Friday or Saturday night of opening weekend, let alone in the middle of the afternoon on a Tuesday.

    • Like 5
  10. If that $27.5M Monday holds, that would make it the 11th biggest Monday of all time. Here's the Top 10 from Mojo:

     

    1. BP

    2. TFA

    3. NWH

    4. Endgame

    5. TGM

    6. A2

    7. RO

    8. TFA (simply bonkers that it's on this list twice)

    9. TROS

    10. SM2

     

    200K more for Barbie and it would pass SM2. Simply ridiculous numbers for it.

    • Like 7
    • Thanks 1
  11. B4CUANa.jpg

     

    This is the last day the Cinemark app has showtimes for the IMAX 70mm showing of Oppenheimer in Dallas. There are no IMAX showtimes listed for any film after this date.  The gray seats have already been sold for a Wednesday 10:45pm showing three weeks after its release. Theaters would be stupid to replace the film with Gran Turismo in IMAX theaters as that film won’t sell anywhere close to the number of tickets even if it is playing 5 or 6 times a day instead of 4.

     

    The IMAX 70mm and regular 70mm theaters would be wise to keep Oppy on their screens at least until Dune or The Marvels arrives (whichever comes first).

    • Like 1
  12. I don’t want to say it’s impossible but if Barbie does clear $30M, well $30.6M to be more exact, it would be a sub-30% drop. For a non-holiday Monday, that’s practically unheard of.

     

    If Oppy can stay at or above $14M, that would be a sub-40% drop, which itself is an amazing hold. 
     

    We may never see another non-holiday Monday where two openers hold as well as Barbenheimer has done. Incredible!

    • Like 5
  13. Charlie mentioned way upthread that he thought Barbie stood a chance to hit $30M today. Unless there is a widespread small market collapse, I think $30M is easily achievable. Some screenings I checked in a variety of cities were almost as full as the weekend. Barbie certainly is giving signs that Mario’s reign atop the 2023 list may be coming to an end.

    • Like 1
  14. sHp1Ob8.jpg
     

    This is an AMC IMAX with Laser showing for noon today in the Minneapolis area. This is bonkers for noon on a non-holiday Monday. I checked a similar IMAX with Laser showing in Nashville around the same time and it was maybe 60% full. However, a couple of IMAX showings in Charlotte and Phoenix for roughly noon were not nearly as packed but they were not IMAX with Laser. People are definitely seeking out high quality projection for this film.

  15. A sub-50% drop on a non-holiday Monday is a very challenging task for any film; but I think $20M and $10M on Monday for Barbenheimer are exceptionally realistic as those drops would be a little over 50% for both. The two films have an absurd number of presales for Monday - more than a lot of films have on their opening Fridays. 

     

    It's great to have dual openers racking up massive numbers while also being loved by both critics and audiences. It's a very rare event.

  16. 6 minutes ago, Ryan Reynolds said:

    i hope this pushes Cruise to act in real movies again , need another collaboration with Spielberg

    He'll be clamoring to work with a big name director again; yet it won't be Spielberg, not after seeing a 3 hour, R rated biopic with minimal violence outgross the latest edition of his pet franchise in less than a week.

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